afternoon session 5min entry ema crossover tp level 5,850
USOIL is at a significant supply zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong selling pressure in the past. This zone has previously acted as a turning point, where sellers regained control, driving prices lower. The recent bullish rally has pushed the price into this critical resistance area. However, given the strength of this supply zone and the overextended bullish move, there is a high probability of a bearish reversal if price action confirms rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing candles or long upper wicks signaling selling pressure). I anticipate a bearish move toward the 75.50 level, which represents a logical target for this setup.This setup aligns with the expectation of a potential correction within the broader market context. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Analytics firm Glassnode has issued a warning that Bitcoin is possible nearing the end of its bull market. Glassnode is monitoring Bitcoin’s short-term holder (STH) cost basis, a key metric representing the average acquisition price of BTC held for less than 155 days. Historical data suggests that Bitcoin usually transitions into bearish territory when its price drops below this threshold. Currently, the technical landscape appears bearish, with Bitcoin falling below the significant support at $92,000 and dipping under $90,000 for the first time since November. This level could serve as a pivot point, presenting a possible bullish bounce. However, with risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin may struggle to achieve a sustained price recovery.
Like ETH and SOL, DOGE hasn't exactly made the dramatic ATH that Bitcoin has made - and we're still waiting for the glorious Altseason. Like I explained in the previous idea, this isn't a bad thing and neither does it indicate the end of the bullish season - instead, it likely points towards a multi-month playout that eventually leads the Alts to new highs. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/EyI2JZON-BTC-FRACTAL-Multi-Month-to-Higher-High/ ______________________ BINANCE:DOGEUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Gold prices fall heavily today respecting a supply roof at 2697,which was a broken demand floor on daily which now became a supply roof for price rejection. The close of Friday brought a strong economic data print with an increase of 256,000 in Nonfarm Payrolls. This upbeat data reinforced market expectations that the Federal Reserve will pause its rate-cutting cycle later this month, keeping US Treasury bond yields elevated near their highest level in over a year and I believe that 10year bond yield could reach 6% this year and the US Dollar may near a new year peak and could trade higher. the strengthened US dollar made gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, leading to a decline in gold prices. Additionally, investors reassessment of the likelihood of a Fed rate cut this year also contributed to the downward pressure on gold prices ,demand and supply is also a factor. From a technical perspective, gold's breakout through the $2,665-2663 horizontal resistance was seen as a fresh trigger for bulls with long sentiment ,but green back looks like it will spoil that buy rally from structural perspective and economic data from united is pointing at rising bond yield. However, the current decline has brought gold prices back below 2665-2663 level, with potential support at 2655-2656 and the next will be $2,630and $2,605 and 2600 last zone. if buying potential fails tomorrow at 2656-2655 than it will be break of a demand floor which will be become a supply roof and indicating outflow of cash from gold to US bond or elsewhere. if we fail to see buy potential ,on technical we are selling because we have broken the demand floor of another descending trendline connecting 2790 a and 2726. A buy into this structure will present a sell structure because a broken demand floor is a supply roof meaning we could look at Wednesday for sell if price respects the structure. dollar remains all time high running the game in fx window across all pai
Talking about potential for GETTEX:NOT ? #NOT is shaping up for an accumulation and breakout play ?. The price has been trading near a strong support zone at $0.004701, and we could see significant upside if this zone holds. Price Targets: ? Target 1: $0.009698 ? Target 2: $0.013234 The bullish structure indicates a potential bounce off the support zone, following the outlined pattern. The breakout could bring multiple X's ?. Key Entry: Around $0.004701 Stop Loss: Below $0.004500 for risk management. Let’s see how this unfolds ?.
Ripple shows strong signs of a bullish trend following a long period of correction within a symmetrical triangle pattern. Breaking through the resistance line suggests a likely continuation of the upward trend. The price is expected to soon reach the 2.7000 level and potentially surpass the all-time high to reach 2.800, a psychological level.
DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group) is showing strong bullish momentum this week, breaking through key resistance levels around $36 with high volume and confirming a potential continuation toward the $45 target. The weekly chart highlights expanding Bollinger Bands and solid price action, while the hourly chart shows bullish EMA alignment and strong momentum, supported by elevated RSI levels. With buyers clearly in control, $45 is a realistic target for this week as the stock maintains its upward trajectory.
The probability theory suggests that under perfectly equal conditions, your trades should be successful 50% of the time. However, market conditions rarely offer such perfect equality. During an upward trend, for instance, you might open ten short positions only to find them all unprofitable. This illustrates why probability theory alone doesn't translate well to trading. What does work, however, is mathematical statistics, including concepts like expected value and other analytical parameters. So when you encounter a series of losing trades, resist the urge to blame the market or bad luck. Instead, recognize that you might have overlooked certain factors or made calculation errors. The good news? These mistakes can be identified and corrected. ? How to Recover After a Series of Losing Trades https://www.tradingview.com/x/EeswCRPR/ 1. Step Away from Trading Temporarily The first and most crucial step is to step away from trading temporarily. This might seem obvious, yet it's often the hardest advice to follow. If you're experiencing losses regardless of whether you take long or short positions, it's time to pause. The market's volatility isn't always to blame – this break gives you valuable time to analyze what's really happening. However, executing this pause requires genuine willpower. Simply shutting down your computer isn't enough – the temptation to restart it after ten minutes can be overwhelming. Instead, make a clean break: go for a walk outside or immerse yourself in completely different activities. This physical and mental separation is essential for gaining a fresh perspective. ? Define Your Consecutive Loss Limit. Your trading style and personality should determine how many consecutive losses you can tolerate before stepping back. For fast-paced scalping and intraday trading, consider pausing after 3-5 consecutive losses. If you're trading bigger timeframes, you might want to stop after just 2-3 losing trades. ? Establish Clear Daily Loss Thresholds. Restrictions can be based on both trading frequency and capital loss. For example, set a firm rule to stop trading for a day as soon as your account drops by 3%. This will prevent you from making emotional decisions and protect your trading capital, especially if you trade prop firms. ? Leverage Your Backtesting Data. Some trading strategies naturally experience small consecutive losses before capturing a larger winning trade that offsets previous setbacks. Use platforms like TradingView to backtest your strategy and understand its historical performance patterns. Pay attention to: The longest historical losing streaks Average loss sequences Expected drawdown periods If your current trading results deviate significantly from these historical patterns, that's your signal to pause and reassess. Remember: Success in trading isn't about gut feelings – it's about mathematical precision and disciplined execution. https://www.tradingview.com/x/VGMhgSb0/ 2. Analyze Your Trades Over the Period It's important to remember that you haven’t always incurred losses, so take the time to evaluate the current losing streak and compare it with previous trading periods. Look for any discrepancies or patterns that may emerge. ? Fundamental Factors. Identify the fundamental elements that influenced both your profitable and losing periods. ? Indicators Used. Assess the indicators that were applied in both scenarios. If you used the same indicators during profitable and losing trades, analyze where the error occurred. ? Stop Losses. Review the stop-loss levels you set. What led to the losses in these trades? When using your trading simulator, pay attention to specific metrics: ⚫️ Recovery Factor. This is the ratio of absolute profit to maximum drawdown. ⚫️ Profit Factor. This metric represents the ratio of total profit to total loss. ⚫️ Average Profit to Average Loss Ratio. Evaluate this ratio to understand your trade outcomes better. For the most effective analysis, focus on H1 or bigger timeframes. Analyzing trades over these extended periods allows you to discern the logic of trends, identify key levels, and gain insight into market psychology. https://www.tradingview.com/x/yf8Yqy5e/ 3. Identify Problem Areas It's essential to pinpoint the areas causing difficulties in your trading. Reflect on the psychological aspects at play: What’s bothering you? What feels off or frustrating? Sometimes, intuition can provide valuable insights as well. ? Unprofitable Trading System. Market volatility may have changed, rendering your current indicator settings ineffective and leading to a non-profitable trading system. ? Emotional Decision-Making. Emotions can sometimes drive you to deviate from the predetermined rules of your trading plan. ? Absence of a Trading System. This is a critical mistake. It’s not just about having a strategy; a comprehensive trading system outlines your actions in unexpected situations. Be aware of potential issues such as wide stop losses, leverage that increases losses, or "strange" trades that deviate from your established setups. There are numerous variations of these problems, and your task is to identify and address them. https://www.tradingview.com/x/HYmuXmO7/ 4. Develop a Corrective Plan Now that the analysis is complete and the main issues are identified, it’s time to address them. Avoid resuming trading at previous volumes immediately. Your goal is to test the revised trading strategy while minimizing risk. At this stage, profitability is secondary; the focus should be on ensuring that the strategy works. ? Open Trades with Minimum Lot Sizes. Use leverage strategically, only to manage your exposure to Level and Margin effectively. ? Implement Minimal Stops. This approach helps in risk reduction. However, ensure that stops are set within reasonable limits to avoid constant triggering from market fluctuations. Focus on average volatility to determine appropriate stop-loss levels. ? Avoid Rushing into Maximum Trades. Prioritize the quality of trades over quantity. It’s more important to make well-considered decisions than to engage in numerous trades. ? Stick to Your Action Plan. Consistently ask yourself key questions: Why am I opening this trade? Am I sticking to all the rules? What outcome am I aiming for? What constitutes an acceptable loss for me? For testing integrity, it is recommended to implement these changes on a real account as it develops a greater sense of accountability. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Dygv5OkT/ 5. Focus on the Psychological Aspect Maintaining a focus on positive outcomes is crucial for success in trading. Just as a person afraid of falling off a bike will likely do so, a negative mindset can breed inevitable failures. Instead, you must cultivate confidence in positive results and adopt a constructive attitude. And if you do face setbacks, dust yourself off and continue your journey toward success. Believing in your ability to succeed is often the greatest challenge. Embrace self-belief and trust in your strength. ? Avoid External Influences. Steer clear of forums and social media platforms like Instagram. Remember, you are the one making trading decisions. Listening to others can lead to FOMO and self-doubt, which can hinder your performance. ? Utilize Affirmations. Regularly affirming your potential for success can significantly increase your chances of achieving it. Positive self-talk is a powerful tool in building confidence. ? Take Time to Rest. Rest is essential for maintaining a healthy mindset. While meditation is beneficial, it's often overlooked; try to incorporate it into your routine, even if just for a few minutes each day. ? Be Mindful of Your Nervous System . A lively nervous system can be advantageous, but excessive stimulants like caffeine can backfire. If you experience high blood pressure, caffeine may exacerbate nervousness and further overstimulate your system. ? Conclusion A loss is not a verdict; it is an opportunity for growth. The fact that brokers often indicate a loss rate of 60-85% among traders highlights that many are unwilling to invest the time and effort necessary to learn from their mistakes. Often, these traders give up at the first sign of failure. In contrast, the remaining 15-40% consist of those who, through hard work, patience, and persistence, transition from beginners to professionals. Don't be deterred by losses—they can be temporary if you take the time to analyze and understand their causes. Additionally, don’t succumb to pessimism; a successful trader maintains a positive mindset and embraces challenges. Remember, perseverance in the face of adversity is often the key to long-term success in trading. Traders, If you liked this educational post?, give it a boost ? and drop a comment ?
Hey there on 2HTF the Gold looking for same bearish pattern touch 2650 1. Vertical support of buyers will must see a choch from 2650 and the Demand support is near from 2633-2630 for buy opportunity 2. Technically Supply support of gold 2678 and will touch sell zone areas 2650-2645-2640-2635-2630 Good luck??