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Are We Witnessing a Black Swan Event?

I’ve spent most of the day digging through charts and studying past crashes — because what we’re living through right now might be a once-in-a-decade opportunity. This current market crash feels eerily close to a black swan event. No one really expected Trump to push tariffs this far, and the consequences are already rippling through global markets. If this escalates into true economic isolation, the effects could be both tremendous and long-lasting. That said, there’s another possibility: This might just be a blip in history — a bold negotiating tactic that works out, shocks the system temporarily, and fades away. There’s even speculation this could mirror the 1989 crash, with some analysts warning of a potential 20% drop by Monday. If that happens, I’d rather not be frozen by fear. I want to act with intention. I want my plan in place and my orders ready. Before I share stock ideas I believe can outperform in the long run… Let’s first walk through what I believe might be playing out — at least for now. (Keep in mind, these theses can change fast.) Before the crash, it looked like a replay of 2022: Markets were clearly overvalued and due for a correction — back then, it was driven by regional bank failures, and the Fed quickly stepped in to stabilize things. But now, selling pressure is accelerating. This looks less like 2022 and more like 2020 — where markets broke down in response to a larger, fast-moving, global crisis. Even though we’re seeing similarities, things can shift very quickly. We still haven’t seen key reversal signs — like a Doji candle — and more importantly, there’s been no intervention yet from the government or global forces. Until that happens, panic may continue to snowball. And as we know from history, panic doesn’t operate on logic. Source: ? 2020 Stock Market Crash https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_stock_market_crash#:~:text=On%2020%20February%202020%2C%20stock,ended%20on%207%20April%202020.

DCR (SPOT )

BINANCE:DCRUSDT DCR / USDT (4H + 1D) time frames analysis tools ____________ SMC FVG Trend lines Fibonacci Support & resistance MACD Cross EMA Cross ______________________________________________________________ Golden Advices. ******************** * Please calculate your losses before any entry. * Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you. * No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey. Useful Tags. **************** My total posts https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/crypto_alphabit//

$PIII The technical picture supports the positive fundamental

? Stock Analysis: P3 Health Partners Inc. ( NASDAQ:PIII ) – April 2025 This report provides a comprehensive evaluation of P3 Health Partners Inc. ( NASDAQ:PIII ), integrating both fundamental metrics and technical indicators. The stock demonstrates strong potential, combining undervaluation with outperformance across multiple timeframes and market conditions. ? Valuation Analysis Currently, NASDAQ:PIII trades at a TTM Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio significantly below its 3-Year, 5-Year, and 10-Year historical averages. This deviation signals a compelling value opportunity, especially given the company’s improving profitability and expanding business model. Furthermore, NASDAQ:PIII is in the buy zone, determined by historical trading activity at similar PE and P/BV levels. This zone typically represents an accumulation phase with historically favorable entry points for investors seeking long-term growth. ? Industry Relative Performance P3 Health Partners has outperformed its industry benchmarks across multiple periods: ✅ 1 Week: Strong short-term momentum suggests renewed investor interest. ✅ 1 Month: Sustained upward trend fueled by recent earnings visibility. ✅ 3 Months: Quarterly outperformance confirms medium-term trend strength. ✅ 1 Year: Long-term resilience and growing market positioning. In addition, NASDAQ:PIII maintains a PE ratio lower than its industry average, supporting the thesis of undervaluation. The PEG ratio is also below the sector benchmark, offering value relative to expected earnings growth — a key indicator of long-term attractiveness. ? Financial Fundamentals From a financial perspective, P3 Health Partners has delivered annual profit growth that surpasses its sector peers, with two consecutive years of improving net profits. This indicates increasing operational efficiency, a scalable healthcare delivery model, and disciplined cost control. Moreover, NASDAQ:PIII is currently featured among the top gainers, reflecting strong market momentum. Despite this rise, the stock remains classified as affordable based on Trendlyne’s Valuation Score, indicating it still has room to grow without being overpriced. ? Technical Analysis NASDAQ:PIII also demonstrates strong technical signals: Low PE (≤10): The stock is trading near historically low valuation levels, with RSI readings bouncing from oversold zones — a classic reversal signal. Volume Shockers: Recent trading sessions have shown unusually high volume, a signal of incoming volatility and accumulation by larger players. High Volume, High Gain: Price movements have been supported by increasing volume, confirming strength in the rally. MACD indicators are turning bullish, and ADX values suggest a strengthening trend. Quarterly Industry Outperformance: NASDAQ:PIII has also outpaced the industry in price change over the last quarter, supported by Bollinger Band breakouts and sustained buying pressure. ✅ Final Verdict P3 Health Partners Inc. ( NASDAQ:PIII ) stands out as a stock with: ? Strong relative momentum. ? Undervalued fundamentals. ? Positive technical confirmations. ? Improving profitability trends. For investors seeking a balanced opportunity that combines growth, value, and momentum, NASDAQ:PIII offers a favorable setup in April 2025. With technical breakout potential and fundamental strength, it remains a high-conviction candidate for further upside.

How to Trade After Major News Events – The 15-Min Trap Setup

Hello Traders! We all get excited when major news hits the market — whether it’s budget day, RBI policy, US inflation data, or company results . But jumping in too early can be a trap. Smart money often creates fake moves in the first few minutes. That’s where the 15-Min Trap Setup becomes a powerful tool for intraday traders. Let me show you how to avoid traps and catch real moves after news events. Why the First 15 Minutes Matter Emotions are high: Retail traders often react instantly without confirmation. This creates liquidity for big players. Fake breakouts happen often: Price breaks key levels in the first candle — then reverses and traps traders. Volume is misleading: The biggest volume often comes early, but the real direction is seen later. The 15-Min Trap Setup – How It Works Step 1: Wait for the first 15-minute candle to close after a big news event — don’t trade before that. Step 2: Mark the high and low of this 15-minute candle. Step 3: Wait for a fake breakout above or below that range — if price breaks out but quickly comes back inside, it’s a trap. Step 4: Enter in the opposite direction of the breakout after confirmation — ride the real move. When to Use This Strategy Major economic events – like Fed decisions, budget day, inflation data, RBI policies. Company results – high-impact earnings or news releases. Gap up/gap down openings after big global cues. Rahul’s Tip Don’t react — observe. Let the market show its trap. Big players love early overconfidence. Use their game to your advantage by planning around the 15-min candle. Conclusion The 15-Min Trap Setup helps you avoid emotional trades and catch the real move after major news. Be patient, mark your zones, and strike when the trap is confirmed. This simple rule can completely change your intraday game. Have you ever been trapped in the first candle after news? Let’s share experiences below and grow together!

4.6 Analysis of current gold trend

4.6 Analysis of current gold trend Trend judgment: K-line breaks the middle track of Bollinger Bands, short-term bearishness dominates; Bollinger Bands open downward, and the downward wave continues. Key signals: 3000 mark: If it falls below, it will open up downward space (target 2980-2950); if it stabilizes, it may rebound technically (target 3030-3050). 3030-3050 area: If the K-line fluctuates in this area, it can be regarded as a second bottoming out; if it stands firmly at 3055, be alert to a rebound to 3070. Strategy 1. Short order (preferred) Entry: 3050-3055 light position to try short, if it rebounds to 3065-3068, increase the position (stop loss above 3072). Target: 3030→3015→3000 (step reduction). 2. Long order (caution) Entry: Long after the 3005-3010 area stabilizes (stop loss 2997). Target: 3030→3045 (quick in and quick out). 3. Follow up after the break Lower position breaks 3000: chase short (stop loss 3010), target 2980→2950. Upper position breaks 3070: wait and see whether it will fall back to 3055 and stabilize, then consider short-term long (target 3080). Risk warning Sweep market continues: recent volatility is drastic, avoid chasing ups and downs, and wait for key positions to be confirmed. Data and events: Pay attention to the Fed's policy expectations and geopolitical situation. If there is a sudden positive news, the rebound may accelerate.

Is This a Bear Market or a Golden Opportunity?

The indices have plummeted sharply, and whether you believe this is due to Trump’s tariffs or would have happened anyway, regardless of the trigger, the reality remains the same. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are officially in bear market territory— defined by a decline of more than 20% from their peaks . Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down approximately 15%. Given these facts, the big question is: Are we in a bear market, or is this a fantastic buying opportunity? ?? Now, let's break down the key levels, potential scenarios, and how to approach the current market environment. ? Dow Jones 30 (DJI): Navigating Key Support and Resistance Levels https://www.tradingview.com/x/RrBH8r1d/ On the weekly chart, DJI has been in an uptrend since the pandemic lows of 2020. The double top formation from 45k measured target has already been exceeded, and the index is now approaching a critical confluence support zone between 37k and 37,700. ? My Outlook: • I believe this support will hold in the near future, presenting a buying opportunity. • Resistances: 40k and 41,600 are important technical levels and potential targets for bulls. ? Alternative Scenario: • If DJI starts rising without testing the long-term confluence support, I will focus on selling opportunities, particularly around the 41,500 zone, as we have 2 unfilled gaps from last week. ________________________________________ S&P 500 (SPX): Bear Market Territory, But Still Holding Uptrend (posted main chart) According to classical theory, SPX is now officially in bear market territory. However, we are still above the ascending trend line established from the 2020 pandemic low, and approaching a confluence support zone around 4,820 - 4,900. ? My Outlook: • I will be looking for buying opportunities if the index continues its decline towards the 4,820 - 4,900 zone next week. • Target: Filling the first gap at 5,400. ? Alternative Scenario: • If the week begins positively, and SPX doesn’t reach the 4,900 support zone, I will focus on shorting opportunities on gap filling, aiming for a return to 5,000. ________________________________________ Nasdaq 100 (Nas100): Hovering Above Key Support https://www.tradingview.com/x/VV6E2dDs/ Unlike DJI and SPX, Nas100 is still well above the ascending trend line from the 2020 pandemic low. However, it is nearing an important horizontal support defined by the 2021 ATH and the 2024 lows. ? My Outlook: • Drops towards 17k or slightly lower could present good buying opportunities, anticipating a potential rise to fill the gaps. ? Alternative Scenario: • If the price rises above 18.500k zone without dipping under 17k I will look for selling opportunities. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.

E-Autos in Deutschland: Neuer Boom sorgt für Aufsehen

Das kommt unerwartet: E-Autos finden in Deutschland wieder mehr Abnehmer. Im März wurden so viele Elektroautos wie lange nicht mehr neu zugelassen. Auch Plug-in-Hybride finden zunehmend Abnehmer. Benziner und Diesel verlieren Kundschaft. Der Beitrag E-Autos in Deutschland: Neuer Boom sorgt für Aufsehen erschien zuerst auf inside digital.

Hyundai Insteroid: Ein Gaming-Auto wird zur E-Auto-Realität

Wenn man sich einen Rennwagen für ein Videospiel zusammenbauen dürfte, sähe er vermutlich ganz ähnlich aus wie das jetzt vorgestellte Konzeptauto Hyundai Insteroid. In Kürze wird man ihn zum ersten Mal auch live und in Farbe sehen können. Aber nicht in Deutschland. Der Beitrag Hyundai Insteroid: Ein Gaming-Auto wird zur E-Auto-Realität erschien zuerst auf inside digital.

Disney+ hat mich zurück: Ich bin schwach geworden – und das aus guten Gründen

Vielleicht erinnert ihr euch: Anfang des Jahres zwang mich Disney+ förmlich zur Kündigung meines Jahres-Abos, denn eine Preiserhöhung von 55 Prozent war dann doch zu viel für meinen Geschmack. Nun aber bin ich wieder an Bord des Streaming-Anbieters. In der aktuellen Ausgabe der Wochenendkolumne hier bei GIGA verrate ich euch, wie es dazu kommen konnte und warum ich letztlich doch schwach wurde.

Nasdaq Approaches Bear Territory Amid Escalating Trade Tensions

Market Decline: The Nasdaq Composite has fallen 20% from its December record high, approaching bear market territory. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have also experienced significant drops, marking their steepest weekly declines since March 2020. ​ Trade Tensions: The downturn is largely attributed to escalating trade tensions. The U.S. imposed a 10% tariff on most imports, prompting China to retaliate with a 34% tariff on all U.S. goods, effective April 10. This escalation has heightened fears of a global trade war. Recession Concerns: In response to these developments, J.P. Morgan has increased the probability of a global recession to 60%, up from 40% previously. ​ Market Movements: Support Levels and Potential Retracement: The Nasdaq's 20% decline suggests it's testing critical support levels. While technical analysis might indicate a potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation at these levels, the prevailing market sentiment, driven by ongoing trade disputes and recession fears, could limit any substantial recovery.​ Outlook: Given the current geopolitical and economic climate, a continued downward trend is plausible. However, markets are inherently volatile, and any developments in trade negotiations or economic policies could influence future movements.​ Disclaimer: Please remember that market predictions are speculative. It's essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.