possible would be crazy but an option wave 1 of 3 of 3 not loking like pullinng back any time soon if thiers nothing in fort noxx ane usa goes to war with iran then who knows funamentals are lineing up
Bitcoin is in a bullish broadening wedge pattern! Bitcoin tested key diagonal trendline support (on log scale) as marked by yellow arrows! Trump's inauguration on January 20th, 2025, marked the local top, and now I expect the Trump tariff day event on April 2nd, 2025, to mark the local bottom, which can lead to a massive move to the upside in the coming weeks and months! I overlaid the Sept 2023 breakout fractal to show how bullish breakouts can lead to the fib targets near the yellow magnets on chart in the coming months! COINBASE:BTCUSD
Decided to take a scalp long position on pyth here. Targeting $0.1370
#Singal DOGE/USDT ? LONG Position ? Entry1 @ 0.13210 ✅ Target1@ 0.15662 ✅ Target2 @ 0.18624 ✅ Target3 @ 0.23616 ✅ Target4 @ 0.30623 ✅ Target5 @ 0.46684 ❌ Stop Loss @ 0.09768 Leverage: 5X Margin: 10% of Wallet Balance ⚠️"Take Care of Risk Management for Your Account"
EURUSD Trading Journal April 3 Analysis Parent bias is bull Price is in a Premium previous day and current range Dealing range pips 118 News 8:30 & 10 April 2 Analysis Fantastic rally to buy side. I suspected Price would seek higher prices in NY and boom it did. Price in a discount lowered in London to minor sell side setting up for a long which I traded. 6 macro price retraced. 7 macro price rallied to the buy side. Weak news driver to be honest. 10 macro silver bullet price rallies for buy side. Small consolidation PM session. Then during electronic hours price rallies into 4 hour FVG. , I suspected for a high to be made yesterday since Price had not delivered that yet. Great delivery. April 3 Idea I would like to see price retrace to rebalance the noted FVG from yesterdays delivery. I am still bull on this pair. Price could also consolidate in Asia and London after all the expansion yesterday. I could see another rally for higher prices in NY.
Market Overview: The Shockwave of New Tariffs The S&P 500 is facing heightened volatility following former President Donald Trump’s newly proposed tariffs. Investors are grappling with concerns over economic growth, inflation, and potential trade retaliation. While markets initially showed resilience, the broader trend suggests growing unease as analysts dissect the long-term impact. Since the announcement, the S&P 500 has shown choppy movements, attempting to hold key support levels. However, increased selling pressure could signal deeper corrections ahead. Breaking Down the Tariffs: What’s at Stake? Trump’s tariff plan includes: • A 10% baseline tariff on all imported goods • A 25% tariff on automobile imports • Additional country-specific trade restrictions These policies aim to boost domestic manufacturing but risk disrupting global supply chains, impacting corporate profit margins, and inflating consumer prices. The biggest concern? Potential retaliatory tariffs from trade partners, which could escalate tensions and further pressure equities. Technical Analysis: S&P 500 at a Crossroads Key Support and Resistance Levels • Support: 5,000 (psychological level), 4,850 (50-day moving average) • Resistance: 5,200 (recent highs), 5,300 (all-time high zone) The S&P 500 recently tested its 50-day moving average, a critical indicator of short-term market sentiment. If selling pressure intensifies, a break below this level could lead to a deeper pullback toward 4,800. Momentum Indicators • RSI (Relative Strength Index): Hovering near 45, indicating neutral to slightly bearish momentum • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Shows a bearish crossover, suggesting potential downside pressure • Volume Trends: Increasing on red days, signaling distribution rather than accumulation The combination of technical weakness and fundamental uncertainty points to a cautious trading environment in the coming weeks. Sector Impact: Winners & Losers Winners ✔ Domestic Industrials & Manufacturing – Companies benefiting from protectionist policies may see increased demand. ✔ Defense & Aerospace – Historically resilient during geopolitical and economic uncertainty. ✔ Commodity Producers – Rising inflation could lift materials and energy stocks. Losers ❌ Technology & Semiconductors – Supply chain disruptions and higher import costs could weigh on margins. ❌ Automotive Industry – Higher tariffs on imported vehicles could hurt both manufacturers and consumers. ❌ Retail & Consumer Goods – Increased costs may be passed on to consumers, dampening demand. Investor Playbook: Navigating the Uncertainty Short-Term Strategies • Hedge with Volatility Plays: The VIX has been ticking higher, making it an attractive hedge against market swings. • Watch Key Support Levels: A break below 4,850 on the S&P 500 could signal further downside, while a bounce from current levels may present a short-term buying opportunity. • Sector Rotation: Shift focus to industries that historically perform well during protectionist policies, such as domestic manufacturing and commodities. Long-Term Outlook While the market is reacting negatively to tariff announcements, historical data suggests that initial sell-offs can eventually lead to stabilization as businesses adjust. However, if tariffs escalate into a full-scale trade war, expect prolonged market turbulence similar to the 2018 tariff battle with China. Final Thoughts The S&P 500 is at a critical juncture. If trade tensions escalate, expect increased volatility and further downside pressure. However, if negotiations ease concerns, markets could stabilize and resume their upward trajectory. For now, traders should proceed with caution, keep an eye on technical indicators, and be prepared for potential market shocks. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether this is just a short-term correction or the beginning of a broader market shift. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Stock prices are subject to market risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
We now have a lot of match up in how the BTC and SPX moves have formed with both of them showing properties of what could be a choppy wave 4. This would predict we see a period of panic selling (likely driven by news) and then we enter into the ABC correction. Now ... by the book, if a bigger bear move is happening the high should now be in. If there's to be a big bull trap it'll be an ABC to the 76 retracement and then there'll be a sharp second down leg - surpassing the first. By the way things actually are, we have to be wary of the butterfly bull trap. This would look and act identical to a 76 reversal up to a certain point and then it would make a hyper parabolic spike - which would briefly trade at new highs before setting up a big rug-pull event. I explained in a previous post 70K was a critical make or break area. Upon further swing development I still think that's broadly correct but a false breakout could go as far as 65K. If we get a sharp period of capitulation here I'll be very careful with my shorts. Trailing stops aggressively. And likely be very bullish around 65K. So long as I can get reasonable stop entries (breaking of this area could mean an out and out waterfall - would not be a fun knife catch if you tried to hold it). I kinda have a feeling the worst for the BTC drop might be directly ahead of us, but that is also likely the low for the foreseeable future. Contingent on there being the sharp drop (ideally with news to explain it) and me seeing things I like in the 65K zone I can see me being extremely bullish on this in the coming month.
Technical Analysis Overview: 1. Daily Chart: • The index is in a clear downtrend, with price action breaking below the moving average. • MACD is deeply negative, with a bearish divergence and downward momentum. • RSI at 37.28, indicating approaching oversold territory, but not yet reversing. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Strong downward momentum with sharp drop visible. • MACD is heavily negative, confirming bearish momentum. • RSI is at 32.71, indicating oversold conditions, but no clear sign of reversal yet. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Sharp sell-off followed by consolidation. • MACD is negative but appears to be flattening, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce or continued consolidation before the next move. • RSI at 44.38, showing mild recovery from previous lows but still below the midpoint (50). Trade Idea: • Position: Short (Sell) • Entry Level: 41,250 (near minor resistance or after a weak bullish retracement) • Stop Loss (SL): 41,800 (Above recent consolidation zone or resistance) • Take Profit (TP): 40,400 (Previous support area with good potential for price to test) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
? ? ? Market-Moving News ?: ??? President Trump's 'Liberation Day' Tariffs Implemented: On April 2, President Donald Trump announced a series of new tariffs, referred to as "Liberation Day" tariffs, aiming to address trade imbalances. These include a baseline 10% tariff on all imports, with higher rates for specific countries: 34% on Chinese goods, 20% on European Union products, and 25% on all foreign-made automobiles. The administration asserts these measures will revitalize domestic industries, though critics warn of potential price increases for consumers and possible retaliatory actions from affected nations. ? Key Data Releases ? ? Thursday, April 3: ? Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 225,000 Previous: 224,000 Measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, providing insight into the labor market's health. ? Trade Balance (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -$76.0 billion Previous: -$131.4 billion Indicates the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services, reflecting the nation's trade activity. ? ISM Services PMI (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 53.0 Previous: 53.5 Assesses the performance of the services sector; a reading above 50 suggests expansion. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. ? #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
The uncertain economic reality of the fundamental tariffs announced today is reflected in the S&P 500 daily chart. The market's response to this uncertainty on Thursday will provide some insights into longer-term reaction.