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Our opinion on the current state of SABCAP(SBP)

Sabvest Capital (SBV) is an investment holding company that listed on the JSE in 1988. Previously, the company had both ordinary and "N" shares, which were very thinly traded. To rectify this situation, a new company was registered called Sabcap, and the shares of Sabvest were swapped out for Sabcap shares. This happened on 12th May 2020. Sabcap has investments in five private companies, by far the largest of which is SA Bias, where its investment is 60% and worth R673m. SA Bias is predominantly involved in the textiles industry but also has an interest in a company involved in handling equipment and parts. The other private companies in which it has an interest are: Classic Food Brands (30%), Flexo Line Products (47,5%), Mandarin Holdings (30%), JAA Holdings (35,7%), and Sunspray Food Ingredients (28,2%). Aside from this, Sabvest has a listed portfolio worth about R700,000 and offshore investments worth about R573,000. It also owns 11,7% of Metrofile, worth R82,3m, 300,000 shares in Net1 UEPS, and 31% of Rolfes. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2024, the company reported net asset value (NAV) up 7,8% to 11,786c per share. Headline earnings per share (HEPS) increased by 63,2%. The company said, "The compounded annual growth rate in NAV per share over 15 years with dividends reinvested was 18,5%." In a trading statement for the year to 31st December 2024, the company estimated that the company's NAV would increase by between 17% and 21%. This share is very difficult to analyze because of its diverse and constantly changing portfolio. The restructuring of the business does appear to have increased the volumes traded a little, with an average of about R248,000 worth of shares changing hands each day, and the share does appear to be in an upward trend. Like most investment holding companies, it trades at a significant discount to its NAV.

This was optimal move for BTC dump setup.

Bleh I got out my longs too early. This was the move I originally positioned for. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/w2paUTKW-Possible-Quick-Flush-and-Bigger-Bull-Trap-Now/ Anyway, this was exactly the move I was looking for to take a sizable attempt at the crash trade. I really hate shorting into drops because if you get it wrong, things like this happen. But I really love shorting into things like this because if you get it wrong then you don't have an big risk area left (so long as you use sensible stops) and you get paid BIG if you're right. This looks like a classic final bull trap before a capitulation move to me. Picking up a portfolio of shorts betting on a 40% drop across crypto. More on some of the alts. Crypto crash incoming soon - if I have this right.

Our opinion on the current state of SAFARI(SAR)

Safari (SAR) is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The company owns seven operational properties in South Africa—eight retail outlets and one daycare center—with a total value of R3,46bn and a vacancy rate of 3,03%. Six of the seven retail outlets are in Gauteng. The group's gross lettable area (GLA) in South Africa is 175,167 square meters, with arrears of 2,2%. The share is thinly traded, with many days where there is no volume. On 18th August 2021, the company gave an update on the impact of the unrest and looting. It said, "Nkomo Village Centre in Atteridgeville and Denlyn Centre in Mamelodi suffered minimal damage, while only Thabong Centre in Sebokeng suffered structural damage. Nkomo Village and Denlyn Centre were closed for two days to effect necessary repairs. Thabong Centre partially opened on Friday 6 August 2021, with the majority of its tenants commencing with trade. The Company has registered a claim with its insurers for the damages and also a claim for loss of rental income due to business interruption." In its results for the six months to 31st December 2024, the company reported operating profit up 9% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) of 33,3c compared with 32,7c in the previous period. The company said, "During the period under review, operating profit saw a healthy increase, primarily driven by improved occupancy rates and strong performance at Platz am Meer." We see this share as good value at current levels, although trade in the share tends to be patchy. It only has R45,000 worth of shares changing hands on average each day, which adds to its risk.

$KAITO should stay bullish

$KAITO looks fairly strong on the 4HR timeframe. Its bounced from the bottom diagonal support line multiple times and it is now retesting that again for support. If the strong continues, then it will bounce again and carry back on upwards to the top of the channel and should make a new high. If not then I'll be looking for a quick scalp short down to $2.10 or even $1.90, depending on how much selling pressure there is. X: @CryptoLacey

Our opinion on the current state of SALUNGANO(SLG)

Salungano, previously Wescoal, engages in the mining and trading of coal. The company began production in 2021, producing coal from its Moabsvelden mine for Eskom. Today, the company produces 300 million tons from five coal mines. Mining accounts for 82% of revenue, but it owns 50% of the Arnot Mine and is looking to broaden its business into other parts of energy. In its financials for the six months to 30th September 2023, the company reported revenue down 30% and a headline loss of 90c per share compared with a loss of 19,64c in the previous period. The company's net asset value fell to 37c per share from 178c in the previous period. The company said, "The Group continued to operate with only one Eskom contract, with the Elandspruit and Vanggatfontein Collieries continuing to supply Eskom through rectification into the Neosho contract." The company will apply for the lifting of the suspension now that the FY2023 financial results and integrated annual report, as well as the FY2024 interim financial results, have been published, but that has not yet happened. On 4th July 2023, the company announced that three of its directors had resigned, resulting in a sharp drop in the share's price. On 21st August 2023, trading was suspended in Salungano shares by the JSE. It appears from a quarterly update that the 2024 financials are now only expected to be published by 30th June 2025—so the share remains suspended.

$BTC Box Humiliation 2.0

Bears thought they won—Bitcoin snapped back inside the range! ? Weekly Close Inside the Box? $84K fakeout shook weak hands. Now back above GETTEX:92K —bullish structure intact. ? Upside Target: $110K+ Same pattern as before—sideways grind before liftoff. A break above GETTEX:98K = game over for bears. ? Action Plan: ✅ Holding longs—no need to overthink. ✅ Stay patient—big move incoming. ✅ Watch the weekly close—above GETTEX:92K , it’s ? time. This is the classic trap—weak hands panic, smart money loads up. If you know, you know.

Our opinion on the current state of THUNGELA(TGA)

Thungela (TGA) is Anglo American's coal assets which has been unbundled into the hands of Anglo shareholders and separately listed on the JSE and the LSE because of Anglo's policy of moving away from carbon-based fossil fuels like coal. Anglo sold its last 8% of Thungela on 25th March 2022 for R1,67bn. Thungela is a major thermal coal exporter in South Africa. It has over 7500 employees and exports coal to Asia, India, SEA, and East and North African countries. The company owns 50% of Phola, which operates a coal processing plant, and it has a 23,22% interest in the Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT). The company has the capacity to produce over 90m tons of coal per annum. The company operates seven mines in South Africa, four open cast and three underground. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2024, the company reported revenue up 17% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 58%. The company said, "Group capital expenditure of R1.5 billion, reflecting the disciplined execution of the life extension projects in South Africa - Profit of R1.2 billion, including R419 million from Australia, demonstrating the benefits from the Group's geographic diversification." In a pre-close statement on the year to 31st December 2024, the financial director said, "...we are confident that we will exceed the full-year export saleable production guidance in South Africa and Australia. The various Transnet Freight Rail (TFR) initiatives, supported by the coal industry, have allowed for the annualised run rate to 30 November 2024 to increase to approximately 52Mt, or 56Mt." The share began trading on the JSE on 7th June 2021 and immediately fell to 2190c from 2600c. It was originally estimated to be worth a minimum of 4400c but reached a high of 37752c on 16th September 2022. Since then, it has been moving sideways and downwards with lower coal prices and problems with Transnet. Obviously, it is also subject to the volatility of being a single commodity share and dependent on Transnet to get its product to port. The company has committed to paying out at least 30% of "...adjusted operating free cash flow" in the form of a dividend. In a trading statement for the year to 31st December 2024, the company estimated that HEPS will be between 24% and 31% lower than in the comparable period. It will drift sideways until the price of coal increases—if it ever does. On 21st January 2025, the company announced that its CEO, July Ndlovu, will retire in July 2025 and be replaced by Moses Madondo on 1st August 2025.

CADCHF PRINTING REVERSAL

Technically: CADCHF is printing double bottom CADCHF is printing bullish divergence Fundamentally: According COT data CAD is bullish CHF is bearish

UniversOfSignals | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #21

Today, we're going to dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the crucial crypto indices. I will review the significant futures triggers for today's New York session. The market conditions haven't changed much from yesterday and continue to range between 83,779 and 87,070. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, I've outlined the Fibonacci levels because it seems that the previous bearish leg has ended, and the market is ranging, preparing for either a trend reversal or the next bearish leg. ? Yesterday, I mentioned that it appeared the price was pulling back to the SMA 99 and that if the trigger at 83,779 was breached, we could confirm a pullback to the SMA 99 from the market. As you see, this did not happen, and the trigger at 83,779 was not activated. ? As observed, there is a cross between the SMA 99 and the SMA 25, which has led the market to start ranging. Currently, there's a very important PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) above the price, overlapping with the 0.5 Fibonacci zone and the resistance at 87,070. This makes it a critical area, and I suggest you stay behind the chart to see how the price reacts to this area. ? If the price gets rejected from this area, we can take an early trigger for a short position, and if this area is breached, you can proceed to take a long position. However, be mindful that today is Sunday, and as you can see, the market volume has significantly decreased. This happens because the bearish leg has ended and the market is correcting, but also because it's Sunday and during weekends, market volume typically decreases. I recommend keeping an eye on risky positions such as the one at 87,070 during holidays or when the market volume is low. ⚡️ However, there are areas that are still good for opening positions even on holidays like Sunday when the market volume is low, such as the area at 83,779. In my opinion, this could cause the price to move towards its next bearish leg if this area is breached, so even if the market volume is low and it's a holiday, I think if this area is breached, significant selling volume will enter the market and for this reason, I try to keep a short position open if this area is broken. ? The RSI oscillator, as you see, has moved above the 50 area, and breaking this area could be a good momentum confirmation for opening a short position. If the RSI enters the oversell area, we can have momentum confirmation for the start of the next bearish leg. ? BTC.D Analysis As you can see, I had marked a trigger at 61.21 yesterday, which the price didn't manage to break convincingly, showing little respect for this area, so I have removed this line. Currently, it seems that Bitcoin dominance is ranging between 61.91 and 61.49, and I believe that sooner or later, the large box ranging from 60.48 to 62.19 will be broken. ✨ If this break is from above, Bitcoin dominance could even experience more bullish legs, increasing Bitcoin's dominance in the market. However, if dominance breaks from below and the market turns bullish, altcoins could perform very well. ? The trigger for today's dominance is that if 60.91 is broken, we can confirm a bearish turn in dominance, and conversely, if 61.49 is broken, we can confirm a bullish turn. https://www.tradingview.com/x/8JWCgTJd/ ? Total2 Analysis As you see, Total2 was supported from 1.01 and has moved upwards to 1.09, where it is currently being rejected. The SMA 99 in Total2 has also reached the price, and the price has reacted to it. ? We have a very risky trigger for a short position on Total2, which is the break of 1.06; this position is very risky and can be opened as a scalp in lower timeframes.The primary target I can consider for this position will be the area of 1.01. https://www.tradingview.com/x/73PtGHki/ ? USDT.D Analysis As you observe, Tether's dominance was rejected from 5.21 and could not stabilize above this area, creating a very small ranging box between 5.08 and 5.21. Currently, it's near the area of 5.08, and if this area is broken, dominance could drop to 4.92. ? This drop would likely boost the market upwards, and if this area is broken, depending on Bitcoin's dominance, you can decide to open positions on altcoins or Bitcoin. ? Conversely, if dominance is supported from this area and moves towards 5.22, and if this area is broken, you can open short positions on altcoins or Bitcoin. https://www.tradingview.com/x/UpxPPpqd/ ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.

NEW MONTH GOLD MARK NEW ATH ALERT!

? Calling all traders! ? XAUUSD is blazing, smashing records with finesse! ? Here’s the latest: ? XAUUSD Overview: ? Engaged in a gripping duel between 2831 and 2840. ? Is a breakout looming? ? Bearish Outlook: ? Be alert for potential declines if it dips below the range! ? Targets: 2820, 2700. ? Bullish Outlook: ? Anticipate buying opportunities if it breaks above! ? Targets: 2860, 2870. (*Trump and Zelensky tough talk will affect on market tomorrow be ready for high volatile market tomorrow*) ? Join the Discussion: ? Share your perspectives as we journey through this golden terrain! ?️ Let’s reach new heights together! ?✨