The D1 candle on Friday clearly identified selling pressure and the amount of fomo pushed the price to 2972. The H4 structure is still showing that the downward force will continue to be maintained when 3054 was rejected by the buyers. Back to the trading plan The 3018 and 3035 border areas are considered sideways compression borders. If the price breaks 3018, wait for a retest and sell to 3003. If the US session breaks 3003, then push to 2955. If the 3018 border remains strong, wait for a break of 3035 to BUY to the exchange price zone of 3054. BUY signals for short-term city and are considered to be against the trend at the moment. When the US session fails to break 3055, you can sell and hold long. If it breaks 3055, waiting for 3080 to sell will be safer than fomo to BUY against the trend.
Analysis done directly on the chart You don't have to be a genius to understand macro economically what's happening in the market. Use economic calendar, FinancialJuice to stay up to date. Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
Analysis done directly on the chart A lot has been happening macro economically recently. Stay informed, follow the global news. Financial Juice is a great website, app to stay up to date. It's really easy to get lost in the market, start educating yourself. Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
Last week popular trades were sacrificed in the global risk sell off. The Germany 40 index fell 9% on the week to close at 20,344, a level last seen in early January. The rush into the relative safety of bonds and cash on Thursday/Friday in response to President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs of 20% on the EU ensured the Germany 40 index moved into correction territory. This is officially a dip of 10% from its previous high of 23,479, which amazingly was only seen 3 weeks ago on March 18th. The negative mood has carried over into early trading on Monday with the Germany 40 experiencing a gap open lower, which has seen it trade to a new low at 19,592 before finding some initial buying interest again. Looking forward, US reciprocal tariffs, retaliation and trade war escalation may well be top of traders’ agendas again. The latest round of US tariffs are due to kick in on Wednesday April 9th, making this date potentially pivotal in helping traders to determine whether President Trump is using them as a negotiating tool or is really committed and in it for the long haul. Also important could be the strength of retaliation from the EU. Weekend news has highlighted a raft of potential measures, ranging from imposing its own tariffs on US imports, higher taxes on US companies or even specifically targeting big American technology companies. We saw on Friday, what China's strong retaliatory response did to risk sentiment, after the world’s two biggest economies escalated their trade war. A strong response from the EU may have similar consequences, while a more measured approach may provide some support for the Germany 40, and other European indices. This will only become clearer when events occur, and price action can be judged in real time. Technical Update: Sentiment Changes Everything A recent theme supporting the Germany 40 index was rotation out of US markets into German assets (i.e. selling of US stocks to reinvest in German companies), which helped maintain the positive price action seen over the first 2 ½ months of 2025. However, when sentiment changes as dramatically as it appears to have done last week, traders switch to a ‘sell all stocks’ scenario, meaning nothing is safe from capitulation, with even the recent stronger performers, such as the Germany 40, experiencing strong selling pressure. This activity was reflected within the Germany 40 index by sharp price declines that first saw closing breaks under support provided by the March 11th last correction low at 22240. This then culminated in the sharp acceleration to the downside seen after Wednesday’s reciprocal tariff announcement from President Trump. What Are The Longer Term Potential Implications for the Germany 40 Index? https://www.tradingview.com/x/HEyIt9g8/ Last week’s and so far, this morning’s lower opening, has seen breaks under what would normally be viewed by traders as possible important support, represented by the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement of August 5th, 2024, to March 18th, 2025, strength. These levels stood at 20945 and 20290 respectively. This may now lead to a more extended phase of price weakness, although it’s not guaranteed. If this were to be the case traders may begin to look for deeper downside levels which might be viewed as the next potential support within the current decline. It might be argued that this morning’s opening level has already seen a test of a first support at 19653, which is the December 20th session low. However, if it were to give way, it might then be the 61.8% Fibonacci level which stands at 19436, that may become the next downside focus. How About Potential Resistance Levels? After such a sharp decline in price over a relatively short period of time, it’s possible to see an upside recovery develop, and it shouldn’t be forgotten that there might be potential for this to occur at some point over the course of the coming week. However, what might now be viewed as possible resistance to any price bounce? https://www.tradingview.com/x/HEyIt9g8/ Friday’s low trade stands at 20318 and if any potential rallies see tests of this level, how it is defended on a closing basis may be important. Successful upside breaks may be a sign that a more extended price rally is materialising. The focus could then switch to a potential stronger resistance at 21076, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the March/April weakness. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
EURUSD April 7 Hindsight Review Last night before Sundays delivery I suspected that price would lower to take the sells side liquidity. I was bull for Asia and London. Great delivery to set up Asia/London Fib take aways To note I use the FIB interchangeably because price is sensitive in both directions *Sundays delivery comes to the .79 recent range level for a stop hunt, what I was setting up for *Asia comes to the previous session .79 which is a trigger to start hunting for a buy Asia Marco Analysis Price retraces to recent inefficient delivered price level at the .79 previous range, now in a discount. Trigger to start hunting 23:00 macro price reacts and forms the ICT 2022 model: *liquidity taken in Sundays delivery *retraces to discount discounted array and first presented FVG *LTF swing high candle that creates a FVG *price validates the swing high with an inversion comes to and through it *23:03 entry *target the 50 level previous range and FVG *look how price delivers through the FVG and almost to .79 range to range with that swing and lands on big figure number 1.1400 Stellar delivery! Get in and get out trade. What I am most happy with that price did deliver my analysis. What I'm most happy about is reading the cycles of expansion, retracement and reversal patterns an spanning out to identify where I want to be entering trades. Today is a prefect example of the PD Array after liquidity is taken and in deep discount to trigger the hunt. No trade and letting this slip through my fingers, did get me for a minute and then I recall the win of the analysis and clarity of when I am ready to press buttons again I will have confidence because I am taking the time to build a solid repeatable model. Keep going!
As markets worldwide reel from a sharp and sudden sell-off, deVere Group CEO Nigel Green has urged investors to stay focused and act strategically rather than retreat from risk. His comments come after a turbulent Monday session that wiped trillions from global equity markets. European stocks recorded steep losses, with Germany’s DAX falling more than […]
Trumid has announced an upgrade to its Fair Value Model Price (FVMP), a predictive pricing tool designed to deliver real-time two-sided bond prices every 30 seconds for approximately 22,000 U.S. dollar-denominated corporate bonds. The announcement marks a significant step in the company’s broader strategy to embed data-driven automation across the fixed income trading workflow. The […]
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