? Fibonacci Levels: 100% Fib extension (~$74,146): Currently acting as a key resistance — price is reacting to it. 127.20% ($93,137) and 141.4% ($103,051): Next major resistance zones — likely targets if the uptrend continues. 161.8% ($117,259): A very bullish projection, and possibly the top of Wave (5). These are classic take-profit levels for longer-term bulls. ? Elliott Wave Count (Speculative): The chart seems to be suggesting a Wave (3) top around current or slightly higher levels. A Wave (4) correction is expected to drop toward the midline of the ascending channel (possibly FWB:65K –$68K area). Followed by a final Wave (5) rally — possibly targeting $103K to $117K. This is a bullish long-term outlook with one more correction before the final blow-off top. ? Trend Channel: The price is trading within a long-term ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance very well. Wave (5) projection is pointing to the upper boundary of the channel — potentially aligning with the 161.8% Fib at $117K. ? Support Zones: FWB:65K to $68K: Strong area of potential support (between 86%–100% Fib and mid-channel). $47K: 61.8% Fib — solid structural support if there's a deeper correction. ? Bearish Warning: The red arrow near the top suggests a potential rejection around the $93K–$103K area. Could lead to a false breakout or a sharp Wave (4) correction. ? Summary – End of 2025 BTC Outlook Based on This Chart: Scenario A (Bullish): ? Target: $103K – $117K Timing: End of 2025 (Wave (5) peak) Conditions: BTC holds FWB:65K –$68K on corrections, follows Elliott Wave path. Scenario B (Bearish Rejection): ? Pullback to FWB:65K or even $47K Potential double top or failed breakout
? GEX (Gamma Exposure) – Options Sentiment Overview ? PUT Dominance at 452 – Market on the Edge * QQQ is trading directly at the highest negative NET GEX level at 452.31, marking it as the PUT trigger zone. * A breakdown below 452 opens the gates toward 450, where the 2nd PUT Wall (-13.23%) adds further downside acceleration. * This is a high-risk gamma zone: dealers are short gamma and could fuel a liquidation flush if price stays under 452. ? CALL Walls Stack from 456–463 * The nearest CALL resistance zone sits between 456–458, topped by 461–463, all stacked with hedging activity. * Strongest net positive GEX (gamma ceiling) sits around 458–460, aligning with macro rejection zones. ? Options Sentiment Snapshot: * IVR: 46.7 → Moderate volatility, but still supportive of fast swings. * IVx avg: 34.8, down –11.25%, showing vol is compressing while risk increases — dangerous combo. * PUTs 67.6% → Overwhelmingly PUT-heavy environment, a signal of dealer short gamma pressure — one move down can feed the next. ? GEX Implications: * Break below 452 → Expect momentum to ramp toward 450 → 448 → 440 range. * Bounce off 452 → Needs strong reclaim of 456–458 to reverse gamma flow — very difficult without macro help. ?️ 1-Hour Technical Analysis https://www.tradingview.com/x/WIzbiI9S/ Structure: * QQQ broke down from an ascending wedge and is now retesting prior support at 452.47. * Price is below all EMAs and losing VWAP — confirms bearish control. Indicators: * MACD: Weak and diverging bearishly — no sign of reversal strength. * RSI: Dipping under 40, near oversold, but no bullish divergence visible yet. Key Levels to Watch: * Support: 452 → 450 → 448 → 440 * Resistance: 456 → 458 → 464.98 ? Final Thoughts: QQQ is sitting on the edge of a gamma trap at 452. With PUTs dominant and technicals confirming weakness, there’s a real risk of continued slide toward 450–448 or lower if bulls can’t reclaim the 456 zone quickly. GEX suggests heavy dealer hedging is active — so expect volatility, and prepare for a momentum spike if 452 fails. This is not financial advice. Always trade with risk management, and let price action confirm your plan before executing.
By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bullish sentiment prevails.
Team, gold has been pumped non-stop on fearing trump tariff But the current price indicates a double top We expect the falling range around 3260 to 3215 current price is 3272 - if stop loss at 3285 Once the price hits 3265, bring the stop loss to BE and target a further range. We do not often trade gold only sometimes.
? GEX (Gamma Exposure) – Options Sentiment Overview ? High-Risk Gamma Pivot Around 186–185.8 * IWM is sitting exactly on its highest negative NET GEX zone at 185.82, making this a key inflection point. * Dealers are likely long gamma here — a break below can force rapid adjustments, pushing the ETF toward 183–182, where more negative GEX builds. ? Dense CALL Walls at 187–190–192 * There’s strong CALL resistance stacked between 187.94 and 192.12, with 190 and 192 showing large hedging flow. * Any upside attempt will likely stall into these zones without strong volume or macro support. ? GEX Sentiment Breakdown: * IVR: 43.3 → Moderately elevated, volatility potential remains. * IVx avg: 34.8, currently down –14.73%, signals a possible volatility contraction, which could hurt premium buyers and favor a grind or drop. * PUTS: 53% → Extremely heavy PUT positioning, indicating dealers are short gamma to the downside and could fuel accelerated selloffs if 185 fails. ? GEX Flow Summary: * If 186 holds, expect more chop between 186–188. * If 185.8 breaks, price could snap toward 183 → 182 → 180, where next levels of PUT walls await. ?️ Technical Analysis – 1 Hour Chart Breakdown https://www.tradingview.com/x/SwVsLdf4/ Price Structure: * Price is tightly coiled at the apex of a descending triangle. * Support is showing stress at 184.97–185.8, with lower highs forming — this looks bearish unless bulls reclaim the wedge. Indicator Confirmation: * MACD: Flat and neutral, no bullish crossover in sight. * RSI: Grinding lower under 50, consistent with bear pressure building. Levels to Watch: * Support: 185.8 → 183 → 182 → 180 * Resistance: 187.9 → 190 → 192.1 ? Final Thoughts: IWM is caught at a crucial gamma pivot with both sides hedged and waiting. Dealers are loaded with PUTs — if this slips under 185.8, we could see amplified selling toward 182 or even lower. However, if bulls reclaim 187.5 and flip VWAP, then 190 becomes possible. This is a gamma squeeze waiting for a trigger — prepare for volatility. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always use proper risk management and let price confirm your bias.
The price of gold broke through the shock range in one fell swoop, and showed an accelerated upward trend. It has successfully refreshed the historical high and reached the 3275 line. It directly broke through the new high, and the short-term adjustment ended. Finally, the adjustment was completed in a shocking manner. The current decline of gold is an opportunity to go long. The short-term operation of gold is recommended to go long on the pullback and short on the rebound. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3275-3280 is the focus, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3245-3240 is the focus. Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near the rebound of 3275-3280, stop loss 6 points, target near 3255-3250, break to see the 3245 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Go long (buy up) two-tenths of the position in batches near the pullback of gold near 3245-3248, stop loss 6 points, target near 3260-3275, break to see the 3280 line;
? GEX (Gamma Exposure) – Options Flow Analysis ? Heavy PUT Pressure at 179–175 * AMZN is trading just above its highest negative GEX zone at 179.30, which marks the top of a dense PUT support zone. * A breakdown below 179 may trigger aggressive dealer hedging and push price swiftly to 175, then 172.5 where second PUT Wall is located. * Further support sits around 170, with a deeper PUT wall at 166.94. ? Resistance Cluster at 185–190 * Above price, multiple CALL resistance levels stack tightly from 185 → 187.5 → 190. * The 86.44% CALL Resistance at 190 marks the gamma ceiling — dealers are short CALLs and likely to hedge against rallies here, making upside stickiness high. ? GEX Sentiment Summary: * IVR: 58.4 → Volatility is elevated, traders are hedging more aggressively. * IVx: 49.2, down –9.59%, shows softening vol despite rising risk — hinting a potential vol crush if breakdowns continue. * PUTs only 14.4%, but concentrated around current price levels — enough to trigger sharp gamma-driven moves on breakdowns. ? GEX Implications: * Bearish trigger if AMZN loses 179 — opens room to 175, 172.5, possibly 170–166.9. * Bullish bounce only holds if 179 defends and price reclaims 183+, but faces strong CALL resistance near 190. ?️ Technical Analysis – 1 Hour Chart https://www.tradingview.com/x/R0EKHBGr/ Trend Analysis: * AMZN broke below both VWAP and rising support line, confirming bearish short-term trend. * Price is compressing inside a descending triangle, now threatening a full breakdown. Indicators: * MACD: Bearish crossover is holding, with no bullish momentum yet. * RSI: Falling under 40, no divergence forming — confirms sellers still in control. Key Zones to Watch: * Support: 179 → 175 → 172.5 → 170 → 166.94 * Resistance: 183.5 → 185 → 188.42 → 190 ? Final Thoughts: AMZN is perched right above a gamma cliff, with GEX showing dominant PUT support that could flip into downside acceleration on any weakness under 179. CALL resistance above is dense and unrelenting, especially ahead of earnings. Bulls need a sharp reclaim of 183+ to neutralize risk — otherwise, this chart favors continuation lower into the mid-170s. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management and let price confirm your bias.
? GEX (Gamma Exposure) – Options Sentiment Analysis ? Key PUT Pressure Zone at 155–152.5 * GOOGL is currently hovering above its highest negative GEX level at 155.14, which aligns with a thick PUT support wall. * A breakdown below 155 could trigger gamma-induced acceleration to 152.5, then quickly toward 150, where another major PUT wall sits. ? Resistance Cluster Overhead at 157.5–162.5 * GEX shows a dense band of CALL resistance forming between 157.5 and 162.5, topped off by another CALL wall around 165. * Dealers will likely hedge downward moves aggressively below 155, while upside attempts could struggle to break through the 160–162 band unless sentiment flips. ? Options Data Summary: * IVR: 54.6 → Elevated implied volatility rank, indicating heightened option premiums. * IVx: 46.6 with a –10.67% drop, suggesting traders are de-risking or volatility is being absorbed. * PUTS make up 15.8%, which is moderate but growing — enough to trigger strong downside gamma flows if breakdown happens. ? GEX Scenario Outlook: * Bearish Trigger: A flush under 155 likely unlocks 152 → 150 → 145 range targets fast. * Bullish Reversal: Needs to reclaim 157.5, then challenge the 160–162.5 zone, where CALL hedging could stall any rally. ?️ Technical Analysis – 1H Chart Summary https://www.tradingview.com/x/0jA44WBQ/ Trend Weakening: * GOOGL is breaking down from a rising wedge and has lost VWAP and short EMAs. * Selling volume is increasing while momentum fades — confirming short-term bearish bias. MACD: * Bearish crossover confirmed, histogram widening on the downside. RSI: * Sliding under 40, no sign of bullish divergence — momentum supports further downside. Key Technical Zones: * Support: 155.14 (GEX support), 152, 149.96, 141.78 * Resistance: 157.5, 160, 162.31 ? Final Thoughts: GOOGL is resting on critical GEX PUT support at 155 — a break here could act like a trapdoor to 150 or even sub-145 levels. On the other hand, bulls must break through layered CALL walls up to 162.5 to regain any control. With IV cooling, GEX dominant to the downside, and technicals aligning, caution is key. Wait for confirmation — this is a gamma-driven battleground. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Idea: After a strong bullish rally earlier this week, GBPJPY has now pulled back to a key ascending trendline, which has acted as dynamic support over time. This retest is signaling a potential continuation of the bullish momentum. Zooming into the lower timeframe (1-minute), a strong Order Block (OB) has formed right at the intersection of the trendline support, offering high confluence for a long setup. This OB also aligns perfectly with the 4H trendline, adding more weight to the bias. Confluences supporting the bullish continuation: Retest of the 4H ascending trendline (higher timeframe support) Fresh 1-minute bullish Order Block at the zone Price showing signs of reaction/rejection at the OB zone Bullish market structure still intact No major resistance until previous swing high Entry Idea: Monitor price reaction within the OB zone (1-minute) for confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, BOS on LTF). A clean break and retest within this zone can trigger a low-risk, high-reward long position. Short-Term Target: Previous intraday high Mid-Term Target: Next key resistance level or supply zone Invalidation: Clean break below the 4H trendline and OB zone
Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.5925, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8 Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 0.5855, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 0.5970, above the 127.2% Fibo extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (https://tradu.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (https://tradu.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (https://tradu.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.