only the metal which have high industrial demand, but hedge against shocky inflation wave set TP 34 36 38 40 42 50 Possible correction the pump to 50$ per onz Story goes on and on
How I see it: Bitcoin still needs to fill the imbalance as indicated. Strong daily resistance is holding price down thus far. The "Sweet Spot - Area" to accumulate "LONG" Inventory remains between 75000.00 & 70000.00. Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis
? Short Setup ? Description: MSCI Inc. (NYSE: MSCI) has formed a Head & Shoulders pattern, a bearish reversal setup. The price has broken below the neckline, confirming downside momentum. A retest of the neckline could provide another short entry opportunity. ? Trade Details: ? Entry: Below neckline breakdown confirmation ? Stop Loss: 607.87 ? Target: 490.44 ? Confirmation: A breakdown with strong volume adds conviction to the move. If price reclaims the neckline and holds above, the bearish setup could be invalidated. Trade wisely! ??
$DOGE/USDT is currently holding support at the rising trendline, which has historically led to strong upward moves. Every time the Stochastic RSI formed a bullish crossover near this trendline, the price experienced a significant bullish rally. The Stoch RSI is currently in the oversold zone, similar to previous points where major uptrends started. If history repeats, DOGE could be gearing up for another strong move. DYOR, NFA
This is weekly market analysis of a few pairs (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC). I haven't done one of these in a while, but here it is! I would have done more pairs but the video was already 30 minutes long and I went into more teaching rather than pure analysis. I hope you found it insightful to your own trading, because what I teach is the truth of the market regardless of whatever specific strategy you use for trading. Anything can make money in the markets, but of course, risk management and discipline rule all. - R2F Trading
How I see it: Gold achieved new ATH. Potential re-test of previous confluence - now "SUPPORT" Wait for the Re-Test to find Support: "LONG" - TP 1 = 3000.00 TP 2 = 3038.00 Keynote - As once again GOLD finds itself in unfamiliar new territory: Very bullish, strong, green quality candles. Price can always just power on until a psychological resistance is reached, before any correction will take place. Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis
Hey folks, I would like to bring our attention to something that I find very fascinating and mind-blowing. The concept of randomness and the markets, and how randomness, win rates, and a decent R-ratio play a very key role in trading. The thing I like most about these concepts and how they marry, is how they can help us build confidence, even after a streak of losing trades. It reminds me of when I got my freediving certification. Before we even got into the water, we discussed the theory in a classroom around breath holding and oxygenation. When we got in the water, I had confidence in my ability to hold my breath, as I did so for almost 5 minutes in the classroom. I understood the discomfort that is associated with the need to breathe, I knew what it meant, what my body was telling me, and what I needed to do when I started to feel it. So, by the time we were diving to 30 meters, I could do so with confidence, as I knew what to expect, and I knew how my body would react and what those reactions felt like. Additionally, if things went bad, and I blacked out, there were security measures in place (safety divers) who were trained and able to get me out of the water safely. The very same practice can be applied to trading. Trading is hardly the same as freediving, but I like to apply the safety concepts I learned in freediving, to trading. Having the understanding of how long I could hold my breath and what it felt like, physically, emotionally and psychologically, gave me confidence because I had experienced and explored these feelings of being scared and stressing, in a classroom. Similarly, after a string of losing trades, over time, one is able to build the intuition of losing trades and recovering from them. All I have to do it trust my edge and continue to apply it when it was validated. The safety diver is my stop-loss. If things go against me, which they often do, I am quite comfortable paying a little tuition, because I know what it will cost me (I made that decision before I opened the trade), and I know that there will be other opportunities. It's a numbers game really - and with a significant sample size, patterns will emerge that can be observed, measured and used to build intuition. I don't know if this makes sense or if you can relate to it, but all I want you to understand is that trading is a game of probabilities, where your strategy is your edge. If you ensure a decent R-ratio greater than about 2.3 R, and win rate greater than about 36%, you are in good shape. Let's explore these concepts in a little greater detail. Market prices are influenced by a multitude of factors, including economic data, political events, investor sentiment, and unforeseen events. These factors interact in complex ways, making it impossible to predict price movements with absolute certainty. Even with sophisticated analysis, there's always an element of randomness. This means that any given trade can be influenced by factors beyond our control, leading to unpredictable outcomes. Think of it like flipping a coin. You know there's a 50/50 chance of heads or tails, but you can't predict the outcome of each individual flip - in fact, you don't need to, as you know that after about 100 coin tosses, there will be an approximate distribution between heads and tails of about 50/50, which I will explore in the video. Chaos theory suggests that even seemingly random systems have underlying patterns, but these patterns are highly sensitive to initial conditions. In trading, this means that small changes in market conditions can lead to significant and unpredictable price swings. The "butterfly effect" is a classic example, whereby a butterfly flapping its wings in Brazil could, theoretically, can cause a tornado in Texas. This illustrates how small, seemingly insignificant events can have large, unpredictable consequences. In financial markets, this can be seen in how news events may cause large and rapid price fluctuations. This theory helps us to understand that we can find patterns, but that complete prediction is impossible. The R-ratio is the ratio of the potential profit of a trade to the potential loss. For example, an R-ratio of 3 means that you're risking one unit of capital to potentially gain three units. A favourable R-ratio is crucial for long-term profitability, even with a low win rate. For example, if you have an R-ratio and a 30% win rate, you can still be profitable. For every 10 trades, you'll win 3 and lose 7, so your wins will generate 9 units of profit (3 wins x 3 units), and your losses will cost 7 units of capital, which gives you a new profit of 2R. The win rate is the percentage of trades that result in a profit. Many traders focus excessively on achieving high win rates, but this is often counterproductive, as strategies with a win rate of 99% can still result in negative returns. Chasing high win rates can lead to taking small profits and large losses, which ultimately erodes capital and requires enormous psychological capital. A trader with a 90% win rate, that loses 10 times the amount they win on the 10% of losing trades, will lose money. The law of large numbers is a statistical principle that states as the number of trials increases, the average of the results will converge towards the expected value. In trading, this means that the true edge of a strategy will only become apparent over many trades, which is exactly why casinos always win, they just need to keep that roulette wheel spinning. In fact, I visited a casino and spoke with the manager about this. I was told that for every 1000 spins, the roulette wheel results in about 3-5% profit. Short-term results can be heavily influenced by randomness, leading to misleading conclusions, which is why casinos invest considerable amounts of money into ensuring the randomness of their roulette tables, as randomness is their friend, when you have an edge of course. By tracking a significant sample size of trades (roulette spins), you can identify patterns in your strategy's performance, such as average win rate, average R-ratio, and maximum drawdown (largest consecutive loss). This data allows you to assess the viability of your strategy and make necessary adjustments. Losing streaks are an inevitable part of trading, even with a profitable strategy. A large sample size helps you to understand that losing streaks are just statistical fluctuations and not necessarily a sign that your strategy is broken. Emotional control is important during losing streaks. Trading is a probabilistic endeavour. By understanding the concepts of randomness and chaos theory, traders can adopt a more realistic and effective approach. Focusing on favourable R-ratios and observing a large sample size of trades allows for consistent profitability, even with low win rates and inevitable losing streaks - and most importantly, it helps us build confidence. So, I challenge you, not necessarily to become a free-diver but a free-trader, where the concepts of freediving education and risk mitigation can be applied to trading. I created a video about this concept I would like to share. If you have insights, ideas, experiences or feedback, I'd be thrilled to hear from you. https://youtu.be/2g_nuBPr8io Thank you.
Hello Traders ? As you might know, one of the coins that always performs exceptionally well during the Altcoin Season is GALA ?. It's highly volatile and shows very emotional price action. You can check the chart and see that 20% to 35% movements are pretty normal for this coin during market volatility. That's why it's crucial to find a good entry for a long position or, even better, hold a small bag of GALA in spot. ?? Currently, GALA is experiencing a bearish sentiment, but very soon, when BTC.D starts to collapse, we could witness a massive pump, at least to the previous high around $0.067, which is also a strong resistance for GALA. ?? In my opinion, this is a perfect take-profit area, because if you enter now and exit at $0.067, you can secure a 300% gain, which is absolutely amazing! ??? I hope you enjoy this idea! Don’t forget to like and follow! ? also if you are looking for the cheap altcoins make sure to read my previous idea about LINK$ because it's currently over sold right now and ready for the move ! ? KIU_COIN ?
⭐ Future Trading Signal ⭐ Exchanger: Bybit/Binance/ LONG ? Pair: RUNE/USDT ? Leverage: 10-25X ? Entry Limit: 1.109 Take Profit Targets: ? TP1: 1.160 ? TP2: 1.250 Stop Loss ?: 1.076 Good luck! ?DON'T BE GREEDY??
??? Gold news: ➡️Gold prices have fallen after hitting a record high, surpassing $3,000, following a series of weaker-than-expected economic indicators, especially PPI and CPI. Concerns about a possible US recession have weighed on the US dollar, boosting demand for the non-yielding metal. ➡️Risky trade policies under President Trump and the possibility of the Federal Reserve easing policy by another 66 basis points (bps) by 2025 are expected to support gold's uptrend in the near future. ➡️Geopolitical tensions are also weighing on gold demand. The ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia remains at a crossroads, as Russia appears unwilling to abide by the 30-day ceasefire. ➡️In particular, Trump launched a large-scale attack on the Houthis in Yemen, killing many people. This will be the impetus for gold prices to break out in the coming time Personal opinion: ➡️Gold has an additional driving force to increase in price, plus the previous news is still persistent, causing gold prices to maintain their upward momentum and show no signs of stopping ➡️Consider strong support zones when gold declines to be able to buy at a good price. Limit selling gold because you will mistakenly think it is the top, not yet. ➡️Technically, RSI shows signs of divergence and is expected to decrease slightly in the early Asian session. Currently, you should prioritize news over technical analysis. Resistance zone: 3005 - 3012 - 3020 Support zone: 2980 - 2970 - 2956 Plan: ? Price Zone Setup: ?Buy Gold 2,980 - 2,977 (Scalping) ❌SL: 2,975 | ✅TP: 2,983 - 2,986 - 2.990 ?Buy Gold 2,970 - 2,968 ❌SL: 2,964 | ✅TP: 2,975 – 2,980 – 2,990 ?Sell Gold 3,010 – 3,012 (Scalping) ❌SL: 3.016 | ✅TP: 3.007 – 3.004 – 3.000 ?Sell Gold 3,018 – 3,020 ❌SL: 3,025 | ✅TP: 3,014 – 3,008 – 3,001 FM wishes you a successful trading day ???