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Sugar Market: Higher U.S. Production and Global Trade Shifts

Rising U.S. Sugar Production and Its Impact on Prices In recent years, the United States has witnessed a notable increase in sugar production, driven by advancements in agricultural technology and favorable weather conditions. This growth has contributed to reduced reliance on imports, particularly from Mexico, which has traditionally been one of the largest suppliers of sugar to the U.S. market. While this development enhances domestic self-sufficiency, it also exerts downward pressure on both domestic and international sugar prices, reshaping global trade dynamics. The shift in U.S. production patterns has significant implications for global markets. With increased domestic supply, the need for imports diminishes, impacting countries like Mexico that depend heavily on exports to the United States. This trend could lead to long-term adjustments in global trade flows, as other nations seek alternative buyers or adapt their own production strategies. Challenges Facing Mexico's Sugar Industry Mexico's sugar industry faces mounting challenges amid declining exports to the United States. In addition to competition from rising U.S. production, Mexican producers grapple with internal issues such as outdated infrastructure, water scarcity, and insufficient investment in modernization. These factors erode the competitiveness of Mexican sugar compared to its American counterpart, further complicating efforts to maintain market share. Moreover, regulatory changes and evolving trade agreements add another layer of complexity. For instance, stricter quality standards and fluctuating quotas have created uncertainty for Mexican exporters, forcing them to explore new markets while addressing existing inefficiencies. Changes in Import Patterns and Their Implications Despite increased domestic production, the United States continues to import sugar to meet consumer demand. However, the composition of these imports is shifting. Data from USDA indicates that Mexico's share of U.S. sugar imports is decreasing, giving way to other major producers such as Brazil and Thailand, known for their cost advantages and flexible trading terms. This realignment reflects broader trends in global agriculture, where emerging economies leverage competitive pricing and scalable operations to capture larger portions of international markets. For stakeholders in the U.S. sugar sector, understanding these shifts is critical. Companies must evaluate how changing import patterns affect supply chains, pricing strategies, and overall profitability. At the same time, policymakers face the challenge of balancing domestic interests with international obligations, ensuring fair competition without undermining local industries. Looking Ahead The evolving landscape of the global sugar market underscores the importance of adaptability and innovation. As the United States continues to boost its production capabilities, it sets a precedent for other countries to follow suit. Meanwhile, traditional exporters like Mexico must rethink their approaches to remain relevant in an increasingly dynamic environment. By embracing technological advancements, optimizing resource utilization, and exploring diversified markets, players across the sugar value chain can position themselves for sustained success in the years ahead. ECONOMICS:WWSPI OANDA:SUGARUSD SET:KSL

Triangle consolidation pattern forming in Gold.

On 1 HR Timeframe its consolidating and forming triangle pattern. Can turn out to be bull flag if it breaks above. Can trade downwards also. If it gives breakdown.

1:2 RR made on EURCAD, but now what?

I was hoping for more... The CAD fundamentals are very poor, and inflation is currently under control, so the Bank of Canada may continue to cut rates. I'm not keen on buying the EUR. However, this trade is based on CAD weakness and strong EURCAD price action, more than a stronger euro. But, hey, Euro Area inflation is climbing and above target, so the ECB's rate-cutting cycle may be over. I want to go long again. OANDA:EURCAD is clearly up-trending within a bullish channel on the weekly. However, it is ranging and choppy on the daily. The 4-hour may become oversold, which may provide an opportunity. I guess it's a waiting game...

Short GBPCHF Range Bound Trading

GBPCHF Breakout Analysis February 4, 2025 Technical Setup: short on resistance level Price in the consolidation period Bearish candle on resistance level Trade setup Range bound trading short on resistance bearish candle on the resistance area on 4h timeframe Trade Opportunity Entry: short on price on resistance level Stop Loss: above swing high resistance Targets: previous support on sideways trend

Aspen showing upside to R204 despite Trump pulling funds from SA

Ok this isn't the best formation. We have the price above 20MA but still below 200MA. On the other hand, we have a solid bottom formed and a W Formation along with a Box Formation with it. So with the pull back and the retest, we could get a bounce up which will send the price to potentially R204.60 Even though Trump has pulled funding from South AFrica due to the Expropriation Bill being announced, this will pull funds from Healthcare, to developments and more... But it seems like the Fair value of Aspen is underpriced and the market is likely to turn up from here. SO I am bullish for now.

XRPUSDT (Before journal)

002 (2025.02.04) it's possible to increase price in the near future because of that XRPUSDT moving was swept the large Liq. Also i think volume is strong to up of XRP. However XRPUSDT and SOL best trading will be next of BOS or mss.

XAUUSD → Expected to retrace to 2802-2794 after hitting 2835.

Hello, Traders! like gold has made its ATH 2830, which was also a trendline that gold respected, and down now every thinking for retracement, but gold will do a breakout till 2835 like gold did on the previous trendline. Gold will easily reach 2835 before dropping to the retracement level of 2794, thus I am bullish until 2835, when I will find a decent entry point for selling. Support: 2802. Resistance: 2830 Fib. Golden Zone: 2794–2796 Liquidity Zone: 2794 Gold will continue its trend following the retracement, but we need a decent entry point to sell almost from 2835.

JD 50%+ upside potential

clear bottoming formation with double confirmation above resistance, now price must target 50$ and 70$

It's my brother who pays the bills with me

Today's outlook for EUR/USD leans towards a BUY probability, backed by historical trends in U.S. JOLTS data. February has consistently shown negative figures, reinforcing a potential bearish sentiment for the USD. Traders can capitalize on this statistical edge while maintaining a well-structured risk vs. reward strategy to optimize trade performance. Stay disciplined and trade smart.

Bitcoin will fall to 84K!!

Still The Price Playing At The 92k To 107k Range And The Main Thing About The BITCOIN Is We Had a Too Many Touch Above 92k Support Area And The Last One Was a Yesterday Touch The Point Is Every Time The Price Touch The Trend Line Its Became Weaker And Weaker So I Expect a Breakdown From 92k Support By The Next Touch To The 84k Zone Totally It’s Better To Be Caution About Any Open Position Right Now And For My Self I Prefer To Be Out Of The Market