Die dritte Staffel von Das Rad der Zeit ist auf Amazon Prime Video erschienen. Das düstere Epos ist die vermutlich beste Fantasy-Serie, die ihr derzeit schauen könnt. Dagegen hat auch Der Herr der Ringe: Die Ringe der Macht keine Chance.
??? USD/CHF news: ?USD/CHF is in a sustained downtrend after breaking below key dynamic support levels such as the 100- and 200-day SMA. In addition, the pair has been making a series of consecutive lower highs and lower lows, suggesting that sellers may be taking control. ?Disappointing US CPI data and previous weak news have added to the weakness of the US Dollar. Personal opinion: ?USD/CHF is likely to continue its bearish momentum in the near term. ?However, DXY is recovering to the upside for the second consecutive day. RSI (1D) shows signs of increasing again after entering the oversold zone ?Consider Sell at the retest zone of 0.8850 because this is a strong resistance area and safer Analysis: ?Based on the resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: ? Price Zone Setup: ?Sell USD/CHF 0.8855 – 0.8870 ❌SL: 0.8900 | ✅TP: 0.8810 – 0.8765 – 0.8720 FM wishes you a successful trading day ???
There’s an age-old battle in trading that makes the bull vs. bear debate look like a game of pickleball (no offense, finance bros). It’s the clash between the traders who swear by their charts and the ones who insist it’s all about mindset. The technicals versus the psychologicals. Fibonacci retracements versus fear and greed. RSI versus your racing heart. TLDR? Both matter—a lot. But knowing when to trust your indicators, when to trust yourself, and when to blend both is the fine line that separates those who thrive from those who rage-quit. ⚔️ The Cold, Hard Numbers vs. the Soft, Messy Brain Think of technical analysis as your sometimes inaccurate GPS in trading. It’s structured, predictable, and gives you clear entry and exit points—until it doesn’t. Because markets, much like a GPS in a tunnel, don’t always cooperate. That’s where psychology creeps in. Your mind is the ultimate trading algorithm, but it’s often running outdated software. Fear of missing out? That’s just your brain throwing a tantrum. Revenge trading? A glitch in emotional processing. Overconfidence after three wins in a row? Well done, you genius. Technical analysis gives you signals, but trading psychology determines how you act on them. ?♂️ When the Chart Says One Thing, and Your Brain Says Another Picture this: You’ve mapped out the perfect setup. The moving averages align, volume confirms the breakout, and everything screams BUY . But then your brain whispers, What if it reverses? What if this is a trap? What if I’m about to donate my account balance to the market gods? You hesitate. The price moves without you. Now, frustration kicks in, and suddenly, you’re clicking BUY at the worst possible moment—just in time for a pullback. Sometimes, the best trade is the one you don’t take. And sometimes, trusting the chart over your overthinking brain is the only way forward. ? The Big Guys and Their Choices Legendary investors have picked their sides in this debate. Howard Marks, the co-founder of Oaktree Capital, has long been a big believer in market psychology. He argues that understanding investor sentiment is more valuable than any chart pattern because markets are driven by cycles of greed and fear. On the other hand, Paul Tudor Jones—one of the greatest traders of all time—leans on technicals, famously saying, “The whole trick in investing is: ‘How do I keep from losing everything?’ If you use the 200-day moving average rule, you get out. You play defense.” Both approaches work. The question is: Are you the type who deciphers market mood swings, or do you trust that a well-placed moving average will tell you when to cut and run? ? Overtrading: The Technical Trap and the Psychological Spiral Overtrading usually starts with a good trade, a small win, and a rush of dopamine that convinces you you’ve cracked the code. So, you take another trade. Then another. And before you know it, you’re firing off entries like a caffeinated gamer, except your PnL is the one taking the damage. Technical traders fall into this trap because they see too many setups. Every candlestick pattern, every little bounce, every “potential” breakout becomes a reason to trade. Psychological traders, on the other hand, may overtrade out of boredom, frustration, or the need to “make back” losses. The result? An emotional rollercoaster that ends with an account balance you don’t want to check the next morning. The fix? Trade selectively. The best setups don’t come every five minutes, and forcing trades is like forcing a bad joke—it just doesn’t land. ? Fear, Greed, and the Art of Holding Your Ground Every trader knows the feeling: You’re in profit, but instead of letting the trade play out, you close early because profit is profit, right? Wrong. Fear of losing profits is what keeps traders from maximizing their wins. And greed—the evil twin of fear—is what makes traders hold losing trades, hoping for a miracle. It’s the classic “let winners run, cut losers short” rule in reverse. Technical traders know where their stops and targets are. The problem? They often ignore them when emotions take over. Psychological traders “feel” the market but get crushed when that gut feeling betrays them. The best traders find the balance—using technicals to set logical targets and psychology to actually stick to the plan. ? The Solution? A System That Checks Both Boxes So, what’s the verdict? Do you put matter over mind or mind over matter? The truth is, great traders do both. They develop strategies based on technicals but manage execution with discipline. They respect risk management rules not just because the chart says so, but because they know how destructive emotions can be. Here’s what the best do differently: ✅ They journal trades —not just the setups but how they felt during the trade. ✅ They stick to a trading plan so they can trust their system over impulse. ✅ They set rules that help them to properly bounce back from losses . ✅ They know the value of knowledge and never stop learning. (We’ve got you covered here, too. Go check the Top Trading Books if you’re a trader and stop by the Top Books on Investing if you’re an investor). ? Final Thoughts: Mind and Market in Harmony In the end, trading is never just one or the other. It’s not pure math, and it’s not pure mindset. It’s a dance between structure and instinct, strategy and psychology. The ones who get it right aren’t just great at reading charts—they’re great at reading themselves.
Hello Guys Here Is Chart Of BTCUSDT in 1-H AT Entry Level: Buy Around 81000-80700 Support: Around $78000 Target Will Be : 88000 If BTC breaks below this level, the Triangle pattern is invalidated, and further downside could occur.
Company Overview Modern Dental Group, based in Hong Kong, is a global provider of dental prosthetics, including crowns, bridges, implants, and dentures. They also offer orthodontic devices, sports guards, and dental equipment. The company operates in over 23 countries with 80+ service centers. It has expanded through acquisitions, including in Thailand and Vietnam, and launched the QJ Smile clear aligner brand in China. Modern Dental Group is publicly traded on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange under ticker 3600.HK. The Fundamental Case The Fundamental case stems from a strong belief that we are going into a period of a structural weakening USD vs almost all global major currencies. Their business model is extremely leveraged to a weakening USD. Take Europe for example. Modern Dental has performed extremely well in Europe with Revenues having grown 40% in the past two years and now accounting for almost 50% of global revenues. An increase of the EURUSD exchange rate to 1.15, along side the expected growth rate would result in probably what would be a 20% increase in revenue from current levels while costs may only increase 10%. For the year 2025, the company could be potentially have the following metrics if the Euro appreciates to 1.15: My 2025 Projections Revenue: 4.1 Billion HKD Net Profit 520 million HKD EPS: 56 cents Free Cash Flow: ~600 million HKD This would put the P/E Ratio at just 7 and the Free Cash Flow Yield at 16% Remember, are are not just talking about how cheap the company is, but the fact that it is a growing revenue in a structurally growing industry with a currency tailwind. Furthermore, they are almost Net debt neutral. This, in my view, rules out the possibility it could be a value trap. The Trade. Id like to go Long at the Current price of $3.95, with a target of $6.00 (50% upside) within the next 12 months. I'd stop out of this trade if the Euro get back under 1.05 or if the price of the share gets under HKD 3.5. With a HKD 2 upside vs a HKD 50 cents downside the risk/reward is 4:1. Thanks, Kavi
Despite the continued decline and stabilisation below the rejection level of 126.31, an upward correction toward approximately 139.40 is anticipated. However, given the market volatility, the price may briefly touch a downtrend before reversing. Overall, the prevailing trend remains bearish, with a target toward the support zone. Bearish target: 110.60, 92.08, 79.46 Bullish target: 126.31, 139.09, 159.02
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Back testing Journal March 13 Trade Execution Price was in a double discount on my analysis in Asia. DXY/GBP were on their 50 With Price consolidating in NTH Price consolidated in a discount expanded a bit retraced a bit creating equal highs. 1 macro fakes in a judus swing to session equal lows 2 macro Price is in the mog and I wanted Price to continue lowering to the sell stops, to which it did. Backing testing when the bias is know I have witness price bounce off the 50 and head in the direction of its bias in the range its trading. With that logic with time of day, liquidity taken, bias is bull 2:57 I entered for a long. I watched it retrace and knock me out- no loss on profits my stop loss was my entry 4 macro with the DXY clearing liquidity to the high side its bias is bear, and on its .79 session range I then thought a long was forming. I went in 3:57 Price was showing continued signs of high resistance trading with whip saw candles so I exited a minute later the 4:15 candle whipped and glad I got out-managed a couple pips and no loss. These PMI days in London are proving to be holding price is a narrow range of high resistance. First clue to stay clear NOTE due to EUR now not trading diametrically opposed to DXY there is a lot more mental capital being used and you must anchor ideas from GBP/DXY. NOTE every day you get better at entering right or wrong. NOTE every day you get better of not getting scared out just because price retraces a bit NOTE before every session you must identify what Asia has done, what stops were taken, what place in the market discount to premium from NY to Asia for where is price likely to draw to. Hindsight price should have lowered and it did rebalancing the FVG it was it before going higher. Big picture and better notes of ALL TF and all liquidity. Good Job today. You didnt break any rules!
Welcome back, guys! ?I'm Skeptic , and today we’re diving into Bitcoin (BTC/USD) after a series of intense market moves driven by Trump's tariff decisions, rising inflation concerns, and persistent interest rates. Let’s break it down and see where we stand. ? 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis Bitcoin recently faced some heavy volatility, but as I mentioned in previous analyses, we have a strong PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) between $80,000 - $82,000 . This zone has managed to hold weekly candles above it, maintaining the major uptrend on the weekly chart. However, on lower time frames, the downtrend is still prominent, so it’s crucial to stay cautious with short positions for now. Having a balanced perspective on the market always helps, so while the long-term trend remains bullish, we should be mindful of short-term bearish momentum and avoid being overly biased. ? Short Setup The previous short trigger at 88,322.42 worked out well, giving us a solid downward move. Currently, the situation has become more complex with heightened volatility and uncertainty. Therefore, it’s wise to reduce risk for now. Our primary short trigger is a break below 79,083.93 . Once this level gives way, the next support target would be 76,616.28 , which could also serve as a safe spot to secure some profit. ? Long Setup For long positions, I’d prefer waiting for a break above 83,818.74 . However, rather than jumping in right away, I’d like to see a confirmed higher high and higher low , allowing us to enter with a tighter stop loss and a better risk/reward ratio . This approach increases our confidence and reduces exposure. Let me know your thoughts on BTC/USD ! ? Got any questions? Drop them in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss. Let’s grow together, not alone! ?
SUI, after completing the 3D pattern at its price peak, has entered a corrective phase. It is now approaching a high-potential zone, which is the origin of a strong move with significant buy orders. We are looking for buy/long positions in the demand zone. The target could be the supply zone. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate our bullish outlook. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you