Narrative: On Higher Timeframes, price retraced to a 1D supply zone and broke the trend (red line) so we are long-term bearish. During the move that broke the trend, market hit the demand zone with a massive gap at the start of the week. We can therefore trade retracements while we wait for the supply zone (blue box) to be hit. Anticipating that blue supply zone to push the market to new lows. Bias & Key Levels: - Short term bullish towards the blue supply zone - Long term bearish from the blue supply zone - Willing to trade the gray supply & demand according to the arrow shown Additional Notes: Anticipating this pattern of expanding market to induce enough liquidity to generate enough liquidity to sell at the blue supply zone to break the low.
The overall bottoming and rebounding trend of gold at the beginning of the week has undoubtedly laid a strong foundation for the bulls. It is understandable that the next step-back trend is bullish, but since the price fell after rising in the late trading and closed below 2820, I think it is necessary to make a short-term decline judgment on the intraday market trend. From the current market, the daily chart shows three consecutive increases. The price at the beginning of the week effectively ran above the short-term moving average, and led the short-term moving average to rise. The Bollinger Bands opened upward as a whole. When other periodic indicators remain in a bullish arrangement, coupled with the upward movement of the macd indicator golden cross, it should be beneficial for the bulls to pull up in the short term, so the daily line is bullish as a whole. In terms of 4 hours, the gold price fell after rising. The current price is still hovering above the short-term moving average, and the middle track of the Bollinger Bands also extends upward. Therefore, it can be judged that the short-term downward space of the gold price is limited. Although the macd indicator is golden cross, the upward potential is insufficient. Therefore, the overall 4-hour level can wait for the bulls to counterattack again after the decline adjustment. For the lower support of gold, pay attention to the 2800 area. The movement above 2800 will help the bulls to test and break through 2830. If the bears take 2800, focus on the 2800-2795 area, which is the dense support area of the current technical pattern, so when the gold price approaches or touches it, you need to decisively arrange to buy. For the upper resistance, pay attention to the vicinity of 2830. If the gold price stabilizes above 2808 during the day, the short position can only find an opportunity to participate when the resistance is touched for the first time, and be prepared for a long breakthrough at any time. If the gold price breaks the 2808 support first, then the possibility of breaking through 2830 during the day will be ruled out. At that time, it is necessary to arrange the short position at 2820 or above! Key points: First support: 2808, second support: 2800, third support: 2792 First resistance: 2823, second resistance: 2838, third resistance: 2850 Operation ideas: BUY: 2802-2805, SL: 2793, TP: 2830-2840; SELL: 2845-2848, SL: 2857, TP: 2810-2800;
? Plan A: Swing BUY Trade (Counter-Trend Reversal Setup) ? Entry: Buy at 0.8080–0.8060 (Liquidity Grab & Demand Zone). ? Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.8040 (Safe Level). ? Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.8125 (First resistance & breakout level). ? Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.8150 (HTF Resistance). ? Take Profit 3 (Final TP3): 0.8200 (Supply Zone). ? Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 1:4+ (High Probability Trade). ✅ Confirmation Needed: Bullish engulfing or rejection wick at 0.8080. H1 Close above 0.8100 for safer entry. Divergence in lower timeframe (M15/M30) supports the buy. ? Plan B: Continuation SELL Trade (Trend Continuation) ? Entry: Sell at 0.8120–0.8150 (Retest of broken structure). ? Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.8180. ? Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.8100 (Short-term level). ? Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.8080 (Major demand zone). ? Final TP3: 0.8050 (Liquidity zone). ? Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 1:3+ (Solid trade). ✅ Confirmation Needed: Bearish engulfing at 0.8120–0.8150. H1 Close below 0.8100 confirms sellers in control. ? Plan C: Extreme BUY Trade (Deep Liquidity Grab & Strong Reversal Setup) ? Entry: Buy at 0.7980–0.8000 (HTF Demand & Liquidity Grab Zone). ? Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.7950 (Safe Level). ? Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.8050 (Previous demand). ? Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.8080 (Mid-range). ? Take Profit 3 (Final TP3): 0.8125+ (Reversal target). ? Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 1:5+ (High Precision Setup). ✅ Confirmation Needed: Bullish engulfing/rejection wick at 0.7980–0.8000. H1/H4 closes strong bullish to confirm buyers stepping in. Divergence on M15/M30 for added confluence. ? FINAL DECISION (How to Trade This) 1️⃣ If price reaches 0.8080–0.8060 and shows bullish confirmation → BUY Plan A is activated. 2️⃣ If price rejects 0.8120–0.8150 with bearish signs → SELL Plan B is activated. 3️⃣ If price breaks below 0.8060 and drops to 0.7980–0.8000, wait for confirmation → BUY Plan C is activated. ? Smart Money Execution—No Rushing, Only High-Probability Trades!
As discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "If #2,800.80 mark gets invalidated and market closes above, I add more Buying orders on mentioned levels aiming at #2,818.80 (slightly below #2,822.80 Resistance line). As expected, Buying accumulation I discussed throughout the session started and the Technical reason behind it was the Ascending Channel configuration which was adding confidence to Buyers, and attracted Short-term Investors, triggered their pending Buying orders (spike towards #2,800.80 benchmark from #2,772.80 Higher High's Lower zone few Hours ago confirms the above)." I have closed my Buying order (#2,801.80 - #2,822.80) on a fine #21-point run as Gold tested even levels above #2,822.80 however that was fine by me since I am satisfied with my order returns. Technical analysis: Price-action came too close to the #2,822.80 - #2,832.80 Medium-term Resistance zone and the fact that is currently strongly rebounding may not only be Technically attributed to mentioned fractal (representing the February #11 similarities) but also to the fact that it just hit the Higher High’s trendline of the Hourly 4 chart’s Ascending Channel. As long as mentioned zone is providing Resistance, I expect Gold to break back below the Hourly 4 chart’s Rectangle and pressure for #2,800.80 Higher High’s Lower zone (benchmark). Gold is Trading on Inflated prices and same as Gold was purely rising on Fundamental factor, similar takedown will follow. If Gold closes the session below the #2,800.80 benchmark on market closing, expect Gold to make a Top here. If on the other hand #2,832.80 gets invalidated and Gold eventually closes the session above, I expect the High Volatility zone with similarities to mid-April - June to be replicated and #2,852.80 benchmark test in extension. My position: As discussed above, I do believe that Gold is Overbought and some cool-off to such levels I do expect and #2,800.80 eventual Intra-day test. If however Gold breaks to the upside, I will act according to what I wrote above.
AUD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 96.78 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 97.60 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 95.64 which is an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
The Cable, after a long, Gappy retracement, is finally continuing with its bullish trend probably up to until as shown in th charts. Traders can execute the markets as shown
GOLD TECHINAL ANALYSIS next move possible. this is not financial advise trade and manage your own risk.
Hello Followers I am going to publish technical setup of XAUUSD , So share your opinion in comments about my analysis. XAUUSD will move for short cause it is respecting the parallel channel very well and now it has touched the resistance and started falling down. According to me XAUUSD will move till the first target around 2804 and if break this then will reach to the 2786 cause this is 0.618 level of FIB RETRACEMENT. Otherwise I have given a pivot area also for reversal of XAUUSD.. KEY POINTS: CURRENT PRICE 2817 RESISTANCE AREA 2820.200/2827.200 PIVOT AREA 2830 TARGETS: FIRST TARGET 2804 SECOND TARGET 2786
The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.5679 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.5732 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.5582 which is an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Buy at $15.5 and sell at 17 and 19 dollars . This Analysis is only valid for 3 days. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.? _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and ?Follow?! ❗Disclaimer ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!