Bulls are coming? looks interesting here on weekly, if we start to reclaim on HTF will aim for highs https://www.tradingview.com/x/RtQFShaU/
The analysis of the USD/JPY exchange rate reflects a complex combination of macroeconomic, monetary, and geopolitical factors influencing the pair's performance. During the Asian session on January 3, 2025, USD/JPY dropped toward 157.00, highlighting bearish pressure driven by a deterioration in risk sentiment and weak Chinese PMI data, which increased demand for the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency. Reduced activity due to Japanese holidays amplified exchange rate movements. Nonetheless, Japan’s December manufacturing PMI showed a marginal improvement to 49.6 from November’s 49.0, although it remained in contraction territory for the sixth consecutive month. Recent dynamics have been influenced by declining U.S. Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield at 4.62% and the 2-year yield at 4.32%, temporarily weakening the U.S. dollar. However, the greenback’s resilience is supported by expectations of fewer rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025. The DXY remains near 108.00, reflecting the dollar's intrinsic strength, further corroborated by solid U.S. economic data and persistently high inflation, with Tokyo's CPI rising to 3.0% year-over-year in December. In Japan, the government and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintain a cautious stance. The BoJ has emphasized that potential adjustments to monetary policy will depend on wage dynamics and inflation, which is expected to approach the 2% target in 2025. While the minutes of the latest meeting left room for gradual rate hikes, the likelihood of significant actions in the short term appears limited. This strengthens the expectation that the interest rate differential will continue to favor the dollar over the yen in the medium term. The global geopolitical and macroeconomic context also adds to uncertainty. Recent statements from Japan’s Finance Minister expressing concerns over unilateral and sharp currency market moves suggest potential FX interventions in the event of further yen depreciation. However, such interventions would likely have only a temporary impact, given that structural monetary policy dynamics remain favorable to the dollar. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming macroeconomic events, including U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (January 10, 2025), which could confirm further strengthening of the U.S. labor market, and the U.S. CPI release (January 15, 2025), which will provide insights into the Fed’s future monetary policy trajectory. The BoJ’s monetary policy meeting is another key event, as any signal of monetary normalization could trigger yen strengthening. In the short term, the pair is expected to remain near current levels, with a potential test of the 158.07 resistance. In the medium term, the trend remains bullish, supported by the interest rate differential and the strength of the U.S. economy. In the long term, however, potential economic reforms in Japan and global monetary policy normalization could reduce the dollar's appeal against the yen, pushing the exchange rate lower.
FARTCOIN ( PHEMEX:FARTCOINUSDT.P ) has taken the crypto world by storm this week, skyrocketing nearly 100% in value and capturing the attention of traders everywhere. This meteoric rise is fueled by its unique positioning as a blend of AI agents and meme coin culture, a combination that has resonated with the market. Riding the wave of the surging AI Agents category—led by heavyweights like VIRTUALS and AI16Z—FARTCOIN has solidified its place as one of the hottest tokens in the space. But with such explosive growth comes volatility, and traders are now asking: What’s next for FARTCOIN? Today, we’ll analyze its key support and resistance levels to craft a trading plan that prepares for multiple scenarios. Whether you’re chasing highs or looking to buy dips, understanding these levels is crucial to navigating FARTCOIN’s unpredictable journey. Scenario 1: The Bullish Surge Continues Imagine this: FARTCOIN’s rally shows no signs of slowing down. Buyers keep piling in, pushing the price past its immediate resistance at $1.433, followed by $1.482—both key levels that could signal continued bullish momentum. If this breakout happens with high trading volume, it might present an opportunity for traders to ride the wave higher. However, it’s essential to remain cautious as prices approach psychological resistance levels like $2.00 and $3.00. These round numbers often act as profit-taking zones where traders cash out, creating potential pullbacks. For those looking to capitalize on this scenario, timing is everything—chasing highs can be lucrative but also risky if momentum fades. Scenario 2: A Healthy Retracement Even the hottest coins need to catch their breath after a massive rally, and FARTCOIN might be no exception. In this scenario, we could see a temporary retracement as the price dips back toward $1.25—a key support level—to consolidate and build strength for another move upward. If trading volume decreases during this pullback, it could signal that sellers are losing steam while buyers quietly accumulate positions. Prices might bounce between $1.25 and $1.43 during this phase, forming a base for the next leg up. For traders considering an entry during this consolidation phase, risk management is critical. Setting a stop-loss just below $1.25 can help protect against unexpected drops. Alternatively, you could wait for a confirmed breakout above $1.43 before entering to ensure momentum is back on your side. Scenario 3: The Bearish Reversal While optimism surrounds FARTCOIN’s recent performance, it’s important to remember that anything is possible in the volatile world of crypto trading—including a bearish reversal. If prices break below $1.25 with high selling volume, it could signal a deeper correction ahead. In this case, traders should watch for support levels at $1.08, $1.00, and even as low as $0.88. These zones might attract long-term bullish investors looking to “buy the dip,” but caution is warranted if bearish momentum continues to dominate. For those who believe in FARTCOIN’s long-term potential, these lower levels could present attractive buying opportunities—but only if you’re prepared to weather short-term volatility. Trading FARTCOIN Like a Pro Navigating FARTCOIN’s wild price movements requires discipline and adaptability. Here are some tips to trade like a pro: •Stay flexible: Prepare for all three scenarios—bullish breakout, consolidation, or bearish drop—and adapt your strategy accordingly. •Manage risk: Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital in case of unexpected reversals. •Take profits strategically: Don’t get greedy; consider taking partial profits near key resistance levels like $2.00 or $3.00. •Follow the Volume: High trading volume often confirms the strength of a breakout or breakdown, so keep an eye on this critical indicator. •Be patient: If you’re unsure about entering during consolidation or retracements, wait for clear signals before committing your funds. FARTCOIN’s story is far from over—it’s just getting started. Whether it continues its meteoric rise or takes a breather before its next move, understanding key levels and scenarios will help you trade with confidence amidst the chaos of crypto markets! Tips: Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
British Pound Sterling (GBP): A History and Trading Overview The British pound, one of the oldest and most traded currencies, holds a central role in the global forex market. Known for its volatility and economic significance, the pound presents unique opportunities and challenges for traders. This article explores British money’s history, key factors driving its value, major trading pairs, and insights into how it’s traded. Origins and Historical Evolution of British Pound Sterling The British Pound Sterling, represented by the pound symbol £ and known by the British pound abbreviation GBP, has a rich history stretching back over a thousand years, making it one of the oldest continuously used currencies. Its origins trace to the Anglo-Saxon period, around the 8th century, when it was first introduced as a silver-based currency. Back then, one pound of sterling silver could be divided into 240 silver pennies—a substantial amount. The currency evolved as England developed its economy and trading networks, solidifying the pound’s status as a cornerstone of UK money and commerce across Europe. During the late 17th century, the establishment of the Bank of England in 1694 marked a turning point, allowing the British government to issue notes and coins on a larger scale. Later, the central bank adopted the gold standard in the 19th century and pegged the pound’s value to gold, enhancing its stability and appeal. However, the turbulent economic climate following World War I and the Great Depression led to abandoning the gold standard, allowing the pound to float in value—a status it maintains today. Why Is a Pound Called Sterling? The term “sterling” is linked to the British currency’s origins as high-quality silver coins. Medieval England’s silver coins, made primarily from “sterling” silver, had a reputation for purity and reliability, giving rise to the enduring name “Pound Sterling.” This name reflects the currency's legacy as a reliable and trusted medium of exchange. Is a Quid the Same as Pounds? Yes, a pound vs quid refers to the same unit of currency. In the UK, British “quid” is just informal slang for one pound. Similar to how Americans might say “buck” for a dollar, “quid” is used informally across the UK. Whether referring to the British pound sign £1 or a larger amount, there is no difference between “quid” and “pound” in everyday conversation, although “quid” isn’t an official term and doesn’t appear on banknotes or coins. In comparing a quid vs pound vs pence, quid and pound refer to the same unit of currency: one pound. In contrast, a pence is worth 1/100th of a pound. 100 pence make up a pound, akin to how 100 cents make up a dollar. The British Pound in the 20th Century In the 20th century, the pound faced dramatic shifts as Britain navigated global economic challenges and geopolitical shifts. After World War I, Britain tried to reinstate the gold standard in 1925, hoping it would bring stability. However the post-war economy was fragile, and by 1931, the gold standard was abandoned permanently, allowing the pound to fluctuate with market conditions. This move was crucial—it marked the pound’s transition to a free-floating currency, where its value was driven by demand and supply rather than a fixed link to gold. World War II and its aftermath further tested the pound’s resilience. Britain’s economy suffered significant losses, and by 1949, the government was forced to devalue the pound by about 30% against the dollar to support post-war recovery efforts. The pound experienced another major drop in 1967, as Britain faced growing debt and economic pressure. Fast forward to 1992, and the pound’s status faced another test during the “Black Wednesday” crisis. Britain’s attempt to keep the pound within the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) led to massive currency speculation. As traders shorted the GBP, meaning they expected it to lose value, the government struggled, ultimately withdrawing from the ERM—a pivotal decision that set the pound free from strict European exchange constraints. Factors Driving the British Pound Several key factors influence the value of the UK’s currency, from economic indicators to political events, making it a responsive currency in the forex market. Interest Rates and Monetary Policy The British pound’s value is heavily influenced by the Bank of England (BoE) and its monetary policies. The BoE’s primary tool for managing the pound is its interest rate policy. When the BoE raises rates, it often strengthens the pound by attracting investors seeking higher returns on UK assets. Conversely, lowering rates can weaken the pound, as it reduces the currency's appeal. The BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee meets regularly to assess economic conditions and decide on potential adjustments. Statements from these meetings can create significant market reactions, as traders interpret them for clues on future policies. In addition to interest rates, the BoE may also implement quantitative easing (QE) during economic downturns, increasing the money supply to stimulate growth. While the QE can help the economy, it often weakens the pound due to an increase in supply. The actions of other central banks also impact the pound’s value relative to another currency. For instance, if the Fed raises rates while the BoE keeps theirs unchanged, the dollar could strengthen against the pound. Major Economic Indicators and Events The British pound’s value is highly responsive to a range of economic indicators and events, as these reflect the health of the UK economy and inform expectations for future growth. GDP Growth Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures are a crucial indicator for the pound. Solid GDP growth indicates a strong economy, which often strengthens the currency. Conversely, sluggish growth or contraction signals economic trouble, which can weaken the pound. Traders closely watch quarterly GDP releases as they give direct insight into the UK’s economic performance. Inflation Rates Inflation is a key driver for the pound due to its direct link with interest rates. The Bank of England targets a 2% inflation rate, and if inflation rises significantly above this level, the BoE may respond by raising rates, which tends to strengthen the pound. Low or declining inflation can have the opposite effect, reducing the likelihood of rate hikes and putting pressure on the currency. Employment Data Employment reports, especially the monthly unemployment rate and wage growth data, offer a snapshot of the labour market’s health. A low unemployment rate and rising wages indicate economic strength, typically supporting the pound. Weak employment data, on the other hand, can signal economic challenges, potentially leading to a weaker currency. Global Risk Sentiment The British pound has a complex relationship with global risk sentiment, sometimes acting as a “risk barometer” for the UK and global markets. Unlike so-called traditional safe-haven currencies like the US dollar or Japanese yen, the pound doesn’t have a role as a refuge during periods of market stress. During times of global uncertainty, the pound can weaken as investors move funds into potentially safer assets. For example, during major economic downturns or political crises, traders might sell off the pound in favour of currencies like the dollar or yen, which are seen as more resilient. This behaviour stems from the pound’s relatively high volatility. On the other hand, in periods of optimism or risk-on sentiment, the pound can attract investment, especially if the UK economy is performing well. The currency benefits from the UK’s open financial market, which can draw in foreign capital when investors feel confident about economic growth. Political Events The pound is highly sensitive to domestic political developments like any other currency. Events like general elections, referendums, and policy decisions usually cause swift price movements. For example, Brexit created significant uncertainty, leading to heightened pound volatility. Political stability, or lack thereof, affects investor confidence, influencing the pound's value in response to perceived risks or opportunities. Trade Relationships The UK's trade balance, particularly with key partners like the EU and the US, also impacts the pound. A positive trade balance (more exports than imports) often supports the currency, while a deficit can put downward pressure on it, as more pounds are exchanged for foreign currency to pay for imports. Trading the British Pound Trading the British pound offers opportunities for those interested in both major and cross-currency pairs. Its reputation for volatility and responsiveness to economic data makes it an appealing choice for various trading strategies. What Is the Best Pair to Trade With GBP? Traders can trade the pound through several pairs, each offering unique characteristics. GBP/USD is the most popular, providing high liquidity and frequent price movement. This pair is particularly attractive for traders who closely follow UK and US economic indicators, as these two economies often drive its volatility. GBP/JPY is another popular choice for those seeking higher volatility, as it tends to have larger price swings due to the yen’s so-called safe-haven status. Additionally, EUR/GBP is favoured by those interested in the close economic ties between the UK and the Eurozone, often providing interesting trends influenced by regional economic policies. Technical Analysis GBP pairs are well-suited to technical analysis, with traders commonly using tools like support and resistance levels, trendlines, and moving averages. Patterns such as double tops and bottoms are frequently observed, and indicators like the MACD and RSI can help identify potential entry points based on overbought or oversold conditions. GBP’s volatility makes it ideal for momentum-based strategies, where traders look for strong price movements to capture gains. Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis is essential when trading the pound, given its sensitivity to UK economic data and Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy. Traders often monitor GDP growth, inflation, employment figures, and BoE’s interest rate decisions, as these have immediate effects on pound valuation. Additionally, political events such as elections or Brexit-related developments can create rapid shifts, making it crucial to stay informed about current affairs that could impact the currency. Risk Management Given the pound’s volatility, effective risk management is vital. Traders may potentially enhance their strategies by setting appropriate stop-loss levels and position sizing to account for the currency’s larger price swings. Observing correlations with other currencies, like EUR/USD, can also help manage exposure and offer additional insights when the pound exhibits similar or diverging trends. GBP/USD Pair Characteristics So what is GBP known for today? In the modern age, the pound is easily recognised by the pound’s sign (£) and remains one of the most traded currencies worldwide, particularly in pairs like GBP/USD, known as “Cable.” This pair represents the exchange rate between the British pound and the US dollar, capturing the relationship between two of the world’s largest economies. Liquidity and Volatility GBP/USD is known for high liquidity, especially during London and New York trading hours when the UK and US markets overlap. This liquidity attracts significant trading volume, leading to relatively tight spreads, especially during peak trading times. However, GBP/USD is also notably volatile, meaning it can experience sharp movements over short periods. This volatility is often driven by economic releases, political events, and market sentiment. Role in Forex Market As one of the major currency pairs, GBP/USD is a cornerstone of forex trading. It represents around 9% of total daily forex turnover. Traders follow it closely due to its sensitivity to key economic indicators, interest rate decisions, and policy changes from the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve. GBP/USD's unique position as both a "major" and an often volatile pair allows it to reflect broader market trends and risk sentiment effectively. Which Pair Correlates With GBP/USD? The GBP/USD pair frequently shows a correlation with other major pairs, particularly EUR/USD. This is largely due to their shared link to the US dollar. When EUR/USD experiences a strong trend, GBP/USD may often follow suit, although the unique economic factors affecting the UK and Eurozone can cause deviations in their movements. Additionally, USD/CHF often shows an inverse correlation with GBP/USD, as the Swiss franc serves as a so-called safe-haven currency (more so than the US dollar), moving oppositely in risk-off markets. To explore these correlations, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to get started with real-time forex charts. The Bottom Line The British pound remains a dynamic and influential currency in forex markets, offering ample opportunities for traders at all levels. Its rich history, market responsiveness, and diverse trading pairs make it an essential choice for those looking to engage in global currency trading. To start trading the pound and other pairs with it, open an FXOpen account and take advantage of four advanced trading platforms, low costs, and fast execution speeds. FAQ What Is GBP Currency? GBP is the abbreviation for the British pound, the official currency of the United Kingdom. Often referred to as “British pound sterling,” it’s one of the oldest and most traded currencies globally, denoted by the pound symbol, £. Is GBP Getting Stronger Against the Euro? The pound’s strength against the euro fluctuates based on economic conditions in the UK and Eurozone. As of late 2024, the pound has been getting stronger against the euro recently due to a less restrictive monetary policy stance from the European Central Bank. What Country Has the Oldest Currency? The UK has the world’s oldest currency still in use. The pound sterling dates back over a thousand years, tracing its origins to the Anglo-Saxon period. When to Trade GBP Pairs? GBP pairs are most active during the London trading session, from 8 a.m. to 4 p.m. GMT. Volatility can increase when UK or US economic data is released. Which GBP Pair Is Most Volatile? GBP/JPY is typically the most volatile GBP pair, due to the yen’s role as a so-called safe-haven currency. It can experience larger price fluctuations compared to other GBP pairs. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
XAUUSD in bullish trend, expected trend reversal according to RSI diversions, entry with a sell stop
XAU/USD 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis: On the 4-hour (4H) chart, XAU/USD (Gold) is currently in a consolidation phase, where the price is ranging within a defined level. We have identified three minor key levels during this consolidation period that are acting as crucial points for both buyers and sellers. Minor Support Key: At 2.630, the price has shown a tendency to find support from buyers who pushed the price upward, leading to a retest of the next minor resistance level at 2.660. Minor Resistance Key: At 2.660, the price has faced resistance and pulled back, suggesting indecision in the market. We expect that after testing the resistance, the price will likely break below the support key to potentially hunt for liquidity, particularly stop-loss orders placed by buyers. Price Action Expectation: Given the recent price action, we anticipate that the price will move back to the minor support key at 2.630 before a potential breakdown below it. Once this occurs, we expect the price to continue lower, breaking through the support level and targeting liquidity zones where stop-loss orders from buyers may be positioned. In a bullish scenario, if the price manages to break the minor resistance at 2.660, the market could continue its upward movement. Trade Setup: Trade Type: Sell Stop (Breakout) Entry Price: 2.617.30 (below the minor support key at 2.630 after a confirmed breakdown) Stop Loss: 2.654.10 (within the liquidity zone above the minor resistance at 2.660) Take Profit: 2.590.00 (potential target at the next support level) Fundamental Correlation: Gold prices are influenced by a variety of factors, including inflation data, geopolitical tensions, and monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve. In the near term, market sentiment may drive price movements. If there are any economic data releases or shifts in risk sentiment, they could play a role in either supporting or weakening gold prices. Conclusion: XAU/USD is currently consolidating, and the price movement between 2.630 (minor support) and 2.660 (minor resistance) suggests that traders should monitor for a breakdown below 2.630 for a potential sell setup. A confirmation of a break below this level will provide an opportunity to enter short, with a target at the next support. Risk Management: As always, ensure proper position sizing and maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2 or higher. Adjust your trades according to real-time market conditions and economic events that may affect the price of gold.
CME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21188.75 - PR Low: 21144.00 - NZ Spread: 100.25 Key scheduled economic events: 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Prices Inventory response of 21000 daily pivot zone - Holding auction at 50% of previous session range Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 1/3) - Weekend Gap: +0.07% (filled) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 372.20 - Volume: 25K - Open Int: 254K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -5.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
SAND Update ~ 1W #SAND Still maintaining its bullish structure. This is the 2nd wave in the Eliot Wave pattern. Buy in stages. Target 20%++
A potential sell opportunity is emerging. USDCAD TRADE SETUP! A bearish trend is unfolding, with a possible sell signal on the horizon. Current price: 1.43955. Target price: 1.43481." "USDCAD FORECAST! Our analysis suggests a downward move is likely, presenting a sell opportunity. Current price: 1.43955. Target price:1.43481. Best wishes Tom ?
Bybit is inspiring global university students to create official merch designs, offering a $50,000 USDT prize pool and the opportunity to shape Bybit’s brand identity Bybit, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, today announced the launch of the Bybit Merch Creative Challenge. This exclusive design competition, open to university students globally, offers participants […]