? The Great 112‑Day Drop What happened? Over the past 112 days, ETH tumbled –66%, sliding from $4109 down to $1383 and oh yeah, it even poked its nose below the January 2018 all-time high. 7 years ago! https://www.tradingview.com/x/XGcTJpsH/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/01tbAdUa/ Support Zone: 0.786 + Volume Profile 0.786 Fib: $1,570.85 (drawn from the 2022 low $870.80 to that $4109 high). 5‑Year POC: $1565 Hold Tight: For 2 weeks, the 0.786 level has acted as support, bouncing price right back up. Sell in May and go away? Rather buy in May and grab some gains on the way? Trade Blueprint: Your Ethereum Game Plan Entry Zone: $1570.85 Stop Loss: Below $1369.79 Profit Targets: $1800, $2000 ,$2500, $3000 Risk/Reward: Risk ≈13%, Reward ≈91%, a solid 7:1 R:R DCA Missed the perfect entry? No drama... dollar‑cost average between $1700 and $1500. Keep an eye on the monthly open at $1822. Bulls need to break this resistance zone. Bottom Line Ethereum’s –66% dive has handed us a golden ticket at the 0.786 fib and 5‑year POC. This is one of those “buy the dip” moments. ________________________________ ? Found this helpful? Drop a like and comment below. Want TA on another coin? Let me know and I’ll break it down for you. Happy trading everyone! ?
Themakert is showing a rejection on that trendline so wait in 1 Hour if that candlestic closes a revesal candlestic GO Short to cover The Gap
Over the past five trading sessions, the USD/MXN pair has declined by more than 2%, as the Mexican peso continues to gain ground against the U.S. dollar. This bullish trend in the peso is partly driven by the ongoing weakness in the U.S. dollar, as reflected in the DXY index, which has fallen to 99 points, its lowest level in the past year. The dollar’s weakness stems from the growing political and economic uncertainty generated by the global trade war, triggering a broad wave of dollar selling as capital exits the U.S. If this trend continues, the Mexican peso could maintain its bullish momentum in the short term. Lateral Range Breakout Since November 2024, USD/MXN had been trading within a sideways range, with resistance at 20.94 pesos per dollar and support at 20.00. In recent sessions, bearish pressure broke through this support, and as selling momentum builds, this could mark the start of a more meaningful downtrend. MACD The MACD histogram remains below the neutral zero line, indicating strong bearish momentum based on recent moving average trends. If the histogram continues to show deeper negative values, selling pressure could intensify further in the short term. RSI Currently, lower lows in price and higher lows in the RSI suggest the presence of a bullish divergence—an imbalance in recent selling momentum. This could create an opportunity for short-term bullish corrections to emerge. Key Levels to Watch: 20.33 pesos per dollar: A key resistance level, aligned with the 100-period moving average. A return to this area could reactivate the previous range. 20.00 pesos per dollar: Another important resistance, now acting as a potential retest zone after previously serving as support. This could be a target for short-term pullbacks. 19.33 pesos per dollar: A significant support level, aligned with the neutral zone from September 2024. A move toward this level could reinforce the consolidation of a consistent bearish trend in upcoming sessions. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
? Chart Type and Indicators: Chart Type: Candlestick Indicators Used: EMA 50 (red line): 85,335.18 EMA 200 (blue line): 85,657.29 ? Technical Pattern Analysis: Pattern Identified: Ascending Triangle The price has formed higher lows (ascending trendline support) while repeatedly testing a horizontal resistance zone (~$88,000), forming an ascending triangle. This is typically a bullish continuation pattern when it occurs after an uptrend, though in this context, it's forming after a consolidation, giving more significance to the breakout. ? Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken above the horizontal resistance and is currently trading at $92,766.51. Volume is not visible but should be increasing during a valid breakout. Both EMAs have been decisively breached to the upside, signaling momentum shift in favor of bulls. ? Key Levels: Support Zone (Post-Breakout Retest): ~$88,000 Previously a resistance zone, now likely to act as support. Immediate Resistance: ~$96,000 Historical resistance zone shown on the chart with a horizontal black line. Extended Target (measured move): ~$109,420 Based on the height of the triangle projected from the breakout point. ? Price Action Forecast: Two possible scenarios (depicted with arrows on the chart): Bullish Continuation: A retest of the $88,000 zone followed by continuation to $96,000, then $109,420. Short-Term Pullback: Price may dip to retest the breakout zone (~$88,000), consolidate, then rally higher. ✅ Bullish Signals Summary: Breakout from a bullish ascending triangle. EMAs crossed and price holding above them. Clear higher highs and higher lows formation. Momentum suggesting further upside. ? Risks to Watch: False Breakout Risk: If the price fails to hold above $88,000 and falls back into the triangle range. Macro Factors: Bitcoin remains sensitive to macroeconomic news and regulations that could disrupt technical setups.
BABA continues the bullish outlook since we called it last on October 23rd. Babalicous outlook Part 1 : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BABA/wZTwZwBR-BABALICOUS-OUTLOOK/ We continue with our update here! Baba has broken through our previous resistance/ area of demand and has perfectly retested the zone. As you can see our Area of demand has always been an area of tough resistance and as of now it is becoming strong support. In addition we have spotted a beautiful rounded bottoming pattern with a target of 80% or $210.00 price target from current levels. If BABA can close this monthly candle as is the $210 price level is sure to be tested!
The AUDNZD pair forms a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation that typically occurs after a downtrend. The price action is being squeezed between a descending resistance line and a descending support line, creating a narrowing range. The market is now attempting to break out of the wedge, with the current price testing the resistance line. A breakout and close above this trendline would signal bullish strength and could lead to a reversal of the recent downtrend. Targets: TP1: 1.07605 TP2: 1.07922 Stop Loss: Below the recent low at 1.06542
https://www.tradingview.com/x/vvrTVj84/ Hello,Traders! NZD-USD is trading in an Uptrend and the pair is making A local bearish correction Towards the horizontal support Level of 0.5912 and after the Retest we will be expecting A bullish rebound Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER Had a huge bounce with all the Trump tariff kerfuffle and that was quite off-putting. But it looks to be revealing its hand now; printing a Golden Window failure (0.618-0.786 retracement rejection) with little upper wicks (red arrows) signalling a significant point of resistance. The GW failure follows a fairly limp ascending channel that would appear to have bearish cause. And the whole high time frame area appears to be a Head & Shoulders reversal pattern. Silver appears to be waiting for the cue from Gold turning bearish to finally fall into a significant high time frame downtrend. I entered a short here. Invalidation would be a move above 0.85 ratio ?. Not advice
Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (XRPUSDT 1D chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/OjGOLWT6/ XRP's important support and resistance area is near 2.6013. When this area breaks upward, it is the breakout trading period. However, in order to feel more stable, buy when support is confirmed near 2.2582. Therefore, XRP is still in an ambiguous position to consider it as a buying period. It is not good to think that you can make more profit by buying in advance when there is not much left anyway. The reason is that it is highly unlikely that a suitable countermeasure will be made. Therefore, even if you buy at a slightly higher price, it is best to buy when it fits your own rules, that is, your trading strategy. - Like BTC, since the HA-Low indicator has been leveled off since it was created, if it rises above the HA-Low indicator this time, it is likely to lead to an additional rise. If it does not rise and falls, it is highly likely that the price will continue to rise only if it maintains above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - This is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/WBuhqVrT/ Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/z7KccUWy/ Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/qnPyNIaV/ I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range. Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section. To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28). https://www.tradingview.com/x/QXrexgiP/ If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the downtrend starts. ------------------------------------------------------
Long entry price at 0,2628 USD with a stop loss at 0,1985 USD. Profit taking: 0,436 USD and 0,54 USD.