✅ Weekly Breakout Confirmed – Stock breaking key resistance with strong volume. ✅ Bullish Momentum – Sustained uptrend with positive price action. ✅ Support & Resistance – Holding above crucial support, next resistance in sight. ✅ Risk-Reward Favorable – Stop-loss & target levels strategically placed. ? Ideal for positional traders looking for a strong breakout setup! ?
The Daily chart is Bearish! The northern corrective wave 4 could be over and ready for a wave 5 drop! The fall has some volume & momentum...
Market Analysis & Sequential Session Breakdown (Cairo Local Time, EET) ? XAU/USD – The Art of Trapping Liquidity & Exploiting Market Structure 1️⃣ HIGH-TIMEFRAME OUTLOOK – DAILY PERSPECTIVE ? Overall Bias: Bullish to Neutral – Liquidity Grab Setup Current Price: $2,890.50 Daily POC: $2,890.59 (? Pivot Zone) Daily VAH: $2,911.01 (? Major Resistance – Retail Stop Cluster) Daily VAL: $2,832.42 (? High-Value Liquidity Trap Below) Daily VWAP: $2,891.11 Daily VWAP High: $2,908.41 (? FOMO Buyers’ Dream Zone) Daily VWAP Low: $2,879.93 (? Smart Money Buy Zone) ? Key Takeaways: ? Above POC → Buyers still control, but resistance is near at $2,911.00. ? Below POC → Liquidity trap setup into $2,879.00 before a bounce. ? Watch VWAP low at $2,879.93 for a liquidity sweep before a push-up. 2️⃣ MID-TIMEFRAME OUTLOOK (8H & 4H) – SMART MONEY PIVOTS 8H Timeframe: POC: $2,890.49 (Aligned with daily POC → ? Major Inflection Point) VAH: $2,908.41 (? Likely rejection zone if tested) VAL: $2,882.91 (? Institutional Liquidity Loading Zone) VWAP: $2,890.23 VWAP High: $2,901.35 VWAP Low: $2,879.42 ? Bias: Still bullish but weakening. If we break below $2,882, expect a drop to $2,879. ? Trade Setup: BUY at VWAP Low $2,879 for a push into POC $2,890.50. 4H Timeframe: POC: $2,890.96 (? Buyers defending this zone aggressively) VAH: $2,895.05 (? Immediate rejection zone) VAL: $2,878.19 (? High-Probability Bounce Zone) VWAP: $2,890.34 VWAP High: $2,909.53 VWAP Low: $2,869.61 ? Bias: Short-term weakness, but buyers still in control. ? If price holds above $2,890, expect retest of $2,895. ? If price breaks below $2,878, expect sell-off into $2,869.61 (VWAP low). 3️⃣ SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK (1H & 15M) – PRECISION ENTRIES 1H Timeframe: POC: $2,891.09 VAH: $2,895.05 VAL: $2,887.06 VWAP: $2,891.10 VWAP High: $2,895.05 VWAP Low: $2,881.16 ? Price hovering around VWAP & POC = Consolidation. Expect breakout soon. ? Break above $2,895 → Run to $2,908. If rejected, sell back to $2,887. 15M Timeframe: POC: $2,890.50 VAH: $2,895.00 VAL: $2,887.00 VWAP: $2,891.00 VWAP High: $2,895.00 VWAP Low: $2,887.00 ? Retail longs entering above $2,895 = Liquidity for smart money to short. ? Watch $2,887 for a liquidity grab before another bounce into $2,895. 4️⃣ SESSION-BY-SESSION BREAKDOWN (Cairo Local Time, EET) ? ASIA SESSION (TOKYO) – 02:00 - 10:00 AM EET ? Expected Behavior: Liquidity grab & range play before London momentum. ? Key Levels: Liquidity Sweep Below: $2,879.00 → Institutional Buy Zone Liquidity Sweep Above: $2,895.00 → Short Trap Zone ? Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Liquidity Grab Setup – Price dips into $2,878.00 - $2,879.00, absorbs weak sellers, and reverses to $2,890.00 - $2,895.00. 2️⃣ Sideways Accumulation – Stuck between $2,887.00 - $2,895.00, waiting for London volume. ? LONDON SESSION (10:00 AM - 3:00 PM EET) ? Expected Behavior: High volatility, breakout attempt or rejection. ? Key Levels: Breakout Above: $2,895.00 → Targets $2,908.00 Failure Below: $2,878.00 → Targeting $2,869.00 ? Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Breakout – Price holds above $2,895.00, confirms VWAP support, and runs to $2,908.00. 2️⃣ Rejection & Sell-Off – Fake breakout above $2,895.00, then dump to $2,878.00. ? NYC PRE-MARKET (3:00 PM - 4:30 PM EET) ? Expected Behavior: Final positioning before the NY session. ? Key Levels: If price holds above $2,890, bulls still in control. Below $2,878, expect further downside acceleration. ? Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Breakout Play – Price consolidates between $2,890 - $2,895, then explodes into $2,908.00. 2️⃣ Trap Setup – Fakeout above $2,895.00, then aggressive sell-off back to $2,878.00 - $2,869.00. ? NYC SESSION (4:30 PM - 11:00 PM EET) ? Expected Behavior: Maximum volatility, trend confirmation or reversal. ? Key Levels: Above $2,895.00 → Expect $2,908.00 test. Below $2,878.00 → Expect liquidation into $2,869.00. ? Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ NYC Bull Run – London’s liquidity grab fuels a NY breakout above $2,895.00, leading into $2,908.00 - $2,911.00. 2️⃣ NYC Trap & Dump – NY pulls price above $2,895.00, stops out shorts, then rug-pulls down to $2,869.00 - $2,832.00. 5️⃣ FINAL EXECUTION PLAN ? Primary Trade: Buy $2,879.00, Target $2,890 - $2,895 ? Backup Plan: Short $2,895.00, Target $2,882 - $2,869
Event to pay attention to today: 16:15 EET. JPY - BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda Speaks USDJPY: On Tuesday, the Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened for the second consecutive day, reaching a multi-month high against the US dollar (USD) last week. The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) hawkish policy outlook continues to support the JPY, while concerns over the economic consequences of US President Donald Trump's tariff policy have led to a decrease in investor appetite for risky assets and contributed to the yen's strength. Trump's threats regarding Japan's currency depreciation, as well as the low dynamics of US dollar (USD) prices, are other factors exerting downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. JPY bulls have not been affected by weak macroeconomic data from Japan, which showed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate and a drop in corporate capital spending for the first time in three years. This suggests that the yen's value may continue to rise. Trade recommendation: SELL 149.000, SL 149.800, TP 148.200
OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery remains high after yesterday's strong increase and the current gold price is at about 2,887 USD ounce, equivalent to a decrease of 0.20% on the day, limited by the lower edge of the technical price channel and the EMA21. Geopolitical tensions and impending tariffs have boosted gold prices. Gold prices continue to rise again, but no other price increases have been confirmed yet. Spot gold prices rose more than 1% on Monday, recovering from a three-week low hit in last week's final trading session, as a weaker U.S. dollar and U.S. President Trump's tariff policies spurred safe-haven buying. On Monday local time, US President Trump said at a press conference that the US would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico on March 4 and said there was no room for negotiations with these two US allies. Additionally, the US government announced it will impose an additional 10% tariff on Chinese products exported to the US starting March 4, citing fentanyl and other issues. Mr. Trump also said on Monday that the United States would impose "reciprocal tariffs" starting April 2 and would impose tariffs on countries that devalue their currencies as sanctions. In addition, Trump said on social networks that the United States will impose tariffs on "foreign" agricultural products from April 2. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/ivpV5jN7-GOLD-suffered-a-fierce-sell-off-the-US-Dollar-was-stronger/ Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After recovering from the support area noticed by readers in the previous issue at the area of 2,850 - 2,835 USD, gold has achieved the first target level at 2,880 USD and then approached the next target level at the original price point of 2,900 USD. It is also limited by the original price point of 2,900 USD when this is also the confluence of the lower edge of the price channel and EMA21. Once gold breaks the $2,900 level and trades above it, it will be primed to continue rising, marking the end of the downward correction with a target then $2,942 in the short term, more than the location of the all-time peak. The relative strength index is also receiving support from the 50 level, if bullish momentum takes it back above the 60 level, this will be a positive signal for gold price upside on the technical chart. During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices is recovery with the condition of ending the above adjustment cycle, notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 2,880 – 2,868USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,942USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2921 - 2919⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2925 →Take Profit 1 2913 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2907 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2858 - 2860⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2854 →Take Profit 1 2866 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2872
With recession coming down in Europe and will soon in USA.
Analyzing M15, M30, H1, H4, and D1 charts for a precise trade execution strategy. 1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe) M15 (15-Minute Chart) CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates bullish momentum. Currently testing equilibrium (~$2,888 - $2,890). Weak high at PDH (Previous Day’s High) around $2,893, which may act as resistance. M30 (30-Minute Chart) Break of structure (BOS) confirms bullish short-term trend. Price is hovering near PDH ($2,893). If it fails to break above $2,895, a short-term rejection is possible. H1 (1-Hour Chart) Bullish CHoCH confirms the short-term uptrend. PDH ($2,893) remains a crucial level. If broken, a rally toward $2,910 - $2,920 is likely. H4 (4-Hour Chart) Testing supply zone at PDH ($2,893). Potential retracement to $2,865 - $2,870 before continuation higher**. D1 (Daily Chart) Price bounced from a key demand zone around $2,850. Still bearish on the higher timeframe unless price reclaims $2,920 - $2,950. If $2,900 - $2,920 rejects, more downside is expected. 2. Expected Scenarios & Probability Scenario 1: Short-Term Bearish Rejection (60% Probability) If price fails to break $2,895 - $2,900, expect a rejection down to $2,870 - $2,865. Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle at PDH ($2,893). Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (40% Probability) If price closes above $2,895, expect a move toward $2,910 - $2,920. Confirmation: Strong breakout and candle close above $2,895. 3. Trading Plan Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 60% Probability) Entry: $2,893 - $2,895. SL: $2,905 (Above resistance). TP1: $2,880 (First liquidity level). TP2: $2,870 (Discount zone). TP3: $2,865 (Major demand zone). Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3. Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 40% Probability) Entry: $2,895 - $2,900. SL: $2,885 (Below weak low). TP1: $2,910 (Short-term liquidity). TP2: $2,920 (Key supply zone). Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3. 4. Final Trade Execution Summary: Trade Type Entry Stop-Loss Take-Profit 1 Take-Profit 2 Take-Profit 3 R:R Sell Setup $2,893 - $2,895 $2,905 $2,880 $2,870 $2,865 1:3 Buy Setup $2,895 - $2,900 $2,885 $2,910 $2,920 - 1:3 ? Additional Execution Tips: Watch for a rejection at $2,893 - $2,895 before shorting. If price closes above $2,895, shift to buy mode. Use M5/M15 for precise entries and candle confirmations. Avoid entering during high-impact news releases. Risk per trade: 1-2% of capital for optimal risk management.
Gold in the short term has a big V-shaped pattern. Gold fell to 2832 and then rebounded to 2895 in a V-shaped pattern. The rebound has exceeded the short-term repair. What everyone is most concerned about now is whether the bulls have risen again. The current pattern shows that the short-term has definitely turned strong and turned to bullish, but the general trend is still bearish. The signal of the weekly top has not been broken. Yesterday, the daily line closed with a big positive. Today, it is estimated that the bulls will have repairs. If the daily line closes with a positive again today, it may change the previous bearish trend. In addition, this week is a data week. Is the current rebound making room for data? Today, we will first look at the repair in the Asian session, and the US and European sessions will be bearish. In the Asian session, we see that the repair range is 2858-2895. First, we will rely on the position of 2895 to arrange short orders. The long position opportunity is above the position of 2858. Note that when breaking through either side, we need to pay attention to whether it is the beginning of a new direction. If gold is still at a high level in the US and European sessions, we are considering a long-term plan. At present, I am not optimistic about gold going up directly in a V-shaped pattern, but rebounding and then falling again. Support 2876 and 2858, pressure 2895, strong pressure 2900, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 2876. Operation suggestion Gold-----Sell near 2895, target 2969-2958
It is obvious that the reversal zone is being used quite a bit. Now it is time to wait for it to do its respective trick.. Its always better to wait for the liquidity to be taken at the origin of the movement!! Keep it Simple!! If you like it, follow me !!
Buying pressure is strong enough to overcome selling pressure. The price has historically reversed upward from this zone. Traders expect the price to bounce back if it reaches this zone again.