? Unsere Analyse basiert auf der Elliott-Wellen-Theorie in der logarithmischen Ansicht mit logarithmischen Kurszielen. Der Grund dafür ist, dass die Wellenstrukturen insbesondere in sehr volatilen Märkten logarithmisch deutlich präziser zählbar sind und die logarithmischen Kursziele verlässlicher erscheinen als die arithmetischen. 1️⃣ Szenario: Kurzfristig Primär ▪️ Kurzfristig : Wir gehen davon aus, dass der Kurs in der Welle (c) der erneut das Niveau der Welle 3 anläuft oder möglicherweise neue lokale Höchststände erreicht – maximal bis zum 138,2 %-Retracement bei $1,64. Anschließend erwarten wir einen weiteren Rücksetzer in der Welle der 4 in die Region von $0,89 bis $0,75. Danach rechnen wir mit einer Trendwende und der Ausbildung der Welle 5 der (3). ▪️ Mittelfristig : Unsere Erwartungen für ADA in diesem Zyklus sehen Kursziele von mindestens $20. Das übergeordnete Chartbild finden Sie hier: https://de.tradingview.com/chart/ADAUSD/4Q9yNBOg/ . ▪️ Langfristig : Langfristige Kursziele können wir aktuell nur spekulativ annehmen, da wir zunächst den Abschluss der übergeordneten Welle IV abwarten müssen, um präzisere Projektionen vorzunehmen. Erste Annahmen deuten jedoch auf potenzielle Kursziele von über $44 hin. 2️⃣ Unterstützungen & Widerstände ? Kurzfristige Unterstützung liegt beim 50 %-Retracement der Welle 4 bei $0,64. ? Sollte diese Unterstützung brechen, müssten wir annehmen, dass der Kurs nicht an der übergeordneten Welle (3) arbeitet. Stattdessen könnte die Welle 3 lediglich eine überschießende B-Welle der im März 2024 ausgebildeten Welle (1) darstellen. Dies könnte zu einem weiteren Abverkauf in die Region zwischen $0,57 und $0,23 führen und damit erst die übergeordnete Welle (2) abschließen. Wir gewichten dieses Szenario mit einer eher geringen Wahrscheinlichkeit. ? Kurzfristiger Widerstand liegt beim 138,2 %-Retracement der Welle A der 4 bei $1,64, was auf eine mögliche überschießende der 3 hinweist. ? Ein nachhaltiger Bruch dieses Widerstandes würde darauf hindeuten, dass die Welle 4 bereits mit dem Tief Ende Dezember abgeschlossen wurde. In diesem Fall würde der Kurs an der Welle 5 der (3) arbeiten und Kursziele in Richtung $1,85 oder höher anstreben. ? Wird der Widerstand nicht erreicht oder der Kurs signifikant abgelehnt, bestärkt dies unsere Annahme einer B-Welle. Der Kurs würde in diesem Fall voraussichtlich nochmals in die Region von $0,89 bis $0,75 der Welle der 4 eintauchen, bevor weitere Anstiege einsetzen. 3️⃣ Handelsmöglichkeiten ⚠️ Hinweis: Wir teilen hier ausschließlich unsere persönliche Meinung und geben keine Handlungsempfehlungen. Jede Anlegerin und jeder Anleger sollte eigene Analysen durchführen und nach eigenem Wissen und Gewissen handeln. ✅ Anleger mit bestehenden Positionen in ADA könnten ihre Gewinne weiterlaufen lassen und in der Welle 4 weitere Positionen aufstocken. ❌ Anleger ohne bestehende Positionen könnten bei einem Rücksetzer in die orange Zielzone der Welle 4 eine erste Position aufbauen. Nach Abschluss der Welle (3) und der anschließenden Korrektur in Welle (4) wäre ein weiteres Aufstocken möglich. ? Vielen Dank für Ihre Zeit und Aufmerksamkeit. Folgen Sie uns gerne, um keine weiteren Analysen zu verpassen. Sollten Sie Fragen zu unseren Analysen haben, stehen wir Ihnen gerne zur Verfügung. Mit besten Grüßen, Ihr KKM-Team
a Very Strong Resistance around 138 - 140. Those who have already taken entry in BCL should keep a Stoploss of 117 on Closing basis. Initial Targets can be around 128 - 130 & then towards 136 - 138. These levels should be easily attained because of Hidden Bullish Divergence. Crossing & Sustaining 140 will lead it towards 150 - 155. Long Term Targets can be above 200+ but that would be possible if 182 is Crossed & Sustained with Good Volumes.
The Total3 market cap (crypto market cap excluding BTC, ETH & XRP) was aggressively rejected off its all-time high of $1.13 trillion in early December, leading to a prolonged accumulation phase. This consolidation period is now nearing its conclusion, setting the stage for a potential breakout. The expected range for the final leg of this cycle is between $1.58 trillion and $2.05 trillion, with technical pointing to a measured move similar to the November–December rally, where price action formed a wave of equal length. As we approach the end of this accumulation zone, the market awaits the catalyst that could drive a decisive move toward the projected completion zone.
US-500 Analysis Weekly Chart Overview • Trend: The US-500 is firmly in an uptrend, trading within a larger ascending channel since July. Price action continues to respect this channel, with the most recent weekly candle forming a bullish engulfing pattern off a key Fibonacci retracement level. • Volume Profile: Price remains in a medium-volume zone, with the weekly POC at 5,562, marking a critical level of interest for institutional participation. • Indicators: • EMAs: All EMAs are aligned upward with significant spacing, highlighting the strength of the current trend. • Ichimoku Cloud: Price is well above the weekly cloud, confirming bullish momentum. • RSI and MACD: RSI has climbed from 53 to 59, aligning with the recent bounce, while MACD shows waning bearish momentum, supporting a potential continuation of the uptrend. • Fibonacci Insights: • The retracement from the 5th August to 2nd December wave suggests the 0.236 level played a role in the recent bounce, indicating that the current higher-low formation aligns with broader trend dynamics. • Using the breakout point from 9th September, the 38.2% retracement level aligns precisely with the recent reversal, providing additional confluence. Daily Chart Overview • Trend: On the daily chart, price action has been in a consolidation phase since breaking below an ascending channel on 17th December. However, the price has repeatedly bounced off a daily order block at 5,874 to 5,828, establishing a robust support zone. • Key Developments: • Recent price action shows a breakout above the daily POC at 5,919, with the price now above the 20 EMA and 50 EMA. • Bollinger Bands: Price is within the upper band, signaling renewed strength. • Fibonacci Insights: • The bounce aligns with the 0.786 retracement level, suggesting the potential formation of a higher-low structure, which is often a precursor to trend continuation. • Fibonacci retracements and extensions provide insights into market liquidity levels, where institutional activity is likely to cluster. • Indicators: • RSI is back above 50, confirming a shift in momentum. • MACD has turned green, and CMF is positive at 0.03. • ADX at 30.57 shows a weakening bearish trend, while DI lines converge, indicating diminishing bearish pressure. 4-Hour Chart Overview • Trend: Price action recently broke out of a descending wedge, which had been characterized by lower-lows and lower-highs during the consolidation phase. This breakout aligns with bullish sentiment seen on higher timeframes. • Key Levels: • Price is testing a daily order block, showing initial rejection, with potential for short-term retracement. • Fibonacci extensions reveal the move has reached a 100% retracement of the previous downtrend, a critical level for monitoring potential liquidity grabs. • Indicators: • RSI is at 67.93, nearing overbought territory, suggesting possible short-term exhaustion. • MACD remains above zero, though bullish momentum is waning. • CMF is increasing at 0.16, signaling accumulation. Exclusive Indicator Insights Our custom indicators provide a critical edge in identifying key zones: • Weekly Buy Region: The first green bar since consolidation appeared last week, signaling a shift in sentiment and potential alignment with broader bullish momentum. • Daily Buy Region: Currently unshaded, reflecting a lack of confirmation on the daily timeframe, underscoring the importance of higher timeframe alignment. Summary and Outlook • Weekly Chart: The higher-low formation, supported by Fibonacci retracements and a bullish engulfing candle, points to strong bullish momentum. • Daily Chart: The breakout above the POC and key EMAs signals a potential end to the consolidation phase, with order blocks and retracements offering critical areas to monitor. • 4-Hour Chart: While the breakout is promising, near-term corrections are possible as the RSI approaches overbought levels and momentum wanes. Stay Tuned Our exclusive indicators, particularly the Weekly Buy Region and Daily Buy Region, are designed to highlight actionable zones with precision, making them invaluable tools for indices like the US-500. Stay connected to our Minds channel and follow our ideas to gain access to specific entries and further updates as we refine our setups.
#TriasLab It is a company that attracts attention with both its supply and its projects. Although it has been in a downward trend and in a dormant mode since 2021, it is trying to make a move these days, let's watch together what it can do.. TriasLab #trıas
Greetings, this is the immediate bullish Elliott Wave Count for BTC. I also did a 4H count which takes a deeper retracement into consideration which will be linked below in the notes. I'll like it below in the notes for everybody that is interested it in :) Spoiler: This Analysis gets a bit more complex. In the immediate bullish count we assume that Bitcoin is forming a double 1-2 set up which should lead to a rather aggressive Wave 3 to the upside. From the low which formed the blue Wave 4 we have a five wave move up displayed in purple which finished white Wave 1. We also formed white Wave 2 already which is a very shallow Wave 2 but it hit the minimum requirements of the 0.236 FIB at 98031.9 USD which is very rare and not preferred but valid. From here we have started white Wave 3 of which we finished the first Wave displayed as the green Wave 1 here and we are currently working on the green Wave 2 in the yellow ABC. Green Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 101538.8 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 99110.5 USD. Yellow Wave A seems to be in as well as yellow Wave B which could extend tho. Assuming yellow Wave B is in we can calculate targets for yellow Wave C which are very well in confluence with our green Wave 2 support. Targets for yellow Wave C are the 1 to 1 FIB at 101420.9 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 100585.2 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 100068.2 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 99232.4 USD. Noteworthy is that all targets for yellow Wave C overlap with the Fibonacci's of green Wave 2 support area. Additionally the 1.618 FIB target at 99232.4 USD of yellow Wave C which overlaps with the 0.786 FIB of the green Wave 2 support area at 99110.5 USD also overlap with the 0.382 FIB at 99337.8 USD of our Wave 2 support area of the "BTC - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis" which focusses on a deeper retracement which I'll link below in the notes. The golden pocket of green Wave 2 also sits perfectly on 100'000 USD which is an important psychological level. The green & white Wave 3 should take us well above the last ATH at 108366.8 USD. On the chart you can see some targets for white Wave 3 which are the 1 to 1 FIB at 109234.6 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 112.052.7 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 113796.1 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 116614.1 USD. Noteworthy is that the 1 to 1 FIB target at 109234.6 USD is right above the ATH at 108366.8 USD which could function as a short term resistance, so be aware of volatility! Additionally we got some confluence for the 1.618 FIB target at 116614.1 USD with a high timeframe target at 115948.9 USD which I discussed in my "BTC - 1D Elliott Wave Analysis" which I'll link below in the comments. Be aware that we get the inauguration of Trump next week and the stock market is closed on Monday which both can have some effect on Crypto. If you enjoyed this analysis I'd appreciate if you give it a boost as I put a lot of effort into it :) Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/PUZQxWay/ ✅AMAZON is trading in an Uptrend along the rising Support line and we are Already seeing a bullish rebound And a move up from the support Just as I predicted so we are Bullish biased and we will be Expecting a further Bullish continuation LONG? ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
IWM short worked out well on Friday 1/18/2025. Going to try for it again this week. Entry is right below the supply zone, the stop is right above it. Target is the top of the gap. My decision to enter or exit depends on price action. KEY: -White Horizonal Lines: Resistance levels (multiple timeframes). -Green boxes: Supply or demand
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I have been watching price delivery to the upside Thursday not a nice trade but to the look of things the bias seems to be in tact so it just confirms losing days comes but the probabilities are endless with the bias on the side you plan to trade