Wer meine Analysen verfolgt hat , kennt meinen eher mittelfristig geprägten Tradingstil . Ich suche nach Trendwenden und gebe diesen Prozessen Zeit. Im Augenblick sehe ich die Indizes in der Distributionsphase. In dieser Phase trennen sich die erfahrenen Anleger von Aktien, während viele neue Investoren sich von den gestiegenen Kursen anlocken lassen .Dabei ist die wichtigste Phase, die Trendphase, meist schon vorbei. Der MACD im Monatschart ist für mich der beste Indikator zum Aufspüren der drei Phasen nach der Dow-Theorie ( Akkumulation, Trend und Distribution).Sobald das Histogramm und die Signallinien getrennte Wege gehen, sollte man als Bulle oder Bär vorsichtig werden. In der Vergangenheit habe ich in den Distributionsphasen beide Seiten , Long und Short, gehandelt. Das bedeutet ,das meine im Dezember aufgebauten Shortpositionen in Dax ,Euro Stoxx 50, SPX 500, Dow und Nasdaq im Depot verbleiben und bei erreichen der ersten Korrekturziele Longpositionen aufgebaut wurden. Ich hatte hier für den Dax das Rücklaufziel 19600 und für den SPX 500 die 5800 genannt. Für den Dax plane ich im Bereich 19600 und darunter weitere Longpositionen zu kaufen mit Kursziel 20600 . Alles oberhalb der 20600 ist für mich eine Einladung perspektivisch auf fallende Kurse zu setzen. Die größte Shortposition im Sitzfleischtraderdepot ist mit 5% des Depots Apple. Wer in China die Preise senken muß um Produkte verkaufen zu können und so utopisch hoch bewertet ist, wird fallen. In den Basiswerten Euro Stoxx 50 und Apple plane ich keine Doppelstrategie . Uns steht denke ich, eine längere Zappelzeit mit vielen Richtungswechseln bevor.
Die Auction Market Theory (AMT) erklärt den Hauptzweck des Marktes und wie die Teilnehmer miteinander interagieren, um diesen Zweck zu erfüllen: ✅ suchen nach dem fairen Wert ✅ Einen Ort bieten, an dem Käufer und Verkäufer sich auf einen Preis einigen ? Trendmarkt (Trending Market) Ein Trendmarkt bewegt sich konstant aufwärts oder abwärts, während der faire Wert (Fair Value) in Richtung des Trends wandert. ? Aufwärtstrend: Käufer dominieren ? Abwärtstrend: Verkäufer dominieren ? Seitwärtsmarkt (Ranging Market) Ein Seitwärtsmarkt zeigt ein Gleichgewicht zwischen Käufern und Verkäufern, dargestellt durch überlappende Werte. ? Wenn der Markt sich innerhalb einer Value Area befindet, bleibt er meist in Balance und bewegt sich vorerst in diesem Bereich weiter. ⚙️ Die 3 Schlüsselfaktoren der Auction Market Theory: 1️⃣ Preis – Der Preis zeigt die Gelegenheiten auf, die im Markt vorhanden sind. Er stellt dar, zu welchem Kurs Käufer und Verkäufer bereit sind, zu handeln. 2️⃣Zeit – Die Zeit reguliert die Preismöglichkeiten. Je länger ein Preisniveau gehalten wird, desto wahrscheinlicher ist es, dass dieses Niveau als fair betrachtet wird. 3️⃣ Volumen – Das Volumen misst den Erfolg oder Misserfolg der Auktion. Es ist eine variable Größe und stellt die Interaktion der Marktteilnehmer auf unterschiedlichen Kursniveaus dar, sowohl innerhalb als auch außerhalb des als „fair“ angesehenen Wertes. ? Anzeichen einer Failed Auction: -Wenn sich der Preis auserhalb des Values begibt und nicht akzeptiert wird -das Volumen steigt nicht beim Ausbruch -Kein Anstieg im Delta -Open Interest (OI) folgt nicht ⚖️ Balance (Gleichgewicht) Ein Markt befindet sich in Balance, wenn: -Liquidität oberhalb und unterhalb der Balance ruht -Käufer und Verkäufer sich auf Preise einigen -D shape volumen profil -Symmetrische Struktur ? In Balance-Zonen ist der Handel eher ruhig. ✅ Akzeptanz (Acceptance) Ein Markt akzeptiert einen neuen Preis, wenn: -Großes Volumen in den Markt kommt -Ein starker Wechsel im Delta erkennbar ist -Der Preis über längere Zeit akzeptiert wird -Open Interest (OI) und Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) den Breakout bestätigen Zeigt bisschen liebe dann mach ich pt.2 mit den 5 AMT Regeln
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AI agent tokens are the hottest trend right now, with charts showing explosive growth ?. Here’s a **step-by-step strategy** to use TradingView indicators for smart entries and maximize profits: Take a look what happened to MEXC:VIRTUALUSDT https://www.tradingview.com/x/8xWHBqOW/ Step 1: Add Key Indicators Use these timeframes for accurate analysis: - 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day Cycle Indicators - If you don’t have access to premium indicators, use the Stochastic RSI on these timeframes for similar results. Step 2: Find the Best Entry Points 1. Look for 8-hour and 4-hour Cycles meeting below 20. 2. Confirm entry when the 2-hour Cycle reverses upward from the bottom. - In TradingView, use green triangles under the price as signals for buying opportunities. 3. Double-check the 1-day Cycle: - Ensure it’s below 30 before entering a position. - For hype tokens, the 1-day Cycle doesn’t always drop below 20 but still offers profitable entries. Step 3: Watch for 100%+ Gains Every time this strategy signals a buy, the chart has shown gains of at least 100%. Here’s why: - AI agent tokens are fueled by speculative hype and ecosystem promises, similar to the ICO craze. - They tend to spike after hitting Cycle lows, making them prime candidates for this trading method. Example: $AI16z Token - Current Status: Buy signals are appearing, but the **2-hour Cycle is still high**. - Action Plan: Wait for the **2-hour Cycle** to dip and reverse, then enter based on the strategy above. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ZlIjeMh4/ Bonus Tip: Don’t Miss the Next Cycle Stay ahead of the curve by: - Setting alerts on TradingView for when the 4-hour and 8-hour Cycles dip below 20. - Joining a premium group for real-time updates and insights. This approach works well for trending tokens, especially those in nascent ecosystems. Use it wisely, and happy trading! Would you like help setting up TradingView alerts or creating a custom script for this strategy?
TRADERBUG'S SYNERGY STRATEGY V6+ALERTS 2.0 REVISED 1/5/25 **W/ 8-21-200 EMAs **UT BOT ALERTS ** RSI ** MACD ** LRC LINEAR REGRESSION CHANNEL ** PARABOLIC SAR ** ATR BANDS ** HH-HL-LH-LL * This is a private script but i will be opening it up for invite only paid indicator very soon so please DM Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy V6+ Alerts 2.0 An Integrated Multi-Indicator Tool for Enhanced Market Analysis TB-STRATEGY V6+ALERTS 2.0 Is a comprehensive trading tool designed to simplify market analysis by consolidating multiple proven technical indicators into a single, easy-to-use script. This strategy is tailored for traders seeking high-confidence buy and sell signals across various timeframes, making it particularly effective on higher timeframes and blue-chip assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. By integrating five powerful indicators, this strategy ensures precision, clarity, and reliability in market trend identification, momentum analysis, and potential entry/exit points. Purpose and Usage This script is designed for advanced traders seeking a multi-faceted approach to analyze price action, momentum, and trend behavior. It combines leading and lagging indicators with visual and alert-based signals to guide entry/exit points. The strategy is protective of its intellectual property, Key Features 1. Linear Regression Channel (LRC): Identifies trend direction and potential reversal points with a clear channel-based structure. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Highlights overbought and oversold conditions, helping identify momentum shifts. 3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Captures trend reversals and momentum transitions with signal clarity. 4. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Tracks short-term (8 EMA), medium-term (20 EMA), and long-term (200 EMA) trends for comprehensive trend analysis. 5. UT Bot Alerts: Provides visual buy/sell signals (green = buy, red = sell) for actionable entry/exit confirmations. 6. Parabolic SAR (Green=Buy, Red=Sell) for entry/exit confirmations 7. ATR Bands (Brown) for Stoploss/Take profit 8. HH-HL-LH-LL (Green=Buy,Red=Sell) for tops & Bottoms 9. volume Spikes (Blue Triangle up) confirmation of adequate volume to take trade This script also includes Heiken Ashi compatibility to smooth price action, reduce noise, and make trends easier to identify. How It Works Entry Rules • Long Entry: A long trade is signaled when: • Price re-enters the LRC channel from below. • RSI crosses above oversold levels. • MACD crosses bullish. • EMAs align upward (8 EMA > 20 EMA > 200 EMA). • UT Bot Alert confirms with a green signal. • Short Entry: A short trade is signaled when: • Price exits the LRC channel from above. • RSI crosses below overbought levels. • MACD crosses bearish. • EMAs align downward (8 EMA < 20 EMA < 200 EMA). • UT Bot Alert confirms with a red signal. 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Use with caution and proper risk management. Why It Stands Out Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy is not just another single-function indicator. It combines the strengths of Nine proven tools into one comprehensive system, ensuring high-quality signals through confluence. Built-in features like Heiken Ashi smoothing and custom visualization make this script accessible to traders of all experience levels. Compliance and Disclaimer This tool is intended for market analysis and does not guarantee trading success. Users should practice proper risk management and consider signals within the context of their trading strategy. Results may vary based on market conditions, timeframe, and asset type. Step-by-Step Guide to Add the Indicator to TradingView Step 1: Open the Pine Editor 1. Log in to your TradingView account. 2. Open any chart. 3. At the bottom of the screen, click the Pine Editor tab. Step 2: Paste the Code 1. In the Pine Editor, delete any preloaded text. 2. 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Settings Cheat Sheet • Candles: • Green: Bullish signal • Red: Bearish signal • LRC: • White diamond step lines for trend direction • UT Bot Alerts: • Green: Buy signal • Red: Sell signal • RSI: • Overbought/Oversold: Visualized with circles • MACD: • Crossovers: Visualized with diamonds • EMAs: • 8 EMA (White), 20 EMA (Green), 200 EMA (Red) for trend analysis • PSAR Green:Buy signal Red:Sell signal • ATR Bands (Brown) Take profit & Stop loss • HH-HL-LH-LL Tops & Bottom finder • VOLUME SPIKE (Blue Triangle up) Confirmation of buy/sell Why Choose Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy? • Efficient Use of Free Tier on TradingView : Get the power of 9 indicators in one tool, making it easier to get comprehensive insights without cluttering your chart or exceeding your limit on the free tier. “Our 9-in-1 TradingView indicator delivers exceptional value by combining five powerful tools into one seamless package. 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Final Notes Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy is a versatile, multi-tool system designed for traders who value precision and efficiency. With its advanced features and user-friendly design, it stands out as a valuable resource for market analysis. Who Should Use It: • Intermediate to Advanced Traders: Ideal for those who can interpret the signals and use them in conjunction with their own analysis. • Serious Investors: Perfect for traders who prioritize accuracy and are willing to pair this tool with proper risk management strategies. What Makes It Unique: This strategy takes the power of multiple indicators, simplifies their signals into actionable insights, and provides both visual cues and customizable alerts. By offering confluence from leading and lagging indicators, it ensures reliability in trend detection, momentum shifts, and potential entry/exit points.
BTC/USD poised for potential upward momentum tomorrow as market sentiment shows signs of bullish consolidation. Key resistance levels may come into play."
? A Hierarchy of Thinking Styles ? ? Learner: "I might be wrong!" – Growth happens when you embrace the uncomfortable truth. ⚪ Critical Thinker: "That might be wrong!" – Question everything, including your own biases. ? Contrarian: "You’re all wrong!" – Challenging others is great, but don’t forget to challenge yourself. ? Politician: "They’re wrong, we’re right!" – When defending your "team" blinds you to logic. ? Cult Leader: "I’m always right!" – A quick recipe for intellectual stagnation. ✨ Be the learner who thrives on new perspectives, not the cult leader trapped in their own gospel. Which stage are YOU operating at today? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️
In the coming days I expect to celebrate another 100k party with #Bitcoin. Hopefully we will see some volume in CRYPTOCAP:BTC again from tomorrow and the bulls will be out of their weekend dip again. Green candle Monday? Stay tuned! If you find my charts interesting, I have recently also been active on X where I share more information and you can also follow me. I would love to see you there and hopefully create more interactions. For now I want to thank you for 2024 and we are entering a beautiful 2025. Be kind to the world and each other!
AUD/CAD is now finally over with the daily /weekly timeframe correction done. It is now finally time to position for long. After the inducement is grabbed and valid high is confirmed , you can position for buy from any unmitigated order flow and order block.
GBPAUD- A divergence has shown and the price has just rejected the orderblock.... Fibo retracement is about to go... lets go people... Are You bullish this week?