IDFC FITST BANK : Rebound from the support level of 52 ish . Sitting near the recent resistance. Major resistance level to test is at 65 . Still under 200 SMA MACD went above 0 which is a positive sign. The pull back from the support level of 52 shows the interests of buyers. A few green candles closing above 200 SMA and staying afloat above 200 SMA will be crucial in coming days. ( Not a Buy / Sell Recommendation Do your own due diligence ,Market is subject to risks, This is my own view and for learning only .)
ETHUSD is bullish for the day. I foresee a Resistance at 1668 and if breaks and closes above 1668 then it may move further to 1714. The support is at 1467. If you are trading this pair, make sure to follow the stop-loss to avoid any potential risk.
I am considering a long positon especially after price traded froma weekly ;iquidity zone.Hourly has confirmed our idea.
WTI oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. If the correction towards the supply zone continues, the next oil selling opportunity with a suitable reward for risk will be provided for us. In this direction, with confirmation, we can look for oil buying transactions. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), in its latest report, has downgraded its forecasts for oil and natural gas production, consumption, and prices for 2025 and 2026, while warning about the uncertain outlook of the energy market amidst economic volatility and escalating trade tensions. According to the updated estimates, U.S. crude oil production in 2025 is expected to reach 13.51 million barrels per day, down from the previous forecast of 13.61 million barrels. For 2026, the figure has been revised to 13.56 million barrels per day, a reduction from the earlier 13.76 million forecast. Monthly data shows average U.S. oil output stood at 13.44 million barrels per day in April and 13.55 million in March, with similar levels expected in May. Globally, EIA projects oil production in 2025 to be around 104.1 million barrels per day, slightly down from the earlier estimate of 104.2 million. For 2026, the revised figure stands at 105.3 million barrels per day compared to the previous 105.8 million. On the demand side, global oil consumption forecasts have also been reduced. In 2025, demand is now estimated at 103.6 million barrels per day instead of 104.1 million, and for 2026 it is projected at 104.7 million barrels per day, down from the prior estimate of 105.3 million. Regarding natural gas, the EIA reports that average U.S. gas production in April will be around 115 billion cubic feet per day, slightly lower than the 115.3 billion cubic feet reported in March. May’s forecast stands at 115.4 billion cubic feet. Demand has also dipped, with estimates for 2025 now at 91.2 billion cubic feet per day (down from 92), and for 2026 at 90.5 billion (previously 91.1). In terms of pricing, EIA has made significant downward revisions. The average price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is now forecast to be $63.88 per barrel in 2025, compared to the earlier $70.68. For 2026, this drops further to $57.48. Brent crude is now estimated at $67.87 for 2025 and $61.48 for 2026, both notably lower than prior projections. One key highlight from the report is EIA’s warning about high volatility in major commodity prices, especially crude oil. The agency underlined that reciprocal tariffs between China and the U.S. could heavily impact markets, particularly the propane sector. EIA noted that U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports are likely to remain resilient despite trade disputes. This is attributed to strong global demand and the flexible nature of U.S. export contracts, which allow unrestricted shipments to multiple destinations. However, when it comes to oil and petroleum products, the agency maintained a more cautious tone, emphasizing that recent shifts in global trade policies and oil production patterns may slow the growth of demand for petroleum-based products through 2026. Altogether, the downward revisions by the EIA carry a clear message: the energy market outlook over the coming years is fraught with uncertainty. From supply and demand to pricing, political and economic forces such as trade wars and potential global recessions are expected to play decisive roles. Meanwhile, according to Reuters, after U.S. President Donald Trump once again threatened military action if Tehran refuses to agree to a nuclear deal, a senior Iranian official responded by warning that Iran may halt its cooperation with the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog. Reports indicate that American and Iranian diplomats will meet in Oman on Saturday to begin talks on Tehran’s nuclear program. Trump stated that he would have the final say on whether the negotiations are failing, which could place Iran in a highly dangerous position. Ali Shamkhani, a senior adviser to Iran’s Supreme Leader, posted on X (formerly Twitter) that ongoing foreign threats and the looming threat of military confrontation could lead to deterrent actions such as expelling International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors and cutting ties with the agency.He also mentioned that relocating enriched uranium to secure, undisclosed locations within Iran may be under consideration
The BTC/XAU ratio is unusual but, imo, could add confluence to BTC’s PA. We often use majors like TOTAL, USDT.D, USDC.D, BTCUSD/USDT.D, BTC.D. ETH/BTC and BTC pairs to find confluence, so why not include this chart? ?Why BTC/GOLD? It highlights BTC’s relative performance against a traditional safe-haven, helping confirm bullish or bearish trends when aligned with BTC/USDT technical levels. Personally, I analyse TOTAL and USDT.D to gauge BTC’s PA and identify ?️ levels, but I’m now incorporating BTC/GOLD to see how it performs. It’s not about complicating things - it’s just a bit of extra confluence, especially if it aligns with TOTAL and USDT.D. Recently, we noticed something odd: majors like TOTAL and USDT.D hit our levels, but BTC didn’t. That’s why I’m exploring other charts (S&P 500, DXY, BTCUSD/10Y), to see how they align and whether they strengthen our analysis. I’m watching a 4D demand zone + 23H HOB + TL support, checking how price reacts and if it lines up with our ?️levels on #BTC and #USDT.D (we’re eyeing 6.5% on USDT.D as HTF resistance/EP). I’ll keep updating as I test BTC/GOLD’s reliability with BTC. ?
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The IBEX 35 starts today's trading day in an environment in which two major scenarios converge that will set the course of European markets. On the one hand, expectations regarding the statements of the President of the European Central Bank, Christine Lagarde, and the continuity of the corporate results season in the US, which influence global sentiment, stand out. On the other hand, Europe faces the risk of becoming the new destination of a massive flood of Chinese goods, which are exported at rock-bottom prices. This already happened in Spain a decade ago with the arrival of the large Chinese exporters, but this fear seems to be spreading to the rest of the EU countries. Technical Analysis IBEX 35 The Spanish selective opens the session trying to consolidate the rebound registered in previous days. There is intense activity at technical levels near 12,320 and 12,555 points, key areas that represent Fibonacci retracements against recent highs. Volatility reigns in the short term, reminding us of the adage of the novice's fear of trading market closes. This caution is reinforced by the imminent intervention of Lagarde, whose stance on monetary policy could have a direct impact on risk perception and the performance of the euro against the dollar. If we review the two strong trading zones of the IBEX at the moment we can see that the control point is located above 13,297 points near the highs and 12,055 points in the area of the last impulse. In 1 day position chart presents us with the range zone between 12,235 and 11,235 slightly above the support of 11,196 points with its middle zone at 11,600 zone that has contacted twice this week to bounce in the current direction. If we look at the movements of the last few days, the area has been clearly defined as support. Today the market seems to be generating a crossover of the 50-average over the 100-average which indicates the possible return towards 12,760 in the early hours of the morning. This could reinforce the idea of an IBEX regaining directionality if it reaches its previous trading zone highs. Simultaneously, the start of the earnings season on Wall Street - with important presentations by financial giants - adds an extra layer of uncertainty. The results of large banks, together with the movements of indices such as the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones, will act as a thermometer of global sentiment, also impacting the mood of investors in Europe. Europe, the new destination for Chinese goods at rock-bottom prices In a context in which the United States is tightening its tariff policy against China, the Asian giant is forced to seek alternative markets for its trade surplus. Europe, with characteristics similar in size and consumption patterns to the U.S. market, is now positioned as the next natural port for Chinese ships loaded with cheap goods. This redirection follows the imposition of trade barriers that have sapped Chinese exports to the U.S. and forced Beijing to resort to extremely aggressive pricing to offload its excess capacity. Signs of a deflationary environment in China-reflected in declines in the Consumer Price Index and the Producer Price Index-indicate that Chinese manufacturers are willing to cut margins further. The result is a flood of products at rock-bottom prices which, while it may immediately benefit the European consumer's pocketbook, also poses a serious risk to the competitiveness of local industry. The consequence could be an erosion of market shares and greater internal tensions, in a scenario in which the European Union is forced to act to protect strategic sectors. Integrated perspective and risk management On the one hand, optimism in the IBEX 35 is fueled by expectations for a less restrictive monetary policy, backed by Lagarde's statements and the dynamism of global markets which, despite corrections in Wall Street and Asia, invite us to consider new opportunities. Today's session becomes a real battlefield where risk management is fundamental, as “headlines move fast and facts define them”. On the other hand, the threat of an avalanche of Chinese goods represents a structural change that could alter the balance of the European market in the medium term. While lower prices increase consumer purchasing power, the massive influx of low-cost products poses serious challenges for local manufacturers, which could see their competitive capacity threatened. Brussels' response could take the form of safeguard measures and new tariffs to curb the entry of these goods, with the risk of generating additional friction in the relationship with China. Conclusion The IBEX 35 is at a crossroads where opportunities from a potentially more benign monetary environment and the uncertainty of the global trade impact converge. Today's trading day requires investors to adopt a strategy based on constant observation of macroeconomic data, statements from monetary policymakers and developments in international markets. In short, while the stock market moves on headlines and facts, the structural risk of a flood of Chinese assets adds a complex nuance that requires meticulous risk management and alertness to abrupt changes in the economic and trade scenario. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
We either going to front run (red scenario) or go for a last crash end of Q2 then up only until the end of the year/beginning of Q1 2026. Then down until the end of the decade.
XAUMO STRATEGY UPDATE — FRIDAY, APRIL 11, 2025 Breakout confirmed — bulls in full control. MM just swept above $3,200 — now entering overdrive. We're in the middle of a classic institutional markup phase, triggered by breakout above $3,173 (previous Fib 50% zone). Price now pushing into high-volume inefficiency zone. STRATEGY PLAN FOR THE DAY: ✅ PRIMARY TRADE SETUP — BUY THE DIP Type: Buy Limit Entry: $3,197 SL: $3,183 TP1: $3,215 TP2: $3,228 TP3: $3,261 Confidence: 88% ? Justification: Pullback to Fib 78.6% support + rising trend, perfect for dip buy. SECONDARY SETUP — MOMENTUM LONG (ONLY IF CLEAN PUSH ABOVE $3,215) Type: Buy Stop Entry: $3,216 SL: $3,202 TP1: $3,228 TP2: $3,261 TP3: $3,322 Confidence: 75% ? Justification: Breakout above Fib 100% = next wave up. //////======////////////======////// TIMEFRAME SNAPSHOT //////======////////////======////// 4H / 1D CHART: RSI climbing above 70 = power move Fib 100% target at $3,215.41 hit → watch for reaction Next upside targets = $3,228 → Fib 61.8% (Extended) $3,261 → Fib 78.6% $3,322 → Fib 100% ? Bias: Bullish with room to stretch. Profit-taking may kick in near $3,228–$3,261. 15M / 1H ANALYSIS: Price: $3,205.73 ADX > 50, DI+ dominant = momentum alive RSI in high 70s = strong, but approaching overbought Volume increasing with price = healthy breakout Upper Band of BB expanding → confirming expansion Key Support Zones: $3,197 → Fib 78.6% $3,183 → Fib 61.8% $3,173 → breakout base ? Bias: Bullish continuation unless price breaks back below $3,183.
Market news: In the early Asian session on Friday (April 11), spot gold continued to rise, reaching a high of $3,220/ounce, setting a new record high. The unexpected slowdown in US inflation dragged down the US dollar, and the international trade war continued to push investors to safe-haven gold. As trade tensions intensified, market risk aversion suddenly heated up, and the price of gold in London soared by more than $200!The first monthly price decline in nearly five years released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday also showed that demand was weak amid growing concerns about a recession caused by tariffs, which also led financial markets to expect that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 100 basis points this year. After the release of the U.S. CPI data, traders bet that the Federal Reserve will resume rate cuts in June, and may accumulate a 1 percentage point cut by the end of this year. Low interest rates are usually good for international gold because gold does not pay interest. As the situation of declining confidence has already formed, Federal Reserve officials are worried that this will further suppress consumption and investment. This week, Fed policymakers said they still believe that tariffs are a blow to economic growth and increase the risk of rising inflation, putting monetary policy at a difficult crossroads. Several Fed officials will still speak on Friday, and investors need to pay attention to them. In addition, they need to pay attention to the performance of the March PPI data, the international trade situation and the changes in market risk aversion. Technical review: The gold daily line closed with a big positive line with a gain of more than $100 yesterday. This single-day gain is extremely rare in more than 10 years. The market has been extremely crazy with a rise of $200 in two trading days. On Thursday, gold hit a new high in the US market. Market sentiment completely followed the tariff war. Technical analysis is pale and powerless to grasp it. We can only control risks and reduce positions to operate. The gold price stood on the middle track and the short-term moving average 5MA, that is, the 3030-3040 line, and the closing price was just above the MA10 daily line. This morning, gold continued to rise strongly relying on the MA10 daily line, and the current highest has reached the 3220 line. With such a strong impact, the rapid decline in the three trading days on the daily line has turned into a bottoming out and rebound. Whether it continues to break high or buy correction, it is just that the impact of the tariff war has accelerated the amplitude and time. According to the previous large rise, if the buying sentiment continues to be high, the next position is 3300. Today's analysis Gold has risen strongly, continuously setting new historical highs, and the buying momentum is strong! At the 4-hour level, the support level has moved up. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a golden cross upward buying arrangement, indicating that gold buying still has the power to rise further. At present, the gold price has set a new historical high, and it is not advisable to rush to chase the rise at this time. The short-term operation strategy can wait for the price to step back, and after stabilizing below, buy in combination with the support level. Today, the highest gold in the Asian session has risen to 3220, and the demand for risk aversion has increased. Most people have a high degree of attention and willingness to buy gold. Judging from the market trend, gold has already stood firm at the previous high of 3167, and the buying trend has continued. In the past few days, the daily increase in gold has exceeded 100 US dollars. I believe that the increase in gold prices today will not be too small, and today's gold is expected to further move towards the 3300 mark. Wait for a correction during the session and buy on the trend! Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3177-3180, stop loss at 3168, target at 3220-3230; Sell short-term gold at 3233-3236, stop loss at 3245, target at 3200-3190; Key points: First support level: 3200, second support level: 3185, third support level: 3170 First resistance level: 3223, second resistance level: 3236, third resistance level: 3250
21000 to 21100 Why? 1) This pair is still in a downtrend both of H4 and D1 2) We can see the pair had a pattern earlier yesterday for a sell, now it is a type 2 3) There is another pattern forming for the sell off around the same area We will observe for another 1 hour to get the best price to enter. The target if everything falls again would be 1:10 Risk to reward.