Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Face Hurdles Crude oil is attempting a recovery wave but upsides could be limited. Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today - WTI Crude oil prices started a recovery wave from the $66.00 support zone. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $67.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen. WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price remained in a bearish zone below the $70.00 level against the US Dollar. The price started a fresh decline below the $68.00 support. The price even dipped below the $67.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near $66.00 and the price started a recovery wave. The price recovered above $67.50 and tested the $68.50 zone. https://www.tradingview.com/x/UJ2kXWRl/ The price is now consolidating gains below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $66.54 swing low to the $68.48 high. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $67.50. If there is a fresh increase, it could face resistance near the $68.30 level. The first major resistance is near the $68.50 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $69.20 level. The main resistance could be near the $70.00 level. Conversely, the price might continue to move down and revisit the $67.50 support and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $66.54 swing low to the $68.48 high. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $67.00. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $66.55. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $66.10 support zone. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Since BTC/USD (Bitcoin versus the US dollar) rebounded from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) earlier this month at US$78,111, speculative bullish interest has been uninspiring. Further Downside As far as I can see, the major crypto pairing demonstrates scope to continue exploring south until it reaches support from US$68,926 on the monthly timeframe (I also noted this in previous analysis), which (somewhat) helps explain why technical demand from the 200-day SMA could be lacking. Another technical observation supporting the lacklustre bullish showing is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), recently exiting overbought territory and fast approaching the neckline of a double-top pattern on the monthly chart, extended from the low of 60.44. A break beyond this line highlights the RSI’s 50.00 centreline threshold as a possible downside target. Adding to this, the RSI on the daily chart may have rebounded from oversold territory (forming a possible double-bottom), but remains south of 50.00 and is shaking hands with resistance around 45.46. Monthly/Daily Support Area Warrants Attention While I am not saying that a move to the upside won’t be seen, the path of least resistance appears to be to the downside, at least targeting space below the 200-day SMA at daily support from US$73,575. So, for me, the playbook here will be watching for possible fading opportunities at the underside of the daily range between US$108,396 and US$91,591 (which happens to converge closely with the 50-day SMA at US$93,608 and trendline resistance, extended from the all-time high of US$109.580). Alternatively, we could see price sell-off at current levels and aim for the noted daily support. It is this level, coupled with monthly support mentioned above at US$68,926, that I expect to see bulls attempt to make a show. Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Upon reviewing the trading strategy devised last week, the current market price has successfully rallied to the targeted level. Bitcoin against Tether (BTCUSDT) is quoted at 86,780, registering an intraday gain of 0.84%. From the vantage points of technical analysis and market dynamics, the robust resistance level in the vicinity of 87,500 above emerges as a pivotal factor in determining whether the price can sustain its upward trajectory. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
? Monday Market Update ? Here are the key levels I am watching at the start of this week. Notably, last week saw limited entries as the market mostly ranged. Hopefully, this week will offer more opportunities. ? ? Bullish Case If we break bullish from the current range, I will be looking for a range continuation play. However, a range deviation is possible. ⚠️ There is resistance above in the form of a 2H supply zone and an untagged 3M supply zone. ?️ These could invalidate longs but also present solid short setups. ? ? Bearish Case I am watching for a range deviation, which we are currently close to. ? A reaction from the supply zone above could provide a short opportunity. ⬇️ If price gathers the strength to reclaim all these levels, I will watch the liquidity point above for a reaction. ? ✅ Trade Confirmations 10M+ market structure change will serve as confirmation for directional trades. ? 5M structure change will be used for the range continuation model if we break out and retrace into demand. ? Let's see what London open brings and how this week unfolds! ??✨
Market Analysis: Gold Prices Break Record Gold price rallied further and traded to a new all-time high. Important Takeaways for Gold Oil Price Analysis Today - Gold price started a steady increase above the $3,000 zone against the US Dollar. - A connecting bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $3,028 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $2,950 zone. The price remained in a bullish zone and started a strong increase above $2,980. There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,000. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,015 and $3,030 resistance levels. Finally, the price climbed as high as $3,057 before there was a pullback. https://www.tradingview.com/x/NoTQye7A/ The price tested the $3,000 zone and is currently rising. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downside correction from the $3,057 swing high to the $2,999 low, and the RSI is stable above 40. Immediate resistance is near the $3,028 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downside correction from the $3,057 swing high to the $2,999 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,028. The next major resistance is near the $3,035 level. An upside break above the $3,035 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,058. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,080 level. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,012 level. The first major support is near the $3,000 zone. If there is a downside break below the $3,000 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $2,980 zone. Any more losses might push the price toward the $2,965 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
I don't do Intraday chart posts for various reasons however this chart is the most important watch of the year. Right now we are testing a very important triple top where heavy resistance is being printed in the pre-market. Several times bull have tried to break through with large one minute candles and being stiffly rejected. This is of extreme importance because the current formation on all indexes in a bear flag looking for continuation to the 5400 level. If rejection sets in, short to the 5400 and then go neutral for a week and re-asses.
USD/CAD is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 1.4311 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.4258 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support. Take profit is at 1.4396 which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NZDUSD Continues to Develop A Large Channel Pattern NZDUSD began a bullish movement at the beginning of February and the price is in a bullish movement taking the shape of a large channel pattern. Price is already near to a strong support zone and it can resume the bullish movement between 0.5720 - 0.5660 zone Given that the price is also holding strong the chances are growing that it may rise again as shown on the chart You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold market continues its bullish congestion, holding steady after last Friday’s demand zone mitigation at $3001/OZ. However, an untouched imbalance at $2987 remains a key level to watch. If price retraces, this zone could act as a support before a potential move back towards the previous high at $3056.follow for more insight , comment and boost idea .
? Overview of the Chart Setup This daily Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart presents a technical breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal signal. The price has been forming lower highs and lower lows over the past months, consolidating within a tightening structure. However, the current price action suggests an early breakout attempt, which could lead to significant upside movement in the coming weeks. Let’s break down the key levels, technical insights, and trading opportunities visible in this chart. ? Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal) ? What is a Falling Wedge? A falling wedge is a bullish continuation or reversal pattern characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines. It typically signals a loss of bearish momentum, leading to a breakout to the upside. ? Key Observations in the Chart The price has been moving inside the falling wedge structure, with clear lower highs and lower lows. The support level around $75,000-$80,000 has been repeatedly tested, forming a strong demand zone. A trendline breakout has occurred, suggesting that bulls are regaining control over the price action. Volume is expected to increase upon a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the bullish momentum. ? Important Technical Levels 1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones ? Support Level: The $75,000-$80,000 zone has acted as a strong base, preventing further downside. Buyers have stepped in multiple times here. ? Resistance Level: The $95,000-$100,000 range represents a historical resistance where price has struggled to break through. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout The chart clearly shows a breakout above the falling wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. If this breakout holds, Bitcoin could see strong buying pressure pushing it toward its next major resistance level. ? Trading Strategy & Setup ? Entry Confirmation To enter a long position, traders should wait for: ✅ A daily close above the wedge resistance (confirmed breakout). ✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which strengthens the bullish case. A breakout retest is ideal because it provides a lower-risk entry point, ensuring the breakout is legitimate rather than a false move. ? Target Price Projection Using the height of the falling wedge as a projection, the potential price target is set at $118,000. This level aligns with a 35%+ upside from the breakout zone. Bitcoin must clear the $95,000-$100,000 resistance before reaching the final target. ? Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is positioned at $59,896, slightly below the previous major support zone. This ensures that if the breakout fails, losses are minimized while still allowing price fluctuations within expected volatility. ? Risk-to-Reward Ratio Entry around breakout level (~$87,000) Target: $118,000 (35% upside) Stop Loss: $59,896 (~30% downside) Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:3, making this an attractive trade setup. ? Market Psychology & Sentiment Why This Pattern Matters? A falling wedge represents seller exhaustion. Over time, the bearish pressure weakens, leading to a bullish breakout. If Bitcoin can maintain this breakout, momentum traders and institutional investors may step in, accelerating the rally. Breaking above the resistance at $95K-$100K would confirm bullish dominance, potentially leading to new all-time highs. Potential Risks ❌ Fake Breakout: If Bitcoin fails to hold above the wedge resistance, we may see a pullback to support before another breakout attempt. ❌ Macro Factors: External factors like regulatory news, interest rate decisions, and market-wide sentiment could impact price action. ❌ Bitcoin Dominance: If altcoins start rallying, some capital may rotate out of Bitcoin, slowing the upside move. ? Final Thoughts: A High-Probability Bullish Setup ✅ The falling wedge breakout suggests a strong bullish shift, with a 35%+ potential upside. ✅ A confirmed breakout above $95K-$100K will act as a final confirmation before the next leg up. ✅ Risk is managed with a stop loss at $59,896, ensuring downside protection. ? Best trading approach? Wait for confirmation, manage risk, and let the trend develop. Would you like additional insights on entry techniques, volume confirmation, or potential invalidation points? ?