Last weeks high: $87,453.65 Last weeks low: $81,140.91 Midpoint: $84,297.28 Great weekly close for the bulls! A reclaim of the weekly high in the dying hours of the week is a huge win and has spurred on an early run for the weekly high. The overall goal for this move should be $91,000 in my opinion, and a must not lose area is $86,000 or 0.75 line/ last weeks weekly high. What happens at $91,000 is yet to be determined and I have an idea many will be tentative around that area. On the high time frames a reclaim of this level unlocks the capability to retest the highs from a TA standpoint as price re-enters the range bound environment. A rejection of that level would make a $73,000 retest a very real possibility. In terms of altcoins we're seeing some strength returning with some strong gains but relative to their sell-offs it is a a drop in the ocean so far. Currently the market conditions are a traders dream but a long term investor/holders nightmare. No major news is planned to come this week so unless something drastic happens TA should be the driving factor this week.
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst Santander, the second largest listed company on the IBEX 35, is on the verge of reaching a new milestone: regaining €100 billion in market capitalization. This figure, not seen since 2015, marks a turning point in the trajectory of the bank, which consolidates its position as the largest in the euro zone, surpassing BNP Paribas. The Cantabrian entity has experienced sustained growth in recent months, driven by a favorable macroeconomic environment and by its strategy of geographic and business diversification. So far in 2025, its shares have risen by almost 55%, driven by a favorable context for the financial sector. Despite lagging behind other banks in 2024, this year it is demonstrating its resilience and operational strength. Santander has once again positioned itself among the elite of European banking, benefiting from rising interest rates and greater operational efficiency. Key drivers of its growth The banking sector has benefited from the new economic outlook in Europe, characterized by a rebound in inflation and an increase in defense spending, driven by Germany and the European Union. This environment has strengthened banking profitability, allowing Santander to improve its financial performance. In addition, the elimination of fiscal restrictions in some key countries has facilitated access to credit and boosted economic activity, resulting in greater demand for banking products and services. A clear indicator of its evolution is the comparison with its situation in 2015. Back then, its net profit was less than €6 billion. Today, according to FactSet estimates, it is expected to close 2025 with earnings of 12.69 billion, more than twice as much as a decade ago. This increase is largely due to improved financial margins due to positive interest rates, cost containment and the digitization of its services. Among these costs and in spite of everything, the UK market has turned out to be one of the markets in which it has encountered the greatest direct difficulties and its exit was even considered at the end of last year and the beginning of this one. Differences with the past Despite the growth in capitalization and profits, its share price is still far from the historical highs reached in 2007, when it exceeded 13 euros per share. The capital increase and the issuance of convertible debt have transformed its financial structure, so that the bank's total stock market value is not directly reflected in its share price. Since the 2008 crisis, the sector has changed radically with new regulations, mergers and recapitalizations. Santander has been able to adapt, consolidating its position and betting on a diversified strategy that has allowed it to withstand market swings. Unlike in 2015, the entity now has a more solid capital structure, with less dependence on capital increases and a greater capacity to generate recurring profits. In the past, much of the banks' growth was based on credit expansion, which generated a risk bubble that burst with the financial crisis. Today, Santander has learned from those mistakes and has diversified its revenues, betting on the wealth management business, investment banking and digitalization. This transformation has allowed it to remain competitive against new players in the financial sector, such as fintechs and neobanks. Outlook for the future With a solid financial situation and an economic environment that continues to offer opportunities, the bank is well positioned to continue its growth. Its performance will depend to a large extent on the ECB's monetary policy and its ability to maintain profitability in a changing market. One of the key challenges for the bank will be managing the interest rate cycle. While rates have boosted banking profitability in recent years, any downturn could squeeze margins. In this regard, Santander will need to focus on operational efficiency strategies and revenue diversification to maintain its profitability. Another aspect to consider is growth in emerging markets. Santander's global presence in Latin America remains a key pillar for its growth, contributing a significant portion of its profits. However, political and economic volatility in the region represents a risk that the bank will have to manage carefully. Lastly, digitalization and innovation will continue to be differentiating factors in the banking sector. Santander has invested significantly in technology to improve the customer experience and optimize its operations. Competition with fintechs and tech giants will be intense, and the bank will need to continue to innovate to stay ahead of the curve. Technical Outlook. At the moment we can see how the stock has soared from January 2 to March 19, currently being an area of possible perforation of the price of 2015 highs after having generated an accumulation zone in the area of 2017 highs. Seeing the current value of the RSI at 65.8% a little more volatility in that direction is predictable, although it is overbought. The average crossover indicates a continuation of the price extension, so it is quite affordable points to a price of 2014 highs around 7.475. If we look at the control point (POC) this is located in the area of the previous range around 4.50 euros per share. If we look at the shape of the bell, it seems to be forming a small double bell in the part of the current highs price around €6 per share. Conclusion Santander is on the verge of regaining the 100 billion euros mark in capitalization, consolidating its position as the leader of the banking sector in the euro zone. Its performance in recent years demonstrates the bank's ability to adapt to a changing environment and take advantage of market opportunities. With a strategy based on diversification, digitalization and operational efficiency, Santander is positioned as a key player in the future of the financial sector. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
After last week's intense volatility, this week's market sentiment diverged significantly, with different categories performing differently. In addition, as the month is coming to an end, market risk appetite is reduced, so it is necessary to be cautious. We still need to pay attention to economic data this week, because we need to observe the prospects for US economic development through data, and another thing is inflation, which the market and the Federal Reserve are concerned about. Last Friday, the world's largest gold ETF added 20.08 tons of positions at one time, which was the eighth consecutive increase. This kind of continuity is relatively rare. In theory, it is a positive support for gold prices, but the increase and decrease of ETFs is more viewed from a medium- and long-term perspective. The initial pressure on the intraday gold price is around $3,026, and the further pressure is around $3,035. The strong pressure or the long-short dividing point is at the high point of $3,040. The current rebound is slightly stronger, and it may be the first to continue the rebound. The primary support below the day is around $3005. After breaking down, further support is at $2995. If the first retracement is near this level, you can intervene and buy. The rebound target price is around $3020. As for whether the rise can continue? It must stand firmly above $3040. Below this level, there is a risk of retracement at any time. BUY: 3005 Stop loss: 2995 TP1:15 TP2:25 TP3:35 SELL:3040 Stop loss: 48 TP1:30 TP2:20
Why I Took the L (and Feel Great About It) | SPX Analysis 24 Mar 2025 The markets are meandering again, and I’m starting to feel like a one-man tribute band for “Brimful of Asha” on repeat. Another grindy week, another re-run of the up-a-bit, down-a-bit SPX drama. Today’s vibe? Picture those magnificent men in their flying machines… looping up diddely up-up and down diddely down-down with zero destination in sight. The overnight futures opened with some energy - but landed us smack back into the call wall zone at 5700/5720. Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands are pinching tighter than my jeans post-Christmas, confirming what we already know: this market’s stuck in a range. But here's the thing… I’m not stressing it. I’ve seen this dance before. And I know exactly what I’m waiting for. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Another week, another range, and here I am again – sipping coffee, muttering to myself like a budget oracle, watching SPX push a few points higher and thinking… "Didn’t we just do this yesterday?" The overnight futures gapped higher, but the market basically landed us right back into the same call wall we’ve been dancing with all week – 5700/5720. It’s like déjà vu… but with less excitement. And don’t even get me started on the Bollinger Bands. They’re pinching so tightly now you could use them as a tourniquet. Yes, we’re consolidating. Yes, we already knew that. But now it’s like the market is actively mocking us. ? So what’s changed? Nothing. The plan remains exactly the same: Wait for a breakout-pullback – either direction. Don’t force trades. Stay sharp, but don’t get twitchy. Friday’s rally? It messed with the last of my bear swings, and instead of dragging the positions out like a bad soap opera, I just let them expire and took the loss. Not because I had to. But because they were irritating me. Sometimes, the smartest move is not about managing the trade – it’s about managing the trader. I cleared the decks, reset the headspace, and now I’m ready for what comes next. So here we are: Bullish trigger is still 5720+ Bearish trigger stays below 5605 Everything in between is just noise. And yeah, I’m still leaning bearish, but I’m not forcing it. We’ve seen this pattern before – the grind, the stall, the fakeout. And when the real move comes? That’s when I’ll strike. Until then, it’s back to the charts, back to the tea, and back to waiting with the quiet smugness of someone who knows patience pays better than panic. Let’s see if today delivers… or if we’re just rolling the same episode again. --- Fun Fact ? In 1997, when the VIX dropped below 10, traders called it "nap time." The market stayed so calm for so long, many option traders took part-time jobs just to stay busy - including one notorious story of a floor trader who moonlighted as a nightclub bouncer. ?Lesson? When volatility vanishes, don’t force action – prepare for the return of chaos.
It looks like gold has broken its ascending channel, signaling a potential correction or consolidation. Based on My technical analysis targets, the key support levels to watch are: $3,000 – Psychological level, could act as support/resistance. $2,982 – Minor support within the current price action. $2,955 – Potential bounce zone if selling pressure increases. $2,924 – Deeper retracement, aligning with past structure. $2,883 – Stronger support, where buyers may step in. A break below these levels could indicate further downside, while a bounce from any of these could lead to a recovery. Do you see any confluence with moving averages or Fibonacci levels in your analysis?
Price broke Asia high and displacement was present so I was looking for buys. Waited on retracement then entered +2.8% LDN
RNDR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Strong Bullish Breakout Ahead? Render Token (RNDR) has just broken a key trendline resistance, signaling a potential strong uptrend. Here’s why traders should pay close attention to this breakout. ? Key Insights: ✅ Breakout Confirmation: The price has pushed above a long-term descending trendline, indicating bullish momentum. ✅ Retest & Continuation? A successful hold above the $3.90 - $4.00 zone could confirm the breakout and lead to higher price targets. ✅ Key Targets (Take Profits): ? TP1: $4.47 – First resistance level. ? TP2: $4.83 – Major resistance zone. ? TP3: $5.21 – Strong psychological level. ✅ Moving Average Support: Price is now trading above the MA (3.56), acting as dynamic support. ? Trading Outlook: If RNDR holds above $3.90, buyers could push the price towards the $4.50 - $5.20 range in the coming sessions. A rejection here may lead to a retest around $3.50-$3.60 before another push higher. ? Bullish or Bearish? This is a strong bullish setup, but confirmation above $4.00 with volume is key for sustained momentum. Keep an eye on Bitcoin and market sentiment!
The FTSE 100 equity index is exhibiting bullish sentiment, reinforced by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective sideways consolidation, potentially forming a Bullish Flag continuation pattern, which typically precedes a continuation of the upward momentum. Key Trading Levels: Support Level: The critical support level to watch is 8,594, marking the previous consolidation price range. Upside Targets: A corrective pullback from current levels, followed by a bullish bounce from the 8,596 level, could pave the way for an upward move toward the next resistance levels at 8,729, followed by 8,798 and 8,853 over a longer timeframe. Alternative Bearish Scenario: A confirmed loss of support at 8,594, with a daily close below this level, would invalidate the bullish outlook. In such a case, the index could experience further retracement, with potential downside targets at 8,539 and 8,465. Conclusion: While the current sentiment remains bullish, traders should closely monitor the 8,594 support level. A successful bounce could reaffirm the bullish momentum, targeting higher resistance levels. Conversely, a break and close below this support would signal a shift in sentiment, suggesting a deeper corrective move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin seems to go for the retest of the neckline after we had a good breakdown from it previously. We are not going to go all in on shorts now but rather accumulate the position and wait for perfect confirmation in the form of a market structure break on smaller timeframes, which would then give us more confidence in downward movement! Swallow Team
?EUR/USD TRADE PLAN? ✅ Market Bias: Bearish ? (Downtrend) ✅ Trade Type: Trend Continuation ? ENTRY TYPE: Sell Trade – Pullback Entry ⭐ Confidence Level: ?⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High) ? STATUS: Waiting for price to tap the entry zone ? ENTRY ZONE (SELL): Primary Entry Zone: 1.0840 - 1.0860 Secondary Entry Zone (if deeper pullback occurs): 1.0890 - 1.0910 ? STOP LOSS & TAKE PROFIT TARGETS: ? Stop Loss: Above 1.0925 (Invalidation level) ? Take Profit Targets: ? TP1: 1.0765 (Partial profits & SL to breakeven) ? TP2: 1.0700 ? TP3: 1.0650 (Final target) ? Risk-Reward Ratio: Primary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:3 Secondary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:4 ? Reason for Entry: Bearish Trend: EUR/USD has entered a corrective phase, trading below recent highs. The trend outlook remains bearish. Double Top Formation: A double-top pattern has formed at 1.0950, indicating a potential drop to 1.0695. Fibonacci Confluence: The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with the entry zone, providing additional confluence. ? CONFIRMATION REQUIRED BEFORE SELLING: H1 Bearish Candlestick Rejection: Look for a pin bar or engulfing pattern at the entry zone. Volume Increase at Supply Zone: Indicates strong selling pressure. Lower Timeframe Bearish Divergence: On M15/H1 charts for extra confluence. ❌ DO NOT take the trade if the price breaks above 1.0910 without a bearish reaction. ? RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDER: ? Risk 1-2% per trade. Move SL to breakeven after TP1 to secure profits. ? TRADE VALIDITY & INVALIDATION CONDITIONS: ✅ Trade Validity: Must tap entry within the next 24 hours. ❌ Invalid if: Price misses the entry zone and moves straight to TP1/TP2. Fundamental shift changes trade bias (e.g., major news event). Price breaks above 1.0910 = Trade invalidated. ? FUNDAMENTAL CHECKS & SENTIMENT ANALYSIS: EUR Weakness: Recent data shows a decline in Eurozone economic indicators. USD Strength: Positive US economic data and safe-haven demand support the USD. COT Report: Indicates institutions adding to USD long positions, reducing EUR longs. ? FINAL TRADE PLAN SUMMARY: SELL EUR/USD on a pullback into 1.0840 - 1.0860 (or 1.0890 - 1.0910 if a deeper correction occurs). Targeting: 1.0765 → 1.0700 → 1.0650. SL: Above 1.0925. **Trade valid for the next 12-24 hours. ? EXECUTE WITH INSTITUTIONAL PRECISION! ?