The EUR/CHF looks quite interesting heading into the ECB rate decision. On the back of news from Germany will unlock 500 billion euros for defense and infrastructure investments, we have seen European bond yields surge higher, with those on the benchmark 10-year German bund rising nearly sharply to 2.75%, the highest level since November 2023. The euro has rallied across the board, with the EUR/USD climbing to 1.0780. The single currency has also gained ground against most other major currencies, including the pound, franc and yen. The euro has climbed on expectation that increased government expenditure could stoke inflation. This, in turn, may increase the case for European Central Bank to cut rates more gradually than previously expected. But the ECB is unlikely to keep its policy unchanged at Thursday’s meeting, with almost all economists expecting the central bank to trim rates by a further 25 basis points. It is what Lagarde will say at the ECB press conference that will be important. In light of the threats of tariffs, Lagarde may try to be a bit more cautious and that may hurt the euro slightly. But the dips may well be bought, leading to fresh gains for euro crosses. The EUR/CHF has broken out today, taking out key resistance at 0.9500-0.9517 and moving decisively above its 200-day average. It may now ease a little from 0.9600 resistance, but the path of least resistance is to the upside. 0.9700 could be next target from here, and eventually a rise towards parity wouldn't surprise me. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Anyone remember 2 years ago when yield curve inversions were happening and they moved the goal post for recession? Naw, nothing to see here! Jim Cramer just like 6 months ago said that anyone that uses the yield curve as a tool is spreading FOMO and FUD, blah, blah, blah. I still cannot believe after the Wells Fargo garbage anyone would ever listen to Cramer but they still do. It just shows who in the market is delusional. Just focus on earnings he said. Now that Trump is in office the main stream media has done a complete 180 degrees. On CNBC yesterday: The federal Reserve's favorite recession indicator is now flashing warning signs. Nobody in mainstream media was saying anything about recession's on the Biden administration clock but now that Trump is in office the yield curve and inversions matter? This just did not happen overnight, not even remotely. You can look up numerous charts that show spending by President and Biden was the absolute worst, ever. If you listen to facts, you cannot fail as a trader but if you play follow the leader, you absolutely will get your rear end handed to you. Follow charts, not feelings, not the news, especially CNBC. Here is a news flash, recession: You wish, The Great Depression 2.0 with WW3 is next. You cannot print into oblivion and think nobody is going to pay for this. The US dollar isn't even worth 3 cents. People think inflation is the cost of products going up. It is not, inflation is the dollar worth less and that is why the dollar does not get stretched as far. Companies just take advantage of inflation to jack prices and line their pockets. It really is that simple. Back during the Great Depression, JP Morgan bailed the market out. Fun Facts: -J.P. Morgan was a banker who helped the U.S. government during the Panic of 1893 and the Panic of 1907. -During the Panic of 1893, Morgan helped the U.S. government by purchasing $62 million in gold to replenish the government's gold reserves. -During the Panic of 1907, Morgan and his banker friends purchased $30 million in city bonds to prevent a financial collapse. -Morgan also helped to finance the merger of Edison General Electric and Thomson-Houston Electric Company to form General Electric in 1891. A total of less than $100 million. You are not bailing out a market that is over $30 Trillion in debt, so what happens? You want to know the truth? We don't do anything, default on the debt, the dollar crashes (which it already has) and we move to a new system. Which is CBDC, or Central Bank Digital Currency. Why do you think Trump is so big on crypto? Because he knows what is next, he is a business man. No matter what you think about presidents as people, they are all in on this and you're not invited. This is why I swing trade because until this hits bottom and I am talking S&P 500 to 1100 type of bottom, there's nothing long that looks great at all. We have to crash first. So many falsehoods out there being propagated by main stream media and wanna be traders, instead of just saying the truth. In the markets, it doesn't matter which side you're on, money doesn't care who you vote for. Stick to the charts and you cannot lose in short term trades. It isn't about the quantity of trades and your 40 accounts. It's about the quality, in and out. We have to stop lying in the financial world because of political sides. Politics does not belong on Wall Street. In the late 90's, I never even heard anyone talk about Democrats or Republicans on the trading floor. My point of all this? Do you see how following narratives can get you into trouble? 401ks, pensions, retirements are going to implode when the debt market finally gives way. Get ready folks!!
?Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!? Dear Money Makers & Thieves, ? ????? Based on ?Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis?, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. ??Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.??? Entry ? : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or swing low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss ?: Thief SL placed at (5920.0) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target ?: 5600.0 (or) Escape Before the Target ?Scalpers, take note ? : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ?. ??️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Index-Specific Analysis, Market Sentimental Outlook:?? US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term,{{{(>HIGH CHANCE FOR BULLISHNESS IN FUTURE
Entered leverged DCA long here with tight stoploss. Risky entry but high RR. Entered under 36 with flat and tight Sl at 35. Rejection here can send it higher and slightly higher can trigger high TF long scenario. Can hold for swing if pumped from here. Note: Not a Financial Advise.
Crypto and risk assets are hanging in there, having found near-term (daily timeframe) supportive levels. Markets are trying to decide whether the next swing will be up - challenging ATHs - or down. Longer-term (monthly, weekly) charts, suggest that additional downside is possible. There's no shortage of risk-off fundamental drivers, any of which could serve as the catalyst for a resurgence in bearish sentiment. Should cryptocurrencies, represented by the TOTAL Market Cap Index, fail to hold current lows (2.55T), subsequent buy levels are ~2T (2.16-2.02). 1.69 is the controlling anchor low of the current intermediate-term uptrend. To maintain a long-term bullish outlook on crypto, TOTAL should hold this level (far away). If risk assets break down, it's advisable to deploy confirmation entries for buys (vs. "catching a falling knife"). Watch micro timeframes for trend reversal indications before stepping in. One can try the next directional swing by looking for a breakout/breakdown on intraday timeframes. Given the backdrop across markets, maintaining flexibility + staying nimble are key! The prevailing trend in crypto and undeniable rise of digital assets suggests that a move higher is more likely vs. not, but charts have yet to confirm, so it's prudent to prepare for either scenario. JHart X: JHartCharts
Daily order block broken. Short on pullback in daily FVG after structure break on 5 mins timeframe.
GBPCAD has formed double top divergence. Entry is at the break of HL. If price crosses down HL, sellers will be in control.
Gold is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.610, MACD = 34.740, ADX = 32.308) as the recent geopolitics and tariff fundamentals are strengthening it as a safe haven. Fundamentals aside, the price is also being guided higher by the technical similarities with the October 2024 pattern. As you can see, it was after an identical Cup and Handle pattern that bottomed on the 4H MA200 that initiated a Channel Up to the 2.0 Fib extension that completed a +18.50% rise. Long, TP = 3,050. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
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