Bei AVAX gibt es zur gestrigen Analyse nichts neues. Wir sind auf dem Weg in das EKL unter uns. Dort kann man mit kleinen Positionen an den 4 Zonen mit Long Limit Orders aufstellen. Für AVAX wird es wichtig werden, das lokale Tief bei 15.26$ nicht mehr zu unterschreiten. Nur wenn wir dieses Tief halten können, ist es möglich das wir mit dem lokalen Tief den Boden gesehen haben.
Bei BTC Konsolidieren wir aktuell noch in einem Bärischen BC. Wir haben unter uns das CME Gap welches wir wahrscheinlich erst schließen bevor wir neue Hochs sehen werden. Für mich wird aktuell das unter uns liegende EKL für neue Long Einstiege Interessant. Auch hier haben wir 4 Einstiegsmöglichkeiten die ich nutzen werde. Es gibt allerdings ein großes aber bei BTC. Sollten wir das EKL nicht halten können und wir nach unten durchfallen, dann kommt Wahrscheinlich die Bärische Sequenz (in rot) zum tragen. Dann sollten wir uns auf die rote Box (ZL) Konzentrieren und dort neue Einstiegsmöglichkeiten wahr nehmen. Aktuell gehe ich aber primär davon aus, das wir im EKL unter uns Support finden werden weshalb ich mich da auch mit Long Einstiegen aufstellen werde. Sollte sich am Chart etwas gravierendes ändern, werde ich dies hier mitteilen.
Bei VET stehen wir aktuell knapp über dem EKL. Gestern haben ich Short Einstiege (EKL über uns) durchgegeben welche nicht angelaufen wurden. Ich habe das obere EKL an den aktuellen Chart angepasst wo man noch einmal Einstiege für einen Short versuchen könnte. Aber Achtung, das obere EKL wird Invalidiert sobald wir das untere EKL erreicht haben. Ich werde auch bei VET mich im EKL an allen 4 Leveln mit Long Limit Orders aufstellen und DCA betreiben. Meine Vermutung ist, das wir die obere Diagonale Trendlinie als Reetest anlaufen werden. Bleibt nur die Frage, ob diese dann Support gibt oder wir noch einmal in das Rising Wedge fallen werden. Wir sollten aber so langsam aber sicher den lokalen Boden gesehen haben und die Trendwende vollziehen.
**EUR/AUD Falling Wedge Pattern - Trade Setup** https://www.tradingview.com/x/BADZNtiY/ **Pattern:** Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal) A falling wedge typically signals a potential breakout to the upside. If price breaks above resistance with strong momentum, a bullish rally is expected. **Trade Details:** ? **Entry Point:** 1.71300 (Breakout confirmation above resistance) ? **Target:** 1.74100 (Projected move based on wedge height) ? **Stop-Loss (SL):** 1.70700 (Placed below recent support for risk management) ? **Indicator Used:** **EMA 50** (Price above EMA 50 strengthens bullish confirmation) **Technical Outlook:** 1. **Breakout Confirmation:** Price should break above the wedge resistance with strong volume. 2. **EMA 50 Support:** If price stays above the EMA 50, it adds confluence for an upward move. 3. **Risk-Reward Ratio:** ~1:4 (Good potential reward relative to risk). **Market Factors to Consider:** ? **Fundamentals:** Keep an eye on economic news affecting EUR & AUD, such as interest rate decisions, inflation data, and employment reports. ? **Market Sentiment:** Any risk-on or risk-off sentiment shifts could influence price movement. ? **USD Correlation:** EUR and AUD react to global risk trends; any USD strength could impact the pair.
1. Market Overview The BTC/USD chart (1-hour timeframe) illustrates a trendline-supported uptrend that eventually transitioned into a rectangle consolidation pattern before breaking downward. The market displayed signs of buyer exhaustion near the resistance level, leading to a rectangle pattern breakdown, confirming a bearish shift. This analysis will break down the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies for traders looking to capitalize on this move. 2. Breakdown of the Chart Structure A. Trendline Breakout & Shift in Market Sentiment The chart initially exhibits an ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support for Bitcoin’s price. As long as BTC/USD remained above this trendline, the uptrend was intact. However, once the price broke below the trendline with strong bearish momentum, it signaled a significant shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish. The breakdown of the trendline also coincided with the rectangle’s lower boundary breakdown, confirming bearish strength. B. Rectangle Pattern Formation (Consolidation Phase) The price oscillated between resistance at $88,500 and support at $86,000, forming a rectangle consolidation pattern. This pattern reflects a period of market indecision where buyers and sellers are in equilibrium. Multiple failed breakout attempts at resistance signaled strong seller dominance, leading to eventual support failure. The rectangle breakdown suggests that bears have gained control and a downward move is likely. C. Breakdown Confirmation & Target Projection The price broke below the lower support of the rectangle ($86,000) with increased selling pressure. The bearish breakout was confirmed by strong red candles with high volume, reinforcing the downside move. The height of the rectangle pattern provides a measured move target of around $83,797, aligning with previous support. The momentum remains bearish, and price is likely to test this level before any reversal attempt. 3. Trade Setup & Risk Management A. Ideal Trade Entry Entry Point: After the price retested the broken rectangle support at $86,000, which now acts as resistance. Confirmation: The rejection from this resistance with a bearish engulfing candle confirmed further downside. Bearish momentum indicators, such as RSI and MACD crossovers, further validated the setup. B. Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management Strategy) Stop Loss: Placed above the previous resistance zone at $88,969 to protect against false breakouts. Rationale: If price moves back into the rectangle and surpasses resistance, the bearish setup becomes invalid. C. Take-Profit Target & Risk-to-Reward Ratio Target: $83,797, based on the rectangle pattern height projection and key support levels. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring that potential gains outweigh potential losses. 4. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook A. Bearish Continuation Outlook The trendline failure, rectangle breakdown, and bearish candlestick patterns all suggest a continuation of the downtrend. If price fails to reclaim support-turned-resistance ($86,000), further downside is expected. Increased selling volume confirms bearish control. B. Possible Bullish Reversal Scenarios If BTC/USD bounces strongly from the $83,797 target zone, it could indicate buyer accumulation and lead to a bullish recovery. A move back above $86,000 would invalidate the bearish outlook. 5. Conclusion This BTC/USD analysis highlights a bearish rectangle pattern breakdown, reinforced by a trendline break and strong resistance rejections at $88,500. The breakout target is $83,797, where traders should monitor price action for further bearish continuation or potential reversal signs. Traders should approach with caution, set appropriate stop-loss levels, and follow volume trends for confirmation of further price movements.
On the chart, we have consecutive trigger lines that have been broken, and after the SW L, we see a bullish iCH and higher Ls, which are bullish signals. However, considering the Bitcoin dominance chart, buying altcoins or taking long positions on altcoins is risky. It is better to look for short setups on altcoins instead. Targets are marked on the chart. The closure of a 1-day candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
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AUDUSD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines. The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel. The chart formed a harmonic pattern and held the 62% retracement level. We expect the growth to continue in the channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Market Outlook: The price of gold is currently trading within an ascending wedge pattern, approaching a key Sell Zone near $3,100. This region aligns with the upper trendline resistance, indicating a potential reversal zone. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance (Sell Zone): $3,100 Support Levels: First Support: $2,988 Second Support: $2,912 Major Support Zone: $2,838 – $2,833 Potential Scenarios: 1. Bearish Rejection: If the price faces rejection at the Sell Zone, a downward move towards the $2,988 – $2,838 range is likely. A break below $2,988 could accelerate selling pressure. 2. Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the Sell Zone with strong momentum, further upside potential remains. Trading Bias: Bearish below $3,100, targeting $2,988 and $2,838. Bullish above $3,100, confirming a breakout.
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