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Cocoa long- Weekly / Daily demand SL unter das letzte Tief auf Daily TP wie im Chart - 1:1; 2:1; 3:1 SL auf Einstand bei 1:1
Russell2000 - weekly / daily demand - long Einstieg per Limit Order SL unter die demand Zone TP wie im Chart oder trailen
GBPNOK - long weekly / daily demand Take Profits im Chart - 1:1; 2:1; 3:1 SL unter Daily demand SL auf Einstand bei 1:1
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Today marks the first day in a long time where we can observe some green, bullish levels on gamma exposure. The daily GexView indicator displays thin green lines, which represent the gamma exposure of zero-days-to-expire contracts. The thick lines, on the other hand, represent the total gamma exposure across all expiration contracts. This is a promising first step, especially if these lines persist over the next few days and continue to develop further.
Trade idea based on March options expiration. Volatility expected. Apply low risk, TA points on 179 touch and quick reverse. Not a trading idea... and so on.
As I have said many times, I always look to Both sides. Bullish and Bearish. This way, I manage to always know what I am going to do should a Market Direction change. I got caught out once before..NEVER AGAIN So, While so many, including Me, look towards Further gains in 2025, there are some indications that A TOP has already been reached. There is NO guarantee that another will come in. The First Clue to a change towards BEARISH is in the main chart. PA got rejected off the very same Trend line that rejected PA in 2017 and 2021, on all occasions, pushing PA into a Bearish Drop. That alone should make you Think hard. Next, we have the NUPL chart ( NET UNREALISED~ED PROFIT LOSS ) https://www.tradingview.com/x/ghTfdfVr/ The Arrow points towards the line, that once crossed has shown us that the high possible Profits available begin to Tempt traders to lock in profit..to SELL. Once above this line, the next line has NEVER been crossed. ALL profit taking occurs in this Zone. You Will also notice how in 2021, when we had 2 tops, the NUPL reached High, Twice and then fell as traders Took the profits. We have just had 2 tops and have just dropped out of the profit taking Range. We may return, we may not. We have to wait but all the while, understanding the more profit taken now, people who buy at current price ranges will have to wait Longer to claim this same level of profit, assuming that the price Rises from here....Or they are in Loss... The SOPR ( Spent Outpuit Profit Ratio ) , shows us that these profits have been taken https://www.tradingview.com/x/6hPbO5HU/ The thing to see here is the level of Selling, or taking of profit. The SOPR line is down near Neutral, This shows the Selling has Stopped. if we look back at the previous chart, we see that the level of profit is dropping. Less reason to sell....and while PA Drops as it is, there is even more possible LOSS incurred. The people who bought the Top are now getting worried. Also notice the "labels" Top ( Bearish signals) and Bottom ( Bullish signals) We had a Bearish warning around 6 weeks before current Top. The Bullish signal on the bottom line Stopped about 4 weeks ago and you will notice how the "line" has dropped below the neutral line, indicating people accepting Losses, just to get out.... Again, this does not mean we will continue Lower but it is a Loud Warning Bell Fot the Level pf profit to return, we need one of Two things, or Both, to happen 1) Price to Drop so we can Buy Low and wait for PA to rise again and so make profit 2) Buy now. ( Buy the Dip ) and Wait and Hope the Market goes to the prices some people say will happen ( Some are Stupid for this cycle BTW ) The MVRV chart helps us see where that Market is heading. MVRV = Market Value to Realized Value. It is an indicator used to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued https://www.tradingview.com/x/tFhvSbr7/ I am not going to get to techie here but that yellow line is called Z Score and we are in ATH territory when it is above the green MVRV, as can be seen in the chart We are currently Dropping FAST and Z Score is very slightly BELOW the MVRV line. This happened in Summer 2024 and we recovered as you can see. This Means Bitcoin is becoming Less Overvalued but a Long way from Undervalued What I see here more than anything is how the recent High was up on that line where the 2021 ATH was rejected from. It was the same level of Value that made people say, "OK, This is great, I am out" and Sell. Again, understand, the higher the BTC price goes, the heavier it is to move. We may not manage to get a Bitcoin Way up where that 1st 2021 ATH was. Hugely over Valued. THIS is what I am watching more than anything So, are we in a Bear Market ? NO - But it would be easy to fall into a Mini Bear here, or longer one, if the market does not recover by mid June Latest Why ? Because, as ever, for me, The weekly MACD is the -- THE thing to watch https://www.tradingview.com/x/ArHf8x5V/ If that MACD drops below neutral when it arrives at Neutral, That is a Big red Flag.... But , in an ideal world, we should be able to understand the possibility of that happening BEFORE it does. The charts above help with that - How mush profit is available, is it being Taken, what potential for more March as a monthly candle, is very likely to close RED, as mentioned in other posts, It is APRIL that will really decide where we go next. It needs to be GREEN, even if only marginally. My decision point is if the MVRV continues to Fall past that 236 fib line.....and stays below Then the MACD and SOPR If Capitulation begins - I BUY MORE - at the Bottom ( possibly around 65K - But I do not expect hat this year...... Bear Markets are not all bad.................... Have AI sold any Bitcoin Yet ? NO - thankfully, I still hold enough profit on my earlier buys to cover the smaller losses I may make while I begin to buy again now, which I am doing, in small quanties...Just incase we move higher soon..Because, as I said before, I look to both sides....and I am more Bullish than Bearish right now.....But open to change. I hope you all understand this logic
https://www.tradingview.com/x/vJTQil4t/ 30% uplift for a CEO change... that says quite a lot. What I think most people are missing is that for changing course of a semiconductor design, it takes at a minimum of 4-5 years. To catch up with someone that's already ahead (AMD), it takes around 6 to 10 years. AMD was playing catch-up with Intel for about 10 years (remember AMD Bulldozer?) Ever since the Core/Core 2 architecture was launched, back in 2006, Intel has dominated the market - that was up until around 2018, when AMD further improved on their Ryzen architecture. It took ~12 years for AMD to get "back in the game". Lisa Su worked wonders with AMD since 2012, became CEO in 2014, and finally managed to usurp intel through an innovative new design, chiplets. You want to know the biggest reason why Lisa Su has been so successful? Firstly, she is an Engineer, she designs solutions to problems. I have the utmost respect for her, and I thank her tremendously for bringing back competition to the industry. But one major contributor was the fact that Intel was resting on its laurels, they did not truly innovate. Ever since about ~2013, when they launched the ~i7-2600k (which powered my PC for almost 8 good years), all their future CPU's were very marginal iterations, ~5% uplift in performance from a generation to the next is a joke, especially considering the increased power consumption. I remember there were two generations where Intel intentionally sabotaged their own CPU's by replacing the soldered thermal interface with thermal pads, just to decrease heat transfer, and create a fictitious worse product, so they could have a better one released next year (having again soldered thermal interface). Yep, people were "delidding" their CPU, getting 20-30 degrees lower temperatures, because the "engineers" at intel wanted to either save a few cents, or most likely they wanted to release the next generation of CPU's without putting in any real work for improvement. Why do I think this is the case? Because intel was lead by bean-counters. 2005 to 2012, Intel was led by Paul Otellini, a person who had over 30 years of experience at the company. The development of the Pentium can be attributed to him (prior to becoming CEO), and during his tenure, Intel market share went from ~50% to 75% (as per cpubenchmark, though I really doubt it was below 90% at that time). 2012 to 2018, Brian Krzanich, the sunset starts, practically no innovation, one generation to the next are just incremental improvements. 2018 to 2021, Bob Swan, the then CFO took over as CEO, no comment. 2021 to 2025, Pat Gelsinger, an engineer, the lead architect of the 486 CPU took over. He had very good ideas, but in my opinion not enough time to implement them. Now Intel has a new CEO, mainly knowledgeable in software, not in hardware. I guess only time will tell, but honestly, I think if Pat had a few more years, he could have pointed the ship in the right direction. As it stands, I do not have high hopes for Intel. My prediction is a drop to 15 by the end of the year. AMD doesn't rest on its laurels, Intel needs some innovation, and innovation takes time. Anyway, all the above are my own thoughts, and I wrote them down for entertainment purposes only. Please perform your own research before opening any positions.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/dvi6HCs8/ AUDUSD - Classic bearish pattern - Our team expects retracement SUGGESTED TRADE: Swing Trade Sell AUDUSD Entry - 0.6373 Stop - 0.6418 Take - 0.6300 Our Risk - 1% Start protection of your profits from lower levels Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️