Here's a clear breakdown for your clients: EUR/USD Trade Setup Analysis Entry Point: 1.08323 Take Profit (TP1): 1.07350 Tak profite (TP2) 1.06218 Stop Loss (SL): 1.09215 Analysis: The price has broken down from a key trendline support, confirming a bearish move. The red zone marks a strong resistance area where sellers gained control. The green zone outlines the trade setup, ensuring a good risk-to-reward ratio. Recommendation: Maintain proper risk management. A breakdown like this aligns with bearish momentum, but market conditions can shift. Trade wisely! Would you like a more engaging caption or additional insights?
The market movement on Friday was not significant. The intraday high was reached at the opening in the morning, hitting a peak of $68.65, while the low was at $67.65. The maximum intraday fluctuation was just $1, and the price trend showed a shallow V - shape. Considering that Trump is bound to end the Russia - Ukraine conflict over the weekend, crude oil will likely remain bearish in the short term. Therefore, today's market is generally expected to rise first and then decline under pressure again. USOIL Trading Strategy: Sell@68.5-69 TP:67-66 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
Gold has reached the TOP? Time to short Gold? Gold has been bullish for more than 28 months strike. It has also been topped the 3000 level. When everybody rush for gold, I think we need to examine our position again. If we look further on the lower timeframe, let's say H1; we can see vividly gold is creating the perfect Head and Shoulders pattern. I think, it's time to take a reverse position to start shorting the gold.
Gold (XAU/USD) is starting the new week with renewed strength, building on Friday’s bounce from the key $3,000 support level. The precious metal regained momentum on Monday as heightened geopolitical tensions overshadowed the recent improvement in risk appetite. Mixed Global Sentiment The return of Israeli air and ground operations in Gaza—after a two-month period of relative calm—has reignited investor demand for safe-haven assets. Gold, traditionally viewed as a store of value during periods of uncertainty, is benefitting from this renewed instability in the Middle East. Meanwhile, broader risk sentiment has received a slight lift as initial fears surrounding potential tariffs were tempered by suggestions, they may be less severe and widespread than originally expected. This development helped equities recover modestly, though it may have slightly limited gold’s upside in the short term. Fed Outlook Supports Gold’s Long-Term Appeal Last week’s Federal Reserve meeting also bolstered gold’s longer-term prospects. Chairman Jerome Powell signalled the central bank remains committed to economic stability, choosing to look past short-term inflationary pressures stemming from Trump’s tariff policies. Despite a modest upward revision in inflation expectations, the Fed maintained its guidance for two rate cuts in 2025. This dovish stance supports gold prices, as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Additionally, recent data indicating emerging signs of economic weakness further reinforces the case for policy easing. Structural Demand for Gold Remains Strong Beyond the macroeconomic backdrop, demand for physical gold remains robust. Central banks around the world continue to build their gold reserves, seeking to diversify away from the US’s mounting debt burden. This long-term shift in global reserve strategy suggests sustained appetite for gold irrespective of short-term market moves. Key Risk: Upcoming US PCE Data Looking ahead, a major short-term risk for gold lies in Friday’s release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. A softer reading could deepen the pullback in the dollar and US Treasury yields, reigniting bullish momentum in gold and potentially pushing prices above $3,050. Conversely, a stronger-than-expected PCE print could revive stagflation concerns, previously quelled by the Fed. In such a scenario, gold may face renewed selling pressure, possibly falling back below the $3,000 threshold—particularly if the Fed adjusts its guidance to reflect heightened inflation concerns. Conclusion Gold’s outlook remains broadly positive, supported by geopolitical uncertainty, a dovish Fed, and ongoing central bank accumulation. While short-term volatility is likely around key data releases, the underlying fundamentals point to sustained strength in gold over the medium term.
✅Gold prices have remained volatile since retreating from the historical high of $3057.8. The Bollinger Bands are open, and the middle track support has moved up to $2980, indicating that it is still in a strong cycle, but we need to be alert to the risk of overbought correction. ✅MA5 (3035) and MA10 (3000) constitute a short-term oscillation range. If the price stabilizes on MA5, the upward inertia will continue. Falling below MA10 may trigger a deep retracement. ✅Short-term Key price points ?Upper resistance level: -First: 3026.5 -Second: 3030.5 -Third: 3038-3048 ?Lower support level: -First: 3015.5 -Second: 3010 -Third: 3006-2999 ?Focus on the range: 3010-3038 ✅Intraday trading strategy: ?Short: Rebound to the 3033-3035 range to test short orders, stop loss above 3045, target 3010-2999; ?Long: Retreat to the 2999-2980 range to stabilize and try long positions with a light position, stop loss 2975, target 3020-3035. ✅Trend tracking strategy ?Breakout confirmation: If the price stabilizes at $3045, follow up with long orders when it falls back to 3030, with a target of 3057-3080; ?Breakout short: If the price falls below 2980 with large volume, rebound to around 3000 to cover the short position, with a target of 2950-2930. ✅The gold market is likely to be in a range-bound stage on Monday and Tuesday. We can sell high and buy low at important resistance and support levels, and it will be very easy to make profits. If you are not confident in your trading or don't know how to grasp the best entry and close points, We will provide you with real-time trading guidance, accurate trading strategyand reasonable risk control to help you achieve sustained and stable profits?
Run down of a position on NJ/GJ - unsure on the validity and risk.
Hello Traders ? In this idea, I want to talk about one of the top altcoin projects in the crypto space—AVAX. If you’ve been around, you probably know the name... but here’s why I’m bullish on it right now: ?? ✅ 1. Massive Weekly Triangle Pattern On the weekly timeframe, AVAX is already inside a huge triangle formation, which—if it breaks out—could push the price to at least its previous ATH (~$165). If you enter now, that’s potentially a 750% profit! ?? I’ll go deeper into this long-term price target in a future idea, because this move still needs to break the weekly resistance—and there are multiple resistance levels along the way. But for now, we’re focusing on the immediate short-term setup. ⚠️? ✅ 2. Repeating Price Patterns Inside the Triangle Inside this gigantic triangle, AVAX price tends to repeat a similar structure each time: The first pattern was made of converging trendlines → breakout → strong pump to the triangle’s top. The second setup was a falling wedge → breakout → same explosive move. ? And now guess what? We have another bullish channel, and it’s currently breaking out as we speak! ⛓?➡️? So make sure to act accordingly and keep your eyes on the chart! ?? and always remember : ? Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable ?
INJ - BUY SETUP (MARCH 2025) INJ is currently at strong support around $10, making it a solid long-term investment. Hold onto it as it has the potential to reach $100.
The US 500 rallied 0.8% last week to close at 5666 and in doing so managed to lock in its first up week since early February. The bounce also brought some joy to those dip buyers that had to endure watching the index move into correction territory (10% drop from 6144 high) the previous week when it touched a 6-month low at 5505 on March 13th. Looking forward, it is probably still way too early to say that the selling and rotation away from US stocks into other global indices is over, although what we can say is that traders have taken a pause for reflection ahead of what could be a volatile finish to the end of the first quarter of 2025. Afterall, sentiment towards stocks in the US 500, especially the technology sector, remains fragile. In the week ahead traders are likely to be focused on the finer details of President Trump’s plan for reciprocal tariffs, which are due to hit all countries, including long-time US allies, on April 2nd. The breadth of these tariffs and the extent of retaliatory measures, particularly from China and the EU, are likely to have knock on implications for US economic growth, inflation and consumer confidence (see below) , all of which are key factors that may impact future corporate earnings and the direction of the US 500 across the week. Economic Data: Monday: 1345 GMT US Preliminary PMI Surveys Tuesday: 1400 GMT US Consumer Confidence Friday: 1230 GMT US PCE Index (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) Solid Footing: The US 500 has opened the week on a more solid footing after a weekend report on Bloomberg suggested President Trump’s wave of tariffs are to be more targeted than the all-out assault he has touted on social media over the last few weeks. However, this is yet to be confirmed, and while not the worst-case scenario, it would still be an escalation of the current trade wars and may still result in retaliatory measures from those countries that are hit the hardest. It could also mean traders need to be on Trump social media watch again in the early part of this week. Technical Update: A Question of Fibonacci Retracements https://www.tradingview.com/x/woqMr5XE/ The US 500 index encountered an aggressive sell-off of 10.4% from the February 2025 all-time high at 6144 to its March low of 5505, from which attempts to bounce have materialised. This low was important from a technical perspective because the sell off tested a possible support level, marked by a Fibonacci retracement. In the case of the US 500 index, it was the 50% level of the April 2024 to February 2025 advance which stands at 5533 (see chart above). Using Fibonacci Retracements: Fibonacci retracements are useful as they can highlight potential support levels when any price weakness is seen and potential resistance levels when any price strength is seen. Closing breaks below retracement support or above retracement resistance can suggest the possibility of a more extended price move in the direction of the break. We recently published a report on how to use Fibonacci retracements in greater detail, so please take a look at our timeline to read this. Are Fibonacci Retracement Levels Offering Any Insight into Recent US 500 Index Moves? https://www.tradingview.com/x/woqMr5XE/ Having already rallied following tests of the 5533 retracement level, this has been confirmed as a support focus moving forward. While closing breaks are not a guarantee of further price declines, with much still dependent on future price trends and sentiment across the trading week, it may well be closes below this level that expose the potential for deeper declines. If this were to happen, downside potential may then shift towards retracement support at the 61.8% level, which stands at 5389 as you can see on the chart above. Fibonacci Resistance Focus: https://www.tradingview.com/x/woqMr5XE/ We can also run Fibonacci retracements on the February to March phase of weakness to provide potential resistance levels to focus on in case there is an extension of the recent rally. The 38.2% retracement of the February to March decline stands at 5750 and this is a level that might need to be monitored. If this 5750 level were to be broken on a closing basis, it may be possible to see a more extended phase of price strength which could could skew the focus for traders towards resistance at 5825, which is the higher 50% retracement level, may be even 5900, which is the 61.8% retracement. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Imbalances spielen eine zentrale Rolle im Orderflow Trading, da sie Aufschluss über das Kräfteverhältnis zwischen Käufern und Verkäufern geben. Eine starke Imbalance kann als Hinweis auf zukünftige Preisbewegungen dienen und somit für präzisere Trading-Entscheidungen genutzt werden. In diesem Beitrag zeige ich dir, wie du Imbalances erkennst und effektiv in dein Trading einbindest. Was sind Imbalances? Eine Imbalance tritt auf, wenn auf einer Seite des Orderbuchs deutlich mehr Volumen vorhanden ist als auf der anderen. Dies zeigt sich oft in Footprint Charts, wo große Unterschiede zwischen Bid- und Ask-Seite auf eine starke Marktbewegung hindeuten. Besonders wichtig sind: -Buy Imbalances: Mehr Nachfrage als Angebot, was potenziell zu steigenden Preisen führt. -Sell Imbalances: Mehr Angebot als Nachfrage, was oft fallende Kurse nach sich zieht. -Bid Imbalance an einem Hoch: Kann auf einen möglichen Stop-Loss-Hunt hindeuten, bei dem der Preis über ein Hoch steigt, viele Stop-Losses ausgelöst werden und danach eine schnelle Umkehr folgt. Wie erkennst du Imbalances? 1. Footprint Charts nutzen: Diese zeigen das gehandelte Volumen auf jeder Preisstufe und helfen, Unregelmäßigkeiten zu identifizieren. 2.Threshold-Werte bestimmen: Eine Imbalance gilt meist als signifikant, wenn sie einen bestimmten Prozentsatz (z. B. 300 %) des entgegengesetzten Volumens übersteigt. 3. Kombination mit anderen Faktoren: Imbalances sind besonders aussagekräftig an Schlüsselstellen wie Support- und Resistance-Zonen oder in der Nähe von VWAP-Leveln. Wie nutzt du Imbalances im Trading? -Einstiege und Exits optimieren: Eine starke Buy-Imbalance nahe einer Unterstützung kann eine gute Long-Gelegenheit darstellen. -Breakouts validieren: Wenn ein Ausbruch von deutlichen Imbalances begleitet wird, spricht das für eine nachhaltige Bewegung. -Stop-Loss und Risk-Management: Imbalances können helfen, präzisere Stop-Loss-Levels zu setzen, indem man sich an starken Orderclustern orientiert. -Stop-Loss-Hunts erkennen: Eine Bid-Imbalance an einem Hoch kann darauf hindeuten, dass viele Stop-Losses ausgelöst wurden, bevor der Preis wieder fällt. Dies kann eine gute Short-Gelegenheit sein. Fazit: Imbalances sind ein wertvolles Werkzeug, um das Verhalten von Marktteilnehmern besser zu verstehen. Durch die richtige Interpretation kannst du deine Trading-Entscheidungen verbessern und eine höhere Präzision in deinen Trades erreichen. Nutzt du bereits Imbalances in deinem Trading? Teile deine Erfahrungen in den Kommentaren!