Eh, clear accumulation manipulation expansion pattern
https://www.tradingview.com/x/FmcZHCHj/ Hello,Traders! GBP-CHF is trading along The rising support line And the pair will soon Retest the line from Where we will be Expecting a local Bullish rebound Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!
1️⃣ Key Technical Insights from the Chart A. Wyckoff Accumulation & Support Zone The chart suggests Wyckoff accumulation with a Spring phase (H) and Test (H) in October 2024 at the 17.80 - 18.00 zone. This Spring phase often signals a liquidity grab, where smart money accumulates before a trend reversal. The current price level (18.06 - 18.12) is near the support line for SC Accumulation (D), reinforcing the idea of a bullish move from here. ? Macro Connection: If US inflation surprises higher (March 11 CPI), interest rate expectations shift hawkish, and USD strengthens, reinforcing the Wyckoff accumulation phase leading to an upward breakout. If global risk sentiment worsens, USD could also see inflows as a safe-haven, confirming the upward trajectory. B. Harmonic Pattern & Fibonacci Levels The Bearish Gartley/XABCD pattern has completed its correction phase at Point A (~18.06) and now shows signs of reversal. The B point rejection near 1.238 Fibonacci extension indicates exhaustion of the bearish move. The chart suggests a bullish continuation, targeting 19.26 by March 20, 2025, based on projected Fibonacci extensions. ? Macro Connection: If US Nonfarm Payrolls (April 5) and Fed Meeting (March 19) reinforce strong USD fundamentals, the technical bullish move aligns with macroeconomic data. A rise in bond yields above 4.5% on the 10-year Treasury could confirm the expected upside. C. Elliott Wave Structure The chart labels a completed 5-wave impulse up followed by an ABC corrective pattern, aligning with Elliott Wave theory. The current structure suggests the start of a new Wave 3 rally, which is typically the strongest and most extended move. Potential upside target: 19.26 (aligning with Wave 3 extension). ? Macro Connection: If March and April macro data support continued USD strength, this Elliott Wave 3 scenario could materialize. A higher inflation surprise could extend this move to 19.50+ in the next few months. 2️⃣ Key Fundamental Factors Supporting the Bullish Scenario ? U.S. Inflation & Interest Rates (March 11, March 19) Higher CPI would delay rate cuts, strengthening USD. Fed’s March 19 statement will confirm if rates remain “higher for longer.” ? U.S. Economic Growth (March 27, April 5) If GDP data (March 27) comes in strong, it could fuel USD gains. Nonfarm Payrolls (April 5) will determine the labor market’s strength. ? South African Economic Risks (March-April) Load shedding worsening → Weakens ZAR. Political uncertainty ahead of elections → Triggers risk-off flows into USD. 3️⃣ Key Trading Levels & Strategy Based on the Chart Key Level Technical Importance Bullish/Bearish 17.80 – 18.00 Strong support & Wyckoff Spring Bullish Bounce Zone 18.50 Minor resistance Bullish above this 18.66 – 18.88 Resistance cluster (AR accumulation) Key breakout level 19.26 Harmonic projection & Fib extension Final bullish target Trade Idea Buy near 18.06 - 18.12 if macro factors confirm USD strength. Confirmation: Break above 18.50 → Bullish continuation. Final target: 19.26 by March 20, 2025. ? Summary: Strong Confluence Between Technical & Macro Factors ✔ Wyckoff Accumulation & Harmonic Pattern suggest reversal from 18.06-18.12 ✔ Elliott Wave 3 & Fibonacci targets align with 19.26 projection ✔ Upcoming U.S. macro data supports a strong USD outlook ✔ South African risks (Eskom, political uncertainty) favor ZAR weakness
USDCHF turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.423, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 28.684), hitting the LL bottom of the Channel Down. The 4H RSI has made a Double Bottom and this is technically an ideal level to start buying the pair again. We expect a +2.60% rise like the late January bullish wave that will test the 4H MA200. The trade is long, TP = 0.89900. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
What's Bitcoin's never look back number? What's that level that you want to stack your sats and always be in profit? This analysis observes a distinct repeating pattern over everything BTC cycle that if continues to occur could be very effective in informing your investment position.
enter off the pull back off my the balance zone( distribution in this case). Tp is the closest vpoc
Hey yall it’s Friday. Just some fresh support and resistance for post news and finishing up or first week of the month! Please again always follow your trading plan and take proper risk managements! SL are wide with 120pts. Feel free to change them up. Good luck
MARKET LOSING $600B IN MARCH-APRIL 2025: WHAT WILL YOU DO? Hey everyone, it’s the beginning of March 2025 —the road ahead is bumpy, and the market is playing a crazy psychological game. You loaded up at $78K, thinking it was the perfect bottom, right? Your DCA bags are full, yet the market refuses to climb—worse, it's about to drop further. In March-April the total market cap is set to shed another $500B, dropping from ~$2.85T to $2.35T—a prime buying zone. But here’s the issue: your funds might already be drained from “catching knives” earlier. When the market cap dips to $2.35T, how long it stays there before recovering depends on the W (wave bottom) and M (monthly cycle) timeframes—that’s the time factor. Here’s my take: Choosing price: Buying cheap is good, but it’s not enough. Choosing timing: Enter at the right moment so your assets move up quickly—lock in profits fast without enduring more psychological pain. If you only focus on getting the lowest price , you might end up holding bags with no gains—brutal. But if you time it right , you get both a good price and fast profits , avoiding the market's punishment. So, with $500B about to vanish from total market cap , what’s your plan? Will you wait for the bottom or start accumulating now? ?
Don't fall for the narrative that money supply will save stock markets (or bitcoin) from entering vicious bear runs. Rising Money Supply Will NOT save stocks markets from a bear market
3/7/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GAMB Hit my "would like to own" zone - we're in the hand grenades and not sniper market - cash gen here great. good mgns. - small cap, good growth - like the CEO - hit my "would buy" zone today - i'm allocating about 20% of my book to 1-2.5% positions this year that i plan to rent out (covered calls) when the mkt finds some form of bottom/ move - even tho "everything" has 20-30% downside potential, the goal is to avoid the -50% + type names and know what i own - for that reason my book remains - OBTC 40%, NXT ITM LEAPS 35%, i keep bouncing between NVDA/TSM... but think TSM keeps me more protected on downside magnitude w/ clear visibility for upside (avgo result highlights why... "unlimited" demand for this fab) - lmk if u see differently on $GAMB. I still like OTC:EVVTY more, but don't like the fact that i can't sell calls on it. V