? XAUUSD Trendline Break | 4H Structure | UTC-4 Description: This chart shows XAUUSD with trendline analysis on the 4H timeframe, synced to UTC-4 (New York time). I'm comparing structure breaks and candle behavior between TradeLocker and TradingView. No indicators added — clean price action view.
Hello friends, I hope you are doing well. In this daily timeframe, we have an order block that has caused a price level to break. Inside this daily order block, there is a hidden order block that can be observed in the 4-hour timeframe, which has the potential to push the price down to $74,000. We are waiting for the price to reach this order block as indicated in the chart, and then we will look for a trigger in the 15-minute and 5-minute timeframes to set up a short position with a target of $74,000. This is my roadmap. If there are any changes, I will definitely inform you. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... ? Sadegh Ahmadi: @GPTradersHub ? 25.Apr.5 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
According to my Trend Analysis, on 7th Nifty Futures is likely to bounce back and the raise will not sustain on April 8th. The levels provided in the chart are calculated without taking Gaps into account. In the first 15mts on 7th April, there is a bullish candle formation. Trade with Stop-Loss.
? Intro: Markets Correct — They Don’t Need Permission Every time the market drops hard, the headlines rush in to explain it. This time, it was President Trump’s dramatic tariff announcement on April 2nd. The media called it a shock. I didn’t. I’ve been calling for S&P 500 to drop to 5,200, and NASDAQ-100 to 17,500, since early January. Not because I predicted tariffs. But because the charts told the story. The market didn’t fall because of politics — it fell because it had to. ________________________________________ ? The Spark: Trump’s “Liberation Day” Tariffs On April 2, 2025, Trump rolled out an aggressive trade agenda: • 10% blanket tariff on all imports • Up to 54% tariffs on Chinese goods • 25% tariffs on imported cars and parts • With limited exemptions for USMCA-aligned countries Markets reacted instantly: • S&P 500 dropped 4.8% — worst day since 2020 • NASDAQ-100 plunged over 6% • Tech mega caps lost 5–14% in a day Sounds like cause and effect, right? Wrong. ________________________________________ ? The Real Cause: A Market That Was Ready to Fall Let’s talk technicals: • S&P 500 had printed a textbook double top at the 6100–6150 zone • NASDAQ-100 had formed a rising wedge, with volume divergence and momentum fading • RSI divergence was in place since February • MACD had crossed bearish and also deverging • Breadth was weakening while indices were still pushing highs • Sentiment was euphoric, volatility crushed — a classic setup You didn’t need to guess the news. The structure was screaming reversal. SP500 CHART: https://www.tradingview.com/x/Vm5wKCjj/ NASDAQ CHART: https://www.tradingview.com/x/jCUVX297/ ________________________________________ ? Why Tariffs Made a Convenient Narrative Markets love clean stories. And Trump’s tariffs offered everything: • Emotional trigger • Economic fear factor • Political drama • Global implications But smart traders know better: markets correct based on positioning, not politics. As soon as the wedge broke on NAS100 and SPX broke the double top's neck line the path was clear — risk off. ________________________________________ ? I Was Calling This Since Q1 The targets were public: SPX = 5,200. NAS100 = 17,500. And the logic was simple: • Overextension in AI-led tech • Complacent VIX environment • Crowded long positioning • Bearish divergences and fading momentum Double Top and Rising Wedge on SPX and Nas100 We didn’t need a reason to drop. The market had been levitating without support. All we needed was a trigger — and we got one. ________________________________________ ? Lesson: Trade the Structure, Not the Story Here’s what I hope you take away: ✅ Setups come first. News comes later. ✅ If it wasn’t tariffs, it would’ve been CPI, earnings, Fed minutes, or a bird on a wire ✅ Don’t chase headlines. Anticipate setups. The best trades aren’t reactive. They’re built on structure, sentiment, and timing — not waiting for CNBC to tell them what’s happening. ________________________________________ ? Conclusion: It Was Never About Tariffs Tariffs were the match. But the market was already soaked in gasoline. This correction was technical, predictable, and clean. ? Post Scriptum — The Setup Shapes the Narrative Let me be clear: I’m not a Trump fan. Hoho — not by far. But I’ll swear this on any chart: If the setup had been the opposite — double bottom, falling wedge, positive divergences, and improving momentum — these exact same tariffs would’ve been interpreted as “bold leadership,” “pro-growth protectionism,” or “markets pricing in a stronger America.” That’s how it works. Price action leads. Narrative follows. When structure is bullish, traders celebrate even bad news. When structure is bearish, even good news becomes a reason to sell. So no — it wasn’t about Trump. It never is. It’s about where the market wants to go. The rest is storytelling. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Falling gold has taken support at channal with attempt of reversal. If it breaks this support, it will show free fall. Investors feels gold is overpriced as compared to equity market and trading at big margin from production cost of gold.
Market Status Analysis The gold market showed a correction trend this week. The continuous decline of the big negative line made the short-term trend bearish, but from the overall pattern, it is still too early to assert that the trend has reversed. The current market is at a critical technical node, and the long and short sides are fighting fiercely near the important support level. Technical analysis Weekly level analysis The overall bullish structure remains intact, and this week's correction can be regarded as a normal technical correction The 5-week moving average 3000 mark constitutes an important support, and the 10-week moving average provides additional support The first negative line after four consecutive positive lines on the weekly line is in line with the characteristics of a healthy technical correction As long as the key psychological level of 3000 is not lost, the medium-term bullish trend remains unchanged Daily level observation The short-term bearish signal of Yin-enclosing Yang appears Although the price broke below the short-term moving average and pierced the middle track of the Bollinger band, it eventually closed above the middle track The long lower shadow shows that the low-level buying power is strong The short-term still has the momentum to pull back and test the 10-day moving average 4-hour cycle characteristics The Bollinger band opening extends downward, indicating a short-term downward trend The K-line closed negative continuously, and the bears have a short-term advantage Focus on the defense of the 3000 integer mark Key price prompts Upper resistance: 3042 (initial resistance) → 3058 (key resistance (Strong resistance) → 3072 (strong resistance) Support level below: 3026 (short-term support) → 3015 (important support) → 3000 (lifeline support) Operation strategy suggestions Long-term layout strategy Ideal position building area: 3015-3020 range Strict stop loss setting: below 3000 Target price: 3040-3050 area It is recommended to hold long positions with protective stop loss Short-term opportunities Short-term short positions can be considered when rebounding above 3050 Stop loss must be strictly set Quick entry and exit operation is recommended Risk control points If it effectively falls below the 3000 mark, it may trigger a deeper correction It is necessary to pay close attention to the trend of the US dollar and changes in market risk sentiment Major economic data may change the current technical pattern It is recommended to operate with a light position and strictly control the risk of a single transaction Outlook for the future market Although there are short-term adjustment signals, gold is still under the control of bulls as a whole. The 3000 integer mark will become a watershed between long and short positions, and if it holds this position, the bullish view will be maintained. Suggestions for investors: Keep buying on dips above 3000 Pay close attention to the defense of key support levels Flexibly adjust positions to cope with market fluctuations Strictly follow risk management principles
In this video I break down the ICT Venom Model as recently described by the man himself on his YouTube channel. I am sure he has more details on the model he has not released, but I basically attempt to give my two cents on NQ and the model itself. I hope you find the video useful in your endeavours regarding learning ICT concepts as well as trading in general. - R2F Trading
FUN/USDT after making the falling wedge pattern went for again testing the highest level of the daily timeframe, is now showing divergence and will go down . No long trades are suggested right now. The traders should wait for the right set up, if found for downward or short trade.
next Friday JPM,MS,BLK, and WFC followed by AXP the following Thursday will the big sell off ill looking at picking up $45 calls exp 4/18 there's a couple gaps to fill on the way up. will probably buy a small amount allowing me to average in
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