? TON/USDT 4H Analysis: After breaking below the key support at 3.729, TON saw a sharp drop toward 2.849, where it found a strong bullish reaction. A short-term bullish correction is currently underway, but resistance at 3.3–3.4 and the 200 EMA may limit further upside. If TON fails to break through, it could retest 2.849 or drop to the 2.505 demand zone. For a true bullish reversal, a confirmed breakout and consolidation above 3.729 is essential.
The fall in gold is not comparable to the sharp fall in stocks and indices! and gold has the potential to grow to $3,200 given its long-term channel
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Medium term, max bullish. Short term neutral and long term, no fucking clue. Market got to the bull trend line from the covid lows in 3 weeks, which is as insane and unlikely as everything I have ever witness in these markets. Today could have been the low for weeks or months. Markets usually retest prices and so could 19000 get a retest but since we also printed 20976, it’s hard to imagine for now. My best guess for now is to stay inside the given range which does not help anyone at all, trading this. 4h 20ema is the ema to break for bulls and until then I lean bearish above 20000 and bullish below 19500. current market cycle: strong bear trend but could transition into a trading range with the start of today key levels: 19000 - 21000 bull case: Bulls will likely get tested again tomorrow when bears try to sell this again, they have to stay above 19500 and go sideways. I highly doubt we get above 21000 again but any news, fake or not, could pump this again. Mean reversion is likely the name of the game for quite some time. Invalidation is below 19000. bear case: Bears got more than they could ever dreamed of and they had to be quick to take profits today. The bounce was high enough that I doubt we can get below 19300 again so bears have to wait for pullbacks and short higher. This selling is/was as climactic and unsustainable as everything ever, so do not expect this to continue. 19000 is most likely a place where the legends of this industry buy with both hands. Invalidation is above 21000. short term: Neutral. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Will update this over the weekend. Bear targets are met. I can most likely see this going sideways for months or years now. current swing trade: None trade of the day: If you did not lose money today, you did good.
If ETH holds here, we will likely see a pump towards 2300 - 2500 area, this area is where ETH buyers are trapped after the failure of the 2300 - 2500 order block retest. The buyers would ideally wanna exit their positions after selling at that level. ETH will give us a great opportunity for shorting. We will be looking at shorting ETH at 2400 - 2543 with our take profits at 2000 - 1870 area. Stop loss is a 4 hr candle close above 2800.
A lot of fear happened in the market and a lot of people are out after this flush. I believe XRP is one of the better looking coins, most coins are trading near all time low while XRP is still trading around 2 dollars. What i mean is that once buyers get more confident that a bottom is formed, a lot of coins will see 100 or 200% to the upside. While most coins will not see an all time high at that moment, XRP will trade above 4 dollar just with a 100% increase. When we look at the charts i believe that a 5th wave still need to happen and that we can reach between 15 and 20 dollars at the peak. Keep a few things in mind what can be a catalyst for XRP to surge. Many ETF's are waiting to be launched, the SEC will in the near future conclude the case against Ripple.. Let's take a look at following chart's what also can be bullish.
“Goldie’s mood swings: from drama queen to calculated killer.” Gold decided to throw a tantrum after NFP and play peek-a-boo with everyone’s SL. But beneath the chaos lies structure—and we speak structure fluently. Let’s map this battlefield with sniper entries and cold logic. No guessing, just high confluence. ? Macro Context ?️ Geopolitical: Israel-Iran tensions still simmering. Headlines = spikes. Stay nimble. ? Fundamentals: Stronger USD post-NFP; Fed tone remains hawkish. ? Technical Environment: H1/H4 break of bullish structure D1 printed a brutal engulfing candle EMA 5/21/50 all pointing down on M30–H1, kissing goodbye to bullish hopes (for now) “The spike was no accident. Smart money never sleeps.” ? Bias: Bearish intraday flow under OB 2980–3000 ? SELL SETUPS ? SELL SETUP 1 – OB Rejection Sniper ? Entry: 2995–3000 ? Why: H1 valid OB + imbalance + bearish CHoCH on M5 ? TP1: 2960 ? TP2: 2915 ? SL: 3008 ? Classic OB rejection. Look for a wick grab then drop on LTF. ? SELL SETUP 2 – Stop Hunt Pop ? Entry: 3010–3015 ? Why: Liquidity sweep above 3000, into bearish FVG zone ? TP1: 2975 ? TP2: 2940 ? SL: 3019 ? Ideal on a fast pump, then M1 bearish structure shift confirmation. ? SELL SETUP 3 – EMA50 Tap & Fade ? Entry: 3035–3040 ? Why: Confluence of bearish trendline retest + EMA50 (H1) ? TP1: 2990 ? TP2: 2950 ? SL: 3046 ? Catch the fakeout bounce. Risk defined. Trend respected. ? BUY SETUPS ? BUY SETUP 1 – Deep Discount Bounce ? Entry: 2945–2955 ? Why: M30 OB + unmitigated FVG + 0.618 FIB ? TP1: 2990 ? TP2: 3030 ? SL: 2938 ? Only valid if 2960 gets flushed cleanly with momentum shift. ? BUY SETUP 2 – Retest of Previous Demand ? Entry: 2905–2915 ? Why: Unmitigated H4 OB zone + previous bounce structure ? TP1: 2960 ? TP2: 3000 ? SL: 2895 ? Take this if we get heavy stop hunts early and DXY slows. ? BUY SETUP 3 – Extreme Demand Sweep ? Entry: 2885–2895 ? Why: HTF demand zone + psychological 2900 + imbalance ? TP1: 2950 ? TP2: 2980 ? SL: 2878 ? Perfect for the brave — sniper only on strong bounce confirmation (M5). ⚔️ Key Levels Recap: ? 3000–2980: Valid OB resistance zone ? 2960–2950: Discount reaction base ? 2915 / 2890: Deeper liquidity zones ? 3045: SL invalidation on bearish bias ? 2880: Final demand for aggressive longs ? Strategy Notes: Watch for manipulation moves into OB or imbalance before taking entries. Wait for CHoCH or PA confirmation on M1–M5 before executing. Don’t chase — sniper setups only. ? "Goldie might be emotional, but our setups aren’t." ?️ Let’s grow together! ? If this sniper plan gave you clarity, drop a like & follow on TradingView ? Let’s grow a strong trading community built on structure, not signals. Stay sharp & stay kind, legends! ? ? No guessing. No chasing. Just smart money and structure.
Dow Jones / US30 almost reached its 1week MA200 today and immediately rebounded. Last time it approached it so closely was on October 23rd 2023 and last it crossed under it was September 19th 2022. The most recent was the first higher low of the 3 year Channel Up and the latter was the bottom of the last bear market. The 1week RSI hasn't been this low since June 13th 2022, which was again a near 1week MA200 test that caused an immediate rebound to the 1week MA50 before the rejection to the eventual bear market bottom. As long as the 1week MA200 holds and closes the candles over it, we expect the Channel Up to start a near bullish wave like post October 2023. Target 45200 (same as the March 2024 rally) which is around the All Time High. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Today's pattern played out perfectly. I'm really amazed that the SPY rallied up to my resistance level ($520-525) and stalled/bottomed exactly near my $480 support. Absolutely PERFECT reflection of the data I presented this morning and from my research over the weekend. Now, if my analysis is correct, we move into a sideways consolidation pattern for the next 3+ weeks where price will attempt to establish a range (moving slightly downward in trend) before we get to the late-June breakdown (setting up the July 2025 low), then another big breakdown in October 2025. I can't tell you how pleased I am with the comments and messages I get every day. Some of you are KILLING IT and I'm so happy to be able to help. Remember, we are all trying to find the best way to profit from these market trends. So remember to share your success with others and let them know how to find the best tools for trading (on TradingView). Now, let's get busy trying to get ready for the next phase of this market trend (which will come in June). I'll keep you updated. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
My dowsing work suggested a high around $288 on GLD, which obviously worked out (see prior idea). There's often a decent reversal opportunity once levels are hit. This one was golden... Wah-wah. I'm trying not to over ask on things because with my work, I think it opens the door for misleading information or confusion on my part. Simply put, the guidance was to get a date from the past, which was Jan. 10th. Look to revisit that price, which happens to correlate with the area of the 200 sma. When I asked what price from the H/L of that day, I get $249. I drew a line to show the reference candle from January. I ask what date this may occur by & get May 15th, but another date came of July 26th. There's some big stuff I think happening in indexes too in June/July. Dates are often reversals, but can be nothing. You just never know, but odds are more often they are something.
If you're eying the charts for too long or do not wanna buy at this level, buy in the retracement/retest of the recovery. There is a breaker in the area of 2300 - 2500 for ETH, which will be possibly occur as the area of correction for retest of the move upwards. Wait for ETH to reach those levels, position yourself for long at the retest of .61 - 0.71 retracement level.