I believe that GBP/USD is presenting a strong buying opportunity based on my analysis. The currency pair is currently rejecting the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, which is a significant technical indicator suggesting a potential reversal or retracement. This level often acts as a key decision zone where buyers regain control after a pullback. To validate this setup, I am closely monitoring the price action for strong wick rejections and bullish candlestick patterns, as these are reliable signals of a reversal. If these confirmations occur, I plan to enter a buy position with a well-defined stop-loss placed just below the 78.6% level to minimize risk. This trade setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio of 1:4, meaning for every 1% of risk, there is the potential to gain 4%. Such a favourable ratio ensures that even if some trades fail, the profitable ones outweigh the losses. Additionally, I am considering other confluences to strengthen my confidence in this trade. These include: 1. Momentum Indicators: Observing divergence on the RSI or MACD for signs of bullish momentum. 2. Trend Continuation: Ensuring the broader trend aligns with this reversal; for example, a higher timeframe uptrend would support this buy idea. 3. Volume Analysis: Looking for increased buying volume around this level, which often signals institutional activity. It’s also crucial to stay updated on any upcoming economic data releases or news events that could impact GBP or USD, such as interest rate decisions, inflation reports, or geopolitical developments. These events could either reinforce or disrupt the technical outlook. Overall, I believe this trade has a solid probability of success if the technical and fundamental conditions align. By sticking to the plan and maintaining discipline with risk management, this setup has the potential to be highly rewarding.
NYSE:SQ With the FED's announcement of possibly only TWO rate cuts in 2025, my eye is on companies like NYSE:SQ , NASDAQ:AFRM , and $PYPL. NYSE:SQ had the most beautiful set-up, to me, so I began here! The "perfect" set-up to me would be if the potential H&S pattern played out and we saw SQ push back towards the 92.65 level, reject back down towards 80.50-81 and hold the .382 Fib level AND the weekly support trend line. However, if bullish momentum is strong, a weekly break above 92.65, with correlating volume, and I will look to enter and target 99, 107, 117.
Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/M0pNMJho/ What we need to look at is whether it can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator and rise. When a new candle is created, it is expected to pass around 83.6K. Accordingly, the point of interest is whether it will meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart around 87.8K-89K. The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend from the 100 point, and if a new candle is created, it is expected to change to a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA. Since the StochRSI indicator is still in the overbought zone, it is likely to rise after receiving support around 92K-93.5K. - (1D chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/J3wSk4v9/ The next volatility period is around December 17 (December 16-18). Therefore, the key is how it will look after this volatility period. It is currently showing a short-term downtrend, but looking at the overall picture, it is ambiguous to say that it has yet to break out of the sideways zone, so the key is whether it falls below 90586.92. - Therefore, we need to check whether it can rise above 95904.28. If not, it is expected to touch around 92K-93.5K. In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it needs to rise above 97821.5-98892.0 to be supported. Since the Momentum indicator is showing a low, it may lead to an additional decline. https://www.tradingview.com/x/dgFX49sy/ You can see that the Body color of the candle changed to red from the December 20 candle. This is because the OBV fell below the midpoint. Therefore, if the Body color of the candle changes back to Green, it can be seen as a buying period. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/WBuhqVrT/ Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/YtZx6YSG/ Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - https://www.tradingview.com/x/zTnWN2r7/ The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
Based on the Ichimoku analysis, here’s a trade setup using the 4-hour and daily charts, incorporating Ichimoku Wave and Time Theory: 1. Observations on the Daily Chart: Trend: The price is within the Ichimoku cloud, indicating consolidation or indecision. However, the bullish attempt to break above the cloud suggests upward momentum might develop. Key Levels: Resistance: 197.50 (upper cloud boundary and recent highs). Support: 194.50 (Kijun-Sen and lower cloud boundary). Chikou Span (Lagging Line): Inside the price action, signaling no clear trend confirmation yet. Wave Theory: After a sharp rally in mid-December, the market shows signs of completing a corrective wave within the cloud. Time Theory: If the next bullish move aligns with the current time cycles (Kihon-Suchi intervals: 9, 17, 26), a breakout may occur around the next 2–3 trading days. 2. Observations on the 4-Hour Chart: Trend: The price is trading above the cloud, suggesting a short-term bullish bias. Key Levels: Resistance: 197.00 (recent highs). Support: 195.50 (Kijun-Sen on the 4-hour chart and near the cloud top). Chikou Span: Positioned above the price action, supporting bullish momentum. Wave Theory: The impulsive move to 198.00 was followed by a correction back into the cloud. Current price action suggests a potential new bullish wave starting. Time Theory: Time intervals suggest a minor pullback may complete soon, and the next bullish wave could initiate in the next 4–8 candles. 3. Trade Setup: Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry: Wait for a close above 197.00 on the 4-hour chart to confirm bullish momentum. Target 1: 198.50 (previous high on the 4-hour chart). Target 2: 200.00 (psychological level and wave projection). Stop Loss: Below 195.50, where the Kijun-Sen and cloud support converge. Bearish Scenario (If Daily Cloud Resistance Holds): Entry: If price rejects 197.00 and closes below 195.50 on the 4-hour chart. Target 1: 194.00 (daily cloud support). Target 2: 192.50 (next significant support on the daily chart). Stop Loss: Above 197.50. 4. Ichimoku Wave and Time Theory Insights: Wave Analysis: The market may form a new bullish N-wave if it breaks above 197.00. Targets for this wave could align with the 198.50–200.00 zone. Time Analysis: Watch for reversals or breakout confirmations within 2–3 trading days (daily chart) or 4–8 candles (4-hour chart), aligned with the Kihon-Suchi cycles.
I think that the price of the bitcoin could go to GETTEX:92K because there are 2 equal lows that you can see on this chart at approximatively $92000. "Equal lows refer to a situation in trading where two or more price lows are at the same level or very close to each other on a chart. This concept is significant because it indicates a potential area where liquidity is resting. In trading, liquidity refers to the availability of buy or sell orders at a particular price level. When equal lows are present, it suggests that there are likely many stop-loss orders from traders who are long (buying) positioned just below these lows. This creates a pool of liquidity that can be targeted by the market."
Looking at the XTZ/USD daily chart, multiple technical indicators and price action are aligning to present a compelling bearish case. Here's why I'm convinced we're heading lower: Key Bearish Evidence: MACD Structure The MACD indicator is showing textbook bearish signals: Clear bearish crossover on the daily timeframe Histogram bars turning increasingly negative Momentum clearly shifting downward This suggests strong selling pressure and weakening buying interest. RSI Confirmation The RSI tells a clear story: Recently rejected from overbought territory Making lower highs alongside price Currently showing downward momentum No signs of positive divergence to suggest a bottom Price Action Analysis The price structure couldn't be more bearish: Failed to hold above the $1.65 resistance Series of lower highs and lower lows Recently broke below key moving averages Volume increasing on down moves Market Structure After the November rally, we're seeing classic distribution patterns: Sharp rejection from recent highs Increasing selling volume Failed attempts to reclaim higher levels Breakdown of support levels Risk Levels: Immediate resistance: $1.65 Critical support: $1.20 Target zone: $0.75 (Previous accumulation area) What Makes This Setup Particularly Bearish: The recent rally was sharp but unsustainable Multiple timeframe confirmation of bearish momentum Clear volume profile supporting the downside move Technical indicators all aligning for further downside The most telling aspect is how quickly the recent gains were given back, suggesting the bulls are exhausted and bears are taking control. Until we see a clear break and hold above $1.65, the path of least resistance remains firmly to the downside. Traders should watch the $1.20 support level closely - a break below this could accelerate the downward movement toward the previous accumulation zone at $0.75.
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Incoming president Donald Trump has confirmed reports that Sriram Krishnan, until recently a general partner at Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), will serve as senior policy advisor for AI at the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy. Trump said in a statement that Krishnan will “help shape and coordinate AI policy across government, working with […] © 2024 TechCrunch. All rights reserved. For personal use only.
Two big defense tech players, Palantir and Anduril, are talking to tech companies including SpaceX, OpenAI, Saronic, and Scale AI about forming a consortium to bid on Pentagon contracts, according to a report in the Financial Times. The goal, the FT says, is to challenge the dominance of “prime” defense contractors like Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, […] © 2024 TechCrunch. All rights reserved. For personal use only.
DAX40 (DE40) is currently reacting off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 19,665.45 1st Support: 18,980.32 1st Resistance: 20,494.80 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.