Price is currently at a High Probability Buy Zone with Target at 544 & 600. Confluences include: 1. BB-50 (Base line Retest and Rejection) on weekly TF. 2. RBS Zone overlapping with 61.80% to 78.6% Fib. zone. 3.Strong MACD Signal. 4. Surge in Volume on Daily TF at a key support area. 5. SL below 322
BTCUSD, as of 2025, resembles the price movements in 2017. In 2017, after Trump was sworn in in January, there was a 38% drop until July. The narrative around this decline is again tariffs. The FED was again coy about cutting interest rates, etc. But as it is now, first the global M2 liquidity increase, then the FED and other central banks started quantitative easing and the minting, and then the customs agreements, and the market boomed. Then there was a 172% increase until September. After a quick correction of 40% in the same month, the top of the cycle was reached, this time with a massive 562% rise. I predict that we are likely to see similar stories, only the price increases will not be as high as they were 8 years ago. The correction after the swearing-in ceremony was around 32% this year. In terms of technical targets, I expect a summer peak around 146k, followed by another 30-40% correction and then a blow-off top between 206-266k with a final madness and an entry into the bear market. Of course, this is purely a guess, an “educated guess” based on past macro and technical movements and the current situation. The condition that would invalidate all this and make us say “we are entering the bear market early” would be a weekly-monthly close below the 2024 peak at 73.8k. Wick down from there would not break the bull structure, as long as there is no weekly/monthly close. For me, the confirmation on the indicator side is that the Alpha Trend on the weekly chart is not selling. AT has been in a “BUY” position since January 2023.
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https://www.tradingview.com/x/QFLtOSf4/ Compared to BTC, the ALCH coin is stronger. The price is rising while bitcoin is falling and this gives us an advantage: big money is interested in ALCH. The coin has been in consolidation for the last few days. The zone of interest from D1 0.1786 is not yet reached. A false break of support could change the liquidity imbalance to a buyer's side, which would allow for continued growth Scenario: Trading range amid bullish trend. Price is testing the support. Possible false breakdown of 0.1321 support (technical pullback or correction) before continuing growth. In our case, the entry will be on the trend, and at favorable market conditions.
Follow up on my weekly idea. There is potential sell in the incoming days on the daily chart Stop loss: 86900 Take profit: Around 65k
Next target don't miss it Not financial advice trade and menege your owner risk
Gold has been on the rise for consecutive 2 weeks. Currently it is at the final leg of Elliott wave. I am expecting serious correction to come next week. Next week we should see price rise first and drop from around 3.4k. My optimal target next week will be 3172. Take note gold is super volatile. It can easily move more than 1k pips one day. Let's go down to smaller TF for better order next week.
A new Bitcoin ATH appearance is possible after saying Hello! to our green rising trend line from way back!
Gold is trading around 500 to 700 pips daily as we can see Gold market too volatile so trade safe stay safe don't gamble follow the instructions for learning something new gold will go up more so trade safe stay smart with Albert and Happy Trading