BTC in correction wave to 1.618 on holiday bullish
January Candle closed GREEN after a RED December close. This now complicates issues greatly. Of the previous 7 Green January Candles, 3 were after a RED December We just created a 4th Green January after a RED December, which was the last December, 2024, current cycle. From those 3 previous occasions, 2 of those went to a RED February and the 3rd was a close call but just managed to remain Green Of the 3 RED February we have ever had, every one came after a Green January Of the previous 7 Green Januaries, we had 4 Green February The 3 Green Januaries after a RED December, went as follows ;- The 1st was just after the 2013 ATH and led us down the slope into a Bear. The Following March was also RED The 2nd was after Jan 2020 and the February closed RED and the March that followed saw a deep dive of near -60% before recovery that eventually led to the 1st ATH in 2021 The 3rd was in 2023 and February Closed Green but only Just and The Following March saw a 40% Rise Green The other RED February we had was in 2012. This Followed a Green December and January and the March that followed was RED but then the Price went mental and rose to the 2013 ATH If we are following patterns, we have a higher chance of a RED Feb and maybe March also but from that point on,. we Rise This would actually be beneficial to Bitcoin PA as the weekly MACD is still OverBought and needs to cool off if we are going to reach for anew ATH in Q3 or Q4 2025 The real question is, are we still following patterns ? Remeber, this is the BITCOIN chart - If BTC pulls back a bit, the ALTS will Follow Providing BTC PA remains stable and BTC Dominace decreases, then ALTS have a chance. But, as I mentioned early last year ( I think it was) Because Bitcoin is now a Corporate asset and seems to be being bought with a view to hold longterm, where will the Liquidity to finance an ALT Season come from ? I think the ALT seasons we all remember are highly unlikely to return and I will explain why in a post I am currently building up where I will do the Monthly ccandle close colours for TOTAL and OTHERS Market Caps Just got to find the time to finish them Stay safe
This is a personal project of mine that will consist of 10 trades in a row, specifically for this instrument, based mainly on 5 and 15min. time frames. There will be no fixed TP or SL, but I will watch for a certain formation of candles + 2 indicators. When closing the short position, it will be noted in the idea. The usual duration of 1 trade could be between 1 - 5 days. 3d trade / 11.48 UTC / 01.02 / 3243.5
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This price is there with good recoil and fun to hit the top ENTRY:0.9312_0.9084 SL:0.9004 TP:0.9872 ****If you have the opportunity, be sure to follow the capital guidelines*** *Comment your opinion, I will be happy*
Today 1st December 2025 (GOLD) ready to big retest and bear ready for shoot to bull. hi traders: here is my today analysis chart. Kindly share your thoughts on Gold in the comment section Gold Current Price: 2799 Gold has working Bullish Parallel Trendline which indicate continuation of a bullish trend. but gold is retest to its bearish track and can go more drop lower next week. its 1st Target will be 2785 and breaking this position bears next Target will be 2770.The Supporting Area is 2770 and Selling Zone is 2815 If Market working the range of 2770 to 2765 Area then its more drop chance atleast 2750 to 2740. Key Levels: Bearish Trend: Sell Targets: Target 1 2785 Target 2 2770 Demand Zone: 2750 Support Area: 2770 Resistance: 2815 If you like my analysis Please Like and Comment for More gold Updates Thanks
February 3–7, 2025 (The following is solely personal opinion, not investment advice. Please conduct your own assessment before making any decisions.) This is a market context update using Elliott Wave Theory. As shown in the chart, considering the Nasdaq bull market from the 2008 bottom to the present, there is a high probability that we are currently in a B Wave rebound within the ABC corrective wave. However, it remains uncertain how high the B Wave can rise. According to Elliott Wave Theory, the C Wave correction should fall below the bottom of the A Wave, which means for the Nasdaq cash index, the price could drop to at least 10,600, representing a 50%+ correction. Of course, this process may take several years. Scenario 1: The Market Has Not Peaked Yet I am watching price action within the 22,465–23,001 range. If this scenario holds, the weekly price needs to stay above 19,200, and the daily price must remain above 20,300. From a macro trend perspective, the market can still be cautiously bullish. Scenario 2: The Market Has Already Peaked If the price breaks below 20,300 quickly and remains below it, this could be the first technical confirmation that the market has topped. If this happens, we should see further consolidation around 21,000 next week, followed by a breakdown. However, if the price finds support above 21,200 and breaks upward, there is still a possibility of new highs and further gains. Last week, Nasdaq 100 moved in line with my previous analysis. On Friday, the price rebounded to the 21,600–21,700 target range before declining. If this decline breaks 20,300 swiftly, the probability of the market already peaking increases significantly. Typically, downward movements are faster than upward ones. The market took four days to rebound to the target range, so if the current trend holds, we should see a breakdown early next week (Monday–Tuesday) to confirm the trend. If the price fails to break lower between Monday and Wednesday and finds strong support or rebounds, the market could push higher and break new highs—this needs further observation. Deepseek & AI Industry Observations Over the past few days, I’ve read more about Deepseek and industry insights. One of the key cost-control strategies for training models is distillation, where a large model is used to train a smaller model. This suggests that Deepseek’s smaller models depend on larger ones and have certain limitations. Many industry experts have also stated that Deepseek’s emergence does not reduce AI investment and that the market may have overestimated its impact. As I am not an AI expert, I cannot verify the accuracy of these claims or whether Deepseek’s impact is overestimated. However, Anthropic CEO Dario mentioned in a post last week that AI model training costs are decreasing by 75% per year. A model that costs $100M to train in 2024 will only cost GETTEX:25M in 2025, and by 2026, the cost may drop below $5M. Dario also noted that this cost reduction trend is accelerating, meaning that early investments in AI without strong technical barriers and market dominance could be wiped out. The next few years will see explosive AI development, but many AI investments may fail. Competitive Perspective: Can the U.S. Maintain Its AI Lead? From a competitive standpoint, I do not believe the U.S. can maintain its AI dominance solely through investment. I strongly agree with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s AI development roadmap: The Four Stages of AI Development 1. Perception AI 2. Generative AI 3. Agentic AI 4. Physical AI According to Jensen, we are still in the Generative AI stage, where training models mainly rely on internet data. At this stage, the U.S. holds a huge advantage due to its leading semiconductor technology. However, when AI enters the physical realm, internet data will no longer be sufficient, and stable, large-scale data sources will be key to AI success. In this phase, China and India, with their vast populations, will have a major advantage. Since the Huawei incident, China has accelerated its chip R&D and manufacturing. While still lagging behind TSMC, tighter trade restrictions will further drive development in this sector. If a competitor to Nvidia emerges in China, what impact would that have on the high-valued U.S. tech sector? AI Bubble & Investment Strategy I believe Deepseek is just the beginning of exposing the AI bubble. While its direct impact may be overestimated, the fact that AI training costs are falling rapidly is undeniable. Investment Perspective From an investment standpoint, I believe that market price action is the ultimate confirmation. - For long-term views, take a macro approach. - For short-term decisions, use technical analysis.
Shiba is currently moving on an upward trend. There is a strong resistance zone, which I believe, based on the current conditions, will be broken soon and turn into a support zone, with good growth ahead. The current zone offers a low-risk entry and a suitable stop-loss level." TELEGRAM @FOREX ANALYSIS
Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW ⬇️ Sell now or sell on 104011.03 ⭕️SL @ 106575.02 ?TP1 @ 97200.0 ?TP2 @ 93451.18 ?TP3 @ 89259.98
If you look closely, the truth is revealed on the chart—in it's purest essence. Pay attention to the brightness of colors and the dynamic Nostra levels. Use the chart as your reference, Glance at the temperature, Then look again... See. Some will see it instantly. Others won't. But once it clicks, you'll never unsee it. Good luck, friends! :)