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GpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model *The Analysis is the same as the conservative and dynamic entry* The main entry is conservative, so, the analysis remains beside this part: A long entry can be considered at the strong minimum, but I'll not go too far with the SL or TP. It can be used as a hedge if you're holding a position that performs well as the US Dollar does (like Magnificent 7 or other shorts in x/USD currency). Beside that, I'll consider this position the riskier of all. 1. Liquidity a. Liquidity Related to Structure The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure. b. Liquidity Related to Directionality The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows. c. Decision Regarding Liquidity Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend. 2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure) a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation (-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10% These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market. 3. Entries a. Conservative Entry The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by: - Long-term volume - A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range - A long-term order block (M1) i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry - Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00% - Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82% - Entry Probability: -50.00% - Stop Loss Probability: -100.00% - Take Profit Probability: -50.00% The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP. The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level. The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached. 4. Other Comments - The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly. - A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. Do you like my analysis? Follow me on social media: thewayofrichie Let's trade, Richie
The broadening triangle turned into a falling channel today. A break of our bottom trend line will push further down. If the bulls can hold off and break the upside I see a big run up. I’m still bullish based on the higher time frames. Let’s see how it plays out.
Dollar update, im looking at this chart seeing just a buy opportunity to daily Buyside LQ zone or maybe higher then were looking for a sell after that
? Technical Analysis of Silver | What’s Your Opinion? Before diving into today’s analysis, we’d love to hear your thoughts! Do you also expect silver to reach 32.628? Share your view in the comments! Silver Price Movement Analysis The 15-minute Heikin Ashi chart for silver shows that after a sharp downward movement, the price has corrected and is now consolidating in the 32.048 - 32.075 range. If buying pressure continues, we expect the price to move toward 32.628. ? Key Levels: • Support: 32.000 - 31.950 • Resistance Target: 32.628 Market Outlook Currently, silver is attempting to establish a higher low, suggesting a potential upward momentum. The price has recovered from its recent dip, forming a structure that aligns with a possible bullish continuation. If the price sustains above 32.075, it could trigger a move toward our expected target. However, traders should monitor volatility and volume levels before committing to any decision. A break below 32.000 could invalidate this bullish outlook and lead to further declines. What’s your take on silver’s next move? Let us know in the comments! ? Analysis by Brokerir
? LUV Bearish Thesis Despite Southwest Airlines appointing a new CEO, the chart suggests bearish price action rather than immediate optimism. Here’s why: ? Key Bearish Levels: Break below $30 → Downside target: $28 Break below $28 → Next target: $24-$22 (potential capitulation zone) ? Bearish Trade Plan: Confirmation: If LUV trades under $28 with strong volume, expect accelerated selling. Put Option Targets: 2/21 $30 puts or $28 puts Trigger: A rejection at resistance (like $30.50) or continued unusual put flow signals a solid entry. ? LUV Bullish Case (Reversal Play) If buyers step in, a bullish move could develop. Watch these levels: ✅ Key Bullish Levels: Support hold at $30.50 → Next upside target: $32.79 Breakout above $32.79 → Target $33-$35 ? Bullish Trade Plan: Confirmation: If $30.50 holds with rising volume, we could see a reversal. Call Option Targets: Watch 2/21 $33 Calls (currently down 50%) to see if volume returns. Trigger: If call buying picks up and stock reclaims $30.50, momentum could shift upward. ? Unusual Whales Insights & Smart Money Flow A large play was made on 2/21 $33 calls, but it's down 50%, meaning trapped buyers. If smart money doubles down on calls, a bullish reversal could happen. If put volume increases, expect continued downside pressure. ? Final Trading Strategy 1️⃣ Bearish Plan: Enter puts if LUV stays below $30 and unusual put flow increases. 2️⃣ Bullish Plan: Look for bullish volume at $30.50+ and enter calls if call flow strengthens. 3️⃣ Confirmation Tools: Watch VWAP, volume spikes, and unusual options activity to confirm entries.
GpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model *The Analysis is the same as the conservative and dynamic entry* The main entry is conservative, so, the analysis remains beside this part: If we're not sure if the conservative entry can be mitigated, we can use the balance one. It uses the same VWAP level at the following fractal, just one maximum below. 1. Liquidity a. Liquidity Related to Structure The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure. b. Liquidity Related to Directionality The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows. c. Decision Regarding Liquidity Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend. 2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure) a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation (-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10% These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market. 3. Entries a. Conservative Entry The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by: - Long-term volume - A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range - A long-term order block (M1) i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry - Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00% - Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82% - Entry Probability: -50.00% - Stop Loss Probability: -100.00% - Take Profit Probability: -50.00% The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP. The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level. The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached. 4. Other Comments - The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly. - A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. Do you like my analysis? Follow me on social media: thewayofrichie Let's trade, Richie
Looks really good Break of the support flipped resistance. Volume higher today on the breakout I will set alerts above today's highs
CART has just made a new ATH today, however, volume was not present. Ideally we want to see this price holding and volume coming in for a push higher
Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (GCL1! 1M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/Rlef9C1q/ GCL1! is renewing daily new highs (ATH). It is not easy to analyze or trade these stocks. Since it is supported and rising near the right Fibonacci ratio point of 1 (2828.6), there is a possibility that it will rise to the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.618 (3395.3) ~ 1.618 (3457.6). However, since it is a state where it is not strange to fall at any time, you should think about a countermeasure for the fall when starting a transaction. - (1D chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/kxi5nn4J/ Most chart analysts explain the current chart analysis by substituting issues other than the chart. If you get used to this method, you may find issues other than the chart first without looking at the chart and analyze the chart while being obsessed with your subjective thoughts. If you do that, you may analyze the chart in the wrong direction because you will interpret the chart with your subjective thoughts instead of looking at the chart as it is, so you need to be careful. When analyzing charts, you must first look at the chart and analyze it, and then look for issues other than the chart when you have time. - In order to trade a stock that is renewing its ATH, you should check for support when it shows a downward trend and start. However, since it is renewing its ATH, there is no support or resistance point to check for support. To compensate for this, we use the 5EMA+StErr indicator and the Price Channel indicator. Therefore, when the price falls and touches the 5EMA+StErr indicator or the Price Channel indicator, you can find the trading point depending on whether there is support. - (30m chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/8BdfbXWQ/ You can trade when it breaks out of the section made up of the Price Channel indicator or the box section made up of the HA-High and HA-Low indicators. Of course, trading is also possible within the box section. At this time, you should be careful that the trend can change when it passes the MS-Signal indicator. When you touch the 5EMA+StErr indicator on the 1D chart, you can check whether there is support and trade. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------