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After rejecting the 65.27 resistance, USOIL sold off sharply, dropping to the 59.5 support zone — just as anticipated. This confirms that the market is still respecting key support and resistance levels and trend lines. Current Scenario: Price is sitting around 59.5. If this support holds, we could see a corrective move (buy) back to the 62 region. But that zone is now a strong area of interest — previously a broken support, now likely to act as resistance. Here’s my game plan: – If price pulls back to 62 and fails to break above, I’ll be watching for a sell setup targeting the 57 or even 55 area. – If price breaks and holds above 62 with momentum, then I’ll re-evaluate for possible upside continuation. – Right now, a short-term buy from 59.5 to 62 is valid, but it's riskier. The safer bias remains to the downside until 62 is broken cleanly. So, while buyers might attempt something from current levels, the dominant trend and structure still favor the sellers — especially below 62.
XAUUSD has been consolidating in a descending triangle over the past week, showing bearish pressure after the meltdown from 3500. However, the lower timeframe RSI is oversold, hence indicating that there might be a potential retracement from the current levels. We would buy here for a potential pullback. Setup will be invalidated if we break the bottom support. Please do not risk more than 1% per trade given that gold has been extremely volatile lately. Trade safe guys! If you like the idea, please help like the post and comment down your thoughts below! I would love to hear your thoughts!
The price sentiment for WTI Crude Oil remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action shows an oversold rally, which has stalled near a previous consolidation zone around 6200 — a key resistance level. Key Resistance Level: 6200 This level marks a previous intraday consolidation area and could act as a ceiling for the current rally. Bearish Scenario: If WTI fails to break above 6200, it may resume its decline toward: 5860 (near-term support) 5713 5550 (longer-term support) Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout and daily close above 6200 would shift momentum and open upside targets at: 6375 6533 6700 Conclusion: WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure unless it breaks and closes above 6200. Traders should monitor this level closely for signs of rejection or breakout. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Why Timing Matters Just as Much as Price Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and ICT methodologies are built on the idea that markets are manipulated by large players with precision. While most traders obsess over price levels, entry models, and liquidity zones, many fail to realize that none of those matter if they happen at the wrong time. Time is not an afterthought, it's a core part of the edge. Price can show you where the move might happen, but time shows you when smart money is most likely to act. That window of action is what ICT calls the killzone. What Are Killzones? Killzones are specific time periods in the trading day when smart money typically executes large moves. These sessions have predictable volatility and institutional order flow. They are not just random hours, they coincide with major session opens and overlaps. The most relevant killzones are: London Killzone (LKO), 2 AM to 5 AM EST New York Killzone (NYKO), 7 AM to 10 AM EST New York Lunch/Dead Zone, 11:30 AM to 1 PM EST (low probability, often reversal traps) Each killzone offers unique opportunities depending on how liquidity has been engineered prior. ICT-style setups are most reliable when they form within, or directly in anticipation of, these windows. The Trap Before the Real Move Smart money loves to trap retail traders. This trap usually happens just before or early in a killzone. For example, if price takes out a key high at 2:30 AM EST (London open), many retail traders see a breakout. But those in tune with SMC see it as a classic liquidity raid, bait before the reversal. Once that external liquidity is taken, smart money shows its hand with displacement, a sudden, aggressive move in the opposite direction. This typically forms a clean imbalance (Fair Value Gap) or a breaker block. That’s your cue. If the price returns to that level within the killzone, that’s the optimal entry window. Confluence is King: Time, Liquidity, and Structure The most reliable SMC setups happen when: Liquidity is swept early into a killzone Displacement confirms the real direction during the killzone Entry happens via return to an FVG or OB created within that same session The setup might still look right if it forms outside these windows, but without proper timing, it’s often just noise or engineered liquidity to trap impatient traders. Real-World Example: NY Killzone Short NY, At 8:30 AM EST, price runs above the Asian highs, sweeping liquidity Displacement, Sharp bearish move breaks structure to the downside at 8:45 AM Entry, Price retraces into the 5M FVG at 9:10 AM Result, Clean reversal into a nice profit trageting liquidity, all within the NY session https://www.tradingview.com/x/NaqOU8nW/ Outside of this killzone structure, the same setup likely would have chopped or failed. Common Mistakes Traders Make With Time Chasing price outside of killzones, Setup might look good, but volume is thin and no follow-through comes Assuming all killzones are equal, London setups are often cleaner in structure, while NY has more manipulation around news Forcing trades in NY lunch, Midday reversals do happen, but they’re lower probability. If you're not already in a position by 11 AM EST, it's often best to wait for the next day The Discipline Edge Most traders overtrade not because they lack setups, but because they don’t filter based on time. By only trading when price interacts with your levels during active killzones, you immediately reduce the number of bad trades and increase your focus on meaningful opportunities. Good setups are rare. Good setups in the right timing window are even rarer. That’s where consistency comes from. Final Thoughts Time is not optional. In SMC and ICT, it’s not enough to have the level, you need the timing. Killzones are your filter, your edge, and your context for every trade. Once you understand how time and price move together, and stop treating every moment on the chart equally, your trading will start to reflect the true flow of smart money. Wait for time, wait for price, then strike. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like ? and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! ? Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! ?
Dow Jones (DJI) will close the month today with a massive rebound 1M candle after almost touching its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the October 2010 break above the 1M MA50, after the market recovered from the 2008 Housing Crisis, the 1M MA50 has been the ultimate long-term Buy Entry as it has always signaled rallies that ranged from +58% to +67%. The 1M MA50 has also kept the index mostly within the 0.382 - 0.786 Fibonacci range (blue zone) of the multi-year Channel Up. Given also that the 1W RSI also reached in April its ultimate Buy Zone (green), we view this as the best long-term Buy Signal the index handed to us since the September 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Since the Bullish Legs that followed have been fairly consistent on average, we expect another 58% rise minimum. Assuming a 'bad-case' scenario of being contained within the 0.786 Fib, then a 56000 long-term Target seems more than fair. Are you willing to go against this pattern? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE ?, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE ? and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ?????? ? ? ? ? ? ?
? US30 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup ? Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— ? Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 40500 We are watching this zone closely. ——— Analysis ? Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 40420 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 39870 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 39900 – Major support / Key level ➗ 40300 : 40400 – Proven resistance ? Key Zones to Watch: • 40200 – ? Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest • 40550 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) • 40200 – Equal lows • 40420 – Equal highs