As predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin was rejected at **$100k** and is now approaching a cycle low. ? ? Current Analysis: ❌ We’re not at the bottom yet, and it’s not time to buy. ? The 1-day indicator (dark blue line) is currently at **68** and looks poised to reverse to the downside, signaling a potential cycle break. ⏳ Even if this doesn’t happen, the 1-day cycle will need approximately a week to return to the **20 range**, marking Bitcoin’s 60-day cycle low. https://www.tradingview.com/x/6orBMDTW/ ? The low could form anywhere between **$85k and $91k**. ? Remember: **Cycles don’t predict prices; they provide timing bands for tops and bottoms.** ? Next Cycle Outlook: ⚠️ The upcoming 60-day Bitcoin cycle doesn’t look promising: 1️⃣ The **1-week indicator** spent a significant amount of time above **80** and is now trending downward. 2️⃣ This cycle reflects the general trend for the next 1-2 months and currently leans **bearish**. 3️⃣ We may need more time before the market reverses to the upside. ✨ Despite this, there are intriguing opportunities in the market right now. More details are available in the **Premium group**. ✅ Stay safe, trust the cycles, and build your wealth.? Let me know if you’d like further tweaks! ?
I think sentimentally (fundamentally) we should see a long bull run coming this january. So far I have a weekly/monthly level support area being respected. I also have a minor shift in in structure level on the daily. On the 4h am patiently waiting for a retest during one of the sessions ( NY/LNDN), then to confirm an entry, I will be using the 1h. I could be wrong though since fundamentally anything can happen in january since, you know, Trump can be very unpredictable.
if you are looking for rwa try to set alarm for this level this discount might happend anytime before jan 18 ondo is my favorite coin do you like ondo @discounted price?
The price of Peraso Inc. has recently broken through multiple resistance levels, including the red descending trendline and the blue trendline, signaling strong bullish momentum. The stock has also returned to the black range, making this zone a critical level to monitor. Today's candle was a strong bullish candle with high volume, further reinforcing the potential for upward movement. A retest of these levels would provide a clearer confirmation and a better opportunity for entry. Traders should closely monitor the price action and volume at these key zones to validate the breakout and potential continuation of the bullish trend. This is my personal analysis and opinion, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
On December 26, Microsoft confirmed that its Game Pass cloud streaming platform wasn’t working as expected. Over 24 hours later, many players are still complaining about long waits and disconnects. This outage comes at a time when Microsoft has been pushing a new marketing slogan that claims everything connected to…Read more...
dearest friends thanks for following my stream of thoughts starting mid way this year. my publishing started as a way to "log" my thinking when i encountered new names to both hold myself accountable and not repeat my process, as had been the case many times before. and i figured... why not make it public, in case it added any value to the never ending game and puzzle we call "markets" (infinite quotations and IYKYK). judging by many of the likes, comments, follows and of course DMs (my favorite! you guys know who you are)... i really enjoyed it. as we turn the page into '25 1/ it's important to remember that what worked in '24 won't necessarily work in '25. however, for stories and factors that remain secular growers, there's no reason to believe they shouldn't offer further opportunity at the right prices 2/ we will face unknown unknowns. most of them, usually fake and g&y, will affect the tape and cause all sorts of bent out of shape emotions. we've all been there. but that's why it's important to show up, do the work... sunshine and rainbows or halloween at Diddy's. what's important is to have a plan and use the trading session to act, not react. and when you're confused... you're probably not alone, and sometimes the best thing to do, is nothing. 3/ technology is changing our lives at such a rapid pace and (working inside the world of Bitcoin and AI)... it concerns me a bit that most people have very little idea what's happening. while those of us who follow markets (as well), can discern these tides as the mkts are forward looking, even the markets, i believe, are not entirely pricing in this disruption for a number of reasons and the major one remains the idea that the dollar is the ultimate denominator. maybe i'll start at this (last sentence) to share my book into '25. what is the main way i'm positioning? - 3 themes. Bitcoin. AI. Energy. - concentrated - math and valuation matters to me when we look at the non mag7's (or even ex-US) in '24, it has become clear that the dollar milkshake is the best drink on the planet (for now). and with good reason. the tech moats built here are consuming the world, whether it be Google, Apple or Nvidia (or Tesla, or ... fill in the blank). even the incoming president wants to "make" Bitcoins in the US. that's the right idea. but one has to remember that we now live in such a printer go brrr "or else" world, that it's important to identify the assets that will either grow the fastest and are also not accurately priced for this growth runway. easier said than done. but many of these moats are essentially uninterruptible movies, especially as hardware now represents an (again) important input to these stories. so the denominator that i describe in the beginning of this paragraph (USD) is secondary to these asset-level denominators "money". *we have been taught that the USD is "money" and while that is technically true, it is is increasingly less true. the USD is increasingly a currency-only and the S&P, assets with harder supplies, like BTC are beginning to take a more center stage in this definition* so the goal is to be on the lookout for "money" that outperforms all other denominators. does your tech stock grow at 10% but cost you 30x PE? (like NASDAQ:AAPL ?) will that be a better "money" than NASDAQ:NVDA growing at 50% and trading at 30x PE? of course time will tell, but likely... NASDAQ:NVDA will outperform $aapl. so this is the logic. 1/ top pick remains $gdlc. it's about 25% of my book. many of you remember when it was 50%, 60% ("ALL IN" post). you're familiar with my sizing/ managing risk. and it's worked. the discount has gone from 35-40% to 10% today. it's still an excellent way to own CRYPTOCAP:BTC (about 70% of this fund is CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) and likely gets converted into an ETF in '25. but BTC remains in a precarious spot for now and i'd like to see some ST resolution on the downside before taking the size higher. more on this in future posts or if you'd want to debate in comments. 2/ second pick is $nxt. the ticker i've written most about. thesis is: solar represents largest incremental generation source for next 5-10 yrs. trackers are critical infra to these industrial deployments. there is no better solution than NASDAQ:NXT as they continue to take mkt share across the board. backlog is growing QoQ. earnings beat after earnings beat. 10% fcf yield, about 100% fcf conversion (NI->FCF) and ceo is a rockstar. it's a $60 stock today trading at $35 and at the whim of the ST flows in 1/ solar denial esp w Trump (but elon is big solar proponent), 2/ many solar names aren't best investments so water down the appetite for the passive flows/ ETFs ST and 3/ it's a rates-energy sensitive sector for now. however, NASDAQ:NXT has done an excellent job bucking all these trends and i remain confident the stock will hit its stride and don't want to keep a small position with where valuations are today (near floor IMHO) 3/ NYSE:TSM and NASDAQ:NVDA complex. i own both. just wrote about NASDAQ:NVDA this evening. NYSE:TSM is the only way all these next gen chips get built. AI/ GPU, CPU... ASICs (Bitcoin miners, among others). there is no second best. growth is 30%+, FCF yields are 5%+... "but muh taiwan risk". yeah. it's there, so what. size accordingly, be prepared. and there's $nvda. which while NYSE:TSM is 20x PE, NASDAQ:NVDA is 35x PE, but grows at 50% a year. there is no second best here either. i prefer to own the winners until proved otherwise in semis-related. the idea is to own the best verticals... and the top dog, such that valuation permits. both check these boxes. 4/ $uber. complicated, but also becoming a larger position in my book. AV (autonomous vehicles a la Musk) have taken the shine off this cash flow monster. nevermind their partnerships w/ Waymo and how AV will likely grow the transportation pie (at the expense of vehicle mfg's, NOT trips), but this will take time and the overhang is there. reminds a bit of the coof in '20 and travel names. took a while for the market (and people) to figure it all out... and resume w/ daily activities. the idea w/ NYSE:UBER is that 1/ AV isn't a winner take all market and Uber is the best demand aggregator out there and 2/ AV likely grows the transportation pie b/c cost to move is a fraction of vehicle ownership today. so you'd likely have one less vehicle as an example, and as a result, your uber, or robotaxi trips probably 10-20x in a year. so even if take rate is ultimately lower, the pie is multiples larger. anyway. big cash flow generator, growing high teens. CFO speaking recently a lot of strength going into '25. travel into YE has been solid. 4Q results likely great. stock cheap. 5/ "the bag". stuff I trade around, but worth flagging (and i won't get into shorts). this changes. but FOR NOW, i own... NASDAQ:LYFT , NASDAQ:BTDR , NYSE:S , NU, HIMS, NASDAQ:OKTA , NASDAQ:PDD , $TMDX. no particular order and not disclosing size b/c that would be distracting as i trade these around (e.g. PDD and HIMS were just re-added today lol) and a healthy 30% cash balance. in case of a dippity do dah at some pt in 1Q. many of my names are ITM C's (long dated) which allows me a full gross book... while maintaining liquidity. so there's that. it's been a good year. family, friends. jesus is lord. but let's turn the page. let's not rest on what's happened. onward and upward. love u all happy new year V PS - I picked this ticker to post on bc it made me lol :)
Im looking to 0.002 again and this time it might be last time buy opportunity. Fair Value Gap, 0.786 fibbs retrace, and Demand in general. That looks like a good area, IMO mid January. Set your alarms.
SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ Potential Moves Next Week The chart shows a possible bullish recovery scenario heading into the new week. Watch key levels like the weekly close (blue), bear day zones (red), and bullish week targets (dotted). Yellow path highlights: ? Initial consolidation → Break above key resistance. ? Retest near support → Continued bullish swing. Keep an eye on market conditions and adjust accordingly! ? #Trading #Futures #NQ100 #NASDAQ #DayTrading
We will continue out study of reading charts Today we will try to understand how to read the chart with the help of only 1 candle and Fibonacci series we will try to predict the range in which Nifty can move in the year 2025. First thing that one must understand that reading the charts is not a rocket science. What we have done is very simple and anyone can do. The candle stick that we have take in a 12 Month Candle. That means, all movement of Nifty for the full year has been encompassed by a single candle. I have then applied Fibonacci retracement and reverse retracement. Which has given us various zones that determine levels of Nifty. In Case you do not know about Fibonacci Golden ration you may read about it in my previous articles about the subject in Smart Investment. Fibonacci series was seen in ancient Indian Sanskrit and Maths in the works of Pingala and Hemachandra few Thousand years ago. The series derives its name however from Italian mathematician who made it famous in the modern era. Neutral Zone: The results that we got by applying Fibonacci and reverse Fibonacci on 12-month candle tell us that the neutral zone in case of sideways movement throughout the year would see Nifty moving between 21137 to 26277. Candles however seldom repeat on yearly scale but you never say never. These are the highs and lows of the current year. Negative Zone: If something very negative happens in the budget or thereafter on local or global scale we might see Nifty pivot to this range or 21137 to 19922. Where it could find support and reembark its journey upwards. Pessimistic Zone: In case of a catastrophe or some thing very negative on global or local / Macro or Micro economic front the range that we could see will be Nifty deteriorating towards 19922 to 18476. However, this looks unlikely as of now and even if it happens the upward journey might soon begin as PE investors might see a great value buying opportunity. Positive Zone: If things fall in place and economic progress continues, there is no deterioration of GDP or inflation and if Rupee recovers swiftly the zone between 26277 pervious peak and 27880 is possible. We may see a new peak of Nifty in this range. Optimistic Zone: In case the FII return enemas and economy continues to bloom with few elections and political stability / border stability and GDP growth continues it is quiet possible that we may see Nifty reaching new highs which will be in this range between 27880 and 30061. This seems a little distant dream as of now but you can never say never. At least if we hit the sweet spot of economy and Fibonacci golden ration even this ‘Everstsesque’ peak might be summited by Nifty. Here we have given different hypothetical scenarios of Nifty based on Fibonacci and candlestick analytics. For indepth understanding of Techno-Funda investing you can read my book which is The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. This book is available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version. The book contains valuable tips for you to maximise your profits from stock market and wealth creation. It also explains my much coveted Mother, Father and Small Child Theory. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. I, my family or my clients may have a long position in the stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
If this cycle is anything like the 2016, We are going way up.