Falling trend breakout confirmation comes with the daily candle close in the green box. Unless the price makes a daily candle close below the yellow horizontal line, the signal is up!
As explained in my weekly summary, I am expecting gold's price to rise at the start of this week. In 8hrly TF, we see a bullish pin bar, confirming bullish momentum. For today's setup, I will buy from 3312-3320, first target 3377, final target 3402.
DXY Analysis – General Outlook This week’s analysis is more of a general overview, and it closely aligns with my view on EUR/USD. While I don’t trade DXY directly, I use it heavily as a confluence tool, so marking out its likely direction is key for aligning trades across other USD-related pairs. At the moment, I’m favouring Scenario A, where I expect DXY to move a bit lower, accumulate, and then react from the 2-day demand zone. If that happens, we could see a bullish move on DXY, which would naturally result in bearish pressure for other pairs like EU and GU. However, if price decides to retrace upwards first, there’s a clean supply zone that still needs to be mitigated. If that zone holds, DXY could continue its bearish structure for longer—meaning more bullish momentum across other major pairs.
USDJPY at a Crossroads: Resistance Held, But What’s Ahead? In our previous analysis, USDJPY respected the resistance zone near 144.40, and the price has already reached our first target. The trade situation between the US and Japan remains uncertain, which could keep USDJPY under pressure. Japanese Economic Revitalization Minister Ryosei Akazawa left the US on Friday without securing a deal, suggesting that an agreement may take time. Meanwhile, Trump is frustrated with the strong Japanese yen against the US dollar. This could lead to a weaker USDJPY in the coming weeks, as Japan may seek to appease him and work toward a deal. So far, the price is moving as expected, though at a slow pace. Let’s see how things unfold. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
In the previous analysis, we mentioned a temporary strengthening of the yen followed by continued decline. Now, after a sharp drop and nearing the key 140 support level, a short-term weakening of the yen is expected, which could be driven by a strengthening U.S. dollar. On the daily timeframe, a temporary rebound from the current price level is likely, followed by the anticipated decline. This potential bounce could provide a new selling opportunity targeting the 140 support level.
Following Colin Talks Crypto's BTC & Global M2 money supply. I'm using his script to generate global M2, in his version there is a 108 day - 86 day offset. Here with SPX I adjusted to between that range at 96 days. This sets up a strong outlook for SPX6900 going into the new few months.
In the previous analysis, the decline toward the 0.60 support was accurately predicted, followed by a rebound from the identified zone. After a sharp rally, a corrective move is not unexpected. With the price now approaching the 0.64 supply zone, a pullback toward 0.63 or lower is likely. However, if the 0.64 resistance is broken, the next bullish target would be 0.65, as illustrated in the chart scenario.
Sure! Here's a caption you can use for your post based on the USDCAD 15M chart: --- USDCAD 15M BREAKDOWN BY GOLDMASTERS1 Spotted a clean setup with confluences aligning: Double Bearish Order Blocks acting as supply BOS + CHoCHs confirming bearish intent Entry just below the lower order block Targeting the 1.37983 Demand Zone with solid RR PATIENCE IS KEY—WAITING FOR PRICE TO REACT FROM THESE ZONES FOR CONFIRMATION. SMART MONEY CONCEPT IN ACTION GOLDMASTER1---
⚠️ Risk Level: Elevated (wider SL zone, larger volatility exposure) BINANCE:WCTUSDT.P Technical Breakdown: The price is currently consolidating just below a major resistance zone (red box), which acting as a supply zone. The most recent strong rejection wick above this zone shows clear seller aggression. Now, price is hovering below resistance with multiple rejections indicating weakness. Ideal for swing traders waiting for liquidity flushes and reversals. Trade Plan: Entry Zone: ? Yellow lines (near resistance re-test / liquidity grab area) Entering here increases reward but also SL size due to volatility near resistance. (Better to wait for 4hcc below the resistance for safer entry and cornfirmation). Stop Loss: ? $0.5332 / 4H CC (above resistance and wick high) Invalidation if 4H CC above. This protects against breakout continuation. Wider than typical SL due to the setup's nature—anticipating a fakeout before dump. Take Profit Targets (white lines): These levels are based on key volume imbalances and fib extensions visible on 4H. Strategy Logic: The red resistance box shows strong supply. Price has wicked above but failed to close strong—bearish signal. High probability of stop hunt above resistance → then breakdown. This is a liquidity sweep + breakdown setup. Patience is key. ⚠️ Important Notes: This setup requires strict risk management. Wider SL means reduced position size (margin 1-2% max of portfolio). Patience is key—don't FOMO on early candles. Prefer waiting for a confirmation. ? Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before trading. Use proper risk management and trade responsibly. #NFA
TSMC’s Arizona factory is a major strategic and financial factor influencing the company’s stock and broader business outlook in 2025. Impact of TSMC’s Arizona Factory on Its Stock and Business Massive Investment and Expansion: TSMC has committed a total of about $165 billion to build and expand semiconductor fabrication plants (fabs) in Arizona, making it the largest foreign direct investment in Arizona’s history. This includes three fabs already underway or operational, plus plans for two more fabs and advanced packaging and R&D centers. Production Milestones: The first Arizona fab began high-volume production in late 2024 using 4nm process technology, achieving yields comparable to Taiwan operations. The second fab, focused on 3nm technology, is complete and its production schedule has been accelerated due to strong AI chip demand. Third and fourth fabs, targeting 2nm and even more advanced nodes like A16, are planned to start construction later in 2025, with around 30% of TSMC’s most advanced capacity expected to be in Arizona once completed. Strategic Importance: The Arizona facility aligns with U.S. government goals to onshore semiconductor manufacturing and reduce reliance on Asian supply chains amid geopolitical tensions. It positions TSMC as a key player in the U.S. semiconductor ecosystem, supporting major clients like Nvidia and AMD who have started producing chips in these fabs. This expansion supports the growing AI chip market, which is a major revenue driver for TSMC. Economic and Job Growth Effects: The Arizona investment is fueling tens of thousands of high-paying jobs in semiconductor manufacturing, construction, R&D, and supporting industries, boosting the local economy and reinforcing Arizona as a global semiconductor hub. Stock Market Reaction and Outlook: Despite the positive long-term strategic outlook, TSMC’s stock has declined over 20% in 2025, partly due to trade tensions, tariffs, and export restrictions impacting near-term growth expectations. However, the Arizona expansion is viewed as a critical long-term growth catalyst, with TSMC maintaining strong revenue growth forecasts (~mid-20% in 2025) driven by AI demand and advanced technology leadership. Accelerated production timelines in Arizona reflect TSMC’s responsiveness to market demand, which may support stock price recovery as fabs ramp up output and generate revenue. Summary Aspect Details Total U.S. Investment $165 billion (largest FDI in Arizona history) Arizona Fabs 3 fabs operational/under construction; 2 more planned (4nm, 3nm, 2nm, A16 nodes) Production Start First fab mass production since late 2024; second fab accelerated; third/fourth fabs planned Strategic Role Supports U.S. semiconductor onshoring, AI chip demand, major clients like Nvidia and AMD Economic Impact Tens of thousands of jobs; boosts Arizona’s tech ecosystem Stock Impact Near-term pressure from tariffs and trade risks; long-term growth catalyst with AI-driven demand Revenue Outlook Mid-20% revenue growth forecast for 2025, driven by advanced technology and AI chips In conclusion, TSMC’s Arizona factory is a cornerstone of its global expansion and a key driver of future growth, especially in AI-related semiconductor manufacturing. While geopolitical and trade challenges have pressured the stock recently, the Arizona investment strengthens TSMC’s technological leadership and U.S. market presence, positioning it well for sustained revenue growth and innovation leadership.