? The Price Breakout From 86k Resistance Area And Experienced a Good Pump However Still My Main Expectation About Bitcoin Didn’t Changed, I See Current Up Rally From 75k Till Here As a Wave C From B From Main ABC And There Are Two Important PRZ I Expect a Reversal And They Are 92600$ And 97600$ ? Currently The Price Playing Below The Crucial 92600$ Resistance Area, Although We Could Have a Shadow To The 97600$ But Totally I Prefer To Be Out Of The Market At Current Time ? My Target For Incoming Correction Is 72k
Fundamental picture: - Current price 173 with P/E 31 (10Y low) - Implied price 405 with average P/E 80 - Expert price 267 (TipRanks) Technical picture: - Near Fibonacci extension limit of VWAP 200D - Near ATR Yearly Limit - Near 20Y Channel since 2001 Entry: - 170 - 150 - 130 Target: - 200 - 300 - 400 - 700 Stop: - < 130 = PoC 2Y
The gold market recently demonstrated a bullish trend, starting from the 3300 level. A bullish pattern emerged, pushing prices upward and reaching key resistance levels. The movement signaled strong upward momentum, with targets achieved at: sdm: The market moved in a bullish pattern from 3370 to 3430. This upward move confirms buyer strength and bullish momentum during the session sdm: Buy Signal: Activated at 3370 when price showed bullish momentum and upward structure. Bullish Confirmation: The move to 3430 confirms upward pressure and active buying. Resistance Warning: If gold fails to break and close above 3430, it may pull back to retest lower supports (3370 or even 3350). sdm: . Possible Scenarios: Bullish Continuation (Breakout above 3430): If price breaks above 3430 with good volume, next targets: 3450 3475 3500
? COT Analysis – NASDAQ E-MINI Futures Asset Managers → Consistently net long, but without accumulation: showing little conviction on new lows. Leveraged Money → Confirmed aggressive shorts, a clear sign that smart money doesn't believe in the bounce. ✅ COT Conclusion: Smart money is not buying the dip → fundamental bias = bearish. ? Technical Breakdown + My Long Trade ? Structure: Strong rejection from the 16,700–17,300 zone, with a long weekly wick = signs of accumulation. Price formed a double bottom + weekly engulfing candle, right on the demand zone → confirming strong buyer pressure. ? My Long Trade (LIVE SETUP): Entry: After confirmation of bullish price action on the blue demand zone Target: Supply zone 20,400–21,000 Exit: Closed just before the drop → perfect trade management, respecting structure and weekly resistance ? Post-trade context: Price then rejected violently from that zone → we’re now back around 18,400, and if 18,000 breaks, the door opens toward 16,700. ? What’s Next? ? If price pulls back to 19,200–19,500, I’ll look for a short setup ? If it breaks below 18,000 → clean path toward 16,700–16,500 ✅ Trade Summary ? Long from structural demand zone → exit at weekly supply ? Setup based on price action + RSI and structural confluence ? Now the bias shifts back to bearish: watch the 18k level closely
Not financial advice trade and menege your owner risk
? BTCUSDT – Absorption in progress, swing high targeted before a potential dump? Price is moving in a clean bullish structure with a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS), but under the surface, we can clearly see signs of absorption, which could signal an upcoming reversal. ? Open Interest is rising sharply ? CVD Futures & Spot are both rising → real buying pressure ? Funding remains negative ? 85% of open positions are longs ? Top traders are massively short ? ➤ Clear absorption: price goes up… but someone is selling into it hard ? Current hypothesis: ? Longs are being absorbed, suggesting a short-term rejection is likely, but before that, price might push higher toward the swing high (92.5–93.5k) to: Hunt liquidity Trigger stop losses Finalize the short trap ? Trade plan: ✅ Spike above the swing high ✅ Final absorption / wick trap ✅ Dump back into the Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6%) ❗ Rule: don’t front-run – wait for confirmation: Sharp rejection after the spike Spot CVD divergence Loss of structure + drop in OI ⚖️ The market is tense. We are likely between the top of absorption… and the beginning of the flush. Stay patient. Watch closely. Only act on clear confirmation. ?Fr? ? BTCUSDT – Absorption en cours Le prix évolue dans une structure haussière propre avec un Break of Structure (BOS) validé, mais les dessous du marché révèlent une absorption nette, qui pourrait annoncer un retournement. ? Open Interest en forte hausse ? CVD Futures & Spot haussiers → pression acheteuse réelle ? Funding négatif persistant ? 85 % de longues sur le marché (Kingfisher) ? Top traders en short massif ? ➤ Absorption claire : le prix monte… mais la contrepartie absorbe tout ? Hypothèse actuelle : ? Une absorption des longs est en cours, ce qui laisse penser qu’un rejet est probable à court terme, mais avant cela, le marché pourrait encore pousser vers le swing high (92.5–93.5k) pour : Chercher la liquidité Déclencher les stops vendeurs Finir le short trap ? Plan envisagé : ✅ Spike au-dessus du swing high ✅ Absorption finale / mèche piégeuse ✅ Dump en direction de la Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6 %) ❗ Règle : ne pas anticiper – attendre confirmation : Rejet brutal après le spike Divergence CVD Spot Perte de structure + chute OI ⚖️ Le marché est tendu. On est probablement entre le haut de l’absorption… et le début de la purge. Rester patient. Observer. Agir sur signal propre.
Bitcoin starts to follow Gold rather than stocks. New ATH programmed
DuPont de Nemours (NYSE: $ DD) shares rose 2.38% to $61.54 today, adding $1.43 amid broader concerns for the U.S. chemicals sector. The stock has traded 8.24 million shares so far, reflecting increased investor interest following a notable analyst upgrade. KeyBanc Capital Markets recently upgraded DuPont to "Overweight" with an $81 price target despite cutting 2025 EBITDA estimates across the chemicals sector by an average of 5%. The firm specifically highlighted DuPont's "world-class" electronics and water businesses, describing them as secular growth franchises rarely available at current valuation levels. This optimistic assessment comes against a challenging backdrop for chemical companies. The sector faces multiple headwinds including new U.S. tariffs, weakening global demand, and falling prices for key raw materials like ethylene and propylene. KeyBanc identified worrying demand signals beginning in March that likely continued into April. The upgrade appears particularly significant considering DuPont shares have fallen 21% since March. Analysts view the company's strong balance sheet as a key advantage during uncertain economic conditions. The $81 price target implies a 12.8x 2025 EV/EBITDA multiple. Technical Analysis DuPont's stock is trading at a critical juncture after a significant decline from 2024 highs near $90. Currently priced at $61.54, DD has bounced from recent lows but remains below all major moving averages. The 50-day moving average (76.80) and 200-day moving average (78.00) both loom overhead as resistance levels. The price action shows a clear rejection from the horizontal resistance zone around $88, which has capped advances multiple times since 2021. The RSI indicator at 39.92 shows neither extreme oversold nor overbought conditions. Looking forward, potential price paths include both bullish and bearish scenarios. A recovery above $64 could target the 50-day moving average near $76.80, while failure to hold current levels might risk testing the 2020 pandemic low of $28.33.
Analyzing SUI/USDT on the 4H chart, I see a clear breakout from a descending wedge — a classic bullish reversal pattern. The price has broken through the resistance line with volume, suggesting early momentum shift. This zone might be the beginning of a bigger move. I’m personally considering this coin for a mid-term hold, with potential to scale into a long if confirmation continues.
Could it be because I have a Weekly and Daily FVG further down which are not yet confirmed? Could it be because there is no news today? Was my entry time wrong? Or what else could it be?