✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 03/3/2025 - 03/07/2025 ? World situation: US President Donald Trump confirmed that 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods will take effect next week on March 4. Meanwhile, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Core PCE Price Index, signaled continued progress toward the central bank’s 2% target. Following the data, expectations for further Fed policy easing grew. According to Prime Market Terminal, the Fed is anticipated to cut rates by 70 basis points this year, with investors betting on the first reduction in June. ? Identify: Breaking the trend, gold continues to maintain a downtrend ? Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2876, $2903, $2956 Support : $2810, $2773 ? NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Bitcoin is displaying a bullish structure on the 1-hour, 2-hour, and 4-hour timeframes, presenting an opportunity to look for a long position with a tight stop-loss. However, we should not disregard the possibility of a downward manipulation in the form of a spike before the upward movement. Since this analysis is based on a 1-hour timeframe, the trade should materialize within 14 to 18 hours. Stay updated and follow me to continue profiting!
Title: “ES Futures: Tensions Ahead of the Trump-Zelensky Confrontation” As markets gear up for what could be a pivotal geopolitical showdown, the S&P 500 E-mini Futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) are reflecting cautious positioning. The recent price action has been telling: early-day balance on Thursday gave way to late-session liquidations, and Friday saw a near mirror reversal. This behavior may point to either month-end rebalancing or anticipation of the Trump-Zelensky meeting, where market sentiment seems to be taking cues from factors beyond conventional U.S. policy narratives. Key Insights: • Intraday Dynamics: Thursday’s session witnessed initial equilibrium followed by marked liquidation toward the close, suggesting profit-taking or defensive rebalancing. On Friday, the reversal of Thursday’s moves hints at market indecision—a potential prelude to heightened volatility. • Geopolitical Catalysts: The upcoming Trump-Zelensky meeting appears to be a significant driver. Beyond traditional economic factors, markets seem to be pricing in geopolitical risk, as evidenced by the nuanced trading patterns observed in early March. • Market Breadth: While the spotlight is on ES futures, other instruments are in play: • European Front ( EUREX:FDXM1! ): Watch for reactions post-meeting, as European leaders might rally in response. • Safe Havens ( COMEX_MINI:MGC1! & NYMEX:CL1! ): Gold and oil futures are likely to serve as bellwethers for risk sentiment. • The Dollar ( CAPITALCOM:DXY ): Expected to strengthen amid a flight to quality, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment. The market, as always, seems to understand dynamics that sometimes elude policymakers. As we approach this high-stakes meeting, prepare for a potential surge in volatility across asset classes. What are your thoughts on this geopolitical gamble, and how are you positioning your portfolio in anticipation of these events?
? Date: March 2, 2025 ? Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) I. Market Overview: The Current Landscape BINANCE:BTCUSD has been experiencing significant volatility in recent weeks. With prices currently hovering around $85,948, the market has seen sharp corrections followed by minor recoveries. This price action suggests a tug-of-war between bulls and bears as BTC approaches key resistance and support levels. Macro factors such as inflation data, regulatory developments, and institutional adoption continue to influence Bitcoin’s trajectory. The global economic landscape remains uncertain, with interest rate policies from the Federal Reserve playing a pivotal role in shaping risk appetite across markets. II. Technical Analysis: Decoding the Charts 1. Daily Chart (D1) - Identifying the Macro Trend Trend Analysis: Bitcoin has recently experienced a pullback from the $95,000 level, correcting down to the $80,000-$85,000 range before showing signs of stabilization. Support Levels: The nearest major support stands around $82,000, with a more substantial floor at $78,500 if selling pressure increases. Resistance Levels: The immediate resistance is around $88,500-$90,000. A break above this zone could trigger a fresh rally toward the $100,000 psychological mark. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 31.13, indicating that Bitcoin is approaching oversold territory, which could signal a potential rebound. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram is showing negative momentum, but a bullish crossover could occur if buying pressure increases. Volume Analysis: There was a significant surge in volume during the recent dip, suggesting that buyers may be accumulating at lower levels. 2. 4-Hour Chart (H4) - Medium-Term Insights Short-Term Trend: BTC is attempting to recover from recent losses, forming a higher low pattern around $84,000. RSI: At 49.42, Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold, suggesting a neutral stance. MACD: Showing early signs of bullish momentum, indicating a possible continuation of the recent rebound. Key Level to Watch: If BTC can break and hold above $87,000, we may see further bullish action toward $90,000. 3. 1-Hour Chart (H1) - Intraday Trading Perspective Short-Term Trend: Bitcoin is consolidating in a tight range between $85,000-$86,500. RSI: Slightly over 60.70, suggesting mild bullish momentum but not yet in the overbought zone. MACD: Bullish crossover confirmed, but price action needs to hold above $86,000 to validate a continued move higher. Volume Analysis: Low volume indicates a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at this stage. III. Fundamental Analysis: Key Drivers Behind Bitcoin’s Movement ? Macroeconomic Factors: U.S. Federal Reserve Policy: Recent statements from the Fed suggest a potential pause or slowdown in interest rate hikes, which could benefit BTC as a hedge against inflation. Institutional Demand: Large financial firms continue to accumulate Bitcoin, with ETF inflows showing positive sentiment. Regulatory News: Any clarity on cryptocurrency regulation will play a significant role in determining BTC’s next major move. ? On-Chain Metrics: Exchange Reserves: Bitcoin exchange reserves have decreased, suggesting that holders prefer to keep their BTC in private wallets—a bullish indicator. Whale Activity: Large transactions (above $10M) have surged, indicating potential institutional accumulation. IV. Market Sentiment Analysis: What Are Traders Thinking? Fear & Greed Index: Currently at 45 (Neutral to Slight Fear), indicating that the market is cautious but not yet in extreme fear territory. Social Media & News Sentiment: Increasing discussions around Bitcoin ETFs and potential bullish cycles suggest that the broader community still holds a positive outlook. However, concerns over potential market manipulation and regulatory scrutiny remain a key risk. V. Trading Strategy & Key Levels to Watch 1. Swing Trading Strategy Entry (Buy) Zone: $84,500 - $85,500 (Accumulation area) Take Profit (TP) Levels: First TP: $88,500 Second TP: $92,000 Stop Loss (SL): $82,000 (Below strong support) 2. Scalping Strategy (Short-Term) Entry: Buy BTC if price holds above $86,000 Target: $87,500 - $88,000 Stop Loss: $85,000 3. Bearish Scenario (If BTC Breaks Below $82,000) Next Support Levels: $78,500 and $75,000 Potential Shorting Opportunity Below: $82,000 with TP at $79,000 and SL at $85,000 VI. Conclusion & Final Thoughts Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture, with price action indicating potential for both a rebound and further downside risk. The coming days will be crucial, with traders needing to watch key levels such as $86,000 (short-term resistance) and $82,000 (major support). If Bitcoin can hold above $85,000, we may see another attempt to reclaim $90,000. However, failure to maintain support levels could trigger a drop toward $78,500. ? 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Market Analysis: Anticipating March Volatility The market is demonstrating superior collective intelligence through recent price action. The EUREX:FDXM1! index has established balanced profile patterns over several consecutive sessions, indicating a lack of directional conviction among participants. This consolidation phase suggests market participants are in a holding pattern, awaiting catalytic information before committing to directional positions . Friday, February 28th marked both month-end rebalancing and a critical geopolitical event as markets positioned ahead of the Trump-Zelensky meeting. The subsequent contentious Oval Office exchange between the US and Ukrainian presidents on February 28th has created significant geopolitical uncertainty . This high-stakes diplomatic confrontation, which ended without the anticipated minerals agreement being signed, has introduced a new variable into market equations . Projected Market Impact Early March is likely to experience heightened volatility across multiple asset classes: - **European and US Indices**: The breakdown in US-Ukraine relations and resulting implications for European security policy will likely trigger significant price swings in both US and European equity markets . With European leaders now forced to reconsider their defense strategies in light of potentially diminishing US support, market participants must reprice risk premiums accordingly . - **Commodities**: Oil and gold NYMEX:CL1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! markets should see amplified movement as geopolitical tensions typically drive safe-haven flows and energy price speculation . - **Currency Markets**: The dollar CAPITALCOM:DXY is positioned to strengthen against major currencies as uncertainty typically benefits the world's reserve currency, particularly when European geopolitical stability comes into question . The DAX futures, currently showing mixed signals from analysts with projections ranging from 17,500 to potentially higher levels by year-end, will likely experience increased volatility in the near term as markets digest these developments .
This analysis suggests that Bitcoin completed a major cycle in November 2022 and subsequently began an upward trend, characterized by an extended Wave (3) of the Intermediate degree, following Elliott Wave Theory principles. A recent breakdown below the Minor Wave 4 indicates a potential retracement. The analysis identifies a key retracement zone at approximately 61.8% of the previous upward move, potentially representing the Wave ((2)) of the Primary degree. This level is crucial for observing potential support and a trend reversal. Disclaimer : Not Financial Advice : This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It should not be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any cryptocurrency. Market Volatility : The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and subject to rapid and unpredictable price swings. Risk of Loss : Trading and investing in cryptocurrencies involve substantial risk of loss. You could lose some or all of your invested capital. Independent Research : You should conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD has been one of the most talked-about assets in recent months, demonstrating a strong uptrend before experiencing a sharp pullback. Traders and investors are now asking: Is this the end of the bull market, or is it just a healthy correction before another leg up? At FuInvest, we analyze the market from three essential perspectives: technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market psychology to provide a comprehensive view of gold’s price action and the best trading strategies moving forward. 1️⃣ Fundamental Analysis: Macro Trends Driving Gold Prices Gold's recent price movements have been heavily influenced by economic and geopolitical factors: U.S. Interest Rates & Federal Reserve Policy ?? The Fed’s monetary policy remains a key driver of gold prices. While inflation has shown signs of cooling, recent hawkish statements from the Fed suggest interest rates may remain elevated longer than expected. Higher rates generally weaken gold, as they increase the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. Global Economic Uncertainty & Recession Fears ?? Concerns over slowing economic growth in China and the Eurozone have increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, a strengthening U.S. dollar has partially offset gold’s upside potential. Geopolitical Risks & Market Sentiment ?⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East have led to periodic spikes in gold prices. However, without a major escalation, the market seems to be focusing more on macroeconomic trends. 2️⃣ Technical Analysis: Decoding the Price Action Daily Chart (D1) – Long-Term Trend Outlook ? ? Trend: The long-term trend remains bullish, but the recent drop signals a potential shift in momentum. ? Key Support: $2,800 – A critical psychological and technical support zone. ? Key Resistance: $2,900 – A break above this could signal a continuation of the uptrend. ? RSI: Currently at 49.68, indicating a neutral position but approaching oversold territory. ? MACD: Shows a bearish crossover, suggesting short-term downside pressure. ? Verdict: The broader trend is still intact, but a deeper pullback toward the $2,800 support level is possible before the next bullish move. 4-Hour Chart (H4) – Medium-Term Perspective ? ? Recent Price Action: Gold has seen a steady decline but found temporary support around $2,832. ? Volume Analysis: Increased selling volume indicates strong bearish pressure, but signs of buyer accumulation are emerging. ? RSI: 31.22, entering oversold territory, suggesting a potential reversal soon. ? MACD: Strongly bearish but showing signs of divergence, hinting at an upcoming bounce. ? Verdict: A short-term rebound is likely, but sustained upside movement requires confirmation above $2,875. 1-Hour Chart (H1) – Short-Term Trading Setup ⚡ ? Current Price: $2,858 ? Immediate Resistance: $2,875 – Short-term traders should watch for a breakout. ? Immediate Support: $2,840 – If broken, expect further declines toward $2,810. ? RSI: 35.25, showing short-term oversold conditions. ? MACD: Weak bearish momentum, indicating potential consolidation before the next move. ? Verdict: Short-term traders can look for buying opportunities near $2,840 with a stop loss below $2,820. 3️⃣ Market Psychology: How Traders Are Reacting ? Fear & Greed Index: Traders are exhibiting fear, as reflected in gold’s recent sell-off. Historically, such moments create buying opportunities for smart investors. Retail vs. Institutional Sentiment: Retail traders are panicking, while institutional investors are accumulating gold near strong support levels. Liquidity Zones: High trading volumes near $2,850–$2,860 suggest this area will be a battleground for bulls and bears. ? FuInvest Trading Strategy & Recommendations Based on our multi-faceted analysis, here’s the optimal trading plan: ? Scenario 1: Buying the Dip (Recommended Strategy) Entry: Buy near $2,840–$2,850 Stop Loss: Below $2,820 (to avoid deeper declines) Take Profit: $2,875–$2,900 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (highly favorable setup) ? Scenario 2: Short-Term Sell (If Breakdown Occurs) Entry: Sell if price breaks below $2,840 Stop Loss: Above $2,860 Take Profit: $2,810–$2,800 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Conclusion: What’s Next for Gold? ? ✅ The long-term bullish trend remains intact, but short-term corrections are creating volatility. ✅ A potential rebound from support at $2,840–$2,850 is likely, offering a buying opportunity. ✅ A break below $2,840 could lead to further downside pressure toward $2,800. ✅ Institutional investors are eyeing key levels for accumulation, signaling possible upside momentum soon. ? Stay tuned to FuInvest for daily updates and strategic insights to stay ahead of the market! ??
Im back again with an analysis on Tesla (please feel free to check out the previous one: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/Z23c2pRO-TSLA-Inverse-Head-and-Shoulder/) Tesla has had a rough couple of weeks more related to political sentiment than the company fundamentals itself. Now Tesla is testing a key support level highlighted by 1) the trendline support 2 the anchored Vwap from the low of April 2024 3) The Fibonacci 38.2% level Should this support level hold (because we know nothing is guaranteed), We should see some serious upside. Target 1 would be to regain the $485 all time high and target 2 would be the 1.618 Fib level currently sitting at $689 (you read that right). The reason I like this trade is that it is a very low risk in the sense that it is sitting on the support level therefore you can manage risk fairly easily and keep it small if it doesn't hold. This is however a mid to long term play. Feel free to comment what stock you would want to see me cover or what indicator and ill make some time for it. PS this is for educational purposes only and this is not a trade recommendation in any way or form. Stay green.
Entry conditions: (i) lower share price for ASX:CWY along with swing up of the DMI indicators and swing down of the RSI indicator, and (ii) observation of market reaction at the support level at $2.55. Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) above the resistance level from the open of 7th January (i.e.: above $2.64).
Einen der unterhaltsamsten und witzigsten Sci-Fi-Kultfilme überhaupt könnt ihr euch heute im TV ansehen. Der macht nicht nur Spaß, sondern auch viel kaputt.