1. Introduction The Nikkei/Yen Futures, a crucial instrument for traders aiming to capture movements in Japan’s equity index and its currency dynamics, presents an intriguing setup as we step into 2025. An ascending triangle pattern, a classic bullish formation, is emerging on the chart, signaling a potential breakout to the upside. Adding to the technical allure is the depletion of sell unfilled orders (UFOs) within a significant price zone between 40,420 and 39,685. This critical area, revisited six times since late July 2024, has seen a steady reduction of unfilled sell orders, opening the possibility for bullish momentum to dominate. With the price currently hovering near the 39,685 level, the stage appears set for a breakout opportunity. 2. The Technical Setup The ascending triangle, characterized by a series of higher lows converging toward a horizontal resistance level, often signifies bullish pressure. In the case of the Nikkei/Yen Futures, the horizontal resistance resides near 39,685, the lower boundary of a key sell UFO zone. This resistance has been tested repeatedly since July 2024, with each revisit chipping away at the sell orders within the zone. Such behavior suggests diminishing selling pressure, setting the foundation for a breakout. The anticipated target for this breakout, calculated using Fibonacci projection, is set at 41,380—aligning with historical price action and technical projections. Key Contract Specifications: o Regular Nikkei/Yen Futures (NIY1!) Contract Size: ¥500 x Nikkei 225 index Tick Size: ¥5 Point Value: ¥2,500 Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 1,500,000 JPY o Micro Nikkei/Yen Futures (MNI) Contract Size: ¥50 x Nikkei 225 index Tick Size: ¥5 Point Value: ¥250 Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 150,000 JPY These details ensure accessibility for both institutional and retail traders, with the micro contract enabling smaller capital commitments while maintaining exposure to the same underlying asset. 3. Forward-Looking Trade Plan The technical evidence supports a bullish trade plan for Nikkei/Yen Futures: Trade Direction: Long Entry Price: Above 39,685, confirming a breakout from the resistance level. Target Price: 41,380, based on Fibonacci projections. Stop Loss: 39,120, targeting a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio to manage risk effectively. Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3:1 (Calculated: 41,380 - 39,685 = 1,695 reward; 39,685 - 39,120 = 565 risk). https://www.tradingview.com/x/Yd3WrWPQ/ The trade parameters apply to both the standard and micro contracts, offering flexibility in position sizing. Traders with smaller accounts may opt for the micro contract to manage margin requirements while engaging in this high-potential setup. 4. Importance of Risk Management Risk management remains the cornerstone of any successful trading strategy, particularly when trading leveraged instruments like futures. Here are key considerations for managing risk in the Nikkei/Yen Futures trade setup: Stop-Loss Orders: Placing a stop-loss at 39,120 ensures a predefined risk level, protecting traders from unexpected market reversals. It’s vital to adhere to this level to maintain discipline and avoid emotional decision-making. Position Sizing: The availability of micro contracts (MNIY1!) allows traders to tailor their position size according to their account size and risk tolerance. For example, trading one micro contract involves a significantly smaller margin commitment compared to the regular contract, making it suitable for retail traders. Defined Risk Exposure: Leveraged products like futures can lead to substantial losses if risk is not clearly defined. Using stop-loss orders and trading within calculated risk parameters prevents the potential for undefined losses. Precise Entries and Exits: Setting the entry above 39,685 ensures a systematic approach to triggering the trade based on the expected breakout. Similarly, targeting 41,380 using Fibonacci projections ensures that profit objectives align with technical analysis rather than arbitrary levels. By prioritizing these aspects, traders can mitigate risks while maximizing the potential reward from this bullish setup. 5. Closing Remarks The Nikkei/Yen Futures seem to be poised for a potential breakout as we enter 2025, driven by a combination of technical factors and diminishing sell-side unfilled orders. The ascending triangle formation strengthens the bullish bias, with the calculated Fibonacci projection of 41,380 offering an attractive target. Both the standard and micro contracts cater to different trader profiles, allowing participation regardless of account size. As the price approaches the critical 39,685 level, traders are encouraged to stay vigilant, using real-time CME data to track developments and validate entry triggers. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: http://www.tradingview.com/cme/ - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
#GLMR The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and sticking to it well We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at 0.2370 We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 Entry price 0.2595 First target 0.2800 Second target 0.3040 Third target 0.3300
Pinning after exhaustion of sales. ?Purpose: 0.2074 ‼️Risk per trade: 0.5-1% of the allocated funds for spot trading. Thank you for follow and the reaction?.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT is currently forming a triangle pattern following the recent sell-off. Price is moving sideways below the key level of 3,500. This price action is becoming narrow, which is typically a lead to a breakout. While it seems logical to anticipate an upside breakout, I think it may actually turn out to be a bullish trap. I expect the price to fall by 5% to 8%, breaking through the triangle pattern, which could generate bullish momentum. This will be "fakey" pattern in the market. Overall, I believe the market will find support just above the psychological level of 3,000. My mid term goal is resistance zone around 3720. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ??
Hi, a very Happy new year to all, posing my another 12M analysis will post some additional information in the comment section shortly including 12M levels
Considering the breakout of the trigger line, the price structure shift, and the creation of a demand zone, we can look for buy/long positions on STX during pullbacks. The target could be the red zone. We should enter the position at the green zone to minimize risk. Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Ich hoffe, ihr hattet ebenfalls einen guten Start ins neue Jahr! Bei KLAC hat sich ein bullishes Shark-Pattern geformt. Die Typ-1-Bewegung wurde erfolgreich vollzogen, und die Typ-2-Bewegung bahnt sich gerade an. Der Maschinenbauer für Halbleiterproduktion hat bisher noch keinen starken Anstieg verzeichnet , Während andere Tech-Werte ihre alten Allzeithochs erreicht oder sogar überschritten haben . Obwohl die 'Magnificent 7' eher für den Hype verantwortlich sind, bleibe ich gespannt! Einstieg: 624,41 $ Zielzone: 861,97 $ Stoploss: 543,62 $ Chancen/Risiko-Verhältnis: 3:1
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Arthur Curry ist Geschichte In Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow werden wir Jason Momoa wieder sehen, allerdings in einer neuen Rolle.
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