? LONG SETUP - BUY THE DIP (Swing Trade) Entry: 22,350 - 22,400 Take Profit (TP): 23,500 (first target), 24,000 (extended target) Stop Loss (SL): 22,150 Reasoning: Strong historical support at 22,300 - 22,400. Bullish divergence on MACD and RSI on 1H and 4H charts. High timeframe trend remains bullish; expecting continuation after the retracement. ? Market Overview & Bias Daily & 4H Charts: The GER40 has been in a strong bullish trend over the past few months but is currently experiencing a retracement. The 21 EMA and 8 EMA are converging, signaling indecision or potential trend exhaustion. 200 EMA remains below price, suggesting long-term uptrend remains intact. The 100 EMA is acting as resistance on lower timeframes. Key support zones: 22,300 and 21,900. Key resistance zones: 23,000 and 23,500. Lower Timeframes (1H & 15M) The price is consolidating between the 22,400 - 22,700 range. A potential reversal pattern is forming on the 15M chart with bullish divergence on RSI and MACD. ATR values suggest increased volatility, so tight stop losses are necessary. Key Economic & Geopolitical Considerations ECB Rate Decision (March 21, 2025) Hawkish stance → Might push GER40 lower. Dovish stance → GER40 could break resistance. US CPI & NFP Reports Inflation data affecting European stock sentiment. Strong USD could pressure GER40 downward. Geopolitical Risks German & EU economic policies affecting investor sentiment. Tensions between China/EU and EU/USA on trade policies could add volatility. mportant: this is not personalized financial advice. It’s an illustration of how one might combine risk management principles with the support/resistance zones in play. Final Note & Disclaimer All market scenarios carry probabilities, not certainties. Technical signals are best combined with macro fundamentals (e.g., interest rates, USD behavior, geopolitical risks) to form a well‐rounded market view. This consolidated analysis serves an educational purpose—always do additional research or consult a licensed professional before making trading or investment decisions.
The strong bearish trend for USD/CHF stalled this week, with buying support emerging beneath .8774, continuing the pattern seen in December. The net result has been a grind higher before running into resistance at .8854, forming what resembles a bear flag on the charts. That should put traders on alert for a potential downside break and resumption of the bearish trend. Indicators like RSI (14) and MACD are providing mixed signals on price momentum, with the former trending higher while the latter remains below the signal line. However, the modest RSI (14) uptrend looks vulnerable, mirroring the unconvincing price action. If the price breaks down from the bear flag, immediate levels of note include .8774, .8711, and .8617, the latter being a more substantial support level. On the topside, a break of .8854 would put .8920 and .8966 on the radar for bulls. The price is hanging around the 200-day moving average like a bad smell this week, but having traded through it on multiple occasions like it didn’t exist, it shouldn’t be a major consideration for traders. Good luck! DS
Key Observations: 1. Significant Downtrend: • The recent price action shows a notable decline from its highs, suggesting strong selling pressure. • The price has fallen to a major support zone around $551.42, close to a longer-term uptrend line (green line). 2. Support & Resistance Levels: • $563.91 – A previous support level turned resistance after the recent decline. • $551.42 – Currently being tested as a support level. • $539.44, $518.36, and $510.27 – Potential next support levels if price continues downward. 3. Trendline Test: • The long-term uptrend line is being tested right now. If it holds, SPY could see a bounce. • If it breaks below, it might lead to a deeper correction towards $539.44 or lower. 4. Indicators: • Stochastic RSI (middle panel): • Currently in oversold territory, suggesting that selling momentum is strong, but a potential bounce could occur. • MACD (bottom panel): • The histogram is deeply negative, showing strong downward momentum. • The MACD lines are still bearish but may start flattening, which could indicate slowing bearish momentum soon. Prediction for Tomorrow & Near-Term: • Bullish Scenario: • If $551.42 and the trendline hold, SPY may attempt a bounce toward $563.91 resistance. • Confirmation would require bullish momentum on lower timeframes and increased volume. • Bearish Scenario: • If SPY breaks below $551.42 and the trendline, expect further downside to $539.44 and possibly $518.36 in the coming days. • A continued negative MACD and weak Stoch RSI would reinforce this bearish outlook. Conclusion: • Critical level to watch: $551.42. • If SPY closes above it, we could see a short-term rebound. • If it breaks below, expect more downside pressure toward $539.44 and $518.36.
In my years as a commodity trader, it crossed my desk multiple times the incredible frequency in which full moons aligned with significant price action sessions amongst precious metals; almost with a degree of precision that is hard to believed if measured too closely. Tonight there will be the first Blood Moon since 2022, which stood out to me on the session that gold set new all time highs and silver showed signs of incredible strength and momentum. I was curious of the rarity of Blood Moons, and upon learning the date of the last occurrence, something stood out to me. I knew it was right around the time that the FTX disaster found a bottom, and a new bull market kicked off in equities on the back of AI exuberance. Then I looked a little closer. They were not just close in proximity, but the last Blood Moon occurred nearly at literal Bitcoin bottoms in the wake of the FTX disaster . Whoa. Okay, certainly there are coincidences out there, and I've seen technical analysis referred to as "astrology for men" enough times to exercise a little restraint on this topic, but I found it fascinating. Will this Blood Moon mark a local low before resumption of bullish momentum? Will equities have marked a bottom too? RSI around both events reached very similar levels too. For those that want to investigate further, check out the 2014 Blood Moons on top of a Bitcoin chart.
Hello Traders Check Out My Analysis And Share Your Feedback About it.. According my Personal Analysis Btc will Bullish More After Dropping, I have identified the key Points which Indicates a Strong support at $78000 Technical Target Points $88000 and $95000 Support with Your boost Likes and Comments
Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?! ? I would like to present you some charts with important levels and relevant patterns. ?daily-chart (BITSTAMP) and ?everything important in the chart ? ?Here in the daily chart (BITSTAMP) - a Deep-Crab harmonic with - a WolveWave and the daily-chart of the ?Daily MA200 re-test ? - gap fill - support-line 2022 and 2024 TOPs https://www.tradingview.com/x/840FRKJy/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/IA5KQmrL/ ? BITCOIN roadmap/outlook (from 27th february 2024) ? https://de.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/BqDCgTAc/ ? If you like this idea, please leave me a ? and follow for updates ?⏰ Furthermore, any criticism is welcome as well as any suggestions etc. - You're also very welcome to share this idea. Have a nice evening & successful trading decisions ? M_a_d_d_e_n ✌ NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! Without any guarantee & exclusion of liability!
This is crazy Chad, when this ends and I'm positive we're going to go to the second round and you see I've already got those lines prepared I didn't measure them with the vertical line that I created from the first run and overlaid it to the second run and it matches and I thought okay this is one two three four and I've got to have one more so you'll see where my cell lines in that third echelon and that red line is my safe cell okay I want to get out on that line even though it could go a little bit higher but that's as far as it's going to go and then this whole thing is going to fall down we're not going to $2.48 we're not going to $2.52 and we're not going to any other number above $2.32 on the safe side and know that overall on this Market this is a down Market so we're profiting up in the down market and we still got two more times to do it and double down each time remember I'm doing 3XL which is three times the bonus profit that I get for the amount of participation that I'm giving I'm buying billion
Everybody loves PLTR and wants a bite of it. I dont love any stocks. I only love market profile tool which keeps me sane. Good news is, you maybe able to buy PLTR at 45. No, this is not me saying, I am just an interpreter of Volume profile. Act at your own risk
Hello everyone, is Friday! Last trading of the week! This week has been a challenging one. Hope everyone stick to the trading plan. Trade plan is the same, buy into support and sell at resistance based on your trade tf. 4H Chart PEPPERSTONE:HK50 This morning the MACD seems has reversal sign although the GoldenCross form below zero line ,at least showing the end of the bear, monitor to confirm it's not a fake reversal. ? https://www.tradingview.com/x/FwxJDCe3 As the D chart showed the Index still out of uptrend channel again as mentioned from previous post, as long as the Index out of the upper trend channel then the pullback is inevitable for the next wave. However longer tf, it's still bullish which created higher high for thr W Chart. HSI:HSI https://www.tradingview.com/x/FI0NNZuB it would be great if this week could close 24669(last week Hi). But unlikely, what do you think? Happy trading everyone. ** Please Boost ?/LIKE ?,FOLLOW ? SHARE ? and COMMENT ✍️ if you enjoy this idea! Share your trading journey toencourage the trading buddies.
? Attention Traders! ? XAUUSD is on fire! ? Here's the latest update: ? Bearish Outlook: Watch out for a potential drop if price falls below 2979. Targets: 2940 & 2960. ? Bullish Outlook: A breakout above 2989 could lead to buying opportunities! Watch for targets: 3000 & 3020. ? Stay Tuned: Share your thoughts and strategies as we navigate this golden market! Let's hit new highs! ??