After the steep drop to 16,300, NAS100 started to recover, forming a higher low and managing to break back above the falling trendline drawn from the all-time high (ATH). While these are positive developments, in my opinion, the trend is likely to reverse to the downside soon. Technically, the index is now entering a heavy resistance zone, marked by: • The golden sell zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, • Psychological resistance at 20,000, • Major horizontal resistance around 20,500. As long as the price remains below 20,500, I favor short trades, targeting a potential drop to at least 18,000 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Price was consolidating, then we had a breach to the upside, meaning the big boy are not filled. The cant continue to buy at higher price, they need cheaper price to continue their business. So we will wait for a pullback(discount) from the seller, before we will continue to buy with the big boy. OANDA:GBPUSD
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25 Professional Risk Managers? Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update? Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! ?Here are some trade confluences? ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Intraday 15' order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅Intraday 15' order block trading levels ? Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. ?The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. ?Fail to plan. Plan to fail. ?It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. ?Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Market Update: April 29, 2025 Gold (XAU/USD) Gold is $3,330/oz, up ~0.5% on Monday from bargain-hunting. Selling appears limited despite last week’s rally to a record ~$3,500. Support is $3,300, resistance near $3,400–$3,500. U.S.-China trade uncertainty and Fed policy risk underpin demand, suggesting gold may hold above key support in the near term. Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bitcoin is $93k–$95k, buoyed by bullish technicals. It trades above its 50-day moving average with RSI positive. Bulls briefly ran price to ~$95.3k, so resistance is near $94–$95k. Support lies around $92.8k (next at ~$90.0k). Sentiment is cautiously optimistic: a sustained break above $95k could spark new highs, while a slide below support would signal a deeper pullback. EUR/USD EUR/USD is around 1.14 after a weaker dollar on trade-war fears. Reuters noted EUR/USD at $1.1419 on Monday. The euro is ~10% stronger since early March. Near-term resistance is about 1.15 (multi-year highs), with support near 1.13–1.12. Investors await key U.S. data and Fed cues; continued dollar softness may lift EUR toward 1.15, while stronger U.S. data could cap further gains.
Good opportunity for powergrid long For education and learning for me and reader
Summary: We now have alignment between two key charts: ? VIX has broken major resistance with large institutional call buying ? QQQ is facing trendline resistance with weakening momentum. The setup points to a potential volatility surge + tech pullback over the next 1–3 weeks. ? QQQ Technical Breakdown: QQQ is stalling under descending resistance from the February highs. Friday’s candle closed just under the downtrend line, with volume tapering off — a classic exhaustion signal. Multiple resistance zones cluster between 474–485, making this a high-friction zone. RSI is rolling under 55, stalling near its last bear rejection zone. Price is still trapped below the 100 EMA and 50 EMA, suggesting no clear bullish breakout yet. ⚠️ Key danger: If QQQ fails to reclaim 482–485, it risks reversing sharply toward 458–460, then possibly 440. ? VIX: Likely to Make a Big Move, Smart Money Buying Calls As QQQ weakens, the VIX has already broken out: Support flip at 23.50 is confirmed Price is hovering above 25, with all short-term EMAs stacked beneath (bullish configuration) Option flow for VIX is explosive: $4M+ on 21C (May) $2.2M on 22C (May) Heavy demand at 30C (May) and 34–70C for later months ? Interpretation: Institutions are positioning now for a volatility event before late May — possibly driven by a tech sector retracement. ? The Macro Setup: Index Signal VIX Bullish — breakout, EMA support, aggressive call flow QQQ Bearish bias — resistance hold, weak volume, bearish structure RSI (both) Neutral zone with momentum divergence forming ? Trading Outlook: Short bias on QQQ as long as it remains under 485 Long VIX exposure (direct or via calls) could be rewarded if QQQ falters Watch May 21 and May 22 for VIX option expiries — institutions expect a move by then ? Final Thought: The calm is deceptive. The breakout has already happened — just not where most are looking. VIX is coiled and ready. QQQ is stretched and stalling. The conditions for a volatility spike and tech pullback are in place. ✍️ Chart + flow analysis by @brownian (Far from being a financial advisor!) ? April 28, 2025 #VIX #QQQ #OptionsFlow #Volatility #BearishDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
On the daily chart, an interesting potential bearish head and shoulders formation is developing. If confirmed, it could lead to a downward move, completing a minor degree wave iv before resuming the broader uptrend. I expect prices to retrace towards the 1.1204–1.1105 area.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/bwLvlh96/ We can never predict what will happen at the crossroads of fate, but we can choose whether to give up or move forward with pain and run towards the end of our dreams. Even if there is no medal of victory, dignity and pride will accompany us all the way. Defeating opponents is only the winner of life; defeating yourself is the strong man of destiny! After the gold gap opened high, it began to fall back quickly to around 3267. After a small rebound in the European session, it continued to retreat. The US session had a sideways correction before, and the US session started a large-scale pull-up, which continued to around 3353 and closed in the form of a small positive line with a long lower lead. After opening during the day, it continued to fall, and the current lowest reached around 3308. At present, the long and short positions are still fluctuating in a large range. The upper key pressure and the upper edge of the range are maintained at around 3370, while the lower edge and support of the large range below are maintained at around 3260. It is very likely that there will be multiple shocks and choices in this range again. At present, the multi-hour line is expected to form a sideways trend. After finishing, the daily line will fight at the short-term moving average position. The short-term moving average is also between the strength of long and short positions. Today's retracement needs further confirmation from the European session. If the European session continues to be weak, it is still necessary to pull back and short before the US session. The short-term support below is maintained near the integer level of 3300. If gold pulls back to 3310 during the day, it can be long first, with a target of 3330-50 and a loss of 3295. If the European session continues to break down, the US session will pull back below 3300 and short, with a target of 3270-60 and a loss of 3308. There will be large fluctuations in the short term, so be cautious about sweeping back and forth between long and short positions! Today's operation: Gold will pull back to 3310 during the day and go long, with a target of 3330-50 and a loss of 3295. Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. ? What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. https://www.tradingview.com/x/aVeVgSeN/ ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. https://www.tradingview.com/x/C4QY64nH/ ?️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. ? Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. https://www.tradingview.com/x/YvlU1hBS/ ? Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. https://www.tradingview.com/x/X6fY0E3M/ ? Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
In recent months, Natural Gas (NG1!) has shown significant volatility, but now there are clear signals suggesting a major directional move could be imminent. On the weekly technical chart, price has bounced from a strong demand zone between 2.50 and 2.70 USD/MMBtu, an area historically defended by institutional players. Currently, it is trading above 3.30 USD, consolidating in preparation for the next move. Key resistance zones to watch are between 3.90 and 4.20 USD, a region of high volume confluence and institutional supply. Retail sentiment is extremely interesting: over 75% of retail traders are currently long. Historically, an excess of retail longs often leads to either corrections or accumulation/distribution phases, as large players tend to act against the majority. Looking at the COT Report, the data supports the bullish thesis: non-commercials (speculative funds) remain net short, while commercials (physical operators) are increasing their long positions, indicating expectations of higher real demand in the medium term. This is a historically bullish signal, although it may not materialize immediately: commercials often start accumulating well before price movements occur. Finally, seasonality favors the bulls: historically, from late April through mid-June, Natural Gas tends to perform positively, fueled by storage accumulation ahead of summer and the following winter season. Strategically, a consolidation phase above 2.90–3.00 USD could serve as a base for larger moves towards 3.90 and eventually 4.90 USD, with the bullish scenario invalidated only below the 2.80 USD area.