We are officially in price discovery. ? Gold has broken out of its multi-decade consolidation range and closed above the previous highs with conviction. ? $3,500 is now within reach — a major extension target sitting at the 2.618 Fibonacci level. ? The yellow zone was the key resistance area that capped price action for nearly 13 years — now acting as a powerful base for potential continuation. ? This chart is a reminder: when historical resistance gives way, it’s not just a breakout — it’s a paradigm shift.
If buyers hold above $3,306.21 and break $3,306.98, I’ll look for $3,312.10 as my first take-profit, potentially extending to $3,319.05 if momentum builds. If price fails to break $3,306.98 and drops below $3,294.71, I’ll exit and flip back to a short, targeting $3,269.82, as I’ve noted in my earlier analyses this week. The market’s tricky with these liquidity grabs What do you think, fam? Was my buy at $3,308.16 a smart flip, or am I jumping the gun against the bearish trend? Drop your thoughts below—I’m curious to hear how you’d play this XAU/USD setup! If you’re one of the two ready to join me at Academia for Forex Trading, let’s talk—we’ll hunt these markets together. And while you’re at it, check out Icon Collections Store—does RiverSide, Desire, or Icoca vibe with your trading energy? Let me know!
Hey fam, I’m back with an update on my XAU/USD M30 chart from April 25, 2025, at 09:19 PM WAT. I bought at $3,308.16 just now, after closing my earlier short at $3,305.69, and I’m here to break down my new trade setup for you. I’ve been hunting gold all week, balancing my trades with my passions like curating scents at Icon Collections Store, and I’m excited to share this move. Let’s analyze my buy, see how it aligns with my checklist, and make this interactive—grab a smoothie from Tastequest.com and let’s dive in! At 09:19 PM WAT, gold was at $3,306.52 (sell price) on the M30 chart, but I bought at $3,308.16, likely anticipating a bounce after the recent spike. Let’s recap the context: I had a short position at $3,305.69, targeting $3,294.71, with a stop-loss at $3,306.57. Gold spiked to $3,306.52, just 5 pips from my stop-loss, testing the bearish order block at $3,306.21. I suspected a liquidity grab by smart money, hunting stop-losses above the order block before resuming the downtrend. However, the spike to $3,306.52 and the failure to break above the previous high at $3,306.98 prompted me to close my short and flip to a buy at $3,308.16, expecting a potential reversal or short-term bounce.Let’s run through my checklist to see how this buy fits my criteria, which I’ve fine-tuned over six months:Harmonic Patterns: No clear XABCD structure is visible, but the spike to $3,306.52 and failure to break $3,306.98 suggest a potential reversal. This aligns with my past use of harmonic patterns, like the bearish shark I identified earlier this week, but now I’m looking for a bullish setup.Market Structure: The broader trend is still bearish—lower highs and lower lows since $3,499.99 on April 22. However, the spike to $3,306.52 and rejection at the $3,306.21 order block could indicate a short-term bullish move, possibly a liquidity grab setting up a bounce.Order Blocks: The bearish order block at $3,306.21 was retested, but the failure to drop immediately suggests buyers might be stepping in. I’m now looking for a bullish order block below, potentially around $3,294.71, where buyers defended earlier.Volume Profile: Not visible, but I’d expect high volume at $3,306.21, with a Fair Value Gap below near $3,294.71. A spike in volume on this bounce would confirm buying pressure.Top-Down Analysis: H4 and H1 are bearish, but M30 shows this spike as a potential reversal setup. M15 would confirm with a green Heikin Ashi candle if buyers take control.Heikin Ashi: Not visible, but I’d expect a green candle on M15 to confirm my buy. The green candle at $3,306.52 shows buying pressure, supporting my decision.Fibonacci: From the high at $3,306.98 to the low at $3,294.71, the 61.8% retracement is near $3,302.21, and the 78.6% is around $3,304.21. My buy at $3,308.16 is above the 100% Fib, suggesting I’m catching a potential breakout above the order block.Gann Theory: The descending trendline points to a target near $3,294.71 for bears, but a break above $3,306.98 could target $3,312.10, the next resistance on the chart.MACD and RSI: Not shown, but I’d expect MACD to show increasing momentum on this bounce, and RSI might be moving above 50, indicating a shift from bearish to neutral momentum.Risk Management: My buy at $3,308.16, stop-loss below the recent low at $3,294.71 (1345 pips risk), and take-profit at $3,312.10 (394 pips reward) gives a 1:0.3 reward ratio—lower than my usual 1:3, but I’m playing a short-term bounce. I might adjust this as the trade develops.Confirmation: I wait for all pieces to align. The failure to break $3,306.98, the retest of $3,306.21, and likely green Heikin Ashi on M15 are my signals for this buy. Trade Assessment: My buy at $3,308.16 is a bold move, as the broader trend remains bearish, but I’m playing a short-term bounce after the liquidity grab at $3,306.21. The failure to break above $3,306.98 and the buying pressure at $3,306.52 support my decision, but my risk-reward ratio is tight. I’ve flipped positions before—like when I targeted 20 pips on a 15-minute XAU/USD chart earlier this year—so I’m comfortable with quick adjustments. I’m targeting $3,312.10, the next resistance, but I’ll watch for a break above $3,306.98 to confirm this move. If price drops below $3,294.71, I’ll exit and reassess for a bearish setup. My system’s rated a ten out of ten, but I need to improve my timing, as I’ve entered early before, like on April 23 when I sold at $3,310 instead of $3,315.
This is a late entry unfortunately the last signal i was wrong again. But this one i think am write on spot. Because it is definitely following the trend The price is below the 50 EMA The price is below the 200 EMA The price is trending downwards. The problem with my last trade was that it was not parabolic on the entry. With this one i did not screen the forex pair from the broker instead i screened from the Future markets which has made a lot of difference The forex brokers are known for manipulating prices This is why to screen forex its better to screen from the futures markets. Rocket boost this content to learn more. Disclaimer:trading is risky please risk management and profit taking strategies. Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.
Also quick #ETH analysis for you boyz. Price did manage to cross this red trendline which was holding the price down and Its showing signs of forming a Higher Lows. Those two are early indicators of trend reversal. Lets Keep an eye on 200 EMA
Trade Assessment: My short at $3,305.69 is under pressure with gold at $3,306.52, just 5 pips from my stop-loss. The spike to $3,306.52 looks like a liquidity grab, as smart money often hunts stop-losses above key levels like the $3,306.21 order block before resuming the downtrend. I’m holding the trade for now, as the broader bearish trend remains intact, and my target at $3,294.71 is still valid. However, if price breaks above $3,306.98 (the previous high), I’ll exit early to avoid a trend reversal. I’ve been refining this system for six months, and while it’s rated a ten out of ten, I’ve learned from past mistakes—like missing RSI signals on April 22 at $3,499.99—so I’m staying vigilant.
Watch Me Break Down Gold Top To Bottom To Give Insight On How I Was Able To Make $848 On My Alpha Capital Prop Account
Should I hold my short at $3,305.69, or exit now What do you think, fam? Should I hold my short at $3,305.69, or exit now with gold so close to my stop-loss at $3,306.57? Drop your thoughts below—I’m curious to hear how you’d play this XAU/USD setup! If you’re one of the two ready to join me at Academia for Forex Trading, let’s talk—we’ll hunt these markets together. And while you’re at it, check out Icon Collections Store—does RiverSide, Desire, or Icoca vibe with your trading energy? Let me know!
Fundamentally- supply increasing bias short. Technically momentum bearish + weekly FVG hit- Short from OB with liq resting below it- partials as nearest OPP side liq and full TP at low. Long bias has now become lower probability- only taken for hedging purposes.
Long entry at 2,52 USD with a stop loss 1,98 USD. Profit taking: 4,14 USD, 6,71 USD and 10,55 USD.