Yields have been going down for 40 years while debt/gdp growing, how are we financing this hiking rates?
important levels of support 7850 ( 38% retracement),extremely strong support 7600 (50% retracement). I believe 7850 would send a bounce before touching 7600
English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a bullish pullback scenario. Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna NASDAQ aydir whd tel3a apres antsanaw lhboot ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) is a global leader in materials engineering solutions for semiconductor manufacturing. The company provides equipment, software, and services to help produce advanced chips used in various high-tech applications, including AI, 5G, and automotive industries. As a key player in the semiconductor equipment sector, AMAT competes with companies like ASML (ASML), KLA Corporation (KLAC), Lam Research (LRCX), Teradyne (TER), and Tokyo Electron. Financial Performance Analysis Profitability Metrics Gross Margin: https://www.tradingview.com/x/jyfmtEMv 47.46% (AMAT) vs. KLAC (61.19%), ASML (49.82%), Teradyne (54.83%) Operating Margin: https://www.tradingview.com/x/5V7jwnoJ 28.95% (AMAT) vs. ASML (31.92%), KLAC (39.03%), Teradyne (19.46%) AMAT maintains a strong gross margin but lags behind KLAC and ASML. However, its operating margin of 28.95% demonstrates effective cost control and efficient operations. Return on Equity & Capital Efficiency Return on Equity (ROE): https://www.tradingview.com/x/oavLpAfO 40.61% (AMAT) vs. KLAC (87.85%), ASML (48.19%), Teradyne (20.29%) Cash-to-Debt Ratio: 1.43 https://www.tradingview.com/x/qoDu9sTF While AMAT’s ROE is strong, KLAC significantly outperforms. AMAT’s cash-to-debt ratio of 1.43 suggests a manageable debt level, ensuring financial flexibility. R&D Investment Efficiency R&D-to-Revenue Ratio : https://www.tradingview.com/x/Vwbefcm7 11.9% (AMAT) vs. ASML (13.95%), KLAC (13.06%) A lower R&D-to-revenue ratio indicates AMAT is able to generate high revenue with relatively lower R&D spending, signaling operational efficiency and competitive advantages in innovation management. While ASML and KLAC invest more heavily, AMAT’s ability to maintain growth with a lower R&D ratio demonstrates strong execution. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ohcKkhEm Cash Flow https://www.tradingview.com/x/XWhzc6YN Free Cash Flow Margin : 27.55% With a free cash flow margin of 27.55%, AMAT generates solid cash, supporting dividends and buybacks. Industry Outlook & Growth Potential The semiconductor industry is poised for strong growth due to increasing demand for AI chips, high-performance computing, and electric vehicles. However, the U.S. government’s new tariffs on Chinese semiconductor-related imports may impact AMAT’s global sales, particularly if China retaliates. Despite this, AMAT remains well-positioned due to: Its strong presence in leading-edge chip manufacturing. Expansion in AI-related semiconductor production. High free cash flow generation, allowing for reinvestment and shareholder returns. Risks & Challenges Impact of U.S.-China Trade Tensions New U.S. tariffs on semiconductor equipment could reduce AMAT’s revenue from Chinese customers. If China restricts access to key materials, AMAT may face supply chain disruptions. Competitive Pressure ASML dominates the lithography equipment market, while KLAC and Lam Research lead in process diagnostics and wafer fabrication. AMAT must continue innovating to defend its market position. Semiconductor Industry Cyclicality Downturns in semiconductor demand could hurt AMAT’s revenue, as seen in previous industry cycles. Investment Outlook & Valuation https://www.tradingview.com/x/6nEWCFPz Current Price: $155.68 Intrinsic Value: $207.38 (Safety Margin 24.93%) Earnings Yield: 4.91% Dividend Yield: 0.81% AMAT’s intrinsic value suggests the stock is undervalued by 24.93%, making it an attractive long-term investment. Bullish Case Strong profitability and efficiency despite lower R&D spending. High cash flow generation supporting shareholder returns. Undervalued stock with strong upside potential. Bearish Case U.S. tariffs could impact sales in China. Competition from ASML, KLAC, and Lam Research remains intense. Semiconductor demand cycles may cause short-term volatility. Final Verdict: Buy, Hold, or Sell? Given AMAT’s undervaluation, strong margins, and efficient R&D spending, the stock presents a Buy opportunity for long-term investors. However, geopolitical risks should be monitored closely. Investment Strategy: Accumulate AMAT on dips, targeting a price range of $190-$210 over the next 12-18 months.
English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a bullish pullback scenario. Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna US30 aydir whd tel3a apres antsanaw lhboot ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a BEARISH scenario. Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna GBPJPY antsanaw lhboot ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a BEARISH scenario. Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna USDJPY antsanaw lhboot ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a BEARISH scenario. Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna GBP antsanaw lhboot ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a BEARISH scenario. Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna EUR antsanaw lhboot ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
Wait for retrace to test old high + Weekly FVG Then looking for entry