Currently, the price is a bit away from touching the lower trendline, which is acting as a support level as it will be its latest HL. After that, it would be interesting to know how the dollar moves because, as technical analysis on the chart suggests, DXY should move upwards to maintain that parallel channel. Tariff event, war situation and couple of other major events will also play significant role in determining the next possible movement of dollar
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In comparison to S&P 500 and Dow Jones, Nasdaq is in the lead, steam rolling through short term buy stops this week which was a failure for ES and YM. Going forward, i'd love to see how Sundays NWOG affects market structure and whether we continue to climb into the premium price range
Wie andere Märkte auch wird die Nasdaq durch das Aussetzen der US-Zölle nach oben gespült und die Nasdaq schliesst bei 19432 Punkten zum Wochenschluss. Damit wird die Lage zwar etwas entspannter, jedoch ist der Kurs immernoch unter unserer Bärenmarke von 20500 Punkten. Die Intermarketindikatoren sind wieder allesamt am Steigen. Gegenüber den Devisen und Gold kommen die Indikatoren jetzt aus der Unterbewertung gerade heraus, während gegenüber den Anleihen der Indikator kurz vor der Mittellinie im Neutralbereich liegt. Auch in der Saisonalität ist das Zeitfenster überaus positiv. Die Kursentwicklung ist durchaus auf gutem Wege jedoch haben wir ein wichtiges Niveau bei 19600 Punkten noch nicht durchstiegen. Sollte das passieren ist das ein gutes Kaufsignal in der Unterbewertung. Andere Märkte wie der DAX sind hier schon deutlich weiter. Wir wünschen Ihnen viel Erfolg Ihr Team der TradingBrothers
Der DAX hat sich mit Trumps-Zollaufschub wieder stark erholt und schloss bei 22370 Punkte. Der DAX drehte knapp unterhalb der 200-Tagelinie im für uns bärischen Bereich, ist jetzt wieder im Neutralbereich und steigt rasant in Richtung auf das letzte Hoch. Die Indikatoren sind im DAX bis in den unterbewerteten Bereich abgefallen, steigen wieder und zeigen Einstiegssignale. Das positive Zeitfenster geht im DAX bis in den Juni hinein um dann bis Anfang Oktober abzufallen. Wir sehen hier ein Bodenbildungsszenario: zuerst starke Verkäufe und nun wieder starke Käufe. Mit dem Aussetzen der Zölle, den wieder steigenden Intermarketindikatoren und der positiven Saisonalität sehen wir der nahen Zukunft erstmal positiv entgegen. Das Zollproblem ist weder gelöst noch vom Tisch und wird in einigen Wochen wieder für Unruhe sorgen. Ausserdem setzt der Markt große Hoffnung in den noch-nicht-Kanzler Merz und sollte es hier zu Enttäuschung kommen, dann droht auch hier Unruhe. Wir wünschen Ihnen viel Erfolg Ihr Team der TradingBrothers
4/27/2024 Daily Chart analysis Market is All-in-long, but the market tempo would suggest a pause or a pullback after 4 bull bars. Likely 1 more bar up before a pullback. Elements to note: Break of the broad bear channel down, an important component of a possible MTR setup. Notice the EMA cross and confirmation, usually leading to some sideways, but good foundation for higher prices. April 2nd was an outside up bar. There are bulls trapped here, so sellers above, and this is a price level likely to tested in the near term.
Wait for retest the entry level and bullish momentum candle then take a trade for Buy otherwise skip this setup
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market went nowhere past week so nothing changed from my last weeks update. Bulls want to retest the upper bear trend line around 69 and bears reversing below the 50% retracement of the bear trend that started in January. I do not have an opinion on where the breakout will happen, I can see it going both ways. current market cycle: trading range on the monthly chart - daily chart is a bear trend that could be transitioning into a trading range again key levels: 55 - 69 bull case: Bulls see it as a failed acceleration down and want to retest the prior bear trend line around 68. Same target as last week but this week they closed the weekly bar above 64 which was my line in the sand. If they continue here, they will likely squeeze much higher again. 69 next target. Nothing changed in this. Invalidation is below 60. bear case: Bears have going for them that they stopped the bounce at the breakout area and under the 50% retracement, which is very important for them. If they get a daily close below 60, we could go lower again but until then it’s a clear trading range 60-52. Market is neutral for me, despite not going above the 50% retracement. Invalidation is a daily close above 65. short term: Neutral 60-65, bullish above for 69 and bearish below for 55. medium-long term - Update from 2025-04-27: This does look like another bear trap below 60, which was to be expected. Nothing happened the past week so no better update on this. Will tariffs likely or are they already dampening consumption? Most likely. Will this be reflected in Oil demand in the near term? No fucking clue. Chart is in a bear trend but at such a huge support for so many years, I doubt we go much lower but we could range here for longer.
? NASDAQ:RAY Breaks Out of Red Resistance Zone ? NASDAQ:RAY has successfully broken out of the red resistance zone, which was part of a symmetrical pattern. This breakout could signal a strong bullish move. ? Technical Overview: Pattern: Symmetrical Breakout Level: Red resistance zone. ? Potential Targets: To be determined upon further price action.
Analysis & Thought Process: Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture on the weekly timeframe. Having observed recent bullish momentum, the price now faces resistance around the 95,900–96,700 range. If BTC manages to clearly reverse from this resistance area, it could propel upwards to test psychological resistance at the significant 100K level within the coming days. However, careful analysis indicates the presence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 89–90K. Such imbalances in price action typically attract price retracements to achieve market efficiency. Thus, I anticipate a correction back down to the 89–90K area, which would represent an ideal zone to consider a long swing position. Trade Idea: Short-term bearish scenario: Look to short from current resistance levels (around 95,900–96,700) targeting the 89–90K FVG area. Long swing setup: If BTC retraces and holds the 89–90K region, it presents an attractive area for swing long entries aiming back towards and beyond current resistance areas. PLAN NOT VALID IF If the price fails to hold 89K, the next logical areas to watch for support are lower down at the 82–78K range, followed by a deeper pullback potentially extending towards 74K. Profit Targets & Stop Losses: Short trade: Entry around 95,900–96,700, profit target at 89–90K, stop loss set slightly above the resistance (e.g., 97.5K). Long trade: Entry at 89–90K, profit targets initially back to 96–100K. Stop loss placed just below the 88K area. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please perform your own due analyse before entering any trades.