Market is Accumulation zone . What scanario we have again? As 3220 is support is playing key rola at this stage, if h4 candle closes below 3220 then we have 3180 milestone. Secondly, Market is on bullish reversal Trend, no mercy on sellers, rangbound 3220-3245 ,above 3230 we have 3245 then 3260.
DXY buy cycle Tp@110 % bubble ratio Currently in a negative bubble with fair value of 110.
In the depicted chart, red labels indicate either confirmed or identified ZGBs, whereas green labels denote confirmed and identified ZGAs. The right side of the chart reveals the price ranges where future ZGs might materialize.
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Positive correlation between global money supply (M2) and risky assets on the stock market The equity and crypto-currency markets represent the category of so-called risky assets on the stock market, i.e. financial assets with a high expectation of gains associated with a proportionally high risk of loss. Correlation studies show that risky assets on the stock market are highly correlated with global liquidity trends, i.e. the sum of the money supply of the world's major economies. Clearly, when the underlying trend in global liquidity is upwards, the S&P 500 and the bitcoin price also follow an upward underlying trend, and vice versa. There are several ways of representing a country's monetary supply, and it is the M2 monetary aggregate that is accepted as the best measure of a country's available liquidity. Global M2 liquidity is therefore calculated by aggregating the money supply of the world's major economies, notably the United States, China and the European Union, and then converting it into US dollars (USD) for the sake of monetary consistency. Changes in the exchange rate of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies therefore directly influence this measure: a strong dollar reduces the value of global M2 in USD, while a weak dollar increases it, affecting capital flows and global financial conditions. Naturally, the monetary liquidity available in the United States (US M2) plays a decisive role, and is directly linked to the monetary policy pursued by the FED. The Federal Reserve's (FED) monetary policy outlook plays a key role: a restrictive policy (rate hikes, balance sheet reduction) dampens US M2 and strengthens the dollar, while an accommodative policy stimulates liquidity and can weaken the greenback. China's M2, largely influenced by credit policy and the PBoC's control of the yuan, often contrasts with the dynamics of the US M2. On the graph attached to this analysis, a table summarizes the major components in the calculation of global liquidity (global M2). The trend of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies (the DXY) and the American, Chinese and European M2s are decisive. The bitcoin price is influenced by the global money supply trend with a time lag Correlation studies show a positive correlation between global liquidity trends and S&P 500 and BTC trends. These studies reveal another important piece of information: the time lag between global liquidity and risky assets on the stock market, ranging from 75 to 110 days. It takes time for available liquidity to flow into risky assets on the stock market, if and only if macro-economic fundamentals allow. As the chart shows, global money supply has rebounded strongly since the start of the year, so it could come to support risky assets in the second stock market quarter, naturally if the trade war remains under control and stock market fundamentals don't get in the way. https://www.tradingview.com/x/xBZUBvB0/ GENERAL DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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Hello Traders ! The AUDCAD failed to create a new lower low ! The Lower high is broken (change of character). So, I expect a bullish move? ________________ TARGET: 0.88480?
Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After multiple attempts to break through the resistance zone between 88500 and 89800 points, Bitcoin continues to respect the upper boundary of the descending wedge. The price remains confined within this structure, with each test of the trend line resulting in a rejection. The most recent rally brought Bitcoin back into the resistance area and right up to the trend line once again, but the breakout didn’t happen. Earlier, Bitcoin bounced strongly from the support zone between 80000 and 78800 points, forming a local bottom before initiating its move upward. However, even after this strong bounce, the price still failed to break above the trend line, confirming that bearish pressure remains active. The resistance zone has rejected the price four times, reinforcing its significance. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading just below the trend line and inside the wedge. Given the repeated failures to break higher, the strong supply zone, and the continuation of the downward pattern, I expect Bitcoin to reverse again and fall back toward the 80000 level. That's why this level is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Price is bearish. We may see price rally a little but will move down afterwards, a core signal will be a rejection of the order block above. Predicting is gambling Reacting is trading.
FX:NZDJPY is forming a false break of the range support and within the reversal pattern confirms the break of the bearish structure The fundamental background has been extremely unstable lately and depends on any harsh statements of politicians, mainly related to the trade war. But, technically, the pair is returning to the range on the background of local market recovery. A false breakdown of the range support is formed. The break of the bearish structure, the formation of the reversal pattern and the return to the trading range give chances for strengthening of the price. If the bulls hold the defense above 83.7 - 84.2, the currency pair may strengthen to 85.15 - 87.4 Resistance levels: 84.196, 86.15 Support levels: 83.79, 83.31, 82.21 Consolidation above the key support zone may allow the bulls to strengthen the price to the local zone of interest. Global trend is neutral, local trend is upward. Regards R. Linda!
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