Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: RUN IT AGAIN. Lower highs, higher lows. Body gaps above (small though) and big bull gap below 21200. Market is in balance around 21500 and I do think for now market will spend more time between the given key levels until bigger news change that fact. Play was selling Friday, big gap down Monday and then sideways to up until late Friday. Let’s see if we repeat the cycle. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20500 - 22100 bull case: Bulls want to stay above the weekly 20ema which is currently around 21200. They are fine with this trading range above 20000 because that’s still really bullish if you think about it. Invalidation is below 21400. bear case: Bears get spikes and that’s it. They are deep, so they are making money but it’s a tough way to make a living to wait for some news and be quick with the sell button. I do think they are heavily favored to continue down below 21600 and test 21500 and hopefully 21200 again. What I can’t see happening is a lower low below 20940 though. We have a big body gap from 21405 to 21566 and it would be good for the bears if they can close it tomorrow. Invalidation is above 22000. short term: Bearish. I want to see 21200 next week. For now all stops for shorts have to be 21970. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-09: Another lower high but also higher lows. Bears are not doing enough, so we are in a trading range below the ath. We are close to it that there is always the possibility of printing a higher high again. Bears need lower lows below 20600 before we can talk about 20000 again. I still think 20000 is doable in February. current swing trade: None but will decide on futures open tonight if I want to get short with stop 21970. chart update: Added triangle and bull & bear gap.
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: 70 should be bigger support and I expect more sideways movement here. It is somewhat lower probability than bears continuing with the selling because bulls managed to go above the prior day’s bar exactly two times in the last 15 trading days. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 70 - 75 bull case: Bulls need to print some consecutive bull bars or the selling won’t stop. Their first target is to test up to 72 and the daily 20ema and then test the bear trend line from 79.45. Bulls have going for them that market is not making meaningful lower lows and new lows are bought. Still, best they can hope for next week is to go sideways between 70 - 73. Invalidation is below 69.7. bear case: Bears are selling any bounce harder than bulls are buying new lows. They prevent bulls from printing any decent bull bar or even consecutive bars above the 4h 20ema. They also have going for them that the volume during the selling is much greater than during the pull-backs. For now bears are still in full control and they are favored for lower prices. Problem for them is that 70 is a big round number and also above the trading that the market stayed in from October to December. Selling close to 70 is a bad sell and unless we get bearish oil news, we can expect bears to wait for pull-backs to 72 or 73 before selling again. Invalidation is above 75. short term: Neutral for now. No interest in this tbh. 70 should hold but the last thing I want to do is buying this. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85. current swing trade: None chart update: Added bear channel
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Yeah I won’t make shit up now. 4 consecutive daily doji bars around the middle of this triangle. Either fade the extremes or wait for the next big impulse. I still think that with all the ridiculous bullish crypto news over the past weeks, this has not printed 110k, is a big sign of weakness and the next impulse will be to the downside to test 73k again. Until then, play the range. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 90k - 110k bull case: Bulls printed another lower high and have nothing to show for after this week. They need daily closes above the 20ema and 100k to gain control again. Invalidation is below 88k. bear case: Bears closing every daily bar at the lows but fail to make lower lows below 95k, which is also weak. They are content with fading any bounce and until the broader market wants to reduce risk, this is probably staying between the given key levels. Invalidation is above 110k. short term: Neutral. Play the range until broken. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good. We are in a big trading range until it’s clearly broken. Bearish targets will only happen once we get a strong move below 90k. current swing trade: Nope chart update: Nothing
On Gold futures I clearly see this going for new historical highs, but since everyone is joining the ride a pullback is around the corner. Liquidity has just been swept on the 4Hr, so this would be a perfect scenario to squeeze the longs all the way down to a bullish order block/demand zone at 2853,2
https://www.tradingview.com/x/t3Deysbh/ Hello,Traders! SILVER is making a local Bearish correction but Silver Is trading in an uptrend So after the retest of the Horizontal support below At 31.58$ a local bullish Rebound is to be expected Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!
I look forward to a bullish week. Therefore, my simple thought is finding my entry below the weekly open. Let that sink. It is a simple yet very effective strategy if my bias of a bullish week ahead is right. Otherwise I will need to adjust to market conditions and switch to a ranging or bearish. We'll see
That's right, a bad play on puns... I'm not even a dad yet lol. Momentum is favoring RACE big time. It is setting up for a really strong pullback. Touch of the Keltner channel Gap up from earnings (earnings drift in our favor) Anti setting up on the MACD Momentum on MACD daily and weekly in our favor Bears are trying hard if Friday's bar is reversed, look for strong price action to the upside Strong weekly momentum on last weeks bar This is as good as it gets for a set up!
? Analysis of BYBIT:SUSDT.P – Watching for a Breakout 15M TF ✅ Overview: ➡️ BYBIT:SUSDT.P is trading within a range, consolidating between $0.4025 (support) and $0.4181 (resistance). ➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.4087 represents the highest liquidity area, making it a key level where price could decide its next move. ➡️ A breakdown below $0.4025 could lead to further downside, as there is little strong support below this level. ➡️ If the price holds above $0.4181, we could see a push toward higher resistance levels. ⚡ Plan of Action: ? Bullish Scenario: ➡️ If price holds above $0.4087 (POC) and breaks $0.4181, an upward move is expected with increased momentum. ? Bearish Scenario: ➡️ If price drops below $0.4087 and breaks $0.4025, expect accelerated downside movement. ? BYBIT:SUSDT.P is in a consolidation phase – preparing for a breakout! ? BYBIT:SUSDT.P is in an accumulation phase, and a breakout of key levels will determine the next trend. ? Watch volume closely – an increase on a breakout will confirm a stronger move.
Heute Abend steigt der Super Bowl 2025. Wer bereits für das nächste Jahr planen will, stellt sich die Frage, wann der Super Bowl 2026 stattfindet.