Took my trade after i saw a rejection from the 8:30 open and on the 1min we had a change of character and a 1 min fvg being respected.
Never the less as Solana trend looks bearish(Only from the point of view of price action traders, ema traders, breakout traders) and I DONT SHARE this opinion,because I use another TA to define the trend. Monthly VP is at 0.02%, for VP traders it is bullish( while MA tradrs say it is bearish). The price of solan is at historical lowest point of VAL(18 month volume profile).Therefor at this point sellers and buyers dont find an accepted price .If the sellers want to push down theprice,the number of buyers reduces.This leads to a market balance,as now many imbalances have been restored.While EMA,SMA and many other indicators are lagging indicators,they react when the show is over!!!!!!,VP delivers price information real time Also now commercials starting buying solana(COT report) while speculators selling it(Speculatorsare90% of time wrong)! Ofcourse many would suggest that we have bearish sentiment dat,inflation, recession etc. Fundamentlas show their impact alsotoo late. And all these information are priced in. Ok now to my setup: We have tested the support twice successfully. Solana can start to move in TP 1 direction. If price reaches tp1 and continues to move ahead,this will be a good sign that Solana bulls gaining more control, while sellers start to take profit. If TP 1 rejects,we expect that solana will fall back to support going for TEST 3. IF SUPPORT TEST § WAS SUCCESSFUL.tHAT MEANS sOLAN CANNOT BREAK THIS SUPPORT THE MARKET STARTS TO MOVEUP QUICKLY to TP 2,3,4 and 5 If solana not successful, then it targets 115% Fibo retracement, and then 127% and so on. For us it means to wait until one of the retracement levels rejects I buy there where others put their stops,because their stop management is planned by price action, that everyone can see.Therefor 90% of time they fail.
Post successful learnings and recent trades, I believe XPENG has topped this positional cycle and the monthly has printed a the pinbar candlestick. The confirmation is below last month's low point to shorten the market. Else this remains neutral. Entering a short here is riskier as bulls may push a retest. Trump's tariffs have been negative so far, which favors shorting Chinese stocks such as XPENG. But I still think this is neutral at the moment. As this situation is 50-50 staying on sidelines is important. Should you intend to go long then SL is $18.9 Should you go to short then SL is the last month high. Risky in mho.
Structure shifted bullish after a deep liquidity sweep during NY Killzone, with CHoCH confirmation and entry from a refined mitigation zone. ? Analysis Highlights: Market Structure: Bearish leg broken after sweeping liquidity → bullish CHoCH formed. Liquidity Sweep: Clean stop-hunt under previous low (~3090) triggered reactive volume spike. Mitigation Zone: Price returned to a 15m Fair Value Gap + last down candle OB. Session Context: Setup occurred during NY Killzone — high-volume manipulation time. ? Trade Plan: Entry: 3100–3105 (after mitigation into OB/FVG zone) Stop Loss: Below 3085 (beneath swept low) Target: 3186 (previous H1 supply zone + internal liquidity cluster) ⏰ Confluences: Liquidity taken → internal CHoCH confirms intent Mitigation into OB + FVG combo NY Session active (smart money participation) Break of internal bearish trendline adds momentum ⚠️ Potential Risks: Further sweep below 3085 if NY session induces one more fakeout H1 supply around 3186 might cause early rejection Confirm bullish intent with M5/M15 candle structure (engulfing, strong displacement) ✅ Bias: Bullish Let price confirm the entry. Don’t jump in blindly — wait for mitigation + structure shift, especially in sessions where volume + manipulation align. ? Reminder: This is a Smart Money Concept-based analysis, not financial advice. Always use your model and manage your risk.
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