The USD is bearish on the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes, while the EUR is bullish across the same timeframes. You should look for a pullback into the 4H rally base rally to consider entering buys. There are two demand zones to keep in mind for potential entries
hello guys. The EUR/USD pair has witnessed a strong bullish surge, breaking through key resistance levels. However, two possible scenarios emerge from this critical point: ? First Scenario (Bullish Continuation): Price could retrace to the 1.07-1.072 demand zone before resuming its upward trajectory. If support holds, the pair may climb towards the 1.10-1.105 resistance zone, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. ? Second Scenario (Bearish Reversal): If bullish momentum fades, a deeper correction may follow, breaking below the key support zone. This could lead the price toward the 1.04-1.043 area, marking a retest of previous lows and reinforcing bearish sentiment. ------------------- Conclusion: The current level serves as a critical decision point. If price sustains above support ($1.072-$1.068), bullish momentum may continue. However, a break below could signal a bearish correction, shifting market sentiment. Traders should watch key levels for confirmation of either scenario.
I trading using SMC/ICT… Order block + FVG + Inducement Is My Confluence… 1:3 RRR
Your XAUUSD trade setup with an entry at 2905, target at 2925, and stop loss at 2895 seems to be riding the bullish trend. Currently, gold is experiencing a slight downward pressure due to easing trade concerns, but it remains supported by a weaker USD. Some analysts predict a potential rise to 2930, with significant support at the 2900 mark ¹. However, others suggest a possible pullback to 2890-2894, which could be a good opportunity to go long ¹. Here are some *key levels to watch*: - *Resistance Levels*: 2925 (your target), 2928-2930, and 2945 ¹ - *Support Levels*: 2895 (your stop-loss), 2885, and 2870-2860 ¹ Keep in mind that trading always involves risk, and it's essential to manage your risk accordingly. Your stop-loss at 2895 seems relatively tight, considering the current market volatility. What's your next move? Are you looking to take profit or continue riding the trend?
LOT Size : 50 Loss : 14,000/- Profit : 73,000/- Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in stocks can be risky and may result in loss of capital.
Latest trading signal plan XAUUSD is still in the 2890-2930 oscillation range, and bulls and bears continue to compete for control. Judging from the current trend, the rebound and positive closing last week successfully defended the 2900 mark. It failed to effectively break through after multiple attempts, indicating that there is a large amount of buying defense. As long as gold is above the 2900 mark, its trend tends to be bullish; on the contrary, if it effectively breaks through the 2900 mark, the risk of a fall will increase. On the whole, today's short-term gold recommendation is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2928-2930 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2892-28882 support. Trading is risky, and positions should be controlled reasonably. If you don't know when to buy or sell, pay close attention to my real-time signal announcement, or leave me a message, so that you can quickly realize the fun of profit. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
I see meta starting an uptick from the 5th Elliot Wave. This appears to be an impulse buying wave, which appears to be inside a bullish abcd set up, which is also correlating by the stoch rsi (abcd) set up
█ Order Imbalance and Change Point Detection Trading might sometimes seem like magic, but at its core, the market operates on simple principles, supply and demand, and the flow of information. Recent academic work shows that retail traders can gain an edge even without expensive data feeds by understanding some fundamental ideas, like order imbalance and change point detection. In this article, we break down key concepts such as order imbalance, sudden volume shifts, change point detection, and the CUSUM algorithm. We also explain how retail traders can apply these ideas to improve their strategies. █ What Is the Order Book and Order Imbalance? ⚪ The Order Book Every market has an order book, simply a list of all buy orders (bids) and sell orders (asks) for an asset. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Ncaes0H3/ ⚪ Order Imbalance – A Key Indicator Order imbalance measures the difference between the total buying and selling orders for the order book. Definition: Order imbalance is the difference in volume between buy orders and sell orders. Why It Matters: A strong imbalance means one side (buyers or sellers) is dominating. For example, if there are significantly more buy orders than sell orders, the market may be gearing up for a price increase. ⚪ How It’s Detected in Research: Researchers calculate a volume-weighted average price (VWAP) across multiple price levels in the order book (typically the top 20 levels) and compare it to the mid-market price. A positive imbalance indicates aggressive buying, while a negative imbalance suggests selling pressure. https://www.tradingview.com/x/HEFRWmrJ/ █ Sudden Volume Shifts and Change Point Detection ⚪ Sudden Volume Shifts What It Means: Sometimes, there is an abrupt and noticeable change in the number of orders placed. This sudden shift in volume can signal a big move on the horizon. Example: In a trading context, this might be seen when volume bars spike unexpectedly on a price chart, often accompanying rapid price moves or breakouts. ⚪ Why They Are Crucial: Sudden volume increases often coincide with significant order flow events. For instance, if a large number of buy orders hit the market at once, this could indicate a rapid shift in trader sentiment and serve as a precursor to a sustained price move. https://www.tradingview.com/x/0QM62RnY/ █ Change Point Detection – Spotting the Shift Definition: Change point detection is a statistical technique used to identify the exact moment when the properties of a data series change significantly. Purpose: In trading, it helps distinguish meaningful shifts in market behavior from random noise. How It’s Used: Researchers apply this to order imbalance data to flag moments when the market’s buying or selling pressure changes abruptly. These flagged moments (or “change points”) can then be used to forecast short-term price movements. █ Meet CUSUM: The Cumulative Sum Algorithm CUSUM stands for Cumulative Sum. It’s a simple yet powerful algorithm that detects changes in a data series over time. ⚪ How CUSUM Works: Tracking Deviations: The algorithm continuously adds up minor differences (or deviations) from an expected value (like a running average). Signal for Change: When the cumulative sum exceeds a predetermined threshold, it signals that a significant change has occurred. In Trading: CUSUM can be applied to measure the order imbalance. When the cumulative deviation is high enough, it indicates a strong change in market pressure, an early warning signal for a potential price move. For example, a rising cumulative sum based on increasing buy-side pressure might indicate that the price will likely move upward. https://www.tradingview.com/x/1nomGzWR/ █ How Can Retail Traders Benefit Without Full LOB Data? Full access to the order book (all price levels and orders) can be expensive and is usually reserved for institutional traders. However, retail traders can still gain valuable insights by: ⚪ Using Proxies for Order Imbalance: Many trading platforms offer basic volume indicators. Look for volume spikes or unusual shifts in trading volume as a sign that order imbalance might occur. ⚪ Leveraging Simplified Change Detection: Even if you don’t have complex LOB data, you can set up simple alerts on your trading platform. For instance, you might create a custom indicator that watches for rapid increases in volume or price moves, similar to a basic version of the CUSUM algorithm. ⚪ Focusing on Key Price Levels: Even with limited data, monitor support and resistance levels. A sudden break (accompanied by high volume) can serve as a proxy for a change in market dynamics. ⚪ Adopting a Data-Driven Mindset: Integrate these concepts into your routine analysis. When you see a significant volume shift or a sudden spike in activity, consider it a potential “change point” and adjust your strategy accordingly. █ In Summary Order Imbalance measures the difference between buying and selling volumes in the order book, offering insights into market direction. Sudden Volume Shifts are significant changes in trading volume that can signal a shift in market sentiment. Change Point Detection helps identify the precise moments when these shifts occur, filtering out noise and highlighting actionable signals. CUSUM is a powerful tool that continuously tracks cumulative deviations in market data, alerting traders when the market undergoes a significant change. For retail traders, these methods underscore the importance of watching price and understanding the underlying order flow. While you might not have access to full-depth order book data, using volume indicators and setting up alert systems can help you capture the essence of these insights, providing a valuable edge in your trading decisions. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Based on my projections of my watchlist a range of 83 pips must be honored within this week , (Range projection based on last 5 yrs) as BoJ is increasing rates by 0.5% And Japan accounts for 6.3% of NZD total exports therefore widening rate gap nzd/jpy faces downward pressure and taking TA into perspective , we can take advantage by selling for exactly 0.12% or 83 pips.
US stock futures fell solidly Monday as investors and traders took the weekend to process the February jobs report and prepared for a busy week of economic data, headlined by a report on inflation amid concerns over its resurgence under President Trump's unpredictable trade policy. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) fell 1%, while futures attached to the benchmark S&P 500 (ES=F) also dropped 1% after the index posted its worst week since September. Futures tied to the Nasdaq (NQ=F) also slipped around 1.79%. All three major indexes looked set to build on losses of more than 2% last week. For the Nasdaq Composite, the resistance point has been faded with selling pressure increasing, the 18,500 point could serve as support point for Nasdaq price index. However, should a trend reversal occur, the break above the resistant pivot may catalyse a bullish spree as industries, investors and traders are dissecting President Trump's trade policy.