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Wir handeln was wir sehen, nicht was wir denken

Wie versprochen, gehe ich nochmal auf den Trade von Montag ein, da dieser teilweise schmerzhafte und dennoch hochprofitable Trade gute Beispiele für mein Stopp-Management und den Umgang mit Rückläufen brachte. Das ausführliche und im Video gezeigte Journal aller hier vorgestellten Trades, inkl. Link zur jeweiligen Trade-Empfehlung/Analyse, findet Ihr im Link in meiner Bio. Zusammenfassung der Ergebnisse aller hier auf Tradingview vorgestellten Swing-Trade-Ideen: Net Gain/Loss $7,121.14 Total Commissions $46.36 % Win 58.33% % Loss 41.67% % Break Even 0.00% Average daily gain/loss $418.89 Average winning trade $671.77 Average losing trade -$228.36 Total number of trades 24 Number of winning trades 14 Number of losing trades 10 Number of break even trades 0 Max consecutive wins 4 Max consecutive losses 3 Largest gain $1,673.56 Largest loss -$479.22 Average trade gain/loss $296.71 Average hold time (winning trades) 16:49 Average hold time (lossing trades) 9:31 Max drawdown -$917.16 Average position MFE $782.75 Average position MAE -$184.39

Trump, Zölle & Zinsen – Ist das alles nur ein Plan?

Gerade brodelt es wieder an den Finanzmärkten: Neue Zölle, steigende Unsicherheit, sinkende Anleiherenditen – und viele fragen sich: „Was passiert da eigentlich gerade in den USA?“ Die kurze Antwort: Vielleicht mehr Plan als Panik. ⸻ Was macht Trump? Trump hat zuletzt wieder Zölle auf ausländische Waren angekündigt – das klingt erstmal schlecht für den Welthandel. Aber: Zölle bremsen kurzfristig die Wirtschaft. Und genau das setzt die US-Zentralbank (Fed) unter Druck, die Zinsen zu senken, um die Konjunktur zu stabilisieren. ⸻ Warum das wichtig ist: Die USA haben über 34 Billionen Dollar Schulden. Jeder Prozentpunkt Zins kostet hunderte Milliarden. Wenn die Zinsen also sinken, kann sich Amerika viel günstiger neu verschulden. Das heißt: Weniger Zinsen zahlen → mehr Spielraum für den Staat. ⸻ Was bedeutet das für den Markt? Natürlich verunsichern solche politischen Spielzüge viele Anleger. Aber: Das könnte alles ein strategischer Poker sein. Trump kennt das Spiel mit Druck, Märkten und der Fed – und er weiß: Ein sinkender Leitzins kann Aktien und Wirtschaft wieder pushen. ⸻ Was du jetzt wissen solltest: • Zölle → Wirtschaft schwächelt → Fed senkt Zinsen • Niedrige Zinsen → Staat zahlt weniger → Markt beruhigt sich • Langfristig → Zölle meist verhandelbar, aber Zinssenkungen bleiben ⸻ Fazit: Keine Panik – es ist (vermutlich) ein Plan. Trump spielt Schach, nicht Mau-Mau. Die Fed ist vorsichtig, die Märkte schwanken – aber der große Knall? Wahrscheinlich bleibt er aus.

BTC untethers from the equities market

The recent sell off in the stock market has created immense uncertainty in the market. But where does crypto stand amongst all of this? Surprisingly, it seems like crypto hasn't moved much in the last couple days despite pretty much every other market getting hammered. So what does this mean? Either this is the calm before the storm, and the crypto market will see a sharp correction in the coming days, or this is a signal that money may start moving into BTC. The tariff-induced sell off actually could lead to a catalyst event for BTC and many other cryptos to return to its bull cycle and there are many indicators that point towards this. Firstly, it's important to remain cautious during this period of time as the market decides whether or not it can support another leg up for the cryptocurrency market. Both sides of the coin are possible and BTC could test it's lower support region ~65-70k if the bulls fail to hold support in this region. On the other hand, if BTC continues to outperform, investors may start pumping money back into BTC as we test the upper resistance near 105-110k. Another important point to make is the USD losing value. Looking at the DXY, we are nearing a critical support level of 100 which could be a make or break point. If the dollar continues to fall, it could feed into a bullish BTC scenario. Cyclically, BTC has yet to reach its top so we will see how the market reacts in the coming weeks.

TradeCityPro | BNB: Analyzing Its Position in the Crypto Titans

? Welcome to TradeCity Pro! From today, we're returning to our usual routine on the channel, where we will provide two altcoin analyses and one Bitcoin analysis daily. ? In this analysis, I want to review the BNB coin for you. It's one of the most important cryptocurrencies, with a market cap of $84 billion, ranking 5th in CoinMarketCap. ? This coin is officially for Binance exchange and is part of the projects that are profiting from the crypto space with a positive balance sheet. Let’s technically analyze this coin as well. ? Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, there is a very large range box from 208 to 662 where the price has been moving since 2021. ? Currently, in the last leg where the price moved, it was supported at the area of 208 and began to form a base, then after breaking 352, it started an upward movement up to the resistance area of 662 to 746. ✔️ After reaching this area, a corrective and resting phase of the price began, and a box has formed between this area and the 501 area. The 501 area overlaps with the 0.236 Fibonacci, making it a very important PRZ for BNB. ❌ If you already own BNB, you can set your stop loss if the price consolidates below the 501 area because if this area is broken, the next significant support the price has is the 352 area, which is the most crucial support in this trend and overlaps with the golden Fibonacci area, and a fall to this area could happen. ? For buying in spot, first of all, you must wait until buying volume enters the market so that the price can move upwards. The main trigger for spot is the break of 746, and if this area is broken, the main upward trend can start because the box that the price has built since 2021 will also be broken. ? Let’s move to the daily timeframe to analyze the price movement in the short term. https://www.tradingview.com/x/BxNloZfd/ ? Daily Timeframe In this timeframe, we also have a range box from 484 to 750, and in this leg, an expanding triangle has formed, which causes the market volatility to increase and the price to show less reaction to static areas. ⭐ On the other hand, because we have a range box and the price is ranging, we can't rely much on indicators and oscillators because they give us incorrect data. ? In this market condition, we shouldn't check too much data and unnecessarily clutter the chart. For a long position, you can enter with the break of the 638 area. It would be better if this break occurs simultaneously or after the triangle break, allowing for more risk. ? The main trigger for buying in spot, as mentioned in the weekly timeframe, is 746, which becomes 750 in this timeframe, and you can proceed with your spot purchase if this area is broken. ? For short positions and in general for a bearish scenario, the first trigger is 569, which is a very risky trigger, and in my opinion, we should wait for the price to react to it to be sure of the exact place of this area. ✨ The next triggers are 531 and 484, where 531 is a logical trigger and 484 is the main trigger for a trend change in the large market cycle. ? Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️

Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 4/5/2025

Finally we see another red candle on goldy. A lot of people said this could be the end for the bull. However, I don't think yet as currently it is only in the middle of the 4th wave. The next two weeks would be crucial. If we see another green weekly candle, we will be on the way to the final wave, which i think will be the end for the bull for this year. For next week's setup, I will engage selling orders for the first few days while be cautious towards the end of the week. My bearish targets are 3000 and 2960. If either of the two numbers blocks the bear's path, we could a see a rebound. Let's see how the market plays out next week.

Wipro where to accumulate

Wipro 246 - As we have posted earlier Wipro has moved down from 320 to 249 and still moving down, We expect Wipro will test our target of 218 in coming days and give us a good opportunity to accumulate.

NZD/JPY DAILY TIMEFRAME CONTINUES TO DROP! POSITION FOR A SELL

Price dropped lower which further showed weakness In NZD against JPY .Coming week, I anticipate a retracement to 84.992 for a further sell. The OVERLALL market flow remains bearish coupled with the 200EMA showing bearish sentiment. A sell opportunity is envisaged once price retraces to 84.992

Bitcoin is consolidating in narrow zone of Triangle

Bitcoin is consolidating in narrow zone of Triangle. Waiting for breakout

Potential bounce back to 3$

it was doing a sell off for a while with a 0.4 bounce. NASDAQ:PI broke out its falling wedge potential 3 dollar target. currently doing a retest to 0.5 area.

Gold is undergoing a drastic shakeout. Can the bears take the in

After the breakout in the previous upward trend of gold continued. The price and the 2830 low began to form a new upward trend. After three highs in 4 hours, the price also reached the 3168 line. Subsequently, this week and the high were violently washed, and the rise and fall of both long and short positions were expanded to 100 US dollars. The current price is supported by the 3000 line, which is also the long-short dividing line formed by the rising trend line. If this position is broken, gold may fall to 2956. The resistance of 3085 above is suppressed. If this position is broken, gold will continue the bullish trend. Overall, although gold has been violently washed at high levels, the overall bullish trend pattern has not been broken. The operation is still based on low-multiple ideas. Gold operation suggestions: when the price falls back to the 3000-3020 area, long orders are arranged in batches, and the stop loss is broken below 2982 as the stop loss basis. The upward targets are 3050, 3065, and the break above 3085 continues the bullish trend. For short positions, it is recommended to participate in short-term short positions when the price rebounds to the 3060-3070 area under pressure, and use the stop loss as the basis for breaking through 3085. The downside targets are 3034, 3020, and breaking below 3000.