### Unlocking the Code: A Bullish Turn for the Euro? The financial markets are often portrayed as an inscrutable matrix, a labyrinth of numbers, charts, and emotions. But what if I told you there’s a way to see through the chaos? What if you could decode the market’s language and uncover opportunities hidden in plain sight? Today, I’m pulling back the curtain on a strategy rooted in the Commitment of Traders (COT) report—a strategy that has revealed a potentially bullish path for the Euro. To be clear, this is not an invitation to blindly jump into long positions. The market doesn’t reward reckless speculation; it rewards calculated patience. The conditions are ripening for a reversal, but the key to success is waiting for technical confirmation—a shift in the daily trend that aligns with the bullish framework. Let’s unpack the code. --- #### **Code 1: Commercials vs. Small Specs** The COT Commercial Index shows that commercials (the so-called “smart money”) are now at an extreme in long positions relative to the last 26 weeks. Meanwhile, small speculators—historically, the least informed participants—are heavily short. This divergence often signals a major opportunity. --- #### **Code 2: Extreme Net Positioning** Commercials haven’t been this long on the Euro in over three years. When the smart money moves to extremes, the market is whispering something critical. Are you listening? --- #### **Code 3: Open Interest Hits a Low** Open interest has sunk to a three-year low. Low OI often accompanies market bottoms, especially when paired with extreme commercial positioning. It’s a potent cocktail that demands attention. --- #### **Code 4: Undervalued Metrics** The Euro is undervalued against the Dollar Index and Treasuries. Discrepancies like this often create fertile ground for sharp reversals. --- #### **Code 5: The ADX "Paunch" Signal** The ADX indicator is signaling a rare "Paunch" buy setup, with values exceeding 60—a zone historically tied to trend exhaustion. This suggests that the current bearish trend may be nearing its end. --- ### Accumulation: The Final Confirmation Professional accumulation is evident. The Insider Accumulation Index and POIV indicator are lighting up, confirming that commercial buyers are quietly positioning themselves for the next move. And let’s not forget the supplementary indicators—%R, Ultimate Oscillator, and Stochastic—all flashing buy signals in unison. --- ### What Does This Mean for You? The market isn’t a game of chance; it’s a game of preparation. These signals are the breadcrumbs left by the smartest players in the room. Following them requires discipline, knowledge, and a willingness to think differently than the crowd. Here’s your choice: You can remain in the dark, overwhelmed by the noise, or you can learn to decode the markets with precision. #### **The Invitation** I’ve spent years refining my approach to trading using COT data and rules-based strategies that eliminate emotional guesswork. Now, I’m inviting you to join me. ? **Join my free Discord** to learn how to decode the markets like a pro. ? Email me directly at **tradiustrades@gmail.com** for your invite link. The door is open—but only for those ready to step through. Will you take the red pill and unlock the matrix?
Short Term Elliott Wave view of Dow Futures (YM) is looking for a larger degree correction against cycle from 3.15.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing. Rally to 45183 ended cycle from 3.15.2023 low as wave ((3)) per 1 hour chart below. Wave ((4)) pullback is now in progress to correct that cycle. Internal subdivision of wave ((4)) is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave A ended at 43941 and wave B rally ended at 44556. Wave C lower ended at 42496 which completed wave (W) in higher degree. Rally in wave (X) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (W), wave A ended at 43663 and wave B ended at 42928. Wave C higher ended at 43746 which completed wave (X). The Index has turned lower in wave (Y), but it still needs to break below wave (W) at 42496 to validate this view. Near term, as far as pivot at 45183 high stays intact, expect the Index to extend lower. Potential target for wave (Y) lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (W). This area comes at 39403 – 41060 area where buyers can appear for more upside or 3 waves rally at least.
Guys Keep holding Gold Market next possible move in this post be patience and wait for perfect Sell Entry.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) price is currently in a short-term downtrend and consolidation pattern (end of December 2024). Bitcoin price needs to hold above $92,000 to $90,000 to avoid a daily bearish head-and-shoulders resistance price pattern. Support Levels to the downside currently are: $92000, $90000, $87610, $85000, $81000, $76000. Resistance levels to the upside currently are: $96500, $100000, $105000, $108000, $110000, $120000. Daily and Weekly price consolidation is ongoing, and Bitcoin is seeking to establish the next higher-low support price. Note: breaking news, corporate news, government law changes, stock market correlations, and crypto events can affect and override technical chart patterns. Date: 12/30/2024 pm
OUR Analysis Bitcoin has recently hit an all-time high, reaching a strong resistance level around 109,431.77 . After experiencing a pullback, it is currently testing another resistance at 99,720.17 while resting above the support zone near 90,652.24 . Technically watch for potential breakout opportunities if Bitcoin can sustain momentum above the current resistance levels. Fundamentally Market sentiment remains optimistic with increasing institutional interest and macroeconomic factors favoring digital assets as a hedge against inflation. Traders should monitor volume trends and global economic news influencing cryptocurrency markets to gauge the next potential moves in BTC pricing. Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, share With Your Friends Don't Forgot Like Button trade safe Thanks.
Hello, dear friends! Ben here! Spot gold has successfully climbed past the $2,600 mark during the U.S. trading session, continuing its retreat from Friday's peak of $2,638. Driving the current sentiment is the U.S. dollar (USD), which gained strength as Wall Street opened amidst lackluster performance in local indices. Weak trading volumes further intensified the drop in equities, fueling a short-term rally in the USD. Yet, despite these temporary setbacks, the three major indices are on track to close another year with impressive gains. Meanwhile, market participants are shedding high-yield assets as uncertainty looms over what 2025 may bring. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has signaled its intent to slow the pace of rate cuts, given that inflation remains stubbornly high. Adding to the tension, former President Donald Trump is set to return to the White House on January 20, with his anticipated protectionist policies likely to exacerbate inflationary pressures in the years ahead. Given these dynamics, a bearish outlook on gold remains dominant in the short and medium term. Attention is centered around the 2,610 resistance level—so long as sellers defend this zone, gold appears poised to decline further, with potential targets in the 2,596–2,587 range. What are your thoughts? Share your insights, forecasts, and questions—let’s explore the ongoing dynamics of XAUUSD together!
Here's a summary of your XAU/USD trade plan: Trade Plan - Entry Point: Currently waiting for entry (please confirm entry point) - Target: 2585 - Stop-Loss: 2617 Market Analysis The XAU/USD is experiencing a bearish trend, driven by a strengthening US dollar and decreasing investor sentiment. Technical Analysis - RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50, indicating a bearish momentum. - Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is trending downwards, supporting the bearish view. - Resistance Levels: The resistance levels at 2617 and 2625 could provide a selling opportunity in case of a bounce. Risk Management - Risk-Reward Ratio: Your risk-reward ratio is approximately 1:1.9, which is relatively conservative. - Position Sizing: Make sure to adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and account size. Trade Progress Please confirm your entry point to start tracking your trade progress. Stay disciplined and stick to your trade plan. Good luck!
DEMAND WILL PLAY AROUND BOX RANGE 855-935 SUPPORT can wait 920 and will close monitor when break 1.06 it should be clearly make it higher high and stage 2 will confirm with high volume.
Vader is an AI agent project that invets in AI agent tokens autonomously in BASE chain. In 1 hour chart, the price broke and closed above descending trendline ( or triangle pattern); and MACD, Stochastic and RSI lines are clearly pointing upwards in the bull territory. When I trade, I always confirm with Stochastic in a higher time frame. In this instance, I check to make sure Stochastic (9,3,3) in 4H chart is not in overbought territory and ideally close to 50 zone. You can see in the chart the area of entry, stop loss, and profit target. Risk reward is about 1:2.
Technical Analysis shows in uptrend inside parallel channel. Looking upside with TP 1.00 with Entry at 0.93. Disclaimer: Not a Buy / Sell. Please do due diligence before entering any trades. Investing in high-risk instrument can incur partial or full loss. Traders' discretion involves subjective decision-making and carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results; always conduct your own research and seek professional advice before making any trading decisions.