Did you hear? The console wars are over. And here’s more evidence to prove it. During a recent interview, Xbox boss Phil Spencer made a point of explaining that the company was definitely going to support Switch 2 and bring its big games to the upcoming Nintendo console. Read more...
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Aktuelle Marktkernmerkmale Extrem starker Aufwärtstrend Seit April schwankt der Goldpreis täglich um 70–100 Punkte, mit starkem Trend, häufigen Durchbrüchen der Widerstandsniveaus und extrem bullischer Marktstimmung. Es gibt kein technisches Spitzensignal, und jeder Rückgang wird durch schnelle Käufe ausgeglichen, sodass das Risiko eines kurzfristigen Gegentrends extrem hoch ist. Wichtige Struktursignale Stundenkurs: Einzelne Yin-Korrektur: Der Rückgang ist diskontinuierlich und erholt sich nach jedem Rückgang schnell, was zeigt, dass die Bullen die Kontrolle haben. Unterstützung des gleitenden Durchschnitts: Der Preis bleibt stabil auf dem kurzfristigen gleitenden Durchschnitt (z. B. 5MA, 10MA) und es gibt keinen effektiven Durchbruch. Europäisches Sitzungshoch + US-Sitzungsschock: Starke Konsolidierung über 3300, im Einklang mit den Bullenmarktmerkmalen „Durchbruch, Zurückweichen, erneuter Angriff“. Treibende Faktoren Risikoaversion + Erwartungen an die Fed-Politik: Powells Rede könnte kurzfristige Schwankungen beeinflussen, doch insgesamt stützen die Erwartungen an eine Lockerung den Goldpreis. Liquiditätstreiber: Institutionelle und private Gelder fließen weiterhin zu, und technische Aspekte und Stimmung bilden ein positives Feedback. Schlüsselpositionen und Handelsstrategien 1. Unterstützung und Widerstand Oberes Kursziel: 3350 (kurzfristig) → 3400 (Trendverlängerung). Untere Unterstützung: Kurzfristig: 3300 (US-Marktschocktief + psychologische Barriere). Starke Unterstützung: 3280 (tägliches Retracement-Limit, Vorsicht vor tiefer Korrektur bei Unterschreitung). 2. Long-Order-Strategie (Grundidee) Aggressiv: Leichte Long-Position bei 3300–3302, Stop-Loss bei 3294, Kursziel 3330–3350. Konservativ: Warten Sie auf den Bereich 3280–3285, um Ihre Long-Position zu stabilisieren. Stop-Loss bei 3275, Ziel 3320–3350. Kernlogik: Bevor der Trend gebrochen ist, bietet jeder Rückgang eine Kaufgelegenheit, der Stop-Loss muss jedoch strikt eingehalten werden. 3. Short-Order-Strategie (Hilfsideen) Short-Positionen sollten nur im Bereich 3350–3353, Stop-Loss bei 3358 und Ziel 3330–3320 (schneller Ein- und Ausstieg) durchgeführt werden. Hinweis: Gegentrendhandel erfordert ein höheres Gewinn-Verlust-Verhältnis. Bleibt der Goldpreis bei 3350, sollten Sie den Markt verlassen. Risikowarnung und Handlungsdisziplin Vermeiden Sie es, den Höchststand zu erraten: Heftige Schwankungen treten häufig in der Nähe historischer Höchststände auf, aber Short-Positionen gegen den Trend erfordern klare Umkehrsignale (z. B. lange obere Schatten auf der Tageslinie und durchgehende negative Linien). Ereignisrisiko: Powells Rede: Sollten restriktive Signale veröffentlicht werden, könnte dies kurzfristige Verkäufe auslösen, für eine Trendwende sind jedoch weitere Beweise erforderlich. Eskalation geopolitischer Konflikte: Plötzliche Käufe in sicheren Anlagen könnten den Goldpreis ankurbeln. Positionsmanagement: Einzeltransaktionsposition ≤ 5 %, Gesamtrisiko ≤ 10 %. Reduzieren Sie Positionen vor dem Feiertag (Freitag), um Kurslückenrisiken durch unzureichende Liquidität zu vermeiden. Zusammenfassung Hauptrichtung: Aufwärts gerichtet, hauptsächlich Long bei Kursrückgängen, achten Sie auf die Unterstützung bei 3300 und 3280. Ergänzende Möglichkeiten: Versuchen Sie Short-Positionen mit einer geringen Position bei 3350, setzen Sie strikt Stop-Loss. Grundprinzipien: Folgen Sie dem Trend im Trend, seien Sie vorsichtig gegen den Trend. Stop-Loss ist die Lebensader!
Bitcoin is expected to move from 86,000 to 73,100 with a slow move. If the downtrend on the price is broken, it could cancel this decline, and this is a possibility.
I am using the Sinusoid here - however there is a Bell Curve which is better. Just cannot find the indicator at present. The synopsis is that most stocks and markets go through cycles (Bull and Bear) that are sometimes stretched sinusoids, called a Bell Wave Curve. Whilst it is very difficult to predict these cycles, most become evident from market sentiment quite early. The problem is that we all have FOMO. Most Senior Stock Market Analysts say do not sell, and this becomes evident when you are down a few 10% points, as the past shows that the market does recover. Maybe a few smart (Elon) advisors will give Trump a CLUE that most Tariffs are calculated Wrong. As the Markets are super choppy it is difficult to advise any future direction for now. As always, please get a few outside Expert's Advice before taking Trade or Investment Decisions. Should you appreciate my Chart Studies, Smash That Rocket Boost Button. It's Just a Click away. Regards Graham.
? Current Context Price: 1.13820 USD Trend: Strong bullish structure, with impulsive moves especially in April. Main timeframe: Appears to be daily or weekly, with multi-timeframe zones (1W, 1M marked). ? Key Zones ? Supply Zone (1.13000–1.15000) Well-defined area of historic selling pressure. Price reacted with a temporary drop but bounced right back into it. ? Demand Zone (1.08500–1.10000) Major order block where the current rally was initiated. Price used this as a base to launch higher. ⚫ Lower Supports 1.03600: Weekly support 1.02838: Monthly support Broad accumulation zone (grey box) from which this trend began. ? Price Structure Strong breakout above 1.10–1.11 resistance. Currently pulling back inside the supply zone – the dashed arrows hint at potential liquidity sweeps before a continuation to 1.15+. ? Momentum Indicator (likely RSI/CCI) Currently elevated, but not yet in extreme overbought. No clear divergence. Momentum favors bulls. ? Scenarios ✅ Bullish: Clean break above 1.14500–1.15000 opens the door to 1.1600 and 1.1800. Wait for a structural retest for safer long entries. ⚠️ Bearish (corrective): Strong rejection from the supply zone → potential pullback to 1.10–1.0850 (blue zone). Only below 1.0850 would a deeper bearish structure toward 1.03600 be confirmed. ? Strategic Note This is a zone of clear smart money activity: liquidity grabs on both ends. Watch how this weekly candle closes – we’re either validating above 1.13 or setting up a trap for late longs.
After using Robinhood for the last 3 months, I can confidently say it's the worst brokerage out there. Aside from it being a horrible company and having a horrible founder, the chart also looks horrible. Since the high in February, we've seen a series of lower highs form and we're getting close to the point where it looks like the bottom will fall out of the stock. Should it break down from the head and shoulders pattern and then break the 200DMA (the light blue line), it's going to be a quick trip down to the two lower supports at $18 and $20 and potentially all the way down to $14. Those levels would likely be good places to buy, but I have 0 desire in owning or supporting this company, so I will short it into the ground where it belongs.
? Field Orders – Operation: Defensive Line Troops, listen up. We’re falling back to our key defenses—Trend Support and the 18M AVWAP. Hold your ground. Do not charge. We wait. ? Your Orders: Stand down unless support is broken cleanly with force. If the red army pushes through and confirms—join the short side. Enter only with structure, never emotion. Protect your treasures—capital is your ammunition. Don’t waste it fighting in the chop. If this is a trap, and you’re caught in it—retreat immediately. Take the loss. Regroup. Redeploy with strength and clarity. If we bounce here—watch for signs of a counteroffensive near the AVWAP wall. But again—only enter with confirmation. Not hope.
Key Level Zone: 0.605-0.615 HMT v8 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic
Technical Analysis From the monthly chart, Amazon (AMZN) has demonstrated strong price structure within two clearly defined bullish channels: Bullish Channel 1 (2018–2021): This marked a significant uptrend phase, culminating in an extended consolidation and pullback. Bullish Channel 2 (2023–2025): After a period of correction that bottomed near a “Weak Support Region” (~$80–$100), AMZN entered another strong upward trajectory. Most recently, AMZN broke below the current bullish channel, retesting the critical horizontal support zone around $186.93. This red zone represents a key breakout-retest area, suggesting a short-term accumulation phase. Entry Zone: ~$172–$180 Target: $258.58 (Upside of ~38.34%) Stop-Loss: $151.76 (Downside risk ~18.81%) The risk-to-reward ratio of 2:1 supports a high-conviction bullish trade setup. Should price hold above the $172 area and regain momentum, we may see a continuation toward the upper price targets. Fundamental Analysis Amazon’s fundamentals remain robust, providing a solid foundation for the bullish technical thesis: Strong Operating Margins: AMZN boasts a high EBITDA/Sales ratio, signaling efficient operations and solid cash flow generation. Financial Strength: The company is financially sound, with low debt levels and strong investment capacity—critical for maintaining leadership in tech and logistics. Positive Analyst Sentiment: The stock enjoys favorable analyst coverage, with an average consensus to buy or overweight. Recent upward revisions in EPS estimates reinforce expectations of earnings strength. Valuation Gap: There’s a significant upside gap between the current market price and the average analyst target, reflecting potential for re-rating as growth accelerates. Consistent Outperformance: Historically, Amazon tends to beat earnings expectations, showcasing its operational consistency and innovation-led edge. ESG Rating: MSCI scores Amazon positively on ESG for its industry, which can attract long-term institutional interest. Amazon is currently in a key technical zone where fundamental strength meets technical opportunity. Your chart shows a well-placed entry aligned with structural support, and the company's solid balance sheet, rising analyst expectations, and earnings history all add fuel to the bullish outlook. If current support holds, the technical and fundamental setup favors a short- to medium-term rally, targeting levels beyond $250, while maintaining a controlled downside.