Already in, SL and TP on the chart. Will update if necessary
Still Bearish, Still Grinding – Patience Remains the Key | SPX Market Analysis 10 Mar 2025 Another week, another grinding bearish move—but are we truly breaking down, or is this just another market head-fake? Friday gave us a tease of a breakdown, only to bounce right back into the range by the close. The overnight futures are dipping slightly, but we’re not yet below last week’s lows, meaning the bears haven’t fully taken control—yet. The scenarios remain unchanged, the bias is still bearish, and patience remains the best strategy. We’re watching for confirmation—because in this kind of slow-motion market, forcing a trade only leads to frustration. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: The market is playing the ultimate waiting game, and traders are getting impatient. It’s been grinding lower, teasing a real breakdown, only to snap back into the range by the week’s end. It’s like watching a boxer throw a knockout punch—only for the opponent to wobble, but never hit the canvas. The bearish move is still intact, but it’s moving in slow motion. It’s not a dramatic crash, but a controlled decline, inching lower each day. ? Friday’s Tease – The Breakdown That Wasn’t The market attempted a decisive break lower but failed to hold. By the close, price had bounced back into the range, leaving traders confused. This type of fake breakdown is what traps emotional traders, forcing them to chase moves that never materialize. ? Overnight Futures – More of the Same? Futures dipped slightly, but last week’s lows remain unbroken. A real downside continuation requires price to actually commit below key levels. For now, it’s just more of the same slow-motion grind. ? The Bearish Bias is Still in Play – But It Needs Confirmation The larger descending channel is still guiding price lower. The bias remains bearish, but conviction is lacking. If the market doesn’t break soon, we could see another bounce-back-to-nowhere scenario. ? The Plan – Stay Hedged, Stay Patient No need to force a position—the market hasn’t fully committed. Let the range confirm a direction before taking on new risk. Stay ready—because once the move happens, it could be fast. Right now, the market is whispering, not shouting. The traders who listen to what price is actually doing, rather than what they want it to do, will be the ones who capitalize when the next real move arrives. ?? --- Fun Fact ? Did you know? In 1986, a trader at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange accidentally placed a $7 billion order instead of $7 million, causing a massive market spike before it was caught and reversed. ? The Lesson? Even the smallest trading mistake can have enormous consequences—which is why having a structured system like the SPX Income System can help avoid costly errors and keep your trades under control.
Bros, the recent rise and fall of gold has not continued, and the overall price is still fluctuating widely in the 2930-2895 area. After the fierce game between the long and short sides, there is not enough momentum to support the structural breakthrough of gold. However, according to the current structural trend, gold has repeatedly tested the area around 2920-2930 and has been effectively supported at 2890-2900. Overall, the probability of gold breaking upward is greater. Then in short-term trading, we can temporarily go long on gold in the 2905-2985 area, and first see whether gold can stand above 2920. If gold stands above 2920 for a long time, then gold will definitely break through 2930 and still have the opportunity to test the previous high area near 2955. Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Hello' The NQ1! has reached its lowest level, where a strong support area is valid, and a bounce-back is likely. The next target level is 21,300. The entry point will be around 20,000. The liquidity swap will be absorbed at this level, allowing the price to rise freely. It's my thought. What you think about it? Write in comment below. Thanks.
SGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) declined last week, closing USD 1.75/ton lower by 7/Mar (Fri). https://www.tradingview.com/x/DeEmG17B/ Friday’s T+1 session is depicted as the following Monday’s trading session on TradingView. SGX IO Futures opened at USD 102.20/ton on 3/Mar (Mon) and closed at USD 100.45/ton on 7/Mar (Fri). Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 102.85/ton on 3/Mar (Mon) and a low of USD 98.95/ton on 5/Mar (Wed). It traded in a range of USD 3.90/ton during the week, which was narrower than the prior week. Prices remained below the pivot point of USD 104.05/ton and R1 point of USD 102.55/ton during the week, closing below the pivot point at USD 100.75/ton. Volume peaked on 3/Mar (Mon). Volumes last week rebounded back to pre-CNY levels. Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary Iron ore futures took a hit as China’s steel production cuts and escalating trade tensions between Washington and Beijing dampened market sentiment. With inventory levels at major Chinese steel mills dipping, demand trends must be carefully observed. While declining Chinese imports signal a bearish outlook, market sentiment remains fluid. Chinese policymakers hinted at further stimulus measures, suggesting that if economic growth falters, additional support could be on the table—potentially offering a lifeline to the struggling bulk commodities market. Iron Ore inventory at Chinese ports declined by 142.97 million tons, representing a decline of 3.5% for the w/e 7th Mar 2025. Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Apr contract trades 23.3% below its last 5-year average (USD 130.78/ton). https://www.tradingview.com/x/yvlbRxRP/ Short-Term MA Signals Extended Downtrend as China’s Imports Slump Formation of a death cross on 3/Mar (Mon) plunged iron ore prices sharply lower and the sell-off has been further exacerbated by Trump’s tariff policies and a drop in China's imports, leading to a sharp downtrend. https://www.tradingview.com/x/vyXdJGgT/ Prices Trend Downward Amid Potential Long-term Moving Average Divergence IO prices are trading well below the 100-day & 200-day DMAs. The 100-day moving average marginally inched past the 200-day moving average forming a golden cross on 26th Feb 2025. Given the near term bearishness, IO prices look stubbornly bearish and are unlikely to rally on long term moving average golden cross formation. https://www.tradingview.com/x/QLovYP9W/ MACD Confirms Deepening Downtrend, RSI Inches Towards Oversold Conditions The MACD line is below the signal line suggesting weakening short-term momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI is at 36.61 inching towards but not yet in oversold conditions. RSI-based moving average hovers at 46.57. https://www.tradingview.com/x/0kHK7J26/ Volatility Steady & IO Prices Closed Below 61.8% Fibonacci Level Volatility remained steady this week. Prices traded between the 78.6% Fibonacci level (USD 98.00/ton) and the 61.8% level (USD 100.32/ton), closing below the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Going forward, 78.6% Fibonacci level (USD 98.00/ton) may act as support, with 50.0% Fibonacci level (USD 101.879/ton) as resistance. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ARl78977/ Buying Pressure Strengthened & IO Prices Trades At Lower Bollinger Band Buying pressure strengthened during second half of last week based on A/D indicator. IO prices traded below the lower Bollinger band during the week and closed marginally above the band at USD 100.25/ton. https://www.tradingview.com/x/RP1tzwaE/ China’s Two Sessions: A Key Catalyst for Iron Ore Market Swings? China's Two Sessions (Lianghui) is an annual political gathering in China where key economic and industrial policies are set. This can significantly impact China linked assets including iron ore. Over the past four years (2021-2024), prices have shown a pattern of pre-meeting speculation-driven gains, followed by declines due to policy interventions or cautious economic targets. While 2021 and 2022 saw initial optimism fueling price spikes before corrections, 2023 and 2024 featured steady declines amid weak demand and rising inventories. This trend underscores China's policy direction as a key driver of iron ore market fluctuations. https://www.tradingview.com/x/2ajqJmC5/ Source: TradingView Data and Mint Finance Analysis IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 87.9k lots and 117.6k across all futures expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 147.7k and 57.8k lots respectively across all futures expires. Managed Money decreased net long positions; Physicals decreased net short positions while FIs increased net long positions last week. Overall futures open interest was 1,249,118 lots as of 28/Feb (+2%) while it was 1,224,213 lots as of 21/Feb. https://www.tradingview.com/x/5dvAC7G5/ Source: SGX IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 89.3k lots and 119.9k across all futures and options expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 144.9k and 64.3k lots respectively across all futures and options expires. Managed Money decreased net long positions; Physicals decreased net short positions while FIs increased net long positions last week. Overall futures and options open interest was 1,500,490 lots as of 28/Feb (-1.63%) while it was 1,525,430 lots as of 21/Feb. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ZC7gsZmS/ Source: SGX Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants Physical participants have continued to maintain their net short position. Managed Money participants have switched from net short to being net long in the last three weeks. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of last year. https://www.tradingview.com/x/gK3BWaFx/ Source: SGX Hypothetical Trade Setup Iron ore prices have declined owing to China’s steel production cuts and escalating trade tensions between Washington and Beijing dampened market sentiment. With inventory levels at major Chinese steel mills dipping, demand trends have seemed to fallen. IO prices signaled downtrend last week. The MACD signals strengthening bearishness while the RSI is nearing the oversold territory. IO prices closed below the 61.8% levels indicating bearishness. Against this backdrop, this paper posits a short position in SGX Iron Ore Futures expiring on 30th April 2025, with an entry at USD 100.80/ton combined with a take profit level at USD 98.10/ton and a stop-loss at USD 103.50/ton resulting in a reward-to-risk ratio of 1x. https://www.tradingview.com/x/n2vFA1ZB/ DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
t is likely that today, Monday, gold will break below the 2900-2905 support area to move down towards the 50% Fibonacci level to liquidate all BUY orders in the 2880-2900 zone, and will then adjust strongly upwards again in the mid-week and weekend sessions Wishing you all profitable trading. RioNguyen
? US30 Trade Outlook 10/03/2025? ? Market Structure & Key Levels The Dow Jones (US30) is in a downtrend, currently testing a critical support level. A potential bearish continuation is in play, with price aiming for lower levels if the 42,176.69 support breaks. ? Key Observations: ✅ Bearish Momentum – Price remains below key moving averages. ✅Break & Retest Setup – 42,176.69 level is crucial for further downside. ✅ Potential Downside Target – 41,491.21 is the next major support zone. ? Trade Idea: If price breaks and retests 42,176.69, a short entry could be considered targeting 41,491.21. Confirmation through rejection and volume will be key before entering shorts. ? Stay patient. Trade smart. Manage risk. ? JOIN FREE TELEGRAM FOR MORE -> https://t.me/swift_trades_updates
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Der Kinostart von Accountant 2 ist nicht mehr fern und jetzt geben erste Reviews Einblick in die Rückkehr von Ben Affleck, die nicht nur an der Action-Front punktet.
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