The cycles and the crosses are clones, therefore not exact fit.It doesn't look like a correction when I look at the cycles and pattern. I am more convinced that it is going to be a bear market in USA not just on technical but even on fundamentals: China has just finished a recession and will grow with higher cost of production, unlike 2000-2015. Market and Fed is under illusion that inflation will come down to 2% (Thank chinese cheap goods for that before covid, but not now and going forward). Higher cost of chinese goods and trump tariff are sure to jack up inflation to 4%+ this year in my opinion. People are addicted to low interest rate since 2000's, but historically they ware always higher at 6% mean. Any rallies would be temporary
Gold price target on Wednesday is 3050 1. Market analysis Bull force: Gold price continues to hit new highs in the short term, showing bull force. The 1-hour chart shows that the price is still in an upward channel and may continue to rise in the short term. Overbought risk: The daily and weekly lines are overbought and divergent, and the price deviates far from the short-term moving average, which poses a risk of correction. Therefore, although the trend is optimistic, it is not advisable to blindly chase high prices. Federal Reserve news: The Federal Reserve news on Thursday may have a greater impact on the market. It is recommended to remain cautious before the news is announced and avoid excessive positions. 2. Operation strategy Long order strategy: Go long when the price falls back to the support level, which is a relatively stable strategy. (1): Conservative waiting: Go long near 3000-3002, with a target of 3020-3035. Breaking through 3050 is a reasonable strategy. (2): When the price falls back to around 3020-3030, you can also consider entering the market in batches, with a stop loss set below 3015. Short order strategy: When the price rebounds to around 3050-3055, you can consider shorting with a light position, with the target at 3030-3015 and the stop loss set above 3060. As the overall market is bullish, short orders should be operated with caution and the position should not be too large.
Failed breakout from resistance zone Sweep of liquidity and shift in market structure showing continuity of sell market
ETH in USD terms is down 30% in a month, 42% YTD, and up 1000% in 5 years. But my focus isn't on ETHUSD - I come to shed light on ETHBTC That is, ETH compared to BTC - you see, since 2021 they made fun of me. For being a bitcoin Maxi. The sad ironic truth - it didn't matter, due to taxes, interest & inflation I had to sell both. Now I'm a window charter. At least I can, for now, afford $20 a month for ChatGPT subscription to do this: ETH/BTC Ratio Analysis: As of March 18, 2025, the ETH/BTC ratio stands at approximately 0.0234, indicating that one Ethereum is worth about 2.34% of one Bitcoin. This ratio has declined significantly from its lower peak of 0.088 in December 2021, reflecting Ethereum's underperformance relative to Bitcoin over the past few years. Current Market Dynamics: The cryptocurrency market has experienced notable shifts, with Bitcoin maintaining its dominance as the leading digital asset. Ethereum, while still a major player, has faced challenges such as network scalability issues and increased competition from other blockchain platforms. These factors and others have contributed to the widening gap between Bitcoin and Ethereum valuations. Potential Opportunity: Despite the recent underperformance, Ethereum's current valuation relative to Bitcoin may present a strategic entry point for investors. The low ETH/BTC ratio suggests that Ethereum is undervalued compared to Bitcoin, providing potential for higher returns if Ethereum regains strength. Factors such as upcoming network upgrades, increased adoption of decentralized applications (dApps), and the growth of decentralized finance (DeFi) could catalyze Ethereum's resurgence. Considerations: Investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before making investment decisions. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Conclusion: The current ETH/BTC ratio reflects Ethereum's underperformance relative to Bitcoin. However, this disparity may offer a strategic opportunity for investors anticipating Ethereum's potential recovery and growth in the evolving digital asset landscape.
Hello everyone, I haven't been able to share my ideas in the market for a while, we have a very strong sell flow and market structure in the cad/chf market. I am waiting for the market to give a rejection candle stick in our zone on the H1 timeframe and again sell 1:3 but since the flow is strong, we can hold our trade at the daily new LL. This idea could have been entered much earlier but I missed this trade so I am waiting for the market to retest and sell flow after confirmation, follow trend always guys
Hello guys ! normally i would upload my view on youtube but today i have decided to try something new which is uploading the rare full uncut version lol. Any how we are running superb trade for XAUUSD ! Currently holding close to 2000 pips ! Try to look for any selling confirmation as we are at our 2nd reversal point. BUT look for buying confirmation once the price touches our sideway support zone. Why ? cause according to elliotwave counting there is high probability for another bullish push to the upper side. Good luck and all the best guys !
Thinking about taking a swing with AMEX:USD USD (Ultra Semiconductors) if we can get sharply down to this line. What do you all think? This is not for a HODL. This is intended to be a short-term leveraged swing trade. Keep your diamond hands to yourself plz and thank you.
Pre : PAEL has shown strong financial growth, with Q1 2024 net profit surging 1,090% YoY to PKR 444.9 million, driven by eased import restrictions and market stability. For the nine months ending September 2024, profit after tax rose 97% YoY to PKR 1.863 billion, supported by a 35% revenue increase due to higher sales volumes and price adjustments. Post : the stock is trading in rising wedge pattern with support levels at PKR 43.58 and 40.50 and RSI indicates near overbought levels, potential short-term volatility. Main future outlook depends on government upcoming energy policies, increasing home solar systems market demand will intact, Key on eyes upon 46-levels breaks above levels rally towards 54-58 PKR, aligning with the projected 15-20% gain.
? AMEX:SPY Monthly Macro Outlook ? Key Observations: 1️⃣ Long-Term Uptrend Intact – Despite corrections, AMEX:SPY remains in a strong bullish trend, respecting the multi-year trendline since 2009. 2️⃣ Historical Pullback & Recovery – The 2022 market correction (-26%) found strong demand in the highlighted red zone (around $480-$500), leading to a powerful reversal. 3️⃣ Resistance Levels in Play – Price is currently testing key resistance levels at $565, $586, and $609. A rejection here could lead to a healthy pullback before continuation. 4️⃣ Future Outlook – If price consolidates and holds above $565, we could see an attempt to break $609, with the long-term trajectory targeting $700+ in coming years. Trade Plan: ? Bullish Scenario – A breakout above $609 could lead to price discovery, targeting $650-$700 in 2026-2027. ? Bearish Scenario – A rejection at $565-$609 could trigger a retrace to $523 or $480, offering a buy-the-dip opportunity. ? Invalidation – If AMEX:SPY loses $480 support, the bullish thesis weakens, and deeper downside may be in play. ? The trend is your friend, but expect volatility at these levels! Do you see a breakout coming or a healthy pullback first? Drop your thoughts below! ? #SPY #StockMarket #Investing #Trading #MacroAnalysis Socials: @KennyTrades52
Das Goldpreisziel am Mittwoch liegt bei 3050 1. Marktanalyse Bullische Kraft: Die Goldpreise erreichen kurzfristig weiterhin neue Höchststände und zeigen damit eine bullische Kraft. Das 1-Stunden-Chart zeigt, dass sich der Preis immer noch in einem Aufwärtskanal befindet und kurzfristig weiter steigen könnte. Überkaufsrisiko: Die Tages- und Wochenlinien sind überkauft und divergieren, und der Preis weicht weit vom kurzfristigen gleitenden Durchschnitt ab, sodass die Gefahr eines Rückzugs besteht. Daher ist es trotz des vielversprechenden Trends nicht ratsam, blind hohen Preisen hinterherzujagen. Nachrichten der Federal Reserve: Die Nachrichten der Federal Reserve am Donnerstag könnten erhebliche Auswirkungen auf den Markt haben. Es wird empfohlen, vor der Veröffentlichung der Nachrichten vorsichtig zu bleiben und übermäßige Positionen zu vermeiden. 2. Operative Strategie Long-Position-Strategie: Eine Long-Position einzugehen, wenn der Preis auf das Unterstützungsniveau zurückfällt, ist eine relativ stabile Strategie. (1): Konservative warten ab: Gehen Sie bei etwa 3000-3002 long, Ziel 3020-3035, ein Durchbruch von 3050 ist eine vernünftige Strategie. (2): Wenn der Preis auf etwa 3020-3030 zurückfällt, können Sie auch einen schrittweisen Markteinstieg in Erwägung ziehen, wobei der Stop-Loss unter 3015 festgelegt wird. Short-Order-Strategie: Wenn der Preis auf etwa 3050–3055 zurückspringt, können Sie einen Short mit einer kleinen Position in Betracht ziehen, wobei das Ziel bei 3030–3015 liegt und der Stop-Loss über 3060 liegt. Da der Gesamtmarkt im Aufwärtstrend liegt, sollten Short-Orders mit Vorsicht ausgeführt und die Positionen nicht zu groß sein.