Resistance and Support Zones: A key resistance level is observed around 85,800 - 86,000, which the price is currently testing. Strong support is identified in the 73,700 - 74,000 zone, which has previously triggered a price reversal. Indicators: Ichimoku: The price remains below the Kumo cloud, indicating a mid-term bearish trend. However, the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen are showing signs of a bullish crossover, which is an initial positive signal. RSI Histogram (HARSI): It is exiting the oversold region and entering a bullish zone, though it has not yet reached the overbought area. MFI or Momentum: It indicates increasing buyer strength in this range. Possible Scenarios: If the price stabilizes above 86,000, it could potentially move toward 88,000 or even 90,000. If it fails to break this resistance, a correction down to 80,000 or even 78,000 is possible. Conclusion: The market is currently at a critical decision-making zone. A confirmed breakout above the 85,800 - 86,000 resistance could strengthen the bullish trend. However, if selling pressure increases in this area, it could lead to a price correction. It’s recommended to wait for confirmation of a breakout above this level or consider entering at lower support levels in case of a correction. ??
Expanding on my last idea focusing on the first move in this sequence, here is a bigger picture of this idea and I will explain in detail how I arrive to this. 1. The market is always going to absorb liquidity. We know this. We also know that since Dec 2022 Bitcoin has been on a steady climb up allowing for lots of long positions to open and stay open. What this creates is a lot of absorbable liquidity in the form of long position stop losses. Further more, the dominance of leverage is very high in crypto, therefor these stop loss orders are “leveraged sell orders”. This is the “fuel” that can be used to explain the possibility of a move of this magnitude. In other words, the orders are already in place in the chart; the adverse of traders decisions via leveraged position stop losses. 2. We can identify (2) main trendlines that explains why Bitcoin has been struggling so much around these zones. Price tends to break above and below these diagonal trendlines, trading sideways in a diagonal fashion - until there is enough “fear” or justification to allow the trendline to play itself out. The first trendline I design for you in my previous idea. This takes Bitcoin to a zone with several confluences. (1) A Volume Profile support, (2) The bottom of a bearish trendline, and (3) The absorption of a mass amount of liquidity located from the current price to that zone. The second trendline, which you can apply the same validation methods I pointed out in my previous idea (duplicating the trendline and placing it infinitely at different areas on the chart and observing price respecting the angle), has a bottom of $7,000. Now this Uber low may seem extraordinarily unrealistic, but there is again, a mass amount of liquidity located in those low zones that the market wants to absorb. 3. I lay out here a corrective wave sequence that would allow all of this liquidity to be absorbed. The US Dollar on the higher timeframes shows a bearish retest of a major breakdown. With all of the negative news and geopolitical tension with the US, both technically and fundamentally this points in the direction of a falling US dollar relative to other global currencies. 4. Ultimately this is good for Bitcoin. I present this idea for several reasons, most importantly, what I can see happening (assuming this does occur) is that many holders and investors will sell at very low prices in extreme fear that Bitcoin will go to zero, when in fact it would just be a liquidity grab prior to a true 3-5 year bull run on Bitcoin as the US Dollar loses strength. Of course being ill prepared and selling at those extreme lows would be catastrophic for investors and traders. So if anything, I hope this serves you with the possibility explained in detail, and in the event you see this occur, to not panic and not sell. To do the exact opposite of what the majority would do and BUY into those extreme fear zones. Happy trading and stay safe. For anyone wanting to argue that it’s not possible or showing their confidence that it would never happen; please understand there is no harm is looking at potential scenarios and this isn’t an ego contest about who is right or wrong. It’s ideally about looking out for each other and sharing our work, knowledge, and experience to collectively succeed in understanding this challenging market. People may also like to point out that I’ve been speaking about this occurring for roughly a year, and have been wrong - however the timing of such events doesn’t mean it’s “wrong”. If the chart demonstrates a possibility, it remains.
AMD has not been able to keep up with NVDIA for about a year. The year long decline is about to approach a critical support area. $93.12 is the line in the sand to invalidate the expanding diagonal structure to complete minor wave 5. If this level breaks that will mean AMD is still on minor degree wave 4 and is in an expanding ABC correction. Unless this turns into a running flat scenario, expanding correction would take the C wave below the A wave, which was $54.57. That will not be pretty for AMD, given the chip market overall is getting very messy with the trade war situations. With RSI braking below 30, we should expect a bounce soon. If that bounce starts to look like a V shape recovery, then there might be some hope to see higher high again. Earnings are still a few weeks away. In the meantime, price needs to head back above $130 to have any reason to long this ticker!
Shows a big liquidity injection coming in early April. Might be a bit bumpy until then ?
#SUI is making a perfect pattern for a big rise just check out how its making a descending wedge as a correction structure i think that if the price crosses the confirmation line there will be nothing to stop the price from touching our targets !
Navigating the US30 index as a day trader isn't just about reading charts or following market news—it's a deep dive into understanding probabilities and mastering your own psychology. Markets are inherently unpredictable, and every price movement is a unique event with its own set of variables. The key isn't to predict with certainty where the US30 is headed next, but to develop a mindset that embraces the uncertainty and leverages it to your advantage. Imagine the market as a vast ocean. You can't control the tides or the currents, but you can adjust your sails. Each trade is like setting off on a new voyage. Some days, the waters will be calm, and your journey smooth. Other days, storms will emerge without warning. As a trader, your success hinges on your ability to remain composed, make decisions based on your pre-defined strategy, and not on the emotional highs and lows that come with market swings. Recent fluctuations in the US30 have illustrated just how quickly sentiment can shift. Economic indicators, political developments, and global events can send ripples—or waves—through the index. But rather than trying to catch every wave, focus on the patterns that align with your trading plan. Consistency is your anchor. By sticking to your rules for entries, exits, and risk management, you create a framework that helps you navigate the unpredictability. Embracing the probabilistic nature of trading is crucial. No single trade defines your success. It's the cumulative result of many trades executed with discipline that matters. Accept that losses are a natural part of trading. Each loss is an opportunity to learn, not a personal failure. This shift in perspective reduces the emotional weight of trading decisions and helps prevent impulsive actions driven by fear or greed. Consider the psychological barriers that often hinder traders: Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): Chasing trades because you're afraid of being left behind can lead to poor entry points. Overconfidence after Wins: A series of successful trades can lead to complacency or taking on excessive risk. Dwelling on Losses: Obsessing over losses can paralyze you, making you hesitant to take the next opportunity. Developing self-awareness around these tendencies allows you to address them proactively. Techniques such as mindfulness and regular self-reflection can enhance your mental resilience. Keeping a trading journal not only tracks your performance but also your emotional state during each trade, revealing patterns that you can work on. Moreover, it's beneficial to approach the market with a flexible mindset. Rigid expectations can be shattered when the market doesn't behave as anticipated. Adaptability is a strength. When the US30 behaves unpredictably, having the agility to adjust your strategy while remaining within your risk parameters is vital. On a practical level, ensure you're well-informed but avoid information overload. Select key indicators and news sources that are relevant to your trading style. Too much conflicting information can lead to analysis paralysis. Beyond trading strategies, reflect on how your life outside of trading impacts your performance. Adequate rest, a healthy lifestyle, and a supportive environment contribute to clearer thinking and better decision-making on the trading floor. Have you explored integrating psychological disciplines into your trading routine? Techniques like visualization, meditation, or even consulting with a trading coach might offer new insights into enhancing your performance. The journey of trading is as much about personal growth as it is about profit and loss.
This trading idea proposes a short position in EURUSD on the 1-hour timeframe, based on the expectation of a continued downward move. The entry point is strategically located at a resistance level, with a stop-loss order to manage risk and a take-profit target set at a potential support zone. Disclaimer : This analysis is based on the provided image and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and it is essential to conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Everything is on chart for SWING view AREA UP AREA LOW SPACE
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is approaching a key zone where buyers may step in, creating a high-probability buy opportunity. A retracement to this level could provide the best entry before the next bullish move. We will look for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a strong rejection from support before entering. If buyers take control, BTC could continue its upward trend. Patience is key—wait for the ideal setup and always manage your risk wisely! ??
Hey guys, rising wedge .. trading 101 .. :P At least to the lowest low of the range to retest the weekly?